dougthonus wrote:League Circles wrote:dougthonus wrote:
What is that argument?
They may increase short term win totals (though even that is dicey), but they will not increase future assets which is required in a rebuild. In fact, the minutes they play will detract from our ability to play and develop other prospects.
The argument can be made that Zach is himself a "future asset". There is a pretty good chance he has 5 quality years left.
Maybe true for Zach. The counter-argument is that Zach has been here for 7 years an hasn't seemed to make a big contribution to wins, especially relative to cost, and has also passed his expiration date with fans and likely cultural fit within the org.
The thing with Lavine is that he's not a player that will carry you to wins. He's probably best served in a 3rd option role, similar to what MPJ does for the Nuggets. I think Lavine would be better in that role just because of how elite his efficiency is and in short spurts, he would be able to carry the majority of the scoring load and keep the team from going on a loosing streak, if options 1 and 2 are out. The problem with that, is most people will probably say he's paid too much to be a 3rd option. I think it doesn't matter if you build a contending roster around him.
I think if the goal is to contend as quickly as possible rather than tanking, then it would be ideal to keep Lavine. It's rare how elite he is in his efficiency and if we trade him away, he'll be the exact player we'll be looking for to put us over the top in a couple of years. Now, the problem is adding option 1 and 2 players. Theoretically, we have the players to trade for stars, but we probably don't have the draft assets. Free agency would also be an option but that would be difficult. For one, star rarely become free agents now-a-days and we would have to dump significant salary. Our best hope to build a contender is hoping other teams value their stars a little less and our players a little more. Theoretically we can make two groups of players for two separate trades. For example:
Trade one Group: White/Williams/Giddey
Trade two Group: Lonzo and Vucevic
Their salaries combine enough to land high-dollar stars. But teams would probably only be willing to take those guys on under specific conditions. A couple of examples I can think of.....
1. the Kings value our young guys enough that they would be willing to part ways with Fox a combo of players like white/williams/giddey plus a pick or two.
2. The Pelicans are done with Zion and want to get whatever they can for him. Lonzo would expire so they would value that and they can possibly flip Vuc for other assets. They'd probably also want a pick in return.
Fox/Lavine/Zion would be a pretty damn good starting point (ignoring Zion's injury issues) and if you surround them with 3 point shooting and versatile defenders we would be very good. BUT, that's a very specific scenario that's very unlikely to happen.
Another player that could become available is Trae Young, but the amount of draft assets that would be needed to get him would keep us from making a trade for another all-nba caliber player and we would have to depend on someone becoming a free agent- which is also unlikely.
Long story short: If we can make Lavine the 3rd option, we should keep him. If not, it's probably best to move on from him