cl2117 wrote:Thinking about a Springer salary dump trade and one of the things that sticks out to me is our lack of mid-tier 2nds that could be attached to him to facilitate it. C's apparently gauged trade interest and found out that teams wanted to be paid to take him on. They've not made "showcasing" him a priority so far (he's basically played as much as JD Davison), so I'm guessing that's not changed. I'm fine with them offloading a 2nd to get back a non-guaranteed contract or just a cheaper body to ease the lux tax bill, but we've not got anything middling that seems like it'd do the trick.
We've got two good 2nds:
- '25 2nd from Washington should be somewhere 31-35.
- '26 2nd (best of PDX/NOP/MIN/NYK) likely from PDX in the 30's since they'll want to tank w/ their 1st lotto protected to Chicago
And after that we've just got a fake '27 2nd from Portland and our own 2030/2031 2nds which carry little to no value.
If we trade Springer for nothing and just sign Lonnie, another vet minimum guy or one of our two-ways, I think we save like $7m, which is probably worth considerably more than a 2nd rounder, but still would pain me to give up a pick potentially in the 30's to just get rid of him. If we weren't a 2nd apron team we could buy back a 2nd for cash and split the difference, but that's not possible now.
All that leads me to believe that, if we do trade him, we'll attach the 2026 2nd from PDX and then Brad will likely trade out of, hopefully, the 30th pick to snag few more 2nds like he did in that hilariously Belichick-ian 2023 draft to restock the cupboard.
https://hoopshype.com/lists/top-nba-trade-candidates-for-the-2024-25-season/
According to the article:
Following a strong end to the preseason for Lonnie Walker, the Celtics gauged the trade market on Jaden Springer, league sources told HoopsHype. Teams across the league hoped to pry future draft pick compensation from the Celtics for taking on Springer’s $4 million salary, sources said. However, Boston wasn’t interested in giving up future draft capital to move the 22-year-old former first-round pick. The luxury tax penalties for signing Walker IV to the 15th spot were ultimately too steep for Boston to retain him into the season.
With Springer out of the rotation and given Boston’s luxury tax situation, he’s unlikely to receive a qualifying offer this summer as well.
A couple of key things to note from the article:
-The words I put in bold, which all indicate past tense. All of those past tense words (rather than words which indicate the trade talks are ongoing, up until the deadline) signal that the team shopped him around, didn't move him and that's that. It's over and done with - he's still on the team so he's likely not getting traded
-Also, The part at the end that says Springer is unlikely to receive a qualifying offer this summer - of course implies that the expectation is Springer will still be a Celtic when this summer begins - which means he's unlikely to get traded
Now, you seem to think that the $7 mil (roughly) in tax savings by trading Springer and signing Walker is worth trading away a 2nd round pick that you guess will be in the 30's.
But based on the Scotto article, it seems like perhaps Brad disagrees. If that's all it took - if a team just wanted that 2nd round pick..and if Brad was fine with trading a 2nd rounder to move Springer and then sign Walker..it seems to me like that deal would have already happened - since according to multiple articles now, the Celtics were exploring a deal in preseason to move Springer and backfill the roster spot with (possibly) Walker.
But according to the article, the deal didn't happen because teams wanted draft compensation and Brad didn't want to give up draft compensation to make the deal happen.
Brad talks about the value of 2nd round picks here:
Seems like he values 2nd round picks as assets which can be used to acquire a player of value (like how we moved a 2nd rounder to get Tillman..we also moved a 2nd rounder to get Muscala). Or they can be used to move up in the draft..
Brad has not really shown a willingness to just dump draft picks in a deal where he is getting no value back in return (other than some tax savings).. at least not since the new CBA was put in place.
You look at the deals we've done where Brad has traded draft picks. We moved 2nd rounders to get Tillman and Muscala. We moved 1st rounders to get Brogdon, Horford, White and Jrue. We actually *got* draft picks in the deal where we got Porzingis. Brad has not really been making deals where he just salary dumps a guy and doesn't get a decent player back in return.
Because then that asset (the draft compensation) is gone and we're unable to use it later on down the line to either draft a player, move up in the draft, move back in the draft (which would get us more future picks) or acquire a useful player. That would go against the strategy Brad has shown - and it would go against his words in the video.
I suppose it's possible that we could attach a draft pick to Springer and acquire a player in the deal who could actually provide some value - who makes less $4 mil or less. It would kind of be like the Tillman and Muscala deals. We moved a 2nd rounder (and Justin Jackson) for Muscala. We moved a 2nd rounder (and Lamar Stevens) for Tillman.
I think a deal like that is somewhat possible..move a 2nd rounder (and Springer) for a decent player who could contribute a bit, makes $4 mil or less. But if you do that, how much is that player going to really play? We're the defending champs and we have our top 10 guys all back.
Brad is probably thinking that it would be more wise to hold on to that draft pick, knowing it (as an asset) could come in more handy down the road, when we could use it to acquire a player who is more likely to actually get minutes..or you use it to move up in the draft, move back in the draft. Rather than wasting that asset on a guy who's not gonna play. Which is probably why the Scotto article is implying that these Springer trade talks are something that happened but it's not an ongoing thing - it's over and done with..teams wanted draft capital but Boston didn't want to move draft capital. And the article implies Springer will still be here when the summer begins.
Plus, even if we did a deal like that (move a 2nd rounder + Springer for a decent player who makes $4mil or less) depending on who that player is, if they're making like $3 or $4 mil, well now we're not even really saving on the tax bill (since that player would be making basically the same amount as Springer), which seems to be the main reason why you proposed this trade idea in the 1st place (you mentioned the $7 mil tax savings by moving Springer).
Sure, we might upgrade the roster a little bit but again, where's the playing time for a new player here? Sure, we used a 2nd rounder to acquire guys who were further down the roster (outside of our top 8 rotation players who were locked in) when we acquired Tillman and Muscala. But Muscala was before the new CBA - not sure if Brad makes that move to give up a 2nd rounder for a guy so far down on the bench with the new CBA..also, Time Lord was injured so we had more of a need for Muscala at the time - we got Muscala and almost immediately put him out there to play like 40 mins in a game..which is probably why he got hurt and barely did anything for the rest of his tenure here.
Tillman, we had a pretty clear need for another big last season when we acquired him. This team right now has plenty of bigs. We don't really need anything. Especially with Walsh and Peterson doing a decent job as deep bench wings.
There was also more urgency to make those small moves to shore up the end of the bench to get Tillman and Muscala because we hadn't won the championship yet. We were doing everything we could to get the best roster in place to finally win banner 18 - our first title since 2008..but we accomplished that. Again, we're defending champs and have our top 10 guys all back (top 11 if you count Queta who seems to be ahead of Tillman and possibly Kornet on the depth chart now). So there's really no urgency to trade away draft capital right now..














