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2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II

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Who should Minnesota Pick at #1 (Assuming Minnesota keeps the pick)?

Anthony Edwards
49
42%
LaMelo Ball
26
22%
James Wiseman
41
35%
 
Total votes: 116

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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#281 » by Little Digger » Wed Sep 9, 2020 1:56 am

Jedzz wrote:That's what we need, as much truth on these players we can get. We'll see how these others that are already dreaming about him take this side of the story.


I give the kid an A+ for honesty..On his lottery special interview, he flat out admitted he played like sh*t for Georgia ..Who does that? I mean seriously ..That gives me a little bit of pause..If he’s self reflective, maybe he can come close to living up to his talent ..

But I saw what I saw
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#282 » by Baseline81 » Wed Sep 9, 2020 2:30 am

Jedzz wrote:When you attempted to make this same argument right after the lottery, how did it go?

To me it sounds like a few guys really trying to talk themselves into this player with whatever they can dream up. Saying that playing with Dlo and Towns "should bring out the best in his game" is kind of a stretch guess, no? Culver didn't instantly improve his shooting because Towns, Wiggins and others were taking the heat off him. In fact his shot fell off the wagon. Free throws as well. Will the pair of Dlo and Towns be different? I can't say yay or nay and won't. But I do know that Beasley just finally got to a team that would start him and allow him to stay warm shooting and it looked like a great and positive thing for this team. Now we are going to throw another ill equipped shooter into the mix to cool everyone off again ala Wiggins? Here comes the on again off again Wolves again if this happens.

Remember when people claimed Culver had a good chance to improve over his college shot? Culver should have been able to pick his spots better and improve that shot, right? I think it means it will take a few years before he's shooting positively, at least consistently. Doesn't mean he won't have a hot game or two. Wiggins had those a few times a season too. Just sure hope he does it from minor bench minutes until he's fully ready.

Who knows right now how he is going to handle playing off ball waiting to be involved by a pass or no pass. "He's built for the nba" you said. I will say this, it is pretty rare for the Timberwolves to even have a chance at drafting a hyped player that already looks like he's grown out of his kiddie suit.

Culver's shot mechanics were in need of surgery dating back to his days at Texas Tech. Meanwhile, most "experts" would agree that's not the case with Edwards.

Are you a fan of the Celtics' Brown? My post comparing the two shows you cannot simply look at the percentages and say because of that they'll be a bad shooter at the next level. Context matters.

And I've already gone on record stating I would hope Beasley starts besides Russell. Let Edwards begin the season off the bench, reducing the pressure of being the first overall pick.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#283 » by Baseline81 » Wed Sep 9, 2020 2:44 am

Obviously, his coach is going to try and hype him...

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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#284 » by Jedzz » Wed Sep 9, 2020 3:47 am

Baseline81 wrote:
Jedzz wrote:When you attempted to make this same argument right after the lottery, how did it go?

To me it sounds like a few guys really trying to talk themselves into this player with whatever they can dream up. Saying that playing with Dlo and Towns "should bring out the best in his game" is kind of a stretch guess, no? Culver didn't instantly improve his shooting because Towns, Wiggins and others were taking the heat off him. In fact his shot fell off the wagon. Free throws as well. Will the pair of Dlo and Towns be different? I can't say yay or nay and won't. But I do know that Beasley just finally got to a team that would start him and allow him to stay warm shooting and it looked like a great and positive thing for this team. Now we are going to throw another ill equipped shooter into the mix to cool everyone off again ala Wiggins? Here comes the on again off again Wolves again if this happens.

Remember when people claimed Culver had a good chance to improve over his college shot? Culver should have been able to pick his spots better and improve that shot, right? I think it means it will take a few years before he's shooting positively, at least consistently. Doesn't mean he won't have a hot game or two. Wiggins had those a few times a season too. Just sure hope he does it from minor bench minutes until he's fully ready.

Who knows right now how he is going to handle playing off ball waiting to be involved by a pass or no pass. "He's built for the nba" you said. I will say this, it is pretty rare for the Timberwolves to even have a chance at drafting a hyped player that already looks like he's grown out of his kiddie suit.

Culver's shot mechanics were in need of surgery dating back to his days at Texas Tech. Meanwhile, most "experts" would agree that's not the case with Edwards.

Are you a fan of the Celtics' Brown? My post comparing the two shows you cannot simply look at the percentages and say because of that they'll be a bad shooter at the next level. Context matters.

And I've already gone on record stating I would hope Beasley starts besides Russell. Let Edwards begin the season off the bench, reducing the pressure of being the first overall pick.


