Oriole8159 wrote:Mattya wrote:Oriole8159 wrote:
and if he stayed in school and dominated at Kansas and refinded his game more, he could come into the league and not have to wait 3 years still for his team to know truly what type of player he really is. Just look at how dominant Tim Duncan was his rookie year. That's a far better way to ensure parody for teams picking so early.
you're probably right though that Wigs isn't the case study for this as he would have been one of the guys to come out of high school, but it would do a helluva lot of good for the teams that routinely got burned on one and dones in the past decade. And I don't necessarily mean the guy busted like Anthony Bennett, but could just as much mean the team HAD to give him a good sized 2nd contract just to keep him under team control to see what he could become. Port is perfect examples of that with Meyers Leonard and Mo Harkless. But if teams picking in the lottery don't need to guess so much on these guys' potential, they'll be far more likely to become better.
Or he would be less refined than he is now.
Anthony Bennet isn't a good example either. Was anybody not shocked the he was the top pick? I don't think anyone had him any higher than the Bobcats pick. He is still a bust but I think the massive expectations and criticisms when he struggled completely ruined that guy's mind.
The Harkless and Leonard situations really aren't comparable to Wiggins though. I think Harkless has a good contract, but Leonard just hasn't been good.
Even if they had to stay in college later, teams still have a lot of guessing. Even really good college players picked later in the draft turn out terrible.
I think Wigs would be more refined in multiple years at Kansas than he would have been coming into the league after 1 year. I get that it's never going to be a perfect system, but it would increase the level of competition in college (and I say this as someone who also hates the NCAA so by no means do I want to do them any favors) so Wigs would have to raise his all around game, which would make him better equipped to help his new NBA team year 1. That's one less year that the team wastes on his development before they have to commit to $100 million + contract.
And you're right on Bennett in a vacuum, but go down the list of guys that he was up against that year... Porter (soph), Zeller (soph), Len (soph), Noel (fr), McLemore (fr), Caldwell-Pope (soph), Burke (soph). The only upperclassman in the Top 9 was Oladipo, and many say Orl picked him because he was at least safe and less risky. So Bennett ended up being the wrong guess obviously, but all the other players were just as big guesses.
I know there's not a way to eliminate the guessing entirely, and I'm not expecting that there should be as this is business and they're big boys, but I just don't think the system is working in the owner's favor anymore, and it's a big problem for parody.
It's very hard to nail a Durant/Westbrook/Harden, or luck into #1 picks back to back years like we did, while still guessing right on a Fr in Lavine at 13. Most teams that languish in the lottery, especially small market teams that aren't attractive for FAs, have such a small chance of actually organically building a championship roster, and it doesn't help that they have to start committing over 30% of their available cap to players that they aren't really sure of what they have.
But how much more developed is he that he would be now? There are posters here who think he hasn't improved at all.
And the best players from that draft were Giannis and Gobert, both huge question marks.










