OakleyDokely wrote:Seems like they're not a fan of the guys at 7, at least not enough to give up OG, otherwise the deal would be done.Morse Code wrote:OakleyDokely wrote:OG has the 7th most win shares from his draft class and would probably be a spot or two higher if he played more games. If you did a re-draft, he'd be one of the top picks. If you review all the recent drafts, OG would go in the top 10 in re-drafts.
Around draft time, people tend overestimate what you actually get at pick #7. The chances are, the player you take won't be as good as OG. If you look at the last 10 #7 overall picks, there's probably only 1 guy you'd take over OG, Jamal Murray, and even he's a question mark now given his injury. The last 10 #7 picks include H Barnes, Noel, Randle, Mudiay, Murray, Markkanen, Carter Jr, C White, Hayes, Kuminga.
Even as well as the Raptors draft, the quality of player you get is still somewhat dependent on the strength of the draft. If the Raps are really sure about a player at #7, maybe you consider it, but coming out ahead in a trade like this is still tough.
Obviously they wouldn’t consider it if they didn’t have faith in a particular guy at 7 though, so that’s kind of a moot point
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Deals like this usually get done on draft night because you don't know who's going to fall. Plus I think Blazers technically can't trade their 7th pick until the player is drafted due to the Stepian rule (POR still owes CHI a lotto protected FRP).
OakleyDokely, I'm with you that its a risk for sure that #7 may not turn out to be as good as OG. The pro though is the drafted player will be on a rookie contract and we will have control of keeping them for the next 7 years if we choose to. Whereas, OG may still leave in 2 years.
Definitely a gamble, and I'm leaning towards FO doesn't do it because the FVV and Trent contracts expiring increases the risk further.



















