minimus wrote: I think that the wrong approach would be overpaing without looking at market. We did it with Dieng, Teague and Wiggins.
The market for Dieng at the time (he extended in the rich 2016 season) included Mozgov, Biyombo, etc, all lesser players, with less room for growth, and bigger contracts than Dieng. In fact, most considered at the time that Dieng had taken a small haircut to stay with the Wolves, because he liked it here. At the time, the thought was that with the TV money continueing to come in from the 2015 deal, the cap would continue to rise, even after the one-time spike with ignoring cap smoothing. MIN (and all the teams at the time) looked at the current market, but they didn't foresee the big decline in cap space the following year.
Teague was one of four free agent "starter-level" point guards available in free agency (Teague, Lowry, Jrue, George Hill), and Teague argueably got the best contract of that market. In addition, with win-now MIN at the risk of starting the season with a true vet starting PG on the roster, Teague was willing to sign his deal on Day One of free agency. Lowry and Hill got max-ish deals that would have kept us from getting Taj Gibson, and Hill, who signed later, has been a shadow of the player he was last season, and carries so much more risk. Teague also took a 1-2 year shorter deal. Dunc'd On recently ranked Teague as the 13th best PG this season.
It is very common for teams to give max deals to highly-touted lottery youth, hoping they grow into being stars. This has gone on since the invention of the max contract. Sometimes they never get over that hump (Rudy Gay, Derozan), and sometimes we are shocked when a player doesn't get maxxed, because it's more common now than ever before. Wiggins may turn out to be a very bad contract, but few people in the actual NBA (not us internet gurus!) had any illusions that Wiggins wouldn't get the full max.
I would agree with you that all three could become bad deals, but all three were in lockstep with what the NBA market was at the time they were signed.