#13 Highest Peak of All Time (Julius '76 wins)

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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#21 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 28, 2012 6:24 am

Dr Positivity wrote:Well, the rest of the Heat were INSANELY bad offensively in that series. JO was one of the punchlines of the 1st round for his 4.2ppg 20.5% performance, Haslem was 6ppg 35%. Beasley Beasley'd at 10.4ppg 45%. Chalmers and QRrich somewhat showed up hitting 3s. In terms of PER Joel Anthony was 2nd at 11.6, QRich 3rd at 11.1, Chalmers at 10.3 and everyone else was under 10. The Heat were already rock bottom for offensive support beside Wade in 09 and 10, then JO, Beasley and Haslem not showing up for the series basically pushed them below the Mendoza line of ineptitude. Wade may have had less offensive support than any star... ever, playing against a team with an incredible playoff history defensively. I don't put it on him for the Heat's ORTG being poor any more than the Heat not being any good, that team just sucked big balls. I think he was bringing out his full 2009 and 2010 arsenal, which I consider his peak.


Right in theme with josephpaul's post and my response there:

It's not about blame, it's about credit.

I'm not knocking '10 Wade for his playoff performance. I'm just not going to skyrocket up '10 Wade above Wade's other years because of a single series where he put up big individual numbers but didn't actually draw blood. We're talking about a guy who played essentially an 87 game season, and you're making your decision based on Wade did in the final 5 games during which his team was handily defeated. To me that's not a balanced perspective.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#22 » by therealbig3 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 6:26 am

Ok, I can definitely see 08 Kobe's case as his peak. To me, it comes down to 3 seasons: 01, 03, and 08. 06 and 07 were unipolar acts that let Kobe do what he wants to do more than anything in the world: shoot like crazy. So obviously his scoring will be ridiculous. Pretty awesome that he was able to maintain his efficiency while scoring that much though, and with supporting casts as poor as those, and with low TO rates.

Kobe's an outstanding offensive player, I think that much is clear. But I thought his defense was pretty crappy those years, while his offense was more or less the same as he's shown in other years, namely 01, 03, and 08.

08 was Kobe's best season post-Shaq for sure imo, great team play, great offense, and very good defense (especially in the playoffs).

But imo, 01 and 03 were also great offensive seasons from Kobe, and he was a better defender in those seasons than he was in 08.

I think I'm leaning towards 01 as his peak in all honesty. Fantastic playoffs, excellent defense, just an all-around excellent offensive player, and played really well with Shaq. Extremely important piece (calling him merely a 2nd option does underrate him here imo) to the 3rd best playoff offense of all time (at the time of ElGee's writing):

http://www.backpicks.com/2011/12/19/the ... ince-1980/
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#23 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Aug 28, 2012 6:36 am

I remember the Celtics defense being geared towards him. Not the most reputable source, but from a Bill Simmons article

His Game 4 against the Celtics (46 points, just eight missed shots) was one of the highest degree-of-difficulty performances I can ever remember watching. It had already been established that (A) his team sucked, (B) the Celtics were going to swarm him at the 3-point line any time he thought about driving, (C) they were going to double him coming off any screen, and (D) any time he drove into the paint, the entire Boston team was going to collapse on him. Didn't matter. After he caught fire in the fourth, the Celtics double-teamed him 35 feet from the basket. He still got his points. This wasn't a great game as much as a great performance -- to paraphrase the great Bill Walton, Wade controlled the flow of the game and did it with real meaning.


http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/st ... ons/100429

Here is a clip of G1 of that series

[youtube]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-PDKUBSXmdM[/youtube]

Hubie also mentions midway through the clip they're sending two guys at him in the paint and compliments him for finding teammates. The Heat were definitely not a team where "cover the supporting cast, let the star go off" was applicable. Their 2nd and 3rd options were JO and Beasley, the more crappy efficiency midrange jumpers those guys took, the better for the opposition.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#24 » by therealbig3 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 6:43 am

BTW, in no way, shape, or form am I trying to say Dirk is similar to Robinson defensively, Robinson was clearly superior, by a lot, I know that. But compare their DRB% in their primes (90-96 for Robinson, 01-09 for Dirk imo)

Dirk: 23.3% DRB
Robinson: 23.6% DRB

And comparing 94 Robinson and 09 Dirk:

09 Dirk: 22.1% DRB
94 Robinson: 20.3% DRB


Obviously, this is affected by a lot of things, and it'll take more in-depth analysis than I'm prepared to do right now in order to actually say who was the better defensive rebounder, but I think this speaks to how underrated Dirk is defensively. He's an excellent defensive rebounder. He even finished 5th in DRB% one year (2002)...Garnett and Duncan were 3rd and 4th.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#25 » by An Unbiased Fan » Tue Aug 28, 2012 6:43 am

Doctor MJ wrote:1) Obviously, if Kobe had played the way he did in those two runs all season long, that would be his peak year. However, he didn't, and what's more, he's never been able to play like that in the playoffs. To me this ends up tying into my feeling that judging players based on their hottest play is fool's gold.

