2020-21 NBA Season Discussion

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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4801 » by BobbyPortisFan » Thu Jul 1, 2021 10:18 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
parsnips33 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
I tell you what:

When I see a guy hurl the ball in the general direction of the open shooter but miss by 4 feet requiring the other guy to say if from going out of boards, I appreciate the skill of those passers who get the ball right where the shooter needs it even on "easy passes".

You could say that my issue isn't the Chris Paul Assist, but the Paul George Assist - where the guy who saves the turnover still manages to hit the 3 - where the pass itself was worse than replacement level expectations, yet the passer still receives box score validation.


Definitely, and it's annoying that statistically the two looks exactly alike - 1 assist.

And that's why the best way to understand the game is still watching it as much as that may annoy some of the more stats oriented crowd.


I don't know if that actually is in dispute by many. Tons of information is loss when the actual play of the game is mapped down to a box score. Anyone who thinks the entirety of the game exists in the box score is a fool - and while granted, some highly educated fools have existed in this space (Dave Berri always comes to mind), they don't get taken all that seriously by the analytics community in my experience.

Here's what annoys me when people say "watch the game":

1. I'm trying, but I can't see the game as well as the best can.

2. As frustrated as I am with my limitations compared to those who can really see what's happening in real time on a team level, I find that most "watch the game" folks see much less than I do. It's something of a hallmark of someone who is afraid to admit they have gaps in their basketball knowledge, often because of how much of an identity they've built up in their own head of things they want to think they know that aren't so.

3. It's not an either/or thing. People who can see the game better than I can have the potential for analytics to help them more than it helps me, not less. Hence, even in the proverbial example of the NBA player who can certainly see things I cannot, he's only holding himself back if he refuses to learn about using data.

The real problem is that assists are counted instead of how many scoring oppurtunies someone creates. If stat trackers counted the second, box stats would be alot more reflective of what a player contributes on offense(even though not all created looks are equal)
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4802 » by parsnips33 » Thu Jul 1, 2021 10:36 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
parsnips33 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
I tell you what:

When I see a guy hurl the ball in the general direction of the open shooter but miss by 4 feet requiring the other guy to say if from going out of boards, I appreciate the skill of those passers who get the ball right where the shooter needs it even on "easy passes".

You could say that my issue isn't the Chris Paul Assist, but the Paul George Assist - where the guy who saves the turnover still manages to hit the 3 - where the pass itself was worse than replacement level expectations, yet the passer still receives box score validation.


Definitely, and it's annoying that statistically the two looks exactly alike - 1 assist.

And that's why the best way to understand the game is still watching it as much as that may annoy some of the more stats oriented crowd.


I don't know if that actually is in dispute by many. Tons of information is loss when the actual play of the game is mapped down to a box score. Anyone who thinks the entirety of the game exists in the box score is a fool - and while granted, some highly educated fools have existed in this space (Dave Berri always comes to mind), they don't get taken all that seriously by the analytics community in my experience.

Here's what annoys me when people say "watch the game":

1. I'm trying, but I can't see the game as well as the best can.

2. As frustrated as I am with my limitations compared to those who can really see what's happening in real time on a team level, I find that most "watch the game" folks see much less than I do. It's something of a hallmark of someone who is afraid to admit they have gaps in their basketball knowledge, often because of how much of an identity they've built up in their own head of things they want to think they know that aren't so.

3. It's not an either/or thing. People who can see the game better than I can have the potential for analytics to help them more than it helps me, not less. Hence, even in the proverbial example of the NBA player who can certainly see things I cannot, he's only holding himself back if he refuses to learn about using data.


Agree with you on a bunch of this, but my issue is not so much with box score statistics as with statistics generally (when applied as a basketball fan). Any attempt to represent the real, on-court actions of players with statistics must by definition reduce and simplify - we simply don't have the technology to capture all of the minute details that contribute to the outcome of a game. AND IF that technology did exist, it would be proprietary, protected tooth-and-nail by whatever team or organization owns it, far out of the reach of any typical basketball fan.

Statistics, or at least the stats available to us, by nature strip away nuance to the point where the game can be "accurately" modeled. That's not to say they are useless, but I think, by nature of coming out of the field of mathematics and hard sciences, stats can give a false sense of certainty. They should be taken as useful but flawed tools for expanding the understanding of the game we get from watching it.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4803 » by falcolombardi » Thu Jul 1, 2021 10:56 pm

parsnips33 wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:
parsnips33 wrote:
Definitely, and it's annoying that statistically the two looks exactly alike - 1 assist.

And that's why the best way to understand the game is still watching it as much as that may annoy some of the more stats oriented crowd.


