Player of the Day: Andre Roberson

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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#501 » by hardenASG13 » Wed Dec 27, 2017 2:23 pm

slick_watts wrote:the andre roberson haters don't know what to do. dre is 8th in the nba in drpm right now. our defense turns into mush when he's out of the game. against the two best teams in the nba- the teams that he was supposed to be unplayable against- our offense had no problems with him in there.

there were three plays alone where dre got the steal and made a perfect pass to a streaking teammate for a fast break bucket. that's a potential 17 point swing right there alone (rockets could have scored 9 points on threes in those possessions, instead we scored 6).

sleestak looking foolish complaining about harden's productivity when he looked downright scared whenever dre was on him, and did virtually nothing in those instances. the rockets spent 10 seconds every possession desperately trying to screen him off. then he blocks harden on the potential tying FG attempt.

yes the free throw thing is annoying, but even hubie brown said it during the game- that dre (and adams) do a lot of moving around on the court that creates vertical spacing. we're at our best when he's used as a screener on the ball, back screener, etc. he had three hockey assists last night as a roll man in the pnr, and 5 'normal' assists overall.

it's not too late to get on board.


Look, he's a very good defender, nobody is debating that. But you have to see the stats you live by supporting him are inflated. He plays majority of his minutes alongside George, adams, and Westbrook. Does the defense turn to mush when he goes out, or when him and adams go out and abrines (or felton, or huestis)and the first bench 'big' of the day come in?

Defense is played as a team, and a team is generally as good as their weakest links on that end. This drives his numbers up defensively, and while he and George are the best wing duo defensively in the league, it skews dres numbers positively as he essentially only runs with the starters.

Say for instance his minutes were switched with Huestis, consistently, for a month straight. Huestis ran 27 minutes a night with mostly starters, and Roberson got variable minutes with inconsistent, mismatched bench units. Do you think huestis impact numbers defensively would be helped or hurt? How about Robersons, playing with the likes of abrines, patterson, and grant instead of Westbrook, George and adams?


Your quote about the potential 17 point swing is just idiotic. It assumes best case scenario for houston/ worst case for okc on all those possessions, and examples like that can be used throughout the game. Itd be like pointing out Westbrook potentially creating a 17 point swing because he gets 3 defensive rebounds other pgs wouldn't and then leads successful transition opportunities on the ensuing possessions, which he does all the time.

Sleestak is saying despite Robersons great defense, harden still played very good. There is truth to that. Yes he did shoot slightly worse, but got to the line and set guys up at will. Sure he was slowed down, but you guys are acting like harden was a non factor, when he had 29 and 14 and repeatedly got to the line, which is a problem. But he does that against everyone, it's James harden.

On dre's offense, he at least has been chipping in with several layups per game lately, and completely abandoned his 3 point attempts after all these years which is good, as they like his foul shots are basically turnovers. He is a good screener, and better be as aside from layups it's really his only other way to contribute on offesne. You can't however, acknowledge all the little things he does well, and the effects they have without also acknowledging the effects of him not being able to attempt 3s or create anything for himself or others in the half court have on the teams offensive ceiling.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#502 » by bondom34 » Wed Dec 27, 2017 2:34 pm

Defensive rating with PG and Robes is 93.4 in 21 mpg. Ith only Roberson its 102. With only PG its 110.7.

Its not because of other guys. Hes that good.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#503 » by RalphSampsonJr » Wed Dec 27, 2017 3:24 pm

Call me crazy but i think being an elite defender is harder than being an elite scorer. Think about it..

As a defender you have to react to what the other guy is doing. You have no idea where and how a player will try score and you have to react to that without fouling.

These 1 and 2 guards are crazy athletic with awesome ball handling skills. they can do what they want when they want. you have to when to gamble on a reach/steal/block without it backfiring and giving them an easy opportunity to score.

These 14 assists people are quoting does nothing to diminish what Robes did on Harden.
Robes fought over 90% of the screens he faced that game and stayed on him. OKC attempted to trap Harden and clog the passing lane on the pnr as fast as possible but Harden has THE best timing in the league when it comes to when to pass to his roll man.

Using total points scored is also a silly way to diminish what Robes done. You realize if you shoot 50 shots and hit 20% you scored 20 pts? 20 points sounds nice but if you used up 50 of your teams possessions to do it you are not helping your team win.

Harden scored 51 points on 54% shooting the game before he played OKC. 46% from 3.
The game before that he scored 51 more pts on 56% shooting 66% from 3.

He then went up against Robes.. 29 pts on 39% shooting. 27% from 3. He was the worst of the Rockets starters with a -7
Robes was the best of all players with +14.

If guys dont want to see whats really going on and just want to quote raw boxscore totals then get ready for a long frustrating season of Roberson doing his thing.