ElGee has said earlier that all he cares about is winning titles, not whether a player can get you to the 2nd or 3rd or 4th round of the playoffs. I think that's a nice way to think about it, but it's still relatively arbitrary. What's not arbitrary though is that the entire basis for what constitutes better and worse teams at season's end is what you you can typically do in a Best-of-7 series. If a player has a gift that's simply not reliable enough that you can count on it in such a series, well then it's really just a carnival attraction: Fun, but not to be taken too seriously.

The core of what a player should be judged on is what he can give you in a typical game with pressure turned up to Max.

Well Kobe did end the year at 35+ PPG on 55% TS, which is the best non-MJ scoring season of the modern era. I mean sure, he wasn't able to score 40+ PPG for a whole season, but dropping perhaps the best two scoring months in NBA history is very impressive, is it not?

Also, Kobe averaged 30/5/5 on around 55% TS from 06-10. I'm not sure where you're going with this notion that you can't count on Kobe to deliver. I mean his playoffs series record was 11-3 in that period, including 3 Finals, and 2 titles. I really don't see how Kobe at his apex of ability(2006), isn't extremely impactful in the playoffs.

Further, LA pushed a superior Suns team to 7 games. Kobe didn't focus on scoring because Phil's gameplan was to take advantage of PHX in the paint. Kobe had averaged 43 ppg against PHX and yet LA had lost those games, so they decided to switch it up. Even still, Kobe averaged 28/6/5 on 59% TS.

2) With that in mind, what we see with Kobe on average in '05-06 is something that's very good, but not really an approach you'd probably use if you were seriously trying to contend for a title. It's a unipolar offense at its most extreme, and it has extreme variance in what it can actually pull off. When the team actually played with an offense that was a threat to contend, they played differently, with Kobe in a much more balanced manner.

Now, this doesn't make for an easy decision between the seasons of Kobe. After all, if Kobe truly was at his best in '05-06, and simply did what he could given what he had, then you may very well not want to penalize him based on what he should have done if he'd have had different teammates.

Where I've always felt a nudge in a particular direction though is this: If playing style X isn't going to be what you're going to do when you actually try to win a title, and all you care about is titles, then why would you ever play style X?

This isn't a rhetorical question. To re-phrase: If you're going to have to play something more like style Y when you try to win a title, why would you choose not to play style Y in the years where you're trying to get your core prepared to play style Y as well as possible?

Perhaps there's an answer here, but I don't have one. To me it's clear that Jackson always wanted Kobe to play more within the Triangle, but Kobe would alternate in his approach on that front, which pissed Jackson off a great deal. And of course, the absolute high point of Kobe breaking out of the offense was '05-06. So what we're talking about here is a year where people often fall in love with it in essence because of Kobe's refusal to play by Jackson's methods at that time...which is pretty weird given that Jackson's methods have proven so successful before and after that season.

I think in the end with Kobe, he breaks out of the team offense when he doesn't trust his teammates, so it's not right to look at 27 year old Kobe as a trouble maker and 29 year old Kobe as a saint. But of course, 27 year old Kobe was largely the same guy as 26 year old Kobe, and we're certainly going to hold what the 26 year old failed to do in '04-05 against him here.

When I think of peak Kobe, I'm thinking of the guy playing the right way, and that's the Kobe in years where his teams were strong enough that he kept his faith. Probably that will mean '07-08 for me, although that's not set in stone.

I would say that 2006 Kobe did what his team needed to win. He took a subpar squad to the playoffs with the #7 SRS in the league. If I'm trying to win a title, I want an impactful player, and 06' Kobe was that. I'm not sure how 2005 is relevant since that team was actually on pace for the playoffs before all the injuries happened. i don't know anyone who categorized Kobe as a trouble maker that year, I'm not even sure where that's coming form.

Also, where do you get the idea that Kobe didn't play by Phil's methods? I mean Phil is the guy who wanted him to score, and then Kobe deferred to Kwame in the playoffs at Phil's request.

In all honesty, I'm not quite sure how to read your point about style of play. I'm not sure how you can say Kobe's style wasn't the type that leads to titles...when he used that exact same style with better casts to win 2 titles. Put 2006 Kobe on any of the 08-10 teams and...wow.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#26 » by An Unbiased Fan » Tue Aug 28, 2012 6:46 am

therealbig3 wrote:BTW, in no way, shape, or form am I trying to say Dirk is similar to Robinson defensively, Robinson was clearly superior, by a lot, I know that. But compare their DRB% in their primes (90-96 for Robinson, 01-09 for Dirk imo)

Dirk: 23.3% DRB
Robinson: 23.6% DRB

And comparing 94 Robinson and 09 Dirk:

09 Dirk: 22.1% DRB
94 Robinson: 20.3% DRB


Obviously, this is affected by a lot of things, and it'll take more in-depth analysis than I'm prepared to do right now in order to actually say who was the better defensive rebounder, but I think this speaks to how underrated Dirk is defensively. He's an excellent defensive rebounder. He even finished 5th in DRB% one year (2002)...Garnett and Duncan were 3rd and 4th.

