PushDaRock wrote:Clutch0z24 wrote:PushDaRock wrote:
AD isn't 50 tiers better, maybe 47 tiers better but definitely not 50
Right....So you would legit be upset if we traded fringe starters for a top 10 player who is a 10 time all star, All defensive, elite rim protector? That makes sense....Low basketball IQ you have...
Well yeah, obviously I have low basketball IQ, why else would I be on here?
I think the question you need to weigh is what changes a year from now. Let’s say the Raps stay put and do a small deal to get under the tax.
We do not have additional cap space in the off season. RJ despite being a FA his salary size doesn’t get you a star back so you still need to add a IQ or Jakob in trades in the off season or next year. Those contracts will still be viewed relatively the same. Jak comes back great we keep him. Jak stays injured he is still hard to move. IQ is overpaid we just need to all agree on this regardless if his contract is flatlined. His ceiling is somewhat transparent and his positives and negatives people can see. So what you are banking on is a 2026 fist round pick and further internal growth. The way we are playing it will be a late teens early 20s pick. You can’t bank on that being your game changer that is a bigger lottery ticket. Internal growth we will see some, but our guys aren’t 20/21 most of them now have a few years in the NBA. Dick doesn’t morph into Austin Reaves. So we go from 49 win to 53 win team. We still get smoked in the playoffs by the top tier teams.
Now let’s look at the risky scenario you push the chips in for AD and Ja. AD’s contract expires next year so you have a 60 million contract to play with. If we need to give draft capital to get AD today, and you are saying the expiring are worth so much. AD should be able to get back that same type of draft capital if not maybe more next season. With Ja you are paying him more than IQ but one year shorter. Ja has been screwing the pooch as of late, but what he has shown in the past is beyond what IQ can do on his best nights. Let’s say Ja doesn’t really improve and continues to decline. Average Ja is not a big drop off from healthy IQ. However if you rehab Ja and he trends back up that will be a huge boost to the team. Now you have a Lauri Markanen scenario liability becoming an asset. Same logic applies for AD. Now let’s look at the cost. We are trying to use Iq, RJ and Jak a few guys like Dick and Ochai plus maybe 2 first round picks ( make them lottery protected). That to me is actually very little to give up. This is what we are getting in return if the above can actually happen:
1. Potential raised ceiling to a 60 win team.
2. Adding a 26 year old that was at one point the face of the league. Think VC 2.0
3. Ten time all star one of the best two way centers in the past. He is still putting up 20-10 on super efficient numbers when playing. JO was like 13 points - 6 rebounds when we got him. So not apples to apples.
4. If healthy this team can make it past the second round.
But let’s play pessimist and this flames out. Ja screws the dog harder and AD is injured.
1. We become a 40 win team instead. Maybe miss the play offs. We still get our lottery pick and pass over maybe a pick in a later year.
2. We will not extend AD and now have a 60 million expiring going into next season. It’s not like AD cannot play at all.
3. We have Ja and his value will be like Bradley Beal for 2 more seasons. But when his contract expires so does BI’s. So experiment failed.
Going down the do nothing path what you get is a 53 win team for the next two years. You got mediocre contracts locked up for 4 years till 2029/2030. You drafted two more guys in the teens of the first round. Your cap space is still toast. You cannot reset or pivot.
Going down the riskier path you have a chance at a 60 win team with chip aspirations or the downside of a 40 win team. You either get back some decent players or draft capital for AD and Ja by 2027/2028. Your cap sheet is clean as fack.
Which one would you pick.
Let’s not say we want LaMelo instead or Giannis. They cost totally something else and may not be available with the assets we have. Even if Giannis was available people will say price is too high and Giannis is too old.
Not attacking you bro, just laying out how things unfold.