Shwaguy wrote:ItsDanger wrote:nikster wrote:Ben Simmons was looking absolutely fine for #1 overall for years after the draft. Fultz was pretty close to a consensus #1 pick, if not most still would have thought he was great at 2 or 3. This entire board wanted to tank for Andrew Wiggins. The draft is unpredictable at the top and nobody is infallible.
Nobody is claiming that just getting a high pick guarantees anything. It just provides the team with best outlook moving forward. Apply your argument for lower picks. The probability of failure increases. So this statement means absolutely nothing.
Why are you insisting on this anyways in a tank thread?
But would that outlook moving forward not also be harmed, because if we are bad enough to pick that high, that means our young core is also much worse than we thought? Hard to envision an all NBA future for Scottie if he's not even good enough to lead a team out of the bottom 3 in year 4. Would also mean that RJ's breakout is fraudulent and even if he might not fit in here long term it would he could be a tremendous trade asset if his breakout IS legitimate.
I think the situation is more nuanced than we make it. It was different when we were winning/losing because of vets who weren't gonna be here long term anyways. A bottom 3 finish doesn't come without cost now. But maybe still worth. The **** lotto odds doesn't help.
Sitting or trading players resolves this issue with very little effort. The problem with this team is specifically that it isnt bad enough, nor is it good enough. It's purely in the purgatory/treadmill realm, having us not be bottom 3 isn't some indication that we are a good team, it just means we are middling, which is the worst place to ever be in the NBA.
RJ isn't as good as he was last year, and he's not as bad as he's been this year, and Scottie as an all NBA level player doesn't mean that he can lift the team to a decent record. The team has tons of flaws and holes, and being a play in team doesn't fix them. People aren't calling to tank because we are bad, they are calling to tank cause we are mediocre.