Kobblehead wrote:HotelVitale wrote:Kobblehead wrote:[Dlo speaking candidly about Edwards. Mentioned that the jumper hasn't be hitting much. His jumper was extremely bad at Georgia, too, despite shooting well from the free throw line. For someone who is not an aggressive slasher, him not having a reliable jumper is a major issue.
Weird commentary on Edwards. Edwards' shot wasn't 'extremely bad' in college, his form and touch are nice and he just didn't make enough shots in college. Took too many and often had bad rhythm and no sense of what shots he really liked. And the whole premise of him is that he can fairly easily become an aggressive slasher, has all the tools for that and did it pretty consistently in college. Again, he just didn't do it quite enough. I don't like Edwards that much and would bet against him at even odds, but he absolutely has the ability to be a great NBA slasher and a nice pull-up shooter, and that's not pie in the sky potential or anything--he's already 100% shown the right moves and skillset to do that. He just needs to play like he does when he's playing well and he'll be really good--that's a really tall order and I don't like the chances on it but dude's not a mirage.
I think you should take another look at his Hoop-Math profile, HV. Edwards shot 29.4% from three. If you want to explain that away on poor shot selection, fine, but how do you explain his 30.2% on mid-range jumpers? You can't dress that up any other way other than to admit that he just shot awfully in college. The free throw percentage is optimistic, but any time that guy shot a jumper there was a whopping 70% chance it was going to miss. That's garbage shooting, in my eyes. Hard to rationalize that..
Look at him playing basketball again, there are a handful of full Georgia games on youtube. It's basically clear he has the size, strength, speed, and skills to be dominant at any given time, and he also made plenty of plays that were pretty perfect. That's all I'm saying--he doesn't exactly need to improve or have an above average 3-year skill development to be a very good NBA player, he just needs to be the good things he does and not whatever he is 70% of the time. (He also genuinely did take a mountain of dumb shots, he basically created everything for himself at Georgia and was just sort of running around and trying things out.)
Also, I mean I did repeatedly say 'I wouldn't bet on him' so I'm not trying to make a case for him. There are too many unknowns with him and I'm not sure he's particularly good if he just straightens out one part of his game (e.g. can he live as a power driver whose shot and IQ is still shaky?). But I feel like it's weird or in bad faith to pretend to be able to make a judgment on his NBA potential right now based on the tape we have. He's got a lot more potential than a lot of guys we've held out hope for on these boards.
Sidenote about shooting--the margins for being good or bad NBA shooters are so slim--8% is the difference between an elite and trash NBA shooter--so for guys who I don't think are clearly good or bad shooters based on form and some intangible stuff, I usually try not to speculate too too much on where they'll fall on that spectrum. In Edwards' case, I don't think he's a great bet as a shooter now but also don't want to read too much into 29% from 3, since he literally could've made one more 3 every week or two--or not taken two stupid shots per week--and been more like a 36% shooter.