Captain_Caveman wrote:Banks2Pierce wrote:I agree that IT is the least underrated player on this team and people in general don't seem to realize that defense is at least 40% of a player's impact. Comparing him to prime Monta Ellis and then whining about stats is a good example for someone who really needs stats to help their way through analysis, though.
Brad Stevens could win more games with any of the following in IT's role:
Curry
Westbrook
Harden
Paul
DeRozan
Irving
Butler
Wall
Lillard
Giannis
Klay
Would still win 48+ with any of these guys in IT's role:
Lowry
CJ McCollum
Bradley Beal
Booker
Kemba
Dragic
Conley
Good player. Chill out, already.
Assuming these players were healthy....
If we are just talking about regular season, I agree with everyone on your first list except Kyrie who I would take heading into the playoffs over IT but just in terms of regular season impact on winning not sure Kyrie is capable of doing what IT has done this year. Kyrie had his chances pre Lebron and pretty much failed as a regular season all around performer as far as I am concerned. IT limits turnovers better than Kyrie and while Kyrie at his best is the better defender and is capable of scoring against better competition, I don't think those things are real factors until the playoffs.
Gun to my head I take (if healthy) IT over an 82 game regular season if he is going to perform like this but gun to my head, I take (if healthy) Kyrie in a 7 game playoff series.
I would add Rubio to your second list. Rubio has problems scoring but frankly right now I think Towns is overrated -- offense great for a big but his defense not so good and that hurts since he is a big --, Wiggins correctly rated(no one is expecting him to be a future MVP) and Rubio a bit underrated. Rubio is obviously nowhere near the scorer of IT but he can defend better than most PG's in the NBA and he can pass the ball. And while he can't shoot well from the perimeter with any consistency, he can at least hit his free throws....89% this year....
48 wins is still 5 less than what the Celtics will win with a healthy Rubio replacing IT -- assuming they played the same amount of games, I would be very surprised/frankly shocked with less than 49-50 wins. Call it 48 games since Rubio has missed more games. The games would just be won differently with much more defense and less offense. The Wolves don't win more since they are in the tougher conference and 4-10 their team is much worse than the Celtics.
Admittedly, I am biased against Monta Ellis, for regular season basketball at least I would easily take this version of IT over Ellis. IT just better at not turning the ball over and shooting free throws and 3's. Ellis may have better tools for defense but from what I saw he didn't use them enough to be a major upgrade on that end like a Rubio.
I do agree with the folks who are saying the stats for a lot of these stars nowadays are inflated given the improved spacing. Another reason is with 30 teams, teams are less likely to have 2-3 stars so a great player can simply have the ball in his hand much more. If you have bigs that can shoot 3's, it opens up the court much more for guards who can penetrate. Obviously easier to beat 1 or 2 players in the paint than 2 or 3.
And I do think its very fair to say you were the biggest advocate of the Nets trade paying off big time. I was the biggest advocate of making a trade like that and called for a trade like that before I saw anyone else do it on the forum and it happened exactly how I wanted but I wasn't as optimistic as you on the Nets picks ending up so high. I was simply more conservative projecting the payoff. I incorrectly thought the Nets owner would spend enough money making 3 high lottery picks pretty darn close to impossible. I always thought these 3 last Nets picks had a chance to be great but I never thought it was realistic to have 3 picks in the top 3-4 3 seasons in a row and now that isn't unrealistic.... Even if the Nets improve next year and finish with the 7th or 8th worst record from some good FA signings, obviously with lottery luck the pick could still be top 3.