RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19

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RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19

Poll ended at Wed Sep 5, 2018 1:54 am

Paul George (OKC)
28
18%
DeMar DeRozan (SAS)
2
1%
Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)
25
16%
Draymond Green (GSW)
48
31%
Kyle Lowry (TOR)
6
4%
Ben Simmons (PHI)
17
11%
John Wall (WAS)
9
6%
Klay Thompson (GSW)
13
8%
DeMarcus Cousins (GSW)
7
5%
LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)
0
No votes
 
Total votes: 155

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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#121 » by iggymcfrack » Tue Sep 4, 2018 6:39 pm

clyde21 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
clyde21 wrote:25ppg / 13rpg / 5.5apg / 2spg / 2bpg

^ this guy is not ranked yet FYI.

Rose averaged 22/8/3 and was a year off an MVP. He tore an ACL and hasn't posted a positive BPM since.


If he's not gonna be getting the benefit of the doubt, we shouldn't be ranking him at all. Because there's no tangible logic why he'd place 20th or 25th in that case until we see it on the court.


The vote is on how valuable you think he will be in the coming season only. If you think you’d rather have him for this season than all the remaining players you should take him. If you don’t, you shouldn’t. Personally I think he should probably go in the 40-50 range. Would I take him over a completely healthy Klay Thompson or Jrue Holiday? No I wouldn’t. Would I take him over a DeMar DeRozan or an old Marc Gasol? Yeah, I’d probably take my chances that he makes something happen in the playoffs.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#122 » by bondom34 » Tue Sep 4, 2018 6:40 pm

CoP wrote:
iggymcfrack wrote:
If you prefer Draymond over KD, then that means you are relying heavily on lineup data.

If you rely that much on lineup data, then you would prefer Jrue Holiday over Anthony Davis and Robert Covington over Joel Embiid.

Again, impeccable logic.


How does that follow at all? Has Jrue Holiday had a better RPM than Anthony Davis 4 years in a row? No, Anthony Davis was 7th last year and Jrue Holiday was 26th. Also, I don’t think it ridiculous at all to have Covington over Klay. Covington’s a massive impact defender while Klay’s just a good above average defender. Who’s to say whether that makes up for the shooting difference or not? I’d have them in the same tier.

Which is the same thing I said with KD and Dray. That they’re in the same tier and reasonable people could disagree which one is better. Personally I have KD as the 6th or 7th best player in the league and Dray as the 10th or 11th so I still have KD a little better, but I’m not confident in that position. Klay and Covington I’d both have in the 26-35 range. I was just saying that Dray’s much closer to KD than he is to Klay which is absolutely correct.

RPM Isn't Everything, Says Guy Who Cites RPM In Every Discussion

Put Dray on Cleveland and/or Utah last year and his RPM would plummet almost as much as Jae Crowder's did (from 20th in 2016 to 388th last season).

Bonbon cited lineup data. Jrue's On/Off was better than Davis' last year. Dray isn't better than KD, and any argument for him over KD is ridiculous to me.

Ridiculous in terms of better in a vacuum vs impact is a separate argument. I disagree with iggy's use of RPM only when it fits him here, but Dray's impact is absolutely understated by a lot of fans. He was getting player of the year votes over KD on the PC board and rightfully so.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#123 » by clyde21 » Tue Sep 4, 2018 6:41 pm

bondom34 wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:Rose averaged 22/8/3 and was a year off an MVP. He tore an ACL and hasn't posted a positive BPM since.


If he's not gonna be getting the benefit of the doubt, we shouldn't be ranking him at all. Because there's no tangible logic why he'd place 20th or 25th in that case until we see it on the court.

If you look at ACL history, there's no real reason to rank him that high. When you consider hes probably not playing til after January you really shouldn't. There's plenty of players I'd rather have a full season of than a half season of a post ACL tear big man. He's a massive upgrade over Zaza/Javale, but that's not saying much.


Granted, but like I said, why rank him 20th then? Or even 25th? We might as well leave him off the entire list until we know for sure, no?
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#124 » by bondom34 » Tue Sep 4, 2018 6:42 pm

clyde21 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
If he's not gonna be getting the benefit of the doubt, we shouldn't be ranking him at all. Because there's no tangible logic why he'd place 20th or 25th in that case until we see it on the court.

If you look at ACL history, there's no real reason to rank him that high. When you consider hes probably not playing til after January you really shouldn't. There's plenty of players I'd rather have a full season of than a half season of a post ACL tear big man. He's a massive upgrade over Zaza/Javale, but that's not saying much.


Granted, but like I said, why rank him 20th then? Or even 25th? We might as well leave him off the entire list until we know for sure, no?

I wouldn't, so not sure who you're arguing with there. To me he shouldn't be on the poll.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#125 » by clyde21 » Tue Sep 4, 2018 6:43 pm

bondom34 wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:If you look at ACL history, there's no real reason to rank him that high. When you consider hes probably not playing til after January you really shouldn't. There's plenty of players I'd rather have a full season of than a half season of a post ACL tear big man. He's a massive upgrade over Zaza/Javale, but that's not saying much.


