Ferry Avenue wrote:stormi wrote:Ferry Avenue wrote:You develop that kind of confidence and swagger and then become a champion, not the other way around.
Yea, and my point is that it wasn't always there. And Giannis had a lot of help along the way in the form of Coach Bud and Khris Middleton who helped him combine to take that first step and get to an ECF, and then the final push was them taking that leap and the addition of Jrue Holiday.
Up until James Harden arrived I would say Embiid had zero current long term foundational pieces on this roster that could be relied upon long term (beside maybe the unknown potential of Tyrese Maxey). Tobias Harris and Doc Rivers have been detriments to the long term success of this franchise and they're seen more of as contracts that needs to be excavated for this team to improve whereas Giannis+Middleton was a clear foundation.
Even though this season has been rocky, we've still seen the top end offensive potential of Harden/Embiid and it's frightening. You need to create your own momentum and there's no better time than the playoffs to find your level.
If Jo and Harden make a run to the ECF (or beyond) it would be the start of their own momentum, you'd see them come back next season (hopefully with a more optimized roster) with much higher confidence levels and self belief that they can do this thing together.
There is certainly the potential for Embiid to develop with regard to what we're talking about and ultimately possess sufficient ability to win a championship with it. What I fear however is that he simply plays the wrong position and therefore has a ceiling on how he can impact games in that way, and will always need another player to spearhead the team in that regard. And if that's going to be Harden, I seriously question whether he has enough "dog" in him to pull that off.
So in the end you could be talking about two players here whose ceilings on what they can be in that regard are too low to make them competitive against teams with the likes of Durant/Irving, Giannis/Middleton, Paul/Booker, Morant, etc.
That's a silly argument considering the "dog" of nearly everyone on your list has been questioned in depth. Everyone is a loser until they win, and even then Durant and CP3 have been the leader of multiple disastrous choke jobs. Where was Kevin Durant's "dog" when he blew a 3-1 lead shooting tour date numbers from the field? Chris Paul blew a 2-0 lead in the finals just last year.
The fact that someone like Chris Paul can go from being revered to as the Point God and then Choke God on every given day, and then trying to quantify these outcomes as "dog" level is not only an incredibly primitive way of viewing these high variance events, but it's just misinformation.
Kyrie is Mr. Dog, but what did he do in Boston when he got the chance he begged for to lead his own team?
Do "dog" levels rise and fall depending on the context?
I think instead of trying to arbitrarily place value on loosely defined intangibles, it's more productive to view each playoffs as independent events with unique circumstances surrounding them.
Dirk is my fav comparable to Embiid. Duncan and Garnett had rings by 2011, and while Dirk was a scoring machine and the leader of many dominant teams that won a lot of regular season games, he gained the rep of being a regular season merchant. Dirk choked at the FT line in the '06 finals in game 3, eventually lost the series and then made history in 2007 as a 1 seed bowing out to an 8 seed.
All it took was one incredible run in 2011 and those labels erased. It's the same story for Joel Embiid.