Post#70 » by GimmeDat » Thu Jun 10, 2021 10:02 am
I don't know how many people remember, but the injury concerns were seriously bad leading in to this draft. Like many were concerned he was damaged goods and wouldn't ever be healthy, especially when you factor in the absolutely abysmal run of health between his siblings.
I don't think many people doubted his ability. He was an elite HS prospect and I think it was fairly unanimous he'd be a 20+ppg scorer if healthy, though some concerns around his defense and handle/passing knocked him down a peg as a prospect (and many of those issues are still apparent in his game).
He's been exceptionally healthy with injuries so far, and in an amazing offensive fit with Denver.
Conversely, WCJ was a really great prospect, I maintain that to this day. Maybe he's underwhelmed, maybe the injuries hampered his momentum, maybe Boylen's terrible coaching grossly mis-used him and shattered his confidence. I believe all those things are true, to an extent. I also don't think we can write him off yet - he's 21 and only played 22 games for his new team, on another roster that I don't think is a great fit for him.
Ultimately, we'd all obviously prefer MPJ today than WCJ. Their career trajectories may continue to alter and you could have this same conversation with a different outcome multiple ways.
I think for me it comes down to the fact that there is an element of luck and a whole bunch of post-draft variables that determine a players fate. WCJ seemed like an absolutely justifiable pick at the time and I don't hold the old Bulls FO in bad stead for making it. MPJ would've also been a perfectly reasonable pick at 4, but just remember, teams 5 and 6 passed on him too... there was a legitimate argument against drafting him in that range that appeared to be the train of thought from the 6 teams ahead of where he was picked.
Obviously, he was a massive name prospect coming out of HS, so the way things have panned out, it's easy for a lot of people to say it was obvious. But it doesn't always pan out that way.