I notice you said "begin" the season off the bench. While I am encouraged by that line, I'm also reminded of how Culver got starts a month or so in, or how people wanted Dunn starting instead of Rubio at some point during the rookie season. So I'm concerned by the use of the words "begin the season"

I read your other example post and you make a good case. But likewise, you can't find one single example and claim because of that one Jaylen Brown example it means Edwards will shoot much better. BTW Brown, shooting 37% for NBA career is decent. But it took 4 seasons for him to now reach 20PPG. Which is totally fine. But people should realize how long they will likely need to wait to see that shot develop and consistently carry enough to build such a point total. He started with 17mpg year 1 and that's the range I suggested for Culver's first season at max. The team didn't have the will power/wisdom to hold back his minutes to help him develop better. It's a danger still now for new players.

How about another example from someone with similar college numbers, and another Celtic.
Marcus Smart (6th overall)
.295 college 3FG%
.318 NBA 6 yr career 3FG% (38 starts year 1, streaky 3FG shooter)
yr1 = .335, yr2 = .253, yr3 = .283, yr4 = .301, yr5 = .364, yr6 = .347

These are two players developing in a well established franchise, taking a full rookie contract and then some to develop that shot from a weakness to something around average. Now first off is the same possible here? And are you ok with a 4 year wait until he's considered reliable at average? Is that #1 overall expectations? Would it be so wrong to draft a player that already shoots better from the start and not have to wait 4 years for that aspect to help your team?
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#285 » by KGdaBom » Wed Sep 9, 2020 9:09 am

Found this on the Hornets board in their Okongwu thread. They like him a lot.

Onyeka Okongwu isn't only a PnR player/power finisher on offense (in addition to being a versatile/high-impact player on defense), but a high level off-ball screener. This is one way bigs can make an impact without being directly involved in the main action - love this activity pic.twitter.com/F5DEjAoOzJ

— Spencer (@SKPearlman) September 7, 2020
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#286 » by Neeva » Wed Sep 9, 2020 9:34 am

If wolves trade down with Chicago or atlanta I would love it if Charlotte drafted Okongwu.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#287 » by packforfreedom » Wed Sep 9, 2020 9:58 am

I don't know much about the prospects but it seems that Edwards has the best combiniation of floor and ceiling right now and I think you have to go for that and hope it works out.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#288 » by minimus » Wed Sep 9, 2020 6:04 pm

It seems like #17 is a perfect spot to get a shooter. I am thinking about:

* - Aaron Nesmith
* - Saddiq Bey
* - Tyrell Terry
* - Jordan Nwora
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#289 » by Klomp » Wed Sep 9, 2020 6:48 pm

Shooting is no doubt important, but I also believe high-IQ off-ball cutting is extremely important especially in this system. That's not a skill that can be taught easily. You either have it or you don't. Wiggins never really had it. Guys like Okogie and Layman have it in spades.

That's why I'm more open than most to someone like Ball. He's shown to have that ability more than someone like Edwards, for example. It's why I've been banging the table hard for Avdija at the top or Patrick Williams with the second pick.

Go back and watch some games and watch all the times guys are cutting. Shooting was a huge part of the offense opening up after the trade, but the basket cuts were always there.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#290 » by Neeva » Wed Sep 9, 2020 6:49 pm

I think I had a change of mind and I am all in on Lamelo Ball!!trade down with Charlotte and get PJ washington in the process? Use Vanderbilt and a future second if you have to.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#291 » by Neeva » Wed Sep 9, 2020 6:51 pm

Rosas has to find a way to end up with Ball and Haliburton on draft night.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#292 » by KGdaBom » Wed Sep 9, 2020 6:52 pm

packforfreedom wrote:I don't know much about the prospects but it seems that Edwards has the best combiniation of floor and ceiling right now and I think you have to go for that and hope it works out.

Edwards could continue to shoot the way he did in college and his floor would be sub basement. I agree his potential is sky high with his physical gifts and ball handling and smooth shooting form.

Best floor IMO is Okongwu. He is virtually certain to be a very strong presence at the power forward or center position wherever he plays. The highest ceiling is Wiseman. 7'1" reasonably coordinated, highly athletic and potential for a good shot.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#293 » by KGdaBom » Wed Sep 9, 2020 6:58 pm

minimus wrote:It seems like #17 is a perfect spot to get a shooter. I am thinking about:

* - Aaron Nesmith
* - Saddiq Bey
* - Tyrell Terry
* - Jordan Nwora

Some good choices. I would guess the first two will be gone. Terry, most likely available, is a great shooter, Moderate athlete and I just found out he's from Minneapolis' own De La Salle High.

Nwora is 45th on NBADraftNet
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#294 » by KGdaBom » Wed Sep 9, 2020 7:01 pm

Neeva wrote:Rosas has to find a way to end up with Ball and Haliburton on draft night.

