Sports Geek wrote:For the ones that say this is not unprecedented... Doncic records:
- All time youngest MVP of the week in the ACB league
- All time youngest MVP of the week in the Euroleague (twice)
- Record in scoring for an U17 player in the ACB league
- Record in PIR for an U17 player in the ACB league
- Youngest player ever in recording a double double in the ACB league
- First player in going over 20 points and 10 assists in the ACB league since 2006 (including even veteran players)
Maybe I forgot any other, I don't know. And the most important thing: he broke all those records playing limited minutes.
Very well aware of that and I'm not saying that's not a big deal, all I'm saying that a transition to senior bball like this isn't always a skill thing only. F.e. if Sarič found a better fit than Efes he would look better than he did, Bečirović at the age of 18 might have been capable of performing almost as well, Rudy wasn't bad at 18 years old either and there could be some more cases as far as perimeter players go, eventhough those are indeed extremely rare.
The fact is that Dončič, although physicaly well developed for his age, does not posses as much of a physical edge as some would suggest (whoever remembers matchups with Aranitović from a year or two ago would agree. And there were numerous cases like this, as I'm sure Real fans are aware of). It's an easy conclusion due to the fact he actually plays at the euroleague level at the age of 17. However much of that can be attributed to Laso hideing Dončič at PG. His height and decent ballhandling skills enable him to do that, with his feel for the game on top of that, he is actually able to create a notable surpluss there.
However if he had to start the season at the SF, with the difference in strenght that ussualy means, he probably wouldn't burst out to the extent he did. It's a whole different set of neccesities for a SF, he can play occasinal minutes there as of now, thanks to the confidence he gained, however put him on the constant physical pressure some of the true SF are able to perform (the fact that in euro bball SG vs. SF can be even more blurry than in NBA certanly works in his favour) and his performance will definatly drop over the longer period and his physique would be exposed. No matter how well he is able to defend some post ups, that's still a situational thing for him. Don't underestimate the effect when opponent conciously attack there.
Laso is a very inteligent coach, deliberately took the risk and has managed to find a way that suits both Luka and his team perfectly. It's a bit of a coincidence and not many players get to see some of those seemingly small circumstances, that make a difference in their transition to senior bball. Luka definately needed talent to use those, but it could easily be a worse outcome with some other team+coach, transition to senior bball never depends solely on the talent and I think Luka "found" a good fit.
Euro guards and especialy PG's, are ussualy in a very vulnerable position untill something like 22 years of age, since physicaly it's a big difference they have to cope with, generaly being put on a lower level teams due to it (and that plays a slight role on why europe mostly exports big guys to nba, NCAA is a much more guard-welcome enviroment as far as development goes), with many failing to succed with the transition into senior bball. Dončič has an advantage there with his height and wingspan, that makes it tougher for some of the PG's to put some serious pressure on him, the way they could easily exploit an average 18 years old 6'1 PG. (For NBA fans: with euro rules and shorter 3 point line, the difference in "court spread" are noticable, that's why young PG's don't have the same room to operate and upper body physical issues are exposed faster.)
Which bring me to his latteral quickness. At the age of 13, 14, even if playing against notably older players, that was always the main questionmark for him. However somewhere since 16 y.o. he improved to the extent I'm not worried about that anymore, if there was a guarantee he would have a superb first step that would be an overkill, as for defense, he has the poise, wingspan and speed to keep up with his man.
While PG is a natural fit for him at this moment, unless some specific team lineups happen, his NBA position will be SF most of the time. His quickness being exposed while playing as a 6'8 17 years old PG? Bound to happen unless you're thinking superman. Either way, you've got plenty of great NBA SF's that don't need some incredible quickness to create.
That being said, Luka is progressing so fast jaws keep dropping over and over again. There were numerous people saying "stop that hype" at the ages of 13, 14, 15, 16 and most of them are now openly on the bandwagon. Even I find it hard to believe Luka would be able to progress with this very same pace though, but anyway if he stays healthy, he should be an elite SF within few years.
I've got absolutely no idea on how to compare him with Porzingis or MIrotić though