Yea he is tuuuurrrrrrible at shooting. Its just his defense is THAT good that it doesnt matter
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#504 » by hardenASG13 » Wed Dec 27, 2017 3:24 pm

bondom34 wrote:Defensive rating with PG and Robes is 93.4 in 21 mpg. Ith only Roberson its 102. With only PG its 110.7.

Its not because of other guys. Hes that good.


With only PG usually means PG and the bench. Only Roberson usually means Roberson, westbrook, adams, and whatever 2 guys Billy decides are in the rotation on a given night. That had to impact those numbers. It's not the only factor, certainly he is a really good defender, but playing with Westbrook and adams will boost a guys numbers. Roberson has stepped up his D as the team has ascended throughout December, no question. If he can continue to get 8 easy points a night, consistently, I'm fine with him out there. As long as he is contributing something. There will also be times, when a shooter is needed in those minutes. He should be used accordingly.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#505 » by bondom34 » Wed Dec 27, 2017 3:26 pm

hardenASG13 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:Defensive rating with PG and Robes is 93.4 in 21 mpg. Ith only Roberson its 102. With only PG its 110.7.

Its not because of other guys. Hes that good.


With only PG usually means PG and the bench. Only Roberson usually means Roberson, westbrook, adams, and whatever 2 guys Billy decides are in the rotation on a given night. That had to impact those numbers. It's not the only factor, certainly he is a really good defender, but playing with Westbrook and adams will boost a guys numbers. Roberson has stepped up his D as the team has ascended throughout December, no question. If he can continue to get 8 easy points a night, consistently, I'm fine with him out there. As long as he is contributing something. There will also be times, when a shooter is needed in those minutes. He should be used accordingly.

They don't have that shooter. Huestis isn't that and Abrines is near unplayable on defense.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#506 » by hardenASG13 » Wed Dec 27, 2017 3:29 pm

bondom34 wrote:
hardenASG13 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:Defensive rating with PG and Robes is 93.4 in 21 mpg. Ith only Roberson its 102. With only PG its 110.7.

Its not because of other guys. Hes that good.


With only PG usually means PG and the bench. Only Roberson usually means Roberson, westbrook, adams, and whatever 2 guys Billy decides are in the rotation on a given night. That had to impact those numbers. It's not the only factor, certainly he is a really good defender, but playing with Westbrook and adams will boost a guys numbers. Roberson has stepped up his D as the team has ascended throughout December, no question. If he can continue to get 8 easy points a night, consistently, I'm fine with him out there. As long as he is contributing something. There will also be times, when a shooter is needed in those minutes. He should be used accordingly.

They don't have that shooter. Huestis isn't that and Abrines is near unplayable on defense.


They need to get one, as they have for years. This group is worth going all in on. Move Ferguson , singler and abrines for a proven, pro 2/3. Or let's hope they get lucky in the buy out market, as they should be a destination this year.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#507 » by bondom34 » Wed Dec 27, 2017 3:32 pm

hardenASG13 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
hardenASG13 wrote:
With only PG usually means PG and the bench. Only Roberson usually means Roberson, westbrook, adams, and whatever 2 guys Billy decides are in the rotation on a given night. That had to impact those numbers. It's not the only factor, certainly he is a really good defender, but playing with Westbrook and adams will boost a guys numbers. Roberson has stepped up his D as the team has ascended throughout December, no question. If he can continue to get 8 easy points a night, consistently, I'm fine with him out there. As long as he is contributing something. There will also be times, when a shooter is needed in those minutes. He should be used accordingly.

They don't have that shooter. Huestis isn't that and Abrines is near unplayable on defense.


They need to get one, as they have for years. This group is worth going all in on. Move Ferguson , singler and abrines for a proven, pro 2/3. Or let's hope they get lucky in the buy out market, as they should be a destination this year.

That package has about zero value.

Also defense with Robes and no PG or Adams is a 92.9 d rating. Those 2 without Roberson is a 111.2.

So that argument falls.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#508 » by slick_watts » Wed Dec 27, 2017 3:34 pm

hardenASG13 wrote:Look, he's a very good defender, nobody is debating that. But you have to see the stats you live by supporting him are inflated. He plays majority of his minutes alongside George, adams, and Westbrook. Does the defense turn to mush when he goes out, or when him and adams go out and abrines (or felton, or huestis)and the first bench 'big' of the day come in?


bruh. it goes to mush with him out. almost every combination of george-adams-whoever that does not include dre performs much, much worse on defense. even the simple boxscore stats show how nuts he has been this season- his blk% is the highest of any sg in any season ever at the moment. why do you think george and westbrook have been able to rack up all these steals safely? both of their steal% are 30% higher with dre in the game with them.