We couldn't be in greater disagreement. Note this post and check back in three years.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#295 » by minimus » Wed Sep 9, 2020 7:19 pm

Klomp wrote:Shooting is no doubt important, but I also believe high-IQ off-ball cutting is extremely important especially in this system. That's not a skill that can be taught easily. You either have it or you don't. Wiggins never really had it. Guys like Okogie and Layman have it in spades.


Well... I think that off ball movement and IQ can be developed, but you need an environment to practice this skill. It is not like you shoot with trainer and you improve your shot. You need system, players, veterans, and coaching staff working together in practice, in games. For instance, Wiggins, LaVine have never really had such opportunity to develop diligently under good coaching with some consistency within organisation, roster. However, even one off-season, could change a lot in Wiggins, who started this season in MIN in a new role, and started to facilitate more, took better shots. Imagine Wiggins having such environment from very beginning till this season. It is like learning to swim without water.

When I watched our Iowa gleague team, I had same feeling. They run SYSTEM. Naz, Kelan Martin and JMac are a visible signs of this proccess. This is a big step forward for this team. The vision that Rosas has for player development is special, the way he cares about players is special.

It also clear that without 2-3 elite shooters AND at least 2-3 average passers on the floor any off ball movement will not be so fluid, consistent. I can honestly say that KAT-Gibson-Wiggins-Butler-Teague is nowhere near in shooting and passing as Bam-Crowder-Butler-Robinson-Dragic. And Dieng-Bjelica-JC/Rose-Tyus is not nowhere near to Olynik-Jones Jr-Iggy-Herro-Nunn.

Moreover, MIA roster is so versatile so multiple players who can both score at rim AND shoot. Dragic is an underrated slasher, Herro, Robinson are equally good at slashing, cutting, Iggy, Crowder, Butler can score at rim. MIN with Wiggins always felt heavy, lacked dynamic, movement. So this balance this ability to both shoot and score at rim is an underrated.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#296 » by Klomp » Wed Sep 9, 2020 7:22 pm

minimus wrote:I remember Zach LaVine was an awfully bad decision-maker as a rookie playing out of position at PG. But those experiences helped him to develop into a quality SG. I wonder whether Edwards can follow the same path, gain experience as a lead ballhandler, main option in offense in Georgia, develop a killer instinct, and be an efficient scorer in NBA.

I'm glad you brought up LaVine, but for another reason.

I remember on draft night, Flip Saunders called it a "home run swing" type of a pick. And that was important for the franchise at the time. Remember, Rick Adelman had retired and Kevin Love had one foot out the door by that point. There was no Karl-Anthony Towns in the picture. Heck, even Andrew Wiggins couldn't be pointed to yet as a key part of the franchise. It was Ricky Rubio, Nikola Pekovic and Kevin Martin as the present and future of the team to that point. The franchise needed to take a home run swing.

Right now, the franchise is in a much different place. Stars are in place and happy. The system is set. They just need to bring guys in to help elevate it to a new level. I personally wonder if swinging for a double would be the smarter choice right now, especially in this draft class where there's a lot of questions about guys.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#297 » by Baseline81 » Wed Sep 9, 2020 9:19 pm

Darren "Doogie" Wolfson said the Wolves are doing the most homework -- a ton of background work -- on Ball and Edwards. If he had to handicap it today, Ball more likely the pick (as an asset for trade value now and later).
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#298 » by KGdaBom » Wed Sep 9, 2020 11:29 pm

Baseline81 wrote:Darren "Doogie" Wolfson said the Wolves are doing the most homework -- a ton of background work -- on Ball and Edwards. If he had to handicap it today, Ball more likely the pick (as an asset for trade value now and later).

Yuck.
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#299 » by Jedzz » Wed Sep 9, 2020 11:38 pm

packforfreedom wrote:I don't know much about the prospects but it seems that Edwards has the best combiniation of floor and ceiling right now and I think you have to go for that and hope it works out.


Why is his ceiling so high to you over others and why is his floor so low?
There are players already more successful, that can drive the net, shoot 3s, make passes, defend, have decent size and probably more height. Wouldn't their floor be better? Couldn't their ceiling be better?
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Re: 2020 NBA Draft Prospects: Thread II 

Post#300 » by Mattya » Wed Sep 9, 2020 11:59 pm

Jedzz wrote:
packforfreedom wrote:I don't know much about the prospects but it seems that Edwards has the best combiniation of floor and ceiling right now and I think you have to go for that and hope it works out.


Why is his ceiling so high to you over others and why is his floor so low?
There are players already more successful, that can drive the net, shoot 3s, make passes, defend, have decent size and probably more height. Wouldn't their floor be better? Couldn't their ceiling be better?


Who do you think is better at driving to the net? Maybe Hayes, Avdija and Lewis? Even then that still seems to be about poor shot selection than lack of skill. I don’t think any of this players have the potential to shoot jumpers off the dribble like Edwards does either. The only one who comes close is maybe Hayes.

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