Granted, but like I said, why rank him 20th then? Or even 25th? We might as well leave him off the entire list until we know for sure, no?

I wouldn't, so not sure who you're arguing with there. To me he shouldn't be on the poll.


I'm arguing in general with the people who are still not voting for him. If you're not gonna vote for him until 20, or 25, we might as well take him off the poll.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#126 » by bondom34 » Tue Sep 4, 2018 6:44 pm

clyde21 wrote:
bondom34 wrote:
clyde21 wrote:
Granted, but like I said, why rank him 20th then? Or even 25th? We might as well leave him off the entire list until we know for sure, no?

I wouldn't, so not sure who you're arguing with there. To me he shouldn't be on the poll.


I'm arguing in general with the people who are still not voting for him. If you're not gonna vote for him until 20, or 25, we might as well take him off the poll.

I'd agree, he shouldn't have been added IMO.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#127 » by iggymcfrack » Tue Sep 4, 2018 6:50 pm

CoP wrote:
iggymcfrack wrote:
If you prefer Draymond over KD, then that means you are relying heavily on lineup data.

If you rely that much on lineup data, then you would prefer Jrue Holiday over Anthony Davis and Robert Covington over Joel Embiid.

Again, impeccable logic.


How does that follow at all? Has Jrue Holiday had a better RPM than Anthony Davis 4 years in a row? No, Anthony Davis was 7th last year and Jrue Holiday was 26th. Also, I don’t think it ridiculous at all to have Covington over Klay. Covington’s a massive impact defender while Klay’s just a good above average defender. Who’s to say whether that makes up for the shooting difference or not? I’d have them in the same tier.

Which is the same thing I said with KD and Dray. That they’re in the same tier and reasonable people could disagree which one is better. Personally I have KD as the 6th or 7th best player in the league and Dray as the 10th or 11th so I still have KD a little better, but I’m not confident in that position. Klay and Covington I’d both have in the 26-35 range. I was just saying that Dray’s much closer to KD than he is to Klay which is absolutely correct.

RPM Isn't Everything, Says Guy Who Cites RPM In Every Discussion

Put Dray on Cleveland and/or Utah last year and his RPM would plummet. Not as much as Jae Crowder's did (from 20th in 2016 to 388th last season), but it would plummet nonetheless.

Bonbon cited lineup data. Jrue's On/Off was better than Davis' last year. Dray isn't better than KD, and any argument for him over KD is ridiculous to me.


Had better raw on/off numbers while playing along 2 all-NBA caliber centers is way different than having a better RPM 4 years in a row while playing with and without the player you’re comparing yourself to. Also, I don’t think anyone actually said Dray was better than KD, just that it was close.

Put Dray on Utah and his RPM would plummet, sure, because he’d be next to a non-shooting rim protecting big man who’s the one player in the league who fulfills that role as well as he does defensively. Put him on Cleveland and it might suffer due to him being unmotivated on such a garbage team. But in general, I think his stats would hold up a lot better than people think going to worse teams.

He was generally having better impact stats before KD came to town and it was based largely on how good the team was when Steph was on the bench and Dray was the primary creator for the offense. Put him on Charlotte or Minnesota or the Clippers or the Heat and I think you’d see those teams get a lot better in a hurry while Dray’s impact stats would stay mostly the same. The Warriors would have a big hole and they’d have to rely on Cousins making a big impact if they were gonna still be better than Houston and Toronto.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#128 » by brackdan70 » Tue Sep 4, 2018 8:13 pm

ElectricMayhem wrote:I went with the venerable Dr. Aymond Green again.

Next, please add the venerable Dr. Ummond. Err, Andre Drummond.

Of the five bigs remaining on the pre-list (Drummond, Horford, Griffin, Capela, Adams), Drummond is:

1st in VORP
1st in BPM
1st in Win Shares
1st in Defensive Rating
1st in Rebounding
2nd in WS/48
2nd Youngest (Less than a year older than Capela)

For next season...which of those guys do you want on your team...Drummond is not my answer.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#129 » by Effigy » Tue Sep 4, 2018 8:16 pm

Add Donovan Mitchell
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#130 » by THE J0KER » Tue Sep 4, 2018 8:26 pm

When will be opened poll for last TOP20 ticket?

There will be blood.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#131 » by brackdan70 » Tue Sep 4, 2018 8:31 pm

ElectricMayhem wrote:I went with the venerable Dr. Aymond Green again.

Next, please add the venerable Dr. Ummond. Err, Andre Drummond.

