2018 NBA Mock Draft: Luka Doncic Stealing Thunder from Stacked College Class
1. Chicago Bulls: Luka Doncic
(Slovenia, PG/SG, 1999)
Doncic is going to enter the draft as its most proven prospect, and there won't be much Michael Porter Jr. or Marvin Bagley III can do to change that. He's consistently produced against pros, including current NBA stars like Kristaps Porzingis, the Gasols and Hernangomezes.
On paper, there are prospects with higher ceilings, but empty production at Missouri won't be enough for Michael Porter Jr. the way it was for Markelle Fultz at Washington. And Marvin Bagley III won't sell the 2018 lottery winner with just flashes of upside here and there, the way Karl-Anthony Towns did at Kentucky.
Bagley and Porter must be extra impressive to leapfrog Doncic, who has built a No. 1 overall case with unprecedented production, playmaking versatility, shooting and a Lonzo Ball-like feel for the game.
2. Atlanta Hawks: Marvin Bagley III
(Duke, PF, Freshman)
Marvin Bagley III isn't as polished as Luka Doncic or Michael Porter Jr., but 6'11" size, superior athleticism and two-way versatility create the highest ceiling in the draft.
Porter will average more points. Bagley will show potential in more areas.
He could be an elite offensive rebounder and defender, with the bounce to block shots and the quickness to switch onto wings or guards.
He's even shown the ability to handle the ball in the open floor, and when given space, he'll face up and take his man off the dribble. A threat from the low block and elbows, Bagley just has to look capable enough as a shooter, the only unsettling weakness in his game.
3. Cleveland Cavaliers (via Nets): Michael Porter Jr.
(Missouri, F, Freshman)
Michael Porter Jr. jumps out early as the best player available and even a possible favorite to some in the No. 1 overall conversation.
He'll offer a balanced mix of certainty and upside, with 6'10" size, enough athleticism and perimeter skills the other top NCAA prospects can't match. He's a threat to lead all freshmen in scoring at Missouri. And given his tools, polish and overall maturity, scouts should feel confident in Porter's success and production carrying over to the pros.
4. Phoenix Suns: DeAndre Ayton
(Arizona, C, Freshman)
Ayton should give Arizona an immediate presence around the basket with his finishing, rebounding and rim protection. It's the developing jumper and post game that could earn him top-three looks in the draft. He's gained notable confidence in his jumper over the past two seasons.
5. Sacramento Kings: Mohamed Bamba
Bleacher ReportEarly on, Bagley and Doncic appear to be the consensus top-2 in this draft.
I don't think this stays the case moving forward.