The big problem with this is that Rodman was on the 1994-95 Spurs.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#27 » by ardee » Tue Aug 28, 2012 6:52 am

Ok, at this stage, it gets very freaking confusing.

There's Erving, Kobe and Robinson that I'm juggling.

To break them down:

1. 1976 Doc: A lot has been said about him, for sure. Incredible Playoff performances. Again, what was most impressive to me was the similarities between this run and LeBron's '09 run. Specifically, that Doc only had one team-mate with a PER of over 15 (John Williamson, 15.2). Now I'm not JB, I don't judge players by PER or WS :wink: . But it certainly means something, don't you think? The lack of help he had was pretty astounding.

2. 2008 Kobe: Great, great all-around year. I've made this case before. Took a team with no All-Stars to the best record in a brutal conference, won a deserving MVP with a 28-6-5 on 58% TS regular season. Averaged 32-6-5 on 60% TS through the WC Playoffs, and looked downright unstoppable against the Spurs. When he actually got an offensive player who could create his own shot, the Lakers offense touched 114: a mark that would have led the league by a mile and rivaled the Jordan Bulls and Magic Lakers. It took the GOAT defense to expose him, and other than the fact that his team-mates vanished on the big stage and Kobe couldn't break down the legendary Celtics' defense alone, you can't find fault with him. It was arguably his best defensive year since 2001.

3. 1994 Robinson: To me, the best raw stats season since the merger by anyone not named Jordan. Un****real regular season. He led a team with Vinny Del Negro as his second best offensive player, to a 5.05 SRS and a 55-27 record. He led the team in points, assists (as a center! That should tell you how poor his team was at the guards spot, Elliot hadn't even arrived yet), blocks and steals. Rodman provided great rebounding and defense, but really, Robinson had to do it all otherwise.

Agreed, his postseason fell quite short, which is why I'm considering either using his '95 year, or dropping him into the next tier and choosing between Kobe and Erving.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#28 » by therealbig3 » Tue Aug 28, 2012 6:53 am

An Unbiased Fan wrote:The big problem with this is that Rodman was on the 1994-95 Spurs.


Problem? I didn't say Dirk was better as a defensive rebounder, for that specific reason, because of the differences in roster. Dirk hasn't played next to big time rebounders for the most part (did play with Dampier and Kidd in 08 and 09 though).

FWIW, Robinson was at 24.6% from 90-93, barely better than Dirk's 23.3% from 01-09, and Dirk's best consecutive 4 year stretch was 02-05, when he was at 23.9%.

Regardless, they were comparable defensive rebounders.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#29 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 28, 2012 7:13 am

An Unbiased Fan wrote:Well Kobe did end the year at 35+ PPG on 55% TS, which is the best non-MJ scoring season of the modern era. I mean sure, he wasn't able to score 40+ PPG for a whole season, but dropping perhaps the best two scoring months in NBA history is very impressive, is it not?

Also, Kobe averaged 30/5/5 on around 55% TS from 06-10. I'm not sure where you're going with this notion that you can't count on Kobe to deliver. I mean his playoffs series record was 11-3 in that period, including 3 Finals, and 2 titles. I really don't see how Kobe at his apex of ability(2006), isn't extremely impactful in the playoffs.


When you say it's the "best non-MJ" you're already making all sorts of assumptions.

It's clearly only the 'best" if you value the volume scoring high enough, and if you value the volume scoring for volume's sake then yes, you're going to love his season. However, as I indicated, the scale of Kobe's volume is not something good team's WANT. It's not a goal, it's not an accomplishment to check off the list.

Re: 30 on 55% is delivering. C'mon dude. I'm talking about his ability to deliver at the levels YOU were bragging about. He's obviously delivering a lot, but he's not delivering the stuff that impressed you most when it counts.

And before anyone says this next rebuttal again: No, I'm not holding Kobe to a higher standard than everyone else by knocking him after people praise his hot streaks, I'm just trying to get people to understand how they should analyze this stuff. Credit him with 30 & 55% absolutely, but don't act like he was dropping 40+ in a typical playoff game.

An Unbiased Fan wrote:Further, LA pushed a superior Suns team to 7 games. Kobe didn't focus on scoring because Phil's gameplan was to take advantage of PHX in the paint. Kobe had averaged 43 ppg against PHX and yet LA had lost those games, so they decided to switch it up. Even still, Kobe averaged 28/6/5 on 59% TS.


I expect I'll have to go more into this but the crux:

No he didn't. He went up against a Suns team that HAD BEEN clearly superior for most of the year before they got hit with more injuries. Then they lost their ability to hang in the paint, they played .500 ball the rest of the way, and this continued in the playoffs as they got outrebounded by 8 boards per game. Nobody should be winning series with rebounding that bad, but the Suns did, because their .500-ish ball was still about as good as the Lakers and Clippers.

An Unbiased Fan wrote:I would say that 2006 Kobe did what his team needed to win. He took a subpar squad to the playoffs with the #7 SRS in the league. If I'm trying to win a title, I want an impactful player, and 06' Kobe was that. I'm not sure how 2005 is relevant since that team was actually on pace for the playoffs before all the injuries happened. i don't know anyone who categorized Kobe as a trouble maker that year, I'm not even sure where that's coming form.