I don't know if that actually is in dispute by many. Tons of information is loss when the actual play of the game is mapped down to a box score. Anyone who thinks the entirety of the game exists in the box score is a fool - and while granted, some highly educated fools have existed in this space (Dave Berri always comes to mind), they don't get taken all that seriously by the analytics community in my experience.

Here's what annoys me when people say "watch the game":

1. I'm trying, but I can't see the game as well as the best can.

2. As frustrated as I am with my limitations compared to those who can really see what's happening in real time on a team level, I find that most "watch the game" folks see much less than I do. It's something of a hallmark of someone who is afraid to admit they have gaps in their basketball knowledge, often because of how much of an identity they've built up in their own head of things they want to think they know that aren't so.

3. It's not an either/or thing. People who can see the game better than I can have the potential for analytics to help them more than it helps me, not less. Hence, even in the proverbial example of the NBA player who can certainly see things I cannot, he's only holding himself back if he refuses to learn about using data.


Agree with you on a bunch of this, but my issue is not so much with box score statistics as with statistics generally (when applied as a basketball fan). Any attempt to represent the real, on-court actions of players with statistics must by definition reduce and simplify - we simply don't have the technology to capture all of the minute details that contribute to the outcome of a game. AND IF that technology did exist, it would be proprietary, protected tooth-and-nail by whatever team or organization owns it, far out of the reach of any typical basketball fan.

Statistics, or at least the stats available to us, by nature strip away nuance to the point where the game can be "accurately" modeled. That's not to say they are useless, but I think, by nature of coming out of the field of mathematics and hard sciences, stats can give a false sense of certainty. They should be taken as useful but flawed tools for expanding the understanding of the game we get from watching it.


every analysis is ultimately based in numbers, it may not be "advanced numbers" but is usually numbers nonetheless

people who ring count or somethingh related (like mvp count or all nba or games won count) for an analysis are using numbers
those who use boxscore use numbers too, like points per game or such, others use plus-minus of some kind

but everyone uses numbers, even those who say they hate basketball being reduced to numbers by nerds or whatever are only using a different kind of numbers

is a part of analysis as important as the eye test, if we used eye test and empirical knowledge alone, nba would still be shooting long 2's and avoiding 3's for another decade.

basketball is not a hard science but it can be a soft one, and soft sciences still prefer use of quantifiable evidence over expert opinion cause expert opinion is the lowest level of evidence
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4804 » by GSP » Thu Jul 1, 2021 11:04 pm

MartinToVaught wrote:
eminence wrote:Now his Denver series, that was impressive.

He had a very good series against Denver, but I'd hesitate to call it "impressive." Denver was starting Campazzo and Austin Rivers that series because they were so depleted.


Agreed. Denver had one of the worst playoff defenses Ive seen in a while. Dame averaged 34/10 w/ 2 turnovers on .66ts against them :lol: including one of the biggest offensive explosions in Nba history in game 5

The La teams were the best teams Phoenix has played in the playoffs and Cp3 wasnt that impactful against either overall. Basically had 1 great game each series and a bunch of duds and no shows (literally they went up 2-0 without him)
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4805 » by falcolombardi » Thu Jul 1, 2021 11:06 pm

Read on Twitter
?s=19

interesting article espn Published, nothing particularly groundbreaking bit still interesting to read
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Re: Does last night show the bucks "supporting cast" is overrated? 

Post#4806 » by BobbyPortisFan » Fri Jul 2, 2021 12:55 am

Ooh. Looks like the bucks didn't appreciate me slandering them.
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Re: Does last night show the bucks "supporting cast" is overrated? 

Post#4807 » by BobbyPortisFan » Fri Jul 2, 2021 1:31 am

BobbyPortisFan wrote:Ooh. Looks like the bucks didn't appreciate me slandering them.

Aaaaand the bucks getting outshot by 10 points as the lead falls to single digits....(sigh)
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Re: Does last night show the bucks "supporting cast" is overrated? 

Post#4808 » by GSP » Fri Jul 2, 2021 2:42 am

:lol: :lol: :lol:

so if the night before showed that what does this night show us?

Good to see Brook able to showcase his overall game without Giannis occupied in the paint instead of just being a spacing 3pt shooting big
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4809 » by falcolombardi » Fri Jul 2, 2021 2:52 am

brook lopez blew me away and send me to eat crow after how much i was questioning using him against nets or hawks as a non particularly mobile big

shows that there are still many ways to play basketball even in modern game
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Re: Does last night show the bucks "supporting cast" is overrated? 