Of the five bigs remaining on the pre-list (Drummond, Horford, Griffin, Capela, Adams), Drummond is:

1st in VORP
1st in BPM
1st in Win Shares
1st in Defensive Rating
1st in Rebounding
2nd in WS/48
2nd Youngest (Less than a year older than Capela)

I like Drummond and a great season last year for him but you are using age, 4 reduntant stats, D Rating and Rebounds to rank your Bigs. Could just as well try a similar set of reduntant stats derived from RPM, as well as O Rating, and assists. Drummond no longer on top.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#132 » by badass316 » Tue Sep 4, 2018 9:36 pm

4 spots remaining but still 3 warriors on the board. Gonna be close.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#133 » by kinste » Tue Sep 4, 2018 9:44 pm

This list is not bad, but Jokic at 12 is rediculous; Klay and Dray Need to be in the top20.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#134 » by iggymcfrack » Wed Sep 5, 2018 12:23 am

kinste wrote:This list is not bad, but Jokic at 12 is rediculous; Klay and Dray Need to be in the top20.


His playmaking is massively impactful, and he’s still young and improving. If he plays like he did the last 3 months, he’ll be a monster. If he plays like he did the last one month, he should be in the running for MVP. I actually would have had Dray and Oladipo ahead of him, but I’d have Embiid and Westbrook below him. I think #12 is just right.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#135 » by ElectricMayhem » Wed Sep 5, 2018 6:53 am

brackdan70 wrote:
ElectricMayhem wrote:I went with the venerable Dr. Aymond Green again.

Next, please add the venerable Dr. Ummond. Err, Andre Drummond.

Of the five bigs remaining on the pre-list (Drummond, Horford, Griffin, Capela, Adams), Drummond is:

1st in VORP
1st in BPM
1st in Win Shares
1st in Defensive Rating
1st in Rebounding
2nd in WS/48
2nd Youngest (Less than a year older than Capela)

For next season...which of those guys do you want on your team...Drummond is not my answer.


Statistically, there's a strong argument for Capela. They're also the two youngest and have most room for continued growth. I think I'd pick Drummond over Capela simply because he has consistently been this good for longer. I'm not sure how much of Capela's success is simply due to playing with a HoF backcourt.

Horford, the guy I'm assuming you'd go with, also isn't a wrong answer. He has won everywhere he has gone. He's cerebral, he does the little things, he has a great RPM, and he has all the experience needed. He doesn't produce at the level of his prime anymore, and one has to wonder when a more significant drop off will come. Maybe next year, maybe not.

I would say Drummond and Horford are a tossup with Capela a sliver behind. All three being comfortably ahead of Griffin.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#136 » by ElectricMayhem » Wed Sep 5, 2018 6:54 am

RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #16: 211 respondents
RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #17: 155 respondents

What accounts for a 27% decline?
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#137 » by brackdan70 » Wed Sep 5, 2018 10:04 am

ElectricMayhem wrote:RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #16: 211 respondents
RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #17: 155 respondents

What accounts for a 27% decline?

Not sure but 15 and 14 had 167 and 165...12 has 196 and 10 has 190... I didn’t look farther back.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#138 » by ITYSL » Wed Sep 5, 2018 10:40 am

ElectricMayhem wrote:RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #16: 211 respondents
RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #17: 155 respondents

What accounts for a 27% decline?

Monday (during Poll 16) was a holiday in the US. Tuesday (during Poll 17) people were back at work and in school and maybe more didnt take the time to post/vote. That could account for some of it.

The closeness of the previous poll and diviseness among fans over Kyrie were likely factors as well, along with somewhat diminished interest as the polls come closer to their end and the rankungs get lower
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#139 » by XxIronChainzxX » Wed Sep 5, 2018 11:41 am

CoP wrote:
ElectricMayhem wrote:RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #16: 211 respondents
RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #17: 155 respondents

What accounts for a 27% decline?

Monday (during Poll 16) was a holiday in the US. Tuesday (during Poll 17) people were back at work and in school and maybe more didnt take the time to post/vote. That could account for some of it.

The closeness of the previous poll and diviseness among fans over Kyrie were likely factors as well, along with somewhat diminished interest as the polls come closer to their end and the rankungs get lower


Holiday in Canada too, and after that it's back to school day (we start after Labour day at least in Toronto). And the Raptors forum is a big % of the overall realgm population.
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Re: RealGM Top 25 Player Poll-#17 2018-19 

Post#140 » by yoyoboy » Wed Sep 5, 2018 8:23 pm

ElectricMayhem wrote:RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #16: 211 respondents
RealGM Top 25 Player Poll - #17: 155 respondents

What accounts for a 27% decline?

Could be possible a lot of voters stopped caring once they got Kyrie voted in. Which really makes you question if some people are treating this more like a popularity contest instead of who’s actually the more valuable player on a basketball court, especially when the ratio of “Lmao how can Kyrie not have been voted in yet, watch the games stat nerds!” posts to logical well-reasoned arguments for him over Oladipo, Jokic, Draymond, etc, was pretty high.

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