Also, where do you get the idea that Kobe didn't play by Phil's methods? I mean Phil is the guy who wanted him to score, and then Kobe deferred to Kwame in the playoffs at Phil's request.

In all honesty, I'm not quite sure how to read your point about style of play. I'm not sure how you can say Kobe's style wasn't the type that leads to titles...when he used that exact same style with better casts to win 2 titles. Put 2006 Kobe on any of the 08-10 teams and...wow.


-"did what his team needed". That's an argument you can make.

-"2005...before injuries". There is no excuse for the end of that year. Kobe packed in it. It's not any huge sin. I don't care about it when judging his career, but clearly I'm not going to be trumpeting that particular season here.

-"troublemaker". Not saying he's a troublemaker, but when you end the year 2-19, you either aren't trying that hard, or you're not very good as a superstar. Take your pick. Mine is clear: Kobe (and the team) knew the Lakers weren't going to make any real noise, and they packed it in. Understandable, but certainly not as impressive as what they did in other years.

-"Kobe didn't play by Phil's methods." C'mon Phil wrote a book in which Kobe got called "uncoachable". What exactly do you think that meant? I mean, obviously it's hyperbole, but you don't get called that if you're doing what the coach is telling you to do all the time.

The essence of the Triangle is in reading the defense and making passes to the open man. That isn't happening if you're having one player post the highest Usage% ever recorded. One can argue that Kobe's extreme shot taking was for the best, but you cannot argue that it reflected a team strategy that Jackson thought could win a title.

-"Used the same style to win 2 titles". Yikes, now I'm wishing I'd read the whole post before going through point by point.

Kobe shot far less in the years he won those titles than in '05-06. He did that because he played in a far more fluid offense which was only possible because he was contributing to its fluidity. I don't know how you can think that's the same style.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#30 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 28, 2012 7:23 am

ardee wrote:2. 2008 Kobe: Great, great all-around year. I've made this case before. Took a team with no All-Stars to the best record in a brutal conference, won a deserving MVP with a 28-6-5 on 58% TS regular season. Averaged 32-6-5 on 60% TS through the WC Playoffs, and looked downright unstoppable against the Spurs. When he actually got an offensive player who could create his own shot, the Lakers offense touched 114: a mark that would have led the league by a mile and rivaled the Jordan Bulls and Magic Lakers. It took the GOAT defense to expose him, and other than the fact that his team-mates vanished on the big stage and Kobe couldn't break down the legendary Celtics' defense alone, you can't find fault with him. It was arguably his best defensive year since 2001.


I'm sorry to jump down your throat here. This was indeed a great year for Kobe. However, when you say that he led a team of no all-star to the best record in the conference, it has to be said:

Gasol, when he played on the Lakers, played like an all-star.
When Gasol played, the Lakers went 22-5.
Without Gasol, the Lakers went 35-20.

If they'd played at the 35-20 pace all year long, they'd have had the 6th seed instead of the 1st even if you don't credit their opponents with the extra wins they would have earned along the way.

I personally cut Kobe and all the Lakers a lot of slack for struggling against that great Celtics team. They did a great job. However, the narrative shift never gets off the ground without the Gasol trade. Without it, the Lakers are out in the 1st round again and now Kobe's trade demands get even more aggressive.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#31 » by Dr Positivity » Tue Aug 28, 2012 7:29 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
Dr Positivity wrote:Well, the rest of the Heat were INSANELY bad offensively in that series. JO was one of the punchlines of the 1st round for his 4.2ppg 20.5% performance, Haslem was 6ppg 35%. Beasley Beasley'd at 10.4ppg 45%. Chalmers and QRrich somewhat showed up hitting 3s. In terms of PER Joel Anthony was 2nd at 11.6, QRich 3rd at 11.1, Chalmers at 10.3 and everyone else was under 10. The Heat were already rock bottom for offensive support beside Wade in 09 and 10, then JO, Beasley and Haslem not showing up for the series basically pushed them below the Mendoza line of ineptitude. Wade may have had less offensive support than any star... ever, playing against a team with an incredible playoff history defensively. I don't put it on him for the Heat's ORTG being poor any more than the Heat not being any good, that team just sucked big balls. I think he was bringing out his full 2009 and 2010 arsenal, which I consider his peak.


Right in theme with josephpaul's post and my response there:

It's not about blame, it's about credit.

I'm not knocking '10 Wade for his playoff performance. I'm just not going to skyrocket up '10 Wade above Wade's other years because of a single series where he put up big individual numbers but didn't actually draw blood. We're talking about a guy who played essentially an 87 game season, and you're making your decision based on Wade did in the final 5 games during which his team was handily defeated. To me that's not a balanced perspective.


