dougthonus wrote:
I think that's an awful idea if the talent you get is going to cost you way more than it's worth.
I think Drummond does more than enough to justify his salary.
To be clear, it is a combination of all of those things.
1: Relative to his future contract, I don't think he's that talented. Like maybe a top 30 guy in the league who will likely get one of the biggest paydays.
2: There is no certainty he will stay here at any price either.
3: There's literally no meaningful upside with this move. If it works out, you're capped out and stuck at wherever this core can take you which swapping Drummond/Carter is still likely a 1st round exit territory if everything works out well. I'd rather just be awful for a few years and hope for a draft day miracle.
I'm curious how many people in this thread have actually seen Drummond play outside of his few games against the Bulls. He's on my fantasy team, and because of that (and also because I'm enjoying Rose's resurgence), I've ended up watching a ton of Piston games this year. I think he's an impressive player. He's literally a 20-20 threat every time he steps on the court. To say that guy isn't "that talented" --- a guy who is a two-time All-Star and regularly leads the entire NBA in rebounds strikes me as a poor evaluation. I think he's wildly underrated, and will thrive on a more talented roster. It's not Drummond's fault that Detroit can't build a team.
This is literally the worst reason to do something. You don't do something you know is bad and will be bad for likely five years because you're not sure if something better or not will come down the line later. Just being open to the possibility of something better coming down the line later is worth not doing something bad now.
That's a really bad mischaracterization of what I said, Doug. You're the one who doesn't think he's that talented, which is why you think paying him is bad. I think he's extremely talented and I maintain what I said - he's significantly better than anyone we've traded for a signed for in the Pax era, so getting him would be a good thing. People get hung up on whether or not a single move gets you a championship, but oftentimes it takes several moves to get in that position. This would just be a step. But before we get into that, let's take a step back and discuss the state of the franchise. What exactly is the plan? We've stopped tanking (which we never successfully did) and are currently chasing a first-round exit. We're no longer in a realistic position to draft a franchise-changing player, which was the whole point of this entire rebuild. We've openly stated that we aren't a desirable free-agent destination. I know you have a higher opinion of Boylen than most, but I think he's free-agent poison. At this point, trading for an established star is our best path forward.
Okay, so for everything you like about him, are you set to give him 5/190 knowing that our org won't pay the tax unless we're a top 5 or so team in the league? Because nothing you said is relevant to my point which was that I don't want to pay him 5/190 and you might need to in order to keep him.
So do you like him that much or no? If the answer is no, then you are potentially throwing away Carter for nothing.
Yes, because Andre Drummond is a player that gets us much closer to where we need to be than Wendell Carter and whatever role player we'd sign with that salary difference ever would. Furthermore, we wouldn't be in luxury tax territory (I'm assuming we'd include either Porter or Thad & Felicio as salary fillers). If we maxed Drummond out, our payroll would project to be at about $115m (assuming Dunn isn't brought back). That'll be nearly $20m below the tax threshold. We'd be paying him and LaVine a combined $54m next year, which isn't that bad. You may not like Drummond, but I see him as a guy who could easily be a top 3 player on a contender. I think Zach could also be a top 3 player on a contender as well. We'd still have to get that 1A, and I'd advocate using Lauri, Coby, our draft picks, and Thad/Sato/Felicio's contracts to find that third star to form a big three. As a side, I don't think either Lauri or Carter are good enough to be a top 3 players on a contender.