hardenASG13 wrote:Defense is played as a team, and a team is generally as good as their weakest links on that end. This drives his numbers up defensively, and while he and George are the best wing duo defensively in the league, it skews dres numbers positively as he essentially only runs with the starters.


to some extent this is true, however the point of a metric like rpm is that it is meant to control for these things. and you can see the impact that dre has on paul george and steven adams when you look at what they do when they play without him. you know all those deflections and steals paul george gets? they happen far less without dre on the court.

you're running out of excuses.

hardenASG13 wrote:Say for instance his minutes were switched with Huestis, consistently, for a month straight. Huestis ran 27 minutes a night with mostly starters, and Roberson got variable minutes with inconsistent, mismatched bench units. Do you think huestis impact numbers defensively would be helped or hurt? How about Robersons, playing with the likes of abrines, patterson, and grant instead of Westbrook, George and adams?


dre's presence would improve the lineups that he is present in, as he has his entire career. huestis is a scrub who doesn't know how to rotate and is too slow to defend wings. it's why we can't defend properly with him in that wing position. the defense probably wouldn't be bad, because george and adams are good, but it would not be elite.

hardenASG13 wrote:Your quote about the potential 17 point swing is just idiotic.


it's silly right? almost like suggesting that when dre misses 8 free throws in the playoffs we are leaving 8 full points on the board. :lol:

hardenASG13 wrote:Sleestak is saying despite Robersons great defense, harden still played very good.


that's not the measure of defense. the measure is how the team does. dre defending harden one on one as the primary defender is only a small part of what he is responsible for on defense, especially with the amount of screening houston was doing to try and get harden away from him. dre's greatest strength against houston isn't even his individual, one on one defense against harden it's his shutting down of passing lanes and aggressive, accurate help defense to the perimeter. dre is the best in the league at recovering to shooters, and staying on the hip.

this was also true in the playoffs last year. harden got some points but the rockets could not score with roberson in the game. because roberson is so disruptive with their passing lanes and shooters, you combine him with another good defensive wing (i.e. oladipo, or george) and possessions become difficult for an offense.

for someone who professes to be a coach of basketball you have a comically narrow view of individual defensive impact. roberson's had this impact for years.

hardenASG13 wrote:as they like his foul shots are basically turnovers.


haven't we been over this? a turnover provides zero opportunity to extend a possession. a missed shot does (via offensive rebound). and dre has a non-zero chance of making a shot. this is such a ridiculous take you have equating shot attempts with turnovers. even if dre shot 0% from three, him shooting a three would have more value than a turnover because of the chance of an offensive rebound.

hardenASG13 wrote:able to attempt 3s or create anything for himself or others in the half court have on the teams offensive ceiling.


uh yeah he's not a good offensive player. but he has skills and he has value, and he's not even the worst offensive player on the team (this award belongs to josh huestis). really the only problem he has on offense is he can't make threes or free throws. he can dribble, he can pass, he can cut, he can finish at the rim, etc.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#509 » by bbms » Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:02 am

He needs to start taking his wide open 3s he passes. Thunder is just too good at getting offensive boards.


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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#510 » by bondom34 » Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:18 am

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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#511 » by Pillendreher » Thu Dec 28, 2017 10:45 am

DeLolzan and Lowry combined for 7/26. Does this pass the sleestak/hardenASG13 defensive test?
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#512 » by sleestak33 » Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:40 pm

Pillendreher wrote:DeLolzan and Lowry combined for 7/26. Does this pass the sleestak/hardenASG13 defensive test?


If Roberson could do that consistently I would have no problem with them starting him and playing him that many minutes but this game is an anomaly. In the last two games OKC played Toronto Derozan had 22 and 37 points so as I've been saying for years now Roberson's defense almost always does nothing whatsoever to hold the better and elite players under their normal scoring averages. I'll give him credit for playing a great defensive game but at the same time he still was 2-6 on free throws (and had to be yanked from the game for the 2nd consecutive game because the other team starting "hack-a-Roberson") and continues to cause issues from his defender not having to guard him. He probably broke even this game as far as what he costs the team offensively vs. what he gave them defensively which is one of the only times that's happened this year so I'll give him that. Most games he's still going to be a huge net negative and any team is only as strong as their weakest link. He will cost them when it matters the most.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#513 » by Pillendreher » Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:48 pm

sleestak33 wrote:
Pillendreher wrote:DeLolzan and Lowry combined for 7/26. Does this pass the sleestak/hardenASG13 defensive test?