To me the gap between 2009 and 2010 Wade is small to begin with, though. He's still in prime physical form, he still has all his skills. His usage drops and he seems to be less locked in as a whole in 2010, but for the regular season only. 26.6/6.5/4.8 with elite defense is still an amazing season for a SG, and his impact taking that team to 47 Ws appears huge, they look like a < 15 Ws team talent wise without him to me if not in the mix with the 2012 Bobcats. I see it as pretty cleanly his second best regular season, due to being a better defender than in 2006. Then in the 2010 playoffs he looks just as good as he ever did in the 2009 regular season so again the question is, what can we trust that says 2009 Wade is any better than 2010 Wade other than RS box-score stats that may be effected by his usage? And stuff like, taking more midrange shots that year, which is the biggest thing that stands out to me on hoopdata in terms of his shot selection to the two years. I'm voting for the season with the better playoff performance in this case, as I will be voting for 63 Oscar over 64 Oscar - I think a player's playoff value is what matters, the regular season is a great guide to helping figure out who's the most valuable players, but in the case of something like 2009 vs 2010 Wade, I'm pretty confident in the similarity of what they bring to the table, to go with the year where he performed amazingly well instead of inconsistently
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#32 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 28, 2012 7:48 am

therealbig3 wrote:Ok, I can definitely see 08 Kobe's case as his peak. To me, it comes down to 3 seasons: 01, 03, and 08. 06 and 07 were unipolar acts that let Kobe do what he wants to do more than anything in the world: shoot like crazy. So obviously his scoring will be ridiculous. Pretty awesome that he was able to maintain his efficiency while scoring that much though, and with supporting casts as poor as those, and with low TO rates.

Kobe's an outstanding offensive player, I think that much is clear. But I thought his defense was pretty crappy those years, while his offense was more or less the same as he's shown in other years, namely 01, 03, and 08.

08 was Kobe's best season post-Shaq for sure imo, great team play, great offense, and very good defense (especially in the playoffs).

But imo, 01 and 03 were also great offensive seasons from Kobe, and he was a better defender in those seasons than he was in 08.

I think I'm leaning towards 01 as his peak in all honesty. Fantastic playoffs, excellent defense, just an all-around excellent offensive player, and played really well with Shaq. Extremely important piece (calling him merely a 2nd option does underrate him here imo) to the 3rd best playoff offense of all time (at the time of ElGee's writing):

http://www.backpicks.com/2011/12/19/the ... ince-1980/


I think you've got a real point with '01. What's interesting, and tough, here is that we mostly agree that Shaq's '00 season should get the nod over his '01 season because of his regular season edge, but to me siding with Kobe '01 would largely be saying "forget the regular season, look at those playoffs". Can this be done without contradiction?

Obviously, if it can, it's about the details. If Shaq's individual '01 playoffs were clearly superior to his '00 playoffs, that'd probably mean switching our votes. We conclude that Shaq was roughly the same in those playoffs, and that tends to mean a lot of credit has to go to Kobe.

I don't know. I'll have to think it over more, here's one thing I'll say though:

That '01 Laker post-season was GOAT worthy just looking at the overall numbers, but they were even more impressive than that. That matchup with the Spurs in the Conference Finals was supposed to represent a kind of multi-year championship. Each team had one of the past two titles, and now they were playing healthy in top form. The Spurs that year recorded the best SRS of the Duncan-Robinson era, and they absolutely steam rolled a couple of 4+ SRS teams to get to the Conference Finals...

And then the Lakers destroyed the Spurs on an epic level that I can't think of it's equal. A 20+ PPG average beat down of a team playing like an 8+ SRS team. It shouldn't be possible, but it happened, and the star of that series was Kobe Bryant.

It was probably the single best series performance I've ever seen a basketball team play, and so it's pretty hard to argue that Kobe could do better than being the best of that lot.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#33 » by Doctor MJ » Tue Aug 28, 2012 7:54 am

Dr Positivity wrote:To me the gap between 2009 and 2010 Wade is small to begin with, though. He's still in prime physical form, he still has all his skills. His usage drops and he seems to be less locked in as a whole in 2010, but for the regular season only. 26.6/6.5/4.8 with elite defense is still an amazing season for a SG, and his impact taking that team to 47 Ws appears huge, they look like a < 15 Ws team talent wise without him to me if not in the mix with the 2012 Bobcats. I see it as pretty cleanly his second best regular season, due to being a better defender than in 2006. Then in the 2010 playoffs he looks just as good as he ever did in the 2009 regular season so again the question is, what can we trust that says 2009 Wade is any better than 2010 Wade other than RS box-score stats that may be effected by his usage? And stuff like, taking more midrange shots that year, which is the biggest thing that stands out to me on hoopdata in terms of his shot selection to the two years. I'm voting for the season with the better playoff performance in this case, as I will be voting for 63 Oscar over 64 Oscar - I think a player's playoff value is what matters, the regular season is a great guide to helping figure out who's the most valuable players, but in the case of something like 2009 vs 2010 Wade, I'm pretty confident in the similarity of what they bring to the table, to go with the year where he performed amazingly well instead of inconsistently


To me all that makes sense if you're talking about a guy getting his team through a few rounds of playoff play. Just generally speaking, I don't consider first round losses to be worth mentioning very often, and when you're talking about hyping an individual offensive performance that was not leading an even average level team performance, there's just not much there.

