EddieJonesFan wrote:But there was (or at least seemed to be) a consensus amongst scouts that he was the second best prospect in the draft. So I don't see how you can see it was GM's inflating his value.
It's the GM's job to weigh things like potential and ceiling .vs. risk and need.
Scouts may rated Darko's potential highly, but how much did they really know to base that on? How many scouts had actually seen him? How much tape was there to collaborate their views? What did they know about his will, drive, and attitude? What did they recommend would be the best situation for his development? Was it followed? etc.
Every flaw in LeBron or Melo's career was micro-anaylzed because everyone had seen them play. Do you remember any flaws brought up about Darko?
As for need, Dumars knew he'd need someone eventually to replace 'Sheed and Ben, so going for a raw big was a luxury he could afford; but on the flip side Larry Brown is notorious for not playing rookies who make mistakes, and as it turns out it looks like Flip Saunders may be even harsher on them as he lets the Wizard's young players rot on the bench this year even on a lousy team.
For a Euroleague scout's perspective, check out this article. Unfortunately it's after the fact, but it points out how the other top foreign players were given time to prove themselves.
http://www.draftexpress.com/article/Lea ... urope!-80/Thanks to the hyperbole at the time, though, some made it seem like Darko had already proven himself. Here's a blurb from nbadraft.net's Aran Smith back at the time:
Even if a team needs a wing player more so than a post player, it's hard to see a team passing on Milicic. Darko is a "once-in-a-GM's-lifetime", or better yet "...GM's-tenure" type talent. Since teams began scouting players overseas, not one prospect of Darko's caliber has come along. He is a proven entity having competed against even better competition than either James or Anthony. He has essentially been a professional for over 2 years now after joining Hemofarm at age 15. There are some who suggest he's older than his records suggest 17, which most likely is not the case. Regardless, he will be one of the best players in all of the NBA in a few years.
http://www.nbadraft.net/node/4463Darko, a proven entity? Wow.
Here's the extent of his high-level Euroleague experience.
(2002-03): Through 20 games, he was playing 20 minutes per game, averaging 9.5 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.6 blocked shots. He was shooting 49 percent from the field and 68 percent from the line. Saw more playing time in the North European Basketball League (NEBL), a competition against other top European clubs. In 10 games (team went 6-4), averaged 14.2 points and 7.0 rebounds. Scored 21 points in a victory over Greek power PAOK. Tallied 23 vs. PAOK in the losing rematch. Exploded for 37 points in a victory over Skonto (Latvia).
(2001-02): Was elevated to the top club team in 2001-02 just before his 16th birthday. Also played in the Korac Cup competition, averaging 7.9 points and 4.7 rebounds while seeing 21 minutes of action per game.
Of course, even dominating the highest levels of the Euroleague is no guarantee of NBA stardom, so it all adds up to risk, risk, and more risk.