Post#4810 » by bondom34 » Fri Jul 2, 2021 2:54 am

A story, in spoilers.

Spoiler:
Image

Image


Spoiler:
Image



Spoiler:
Image

Image
MyUniBroDavis wrote: he was like YALL PEOPLE WHO DOUBT ME WILL SEE YALLS STATS ARE WRONG I HAVE THE BIG BRAIN PLAYS MUCHO NASTY BIG BRAIN BIG CHUNGUS BRAIN YOU BOYS ON UR BBALL REFERENCE NO UNDERSTANDO
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Re: Does last night show the bucks "supporting cast" is overrated? 

Post#4811 » by BobbyPortisFan » Fri Jul 2, 2021 2:58 am

GSP wrote::lol: :lol: :lol:

so if the night before showed that what does this night show us?

Good to see Brook able to showcase his overall game without Giannis occupied in the paint instead of just being a spacing 3pt shooting big

brooks was ass on defense, but his ofense :o
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Re: Does last night show the bucks "supporting cast" is overrated? 

Post#4812 » by PaulieWal » Fri Jul 2, 2021 2:58 am

Similar to your other thread OP this is not thread worthy. Stuff like this goes to our general discussion thread, or the GB itself, or the Bucks board.
JordansBulls wrote:The Warriors are basically a good college team until they meet a team with bigs in the NBA.
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Re: Does last night show the bucks "supporting cast" is overrated? 

Post#4813 » by BobbyPortisFan » Fri Jul 2, 2021 2:59 am

bondom34 wrote:A story, in spoilers.

Spoiler:
Image

Image


Spoiler:
Image



Spoiler:
Image

Image

:lol:
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4814 » by Bidofo » Fri Jul 2, 2021 2:59 am

I just know 70sFan is/will be enjoying the Brook Lopez game.
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Re: Does last night show the bucks "supporting cast" is overrated? 

Post#4815 » by BobbyPortisFan » Fri Jul 2, 2021 3:00 am

PaulieWal wrote:Similar to your other thread OP this is not thread worthy. Stuff like this goes to our general discussion thread, or the GB itself, or the Bucks board.

i can't post on gb...

bucks board? realgm has club subreddits
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Re: Does last night show the bucks "supporting cast" is overrated? 

Post#4816 » by PaulieWal » Fri Jul 2, 2021 3:01 am

BobbyPortisFan wrote:
PaulieWal wrote:Similar to your other thread OP this is not thread worthy. Stuff like this goes to our general discussion thread, or the GB itself, or the Bucks board.

i can't post on gb...

bucks board? realgm has club subreddits


Yes, we do have team forums as well. Again, free to post stuff like this in this very thread.
JordansBulls wrote:The Warriors are basically a good college team until they meet a team with bigs in the NBA.
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4817 » by BobbyPortisFan » Fri Jul 2, 2021 3:02 am

Bidofo wrote:I just know 70sFan is/will be enjoying the Brook Lopez game.

https://media.tenor.com/images/acf3250be78c8fe6003afbe789985672/tenor.gif
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4818 » by GSP » Fri Jul 2, 2021 3:09 am

BobbyPortisFan wrote:
Bidofo wrote:I just know 70sFan is/will be enjoying the Brook Lopez game.

https://media.tenor.com/images/acf3250be78c8fe6003afbe789985672/tenor.gif


Might have to bring back the freethedevil account :lol: :lol:
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4819 » by bondom34 » Fri Jul 2, 2021 4:08 am

Didn't see this posted, and didn't know if it was something that would gain any traction in a thread, but a new ElGee video on CP3, the midrange and the weird debate around the use of the term "analytics" and what's changed some.

;t=302s&ab_channel=ThinkingBasketball

Probably stuff plenty were familiar with but a good watch.
MyUniBroDavis wrote: he was like YALL PEOPLE WHO DOUBT ME WILL SEE YALLS STATS ARE WRONG I HAVE THE BIG BRAIN PLAYS MUCHO NASTY BIG BRAIN BIG CHUNGUS BRAIN YOU BOYS ON UR BBALL REFERENCE NO UNDERSTANDO
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Re: 2020-21 NBA Season Discussion 

Post#4820 » by Bidofo » Fri Jul 2, 2021 4:19 am

GSP wrote:
BobbyPortisFan wrote:
Bidofo wrote:I just know 70sFan is/will be enjoying the Brook Lopez game.

https://media.tenor.com/images/acf3250be78c8fe6003afbe789985672/tenor.gif


Might have to bring back the freethedevil account :lol: :lol:

Honestly I kinda see it but BPF doesn't have quite the same...aggressive vigor if you will. Did ftd get banned?

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