I respect your right to say, "I watched the man play and...", but if you are fixated on his stats in any way here, I think you need to really take a step back and think about what was actually achieved by those numbers. While playoffs are more important than the regular season, it's rather astounding to consider an unsuccessful 5 game series against single team to be so impressive that it re-writes the narrative of an 82 game season.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#34 » by ElGee » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:04 am

A few things need to be clarified here:

-2009 Wade had an injured back (IIRC) in the Atlanta series. This is a black mark for me as I don't necessarily think it's obvious he would have rounded into shape. And that obviously affected his play in that series. I really respect a 2010 vote for Wade, and I might even lean in that direction over 2011.

-2010 Wade v Boston: Take it from a Celtics fan, Boston was trying to stop Wade with the same defense they used against Kobe and LeBron. Wade's just a different animal. They simply couldn't contain his dribble, and his shot selection was fantastic.

Wade had 42 opportunities created in 5 games, breaking down as:

4-4 layups
8-19 2's (this is bad)
5-12 3's
2-2 OREB putbacks

and 3 more somewhere that I can't find. (On/off has it as 70-181 on 2's with Wade in -- 38.9% -- and 18-46 on 2's with Wade out 39.1%. 3's at 1-5 off and 36.7% on.)

The point here is that simply because Miami's ORtg was quite low (against the historic Boston D) doesn't mean they were letting Wade get his at all. They were, in fact, ONLY trying to stop Wade, and they couldn't. That's why they had a juicy lead in G1, won G4 and lost G3 at the buzzer. When I read Doc say "he didn't draw blood," I thought "well, yes he did." A pinprick, maybe because he was team was so poor, but it was insanely impressive. Make of that what you will.

-People need to stop comparing stuff to the circa 96 Bulls. I've seen a number of posters do this, and it's just misguided. Here's a little fact about the 1997 Bulls:

With Luc Longley, Toni Kukoc and Dennis Rodman in the lineup, they had a +14.9 SRS. The offense was +10.2. They played like this for 22 games together, with a raw ORtg of 116.9! Without Longley, they had 39g of Rodman, Kukoc and Pippen/Jordan for a miserable SRS of 11.8 and a raw ORtg of 116.6 (+9.3). Let's stop making allusions to them please. (PS -- Scottie Pippen had a monster peak.)
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#35 » by ElGee » Tue Aug 28, 2012 8:28 am

Doctor MJ wrote:That '01 Laker post-season was GOAT worthy just looking at the overall numbers, but they were even more impressive than that. That matchup with the Spurs in the Conference Finals was supposed to represent a kind of multi-year championship. Each team had one of the past two titles, and now they were playing healthy in top form. The Spurs that year recorded the best SRS of the Duncan-Robinson era, and they absolutely steam rolled a couple of 4+ SRS teams to get to the Conference Finals...

And then the Lakers destroyed the Spurs on an epic level that I can't think of it's equal. A 20+ PPG average beat down of a team playing like an 8+ SRS team. It shouldn't be possible, but it happened, and the star of that series was Kobe Bryant.

It was probably the single best series performance I've ever seen a basketball team play, and so it's pretty hard to argue that Kobe could do better than being the best of that lot.


They were, of course, amazing in the 01 PS. And Derek Fisher didn't miss against the Spurs, I mean, literally, I'm pretty sure he was 15-20 on 3's in 4 games.

I do have a problem giving Kobe so much credit in 4 games. We seem to be hitting a theme lately with results-oriented analysis -- isn't this the very thing you are arguing against with Mufasa? -- but he matched up very well with SAS. The Spurs had no extra help to give him because of Shaq AND they had no perimeter defender for a 6-6 2-guard. None.

To look at those 4 games and then say that makes that version of Kobe Bryant better than, well, someone clearly improved in 2003 (that guy turned the 3-pointer into a pullup jumper), or the 2008 version (best offensive combination of athleticism, scoring skill and creation/feel of the Bryants) seems unfounded to me. It's just overlooking too many circumstantial factors.

Not necessarily intended to you Doc, but I sometimes wonder if one of these players played a college team in the "National-World Invitational Finals" and averaged 45 and 20 on 65% TS if people wouldn't be arguing them for GOAT and really really having a hard time separating circumstance from performance. (The current argument being used against your guy, Erving.) It's a sample size of 1 (team) and 4 (games).

I'll make an argument I often allude to with Karl Malone. If there were no NBA Finals, and the Lakers season ended after the 2008 WCF's, wouldn't you be touting what Bryant did just as hard, if not harder, than these 4 games in 2001?

Bryant 2008 WC (15g): 32-6-6 61% TS 10.6% TOV 119 ORTG
Bryant 2001 PS (16g): 29-7-6 56% TS 10.7% TOV 116 ORTG

The 08 Lakers had a +8.3 ORtg and 11.7 SRS in the WC PS. (01 team was 12.7 and 18.2, respectively.) Why would you lean toward 01 then?
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#36 » by ardee » Tue Aug 28, 2012 9:36 am

The whole 'Playoffs vs. Regular Season' debate is a bit surprising to me.

