Leslie Forman wrote:Alright, I think I've seen enough so I'm just gonna say it: this guy is white DeMarcus Cousins.
Not exactly, of course. He has some slightly different negative/positive traits. He has fewer turnovers, but even worse defense. He doesn't ever pout, but he also doesn't ever bring any intensity. Ultimately, the end result is the same - he puts up similar box score impact (very, very high) with similar W/L column impact (very, very low).
So why is this? Why is he not having some Embiid/Jokic-like effect?
1. The bottom tier defense. He's not "ok," he's not "passable," he is flat out awful. If you look at the league's starting centers, I honestly cannot see a worse defending first choice starting center in the league. At best, he's on a similar level as a Bryant/Wood/Towns type. But his mobility and explosiveness is so poor that I still say he's even worse than them.
2. He was billed as some excellent passer with amazing vision who could potentially be a poor man's Jokic - nope. His passing is basically just Satoransky-ish. He is able to have such a good assist:turnover ratio because he's incredibly risk averse, which leads to low turnover numbers, but also means he is not gonna be dishing out dimes like some point center. Thadgic is easily a better passer IMO.
3. He doesn't drive. No, not literally never. But it is simply not a big part of his game. He, like Lauri, is just an opportunistic driver, not a forceful one. Combined with his good, but hardly special post ability, it means he doesn't warp defenses at all. You don't have to double this guy, and he doesn't create many defensive collapses, as he simply doesn't force the issue enough.
People say I'm just a hater, well I tried. I really tried to see something in his game to make me think we're not just seeing the beginning of another unsuccessful "plan" yet again. Well after these 15 games and everything I've read from Orlando fans who watched him for almost a decade, I'm sorry. This trade was a total dud and it was incredibly predictable.
I think pre-injury Cousins is a solid comparison. But Cousins with a much better locker-room attitude and a better contract (front-loaded $22m vs Cousins' max) is a good player in my book.
That Kings era made notoriously bad decisions over and over again; never mind the terrible lotto drafting (Stauskas, Fredette, McLemore, Robinson, WCS, etc.), horrible trades (dumping Isaiah for literally nothing, dumping multiple unprotected FRPs/swaps in addition to their dud FRP picks for cap to sign Rondo and Koufos), their numerous questionable coaching fires and hires... they were stuck with horrendous trade pieces.
So unless AKME make terrible trades and signings this summer, start meddling in Donovan's business and going through 3 coaches in the next 3 seasons, I'm not sure that we end up in that mess. Vuc and Zach are a combined $44m against the 21/22 cap. I think Artunas is going to operate free agency more like Riley's S&T/bird-rights method than GarPax's keep the cap clean and pray for Melo. I expect S&Ts and resigns with short-windows (Theis/Temple).
I really wish Morey hadn't gotten the Philly job, cause one more year of an incompetent GM and one of those two superstars could've been traded for some fool's gold package (ala the entire Bulls farm). But I just don't see any such moves on the horizon. There is not going to be a young star on the move for the foreseeable future. That's the main reason I was fine with the Orlando trade. Top-4 pick or a competent team. I'm tired of building around 7-12 picks; that's the tread mill. Especially this draft, I'm seeing a very dull 6-15. Honestly, I think after this season, LaVine has a direct trade value for a 3-5 pick if we want to entertain that (depending which teams sneak into the top-5). Weaver seems like the kind of GM who'll trade #3 and salaries for Zach.
You have to admit, this post-deadline team just might've lost more games than the pre-deadline team would've. By jamming Theis and Thad into the PF spot, Pat at SF, and Lauri into a mash of the two forward spots, we've made games almost un-winnable barre brilliant execution. I think this draft was top-4 or bust, and I had no interest in drafting one of the guys (Mobley). The trade does put us in that position, albeit lower odds then if Zach was traded for some crap offer last year.
Regardless, I do think it's time to sabotage the rest of the season. Run the offense through Coby and Pat as much as possible.
If we send our #7 to ORL, so be it. Worth the shot at 1-4. Short of selling short on Zach last year, these all seem like equally weighted scenarios. I don't think I could stand to watch more mid/late picks added to this squad (whatever Zach/Wendell/Lauri garnered in trades).
IMO, they need to put a 3D wing at forward and develop Pat, and Vuc will be fine. I'm mildly concerned about Thad and Theis returning as next year's PF rotation.