TheStig wrote:musiqsoulchild wrote:TheStig wrote:I guess that's where the disagreement is because Trump does get people flustered and Biden is already easily confused. And when you muck it up, his end goal is to get both dirty and not win.
It wasn't Biden vs Bernie. It was Biden vs Bernie and Warren. They cleared out every centrist that was left in Kloubucher and Pete, all of them basically equal with Klobucher passing. Warren took more more Bernie people and smeared him right before with her accusation about him saying a woman couldn't win. I think when they saw Bernie was posied to win it, they rigged it. If all the players stayed the same, he was projected to win super tuesday.
You could have fooled me, I thought Obama was putting out progressive ideas in 2008 but he never actually did them. I think the progressive talk is just there to fool us into voting for them. None of them really make it through. It's why I think they need to go the tea party route instead of joining them like Bernie and AOC. They've got to hold them hostage and accountable instead of going along with "my friend joe".
They had the senate 12 years ago and placated the republicans in most things. Let's face, the big interests have bought both parties but when it's a tax cut, they always find just enough votes and a couple of dems flip. I don't see any real impactful change under biden. They've all sold out.
I think you arent giving Biden much credit. That's your prerogative.
This election will be about Trump.
And about swing state Math.
There are a lot more states at play now....people want to push the Ducey's and the Trumps and the Scott's out.
I can see Biden winning without having to do too much.
It's going to be about surrogates. The Black vote was heavily depressed for Hillary due to "super predators" and the role BLM played in 2016.
Ironically, the organic nature of the same movement now is playing completely in Bidens favor.
What we dont need is liberals trying an ideological purity test that begins and ends with Bernie. But even that will not make a difference this year.
Biden is far more likeable than Hillary was.
And she lost Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania by a net 100,000 votes give or take.
That's the entire Presidency.
Clinton was much more ahead of trump at this point 4 years ago and lost.
yeah, that's not remotely true. major polling averages:
jan 2016 (pre-primaries): clinton +1
feb 2016 (trump takes early primary lead): clinton +4
mar 2016 (trump effectively locks it up): clinton +10
apr 2016: clinton +6
may 2016: clinton +3
june 2016: clinton +6
july 2016: clinton +2
aug 2016: clinton +5
sept 2016: clinton +2
oct 2016: clinton +5
nov 2016: clinton +3
election: clinton +2
so there was only one month the entire year that clinton was a prohibitive favorite
meanwhile, biden started the year +5.5, has never been lower than +4, was +6 just a few weeks ago, and is currently up 10
Biden hasn't been really looked into and picked apart. He's had the easiest road to the nomination that any candidate has. The sexual accusations, Hunter's issues, corruption and his mental decline.
he was the freaking vice president of the united states. a senator for decades. he's been in the public eye since 1972. he's been probed more than a UFO abductee. the sexual accusations are not provable (and the accuser with a reputation as a liar). hunter biden has only one issue that we know of: nepotism. and i'm not sure what you're referring to with corruption
He's going to get really punched in the face during these debates. I don't think the ole uncle joe is gonna look so good afterwards. Trump also has sooooooo many more resources than he did last time. He has a complete organization and much more money.
trump doesn't have the skill to wallop anybody in a debate. he just doesn't
The only way I see this going south is if covid comes back very hard in the early fall and/or wall street actually becomes based on finances.
you think that trump is a shoo-in for re-election as things stand today? i'm sorry, but that's a bizarre take