Honestly, if the Playoffs were to be given the lion's share of the credit in this debate, wouldn't we have chosen Shaq '01, Hakeem '95, and Garnett '03?

The regular season is just as important. Especially if you consider that some of the players we are discussing here have not had good supporting casts, and it required 110% from them to get a decent seed in the Playoffs. In particular, Wade '09: if he hadn't gone berserk for that unreal 34-5-8 post ASG stretch, Miami might have been the 8th seed and gone against LeBron's Cavs, or even worse, might have missed the Playoffs altogether. I don't understand why Wade's God-like regular season is a negative for him in '09.

And good point by ElGee above. People forget how dominant Kobe's 08 postseason was. Up until he played the GOAT defense, he was shredding opponents, and even the Spurs had literally no answer for him. Safe to say that '01 Kobe would have not fared better against the '08 Celtics.

However, I'm still wondering about Kobe's 07 season. As an individual, he was really at his best then. Since I'm choosing Wade's 09 season as his best by a comfortable margin, it makes me wonder why Kobe doesn't get credit for putting up a stat-line basically almost identical to MJ in 1991, and dragging that putrid supporting cast to a +2.1 ORtg.

I'm going to tentatively pick '08 Kobe for now as his peak, but '07 and '03 are not too far behind.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#37 » by PTB Fan » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:37 am

Now that Walton has been voted in, that made things easy.


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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#38 » by thizznation » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:51 am

I could see where you are coming from with Robinson but I think when you take into account post season, it has to go to Doctor J. Unless you have some sort of bias on the ABA or the era itself.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#39 » by bastillon » Tue Aug 28, 2012 10:57 am

Honestly, if the Playoffs were to be given the lion's share of the credit in this debate, wouldn't we have chosen Shaq '01, Hakeem '95, and Garnett '03?


more like Hakeem 93, Shaq 01, Duncan 02, Garnett 03. we should have.

why not Oscar Robertson ? his impact was insane. he was leading top ranked offenses every year throughout the 60s. when he missed games Royals were the worst team in the NBA. then he came to Bucks and with other minor changes they went from 4.25 SRS to 11.91 SRS. next year, they were at about 12.5 SRS before Oscar's injury (abdominal strain, same thing KG had in 08 and Bosh last year in the playoffs). Oscar almost had no ceiling. you can argue 1971 Bucks are the best offensive team in history, better than 1987 Lakers. this is past prime Oscar, mind you. Kareem was the best player on that roster but Oscar had the most impact offensively. Bucks offense simply skyrocketed in 71, going from 29 OWS to 43 OWS (Lakers 87 had ~40 OWS). from what I've seen of Oscar in the late 60s/early 70s (there couple games available), he was extremely efficient, without any flash whatsoever, he just methodically backed you where he wanted you to be and just shot over you, he was great in transition, seemed to have this 4-eyes type of vision and was a great, great leader.

I think over the years I've been here Oscar has been one of the most appreciated players. I've heard so many fallacious comments about him, and not just from casual posters, I'm talking about the very best of 'em. TrueLAFan always made his case against Oscar based on poor defense (that's why he was guarding Jerry West...), ballhogging (that led to top ranked offenses), being a bad leader (sources only tell us his teammates were sometimes afraid of him) or that he had a great supporting cast and underperformed on a team-level (like 3-14 without him in 68). I remember having several debates with him and the myths created beforehand have an impact today as well.

Oscar deserves a lot more credit. recently I've been analysing his 70s years with the Bucks and he really seems like he's having significant impact. he was far better in the 60s, because he was able to put up 25-35 pts and 8-14 assists every night depending on what his team needed. just a great player, so versatile, always quoted by his peers as having no weaknesses in his game and he was just so efficient when you look at the tape. his peak is pretty impressive too, he won an MVP over pretty much peak Wilt and peak Russell (64, both had amazing years). I think he got overlooked as this project was rolling on, but it's probably time for him to get in.
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Re: #13 Highest Peak of All Time (ends Wed 9:00 PM Pacific) 

Post#40 » by An Unbiased Fan » Tue Aug 28, 2012 2:47 pm

Doctor MJ wrote:
When you say it's the "best non-MJ" you're already making all sorts of assumptions.

It's clearly only the 'best" if you value the volume scoring high enough, and if you value the volume scoring for volume's sake then yes, you're going to love his season. However, as I indicated, the scale of Kobe's volume is not something good team's WANT. It's not a goal, it's not an accomplishment to check off the list.


I said "the best non-MJ scoring season of the modern era". So yeh....volume scoring is rather the point when looking at a scoring season.

And Phil wanted it. It DID turn LA into a good team and gave them the #7 SRS that season. I thought this project was about the highest peaks? It's strange that with Kobe, a highly impactful year is not what a good team would want. That Laker squad needed him to score that much, look at their roster.
Re: 30 on 55% is delivering. C'mon dude. I'm talking about his ability to deliver at the levels YOU were bragging about. He's obviously delivering a lot, but he's not delivering the stuff that impressed you most when it counts.