If Roberson could do that consistently I would have no problem with them starting him and playing him that many minutes but this game is an anomaly. In the last two games OKC played Toronto Derozan had 22 and 37 points so as I've been saying for years now Roberson's defense almost always does nothing whatsoever to hold the better and elite players under their normal scoring averages. I'll give him credit for playing a great defensive game but at the same time he still was 2-6 on free throws (and had to be yanked from the game for the 2nd consecutive game because the other team starting "hack-a-Roberson") and continues to cause issues from his defender not having to guard him. He probably broke even this game as far as what he costs the team offensively vs. what he gave them defensively which is one of the only times that's happened this year so I'll give him that. Most games he's still going to be a huge net negative and any team is only as strong as their weakest link. He will cost them when it matters the most.


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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#514 » by slick_watts » Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:52 pm

sleestak is sleestak'ing up the L's. dude told us dre couldn't play against the warriors, rockets, or raptors and our offense had no problem with those teams with him in the game. and dre was of course a key component of the defense in all three.

tough look for the dre haters.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#515 » by hardenASG13 » Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:28 pm

slick_watts wrote:sleestak is sleestak'ing up the L's. dude told us dre couldn't play against the warriors, rockets, or raptors and our offense had no problem with those teams with him in the game. and dre was of course a key component of the defense in all three.

tough look for the dre haters.


Even tougher for the Westbrook haters......or the OKC thunder haters (tank, we need our pick!). Seriously though, Roberson has been extremely effective lately, and if he's not just standing in the corner on offense he's actually been useful capitalizing on not being guarded by getting a few easy layups per game.

That said, the team has been great whenever Westbrook and adams are on the floor, which also includes Roberson usually. Take the end of the first quarter/start of the second yesterday. The defense didn't fall apart the second Roberson went out with 2 fouls. When Russ and adams and melo went out, replaced with abrines( who has massively disappointed), grant, felton, and Paterson, it did. That unit also included Paul George. So while numbers suggest the defense went to mush without Roberson, in actuality it did without roberson, westbrook, and adams, and with Felton, an out of position grant, and abrines. That's why his stats, despite his great defensive play and contribution on that end, are skewed/invalid to an extent. You have to factor in all variables before blindly praising his stats. He's had a really good month though.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#516 » by slick_watts » Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:37 pm

hardenASG13 wrote:Even tougher for the Westbrook haters......


i'm delighted that westbrook does not appear to be hurt. it makes his early-season troubles more mysterious, though. i don't buy all the common excuses (fitting in, mental). maybe it was the kid keeping him awake at night.

hardenASG13 wrote:or the OKC thunder haters (tank, we need our pick!).


i would have preferred tanking.

hardenASG13 wrote:That said, the team has been great whenever Westbrook and adams are on the floor, which also includes Roberson usually.


except this isn't true.

with westbrook-adams-roberson on the court together the thunder score 110.0pp100 and allow 100.5pp100 which is +9.5pp100.

with westbrook-adams without roberson on the court the thunder score 113.2pp100 and allows 112.7pp100 which is +0.5pp100.

look at the difference defensively. sure you could drill down into that and find some cracks, +/- lineup data isn't perfect. but the thing you just stated is blatantly and provably false.

even other teams know the value that dre has on the court for us defensively because they foul him to get him off the court. that should tell you all you need to know.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#517 » by ThunderBolt » Thu Dec 28, 2017 3:31 pm

Yes I’m extremely embarrassed that Westbrook is playing better. :noway:
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#518 » by bondom34 » Thu Dec 28, 2017 3:47 pm

Its been mentioned elsewhere there were passing statements Westbrook wasn't in top shape coming into the season. Given the prp I don't think that's a crazy thought. PG also said he had to play into shape to get used to running with him and same for Melo I would guess.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#519 » by hardenASG13 » Thu Dec 28, 2017 4:40 pm

Knrstz wrote:Yes I’m extremely embarrassed that Westbrook is playing better. :noway:


You should be embarrassed to have doubted him/not seen it coming. The guy is a generational talent who was missing shots he normally makes for the first 20 games of an 82 game season. He is 29 years old. Sometimes proven superstars coast a bit in November, when they realize they need to be peaking in the spring.
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Re: Player of the Day: Andre Roberson 

Post#520 » by ThunderBolt » Thu Dec 28, 2017 4:51 pm

hardenASG13 wrote:
Knrstz wrote:Yes I’m extremely embarrassed that Westbrook is playing better. :noway:


You should be embarrassed to have doubted him/not seen it coming. The guy is a generational talent who was missing shots he normally makes for the first 20 games of an 82 game season. He is 29 years old. Sometimes proven superstars coast a bit in November, when they realize they need to be peaking in the spring.


And you should be embarrassed that your openly admit you’ll change loyalties to a team when you don’t like the roster.

He didn’t coast; he sucked. It’s not beyond the realm of possibility that a player who relies on athleticism experiences a sharp decline near thirty.
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