And before anyone says this next rebuttal again: No, I'm not holding Kobe to a higher standard than everyone else by knocking him after people praise his hot streaks, I'm just trying to get people to understand how they should analyze this stuff. Credit him with 30 & 55% absolutely, but don't act like he was dropping 40+ in a typical playoff game.

Of course you're holding Kobe to a higher standard than anyone else. To repeat Kobe had perhaps the best 2 scoring months in NBA history that year.

January 2006 - 43.4 ppg, on 61.1% TS
April 2006 - 41.6 ppg on 62.1% TS
^
So to simply dismiss the absolute crazy level of play he had this season, is something I haven't seen at all in this project. Kobe averaged 43 ppg against PHX in 2006. If Phil felt that was the way to go in the 1st round, he could have easily duplicated those numbers in the playoffs, but the strategy was to work the paint. After they dropped game 5, Phil told Kobe to go back into scoring mode and he dropped 50 points on 66% TS. yet LA still lost to the superior team. You're ignoring the fact that LA tried a different strategy in the playoffs.
I expect I'll have to go more into this but the crux:

No he didn't. He went up against a Suns team that HAD BEEN clearly superior for most of the year before they got hit with more injuries. Then they lost their ability to hang in the paint, they played .500 ball the rest of the way, and this continued in the playoffs as they got outrebounded by 8 boards per game. Nobody should be winning series with rebounding that bad, but the Suns did, because their .500-ish ball was still about as good as the Lakers and Clippers.

Wait....are you saying the Suns weren't the superior squad? The Suns were a 5.48 SRS team, 14 out of their last 22 games were on the road that year, so again, I'm not sure why you choose to diminish what LA did, by making the assertion that they were a .500 team.

Again, Kobe is being held to a standard that no one else has. Certainly not Lebron in 2009 when he lost to a lesser Magic team missing their PG. You didn't even mention the fact that Kwame was hit with a false rape allegation in the middle of the PHX series, that changed his play.

-"2005...before injuries". There is no excuse for the end of that year. Kobe packed in it. It's not any huge sin. I don't care about it when judging his career, but clearly I'm not going to be trumpeting that particular season here.

This is false. Kobe like many others on that team were hurt. Where in the World did you get the notion that Kobe packed it in? There's no merit to that statement, and you're the only person I have even heard suggest that.
-"troublemaker". Not saying he's a troublemaker, but when you end the year 2-19, you either aren't trying that hard, or you're not very good as a superstar. Take your pick. Mine is clear: Kobe (and the team) knew the Lakers weren't going to make any real noise, and they packed it in. Understandable, but certainly not as impressive as what they did in other years.

No. The Lakers had a horrible interim coach, and were killed by injuries. I guess KG "packed it in" from 2006-2007 when the Wolves were absolutely horrible. Or does only Kobe get this treatment?

-"Kobe didn't play by Phil's methods." C'mon Phil wrote a book in which Kobe got called "uncoachable". What exactly do you think that meant? I mean, obviously it's hyperbole, but you don't get called that if you're doing what the coach is telling you to do all the time.

Huh? That book was made back in 2004, and Phil came back to coach Kobe so clearly he felt he was coachable. How in the World can you attribute a quote from 2004, and use that in discussions about later seasons?

It's this kind of nitpicking which I didn't see for anyone else. In 2006, it's well known that Phil WANTED Kobe to score in huge volume, that was Phil's plan, and it worked extremely well for a squad most didn't even pick to make the playoffs. So to make it seem like Kobe was going against Phil's wishes is flatout wrong.
The essence of the Triangle is in reading the defense and making passes to the open man. That isn't happening if you're having one player post the highest Usage% ever recorded. One can argue that Kobe's extreme shot taking was for the best, but you cannot argue that it reflected a team strategy that Jackson thought could win a title.

Except Phil himself disagrees with you. With that roster, they needed Kobe to score in huge volume and Kobe did this at an all-time level. This was a team of Smush, Odom, Cook, Mihm, Kwame. The point is to score more points than the opponent, and Kobe's 35+ ppg on 55% TS certainly was highly imapctful at making up for that roster's shortcomings.
-"Used the same style to win 2 titles". Yikes, now I'm wishing I'd read the whole post before going through point by point.

Kobe shot far less in the years he won those titles than in '05-06. He did that because he played in a far more fluid offense which was only possible because he was contributing to its fluidity. I don't know how you can think that's the same style.

No, he shot less because he had better talent around him. :lol:

I mean really, what "fluidity" on offense did yopu expect with that 2006 squad? A squad I might add, who had career years next to 2006 Kobe. Go look at Smush parker, and tell me that playing off 2006 Kobe didn't help him. This guy was a d-leaguer at best, and couldn't' even get run on a Miami team in 08', that needed a PG.

Put 2006 Kobe on those 08-10 teams and they're better. It's seems you're avoiding Kobe's actual PLAY in that 2006 season. His scoring range and versatility was amazing. A perfect blend of skill/athleticism. He & Kwame were the only 2 defenders of note that year, yet they maintained an above average DRtg. It's a shame that the focus seems to be on roster shortcomings, as opposed to Kobe's peak play that year.
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