2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron

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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#21 » by falcolombardi » Tue Jun 14, 2022 7:16 pm

colts18 wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:So is the fact that 2016 bron during his ECF run led an offense that was the best offense of all time up to that point, that was bottom of the league without him not something he gets points for?

But in the first three rounds he (in my opinion) played elite defense, while his offense was great and the offense while he was on the floor was ATG+++ while it dropped to bottom 5 with him off the floor. A lot of this was hot shooting but it was consistent with his post all star boost as well, and there wasn’t a series where there was an outlier that might overstate his impact when looking at it as a whole.


It was all hot shooting. I don't understand the guys here posting about "the all-time best postseason offenses". No it's not. You can't compare stats in the juiced pace and space era vs. any other team in history. All of those stats were because of insane 3 point shooting. It's like people saying Kirk Cousins is a historically great QB because he threw for 5,000 yards while not adjusting for the fact everyone's stats are inflated in this era.

The ECF run that you guys are citing had the Cavs shooting 33 3PA/game on 43.4 3P%. Of course they were going to post historical Offensive numbers with that kind of shooting. The 2013 Heat shot 19.8 3PA/game on 35.6 3P%. Outside of LeBron, the 2016 Cavs shot 45.1 3P% while the 2013 Heat shot 34.9 3P%. The 2017 Cavs who were also "historical". Same story. 34 3PA/game on 42 3P% in the 2017 playoffs. Has nothing to do with LeBron and everything to do with his Supporting cast unless you somehow think 2013 LeBron couldn't playmake like 2016 which is untrue.


2016 league average offensive rating was lower than most of the 80's, 90's and late 00's, 2016 106 offensive rating would be by far the lowest scoring season in the 80's for example

in fact the offensive ratings of the league are similar in 13 and 16, the difference is less than a point

2016 and 2017 playoffs offenses are already adjusted to league average when people mention them among the best ever, is relative offense because it is adjusted to the rivals defensive rating

while team composition played a part, it still counts, they had a better 2 year playoffs offense run than the durant warriors (by relative off rating), that is noteworthy no matter how you slice it

were they hot shooting wise and ahead of the league in offensive strategy? of course, but you will be hard pressed to find a historic offense that didnt achieve record breaking numbers thanks to those two thinghs

the league jumped from 106 to 108 in 2017, then to 110 in 2019 then to 112 in, the league averages way more points now and way mpre 3's and we still have not seen teans reach 2016 and 2017 pkayoffs cavs offensibe heights except for the 17 warriors (who are below both cavs teams)

the magic lakers actually played in a higher scoring era thab those cavs, most nash suns seasons were in a higher scoring league than the 16 cavs and comparable to 17, et,

is fine to think 2013 is better, but diminisjing lebron and cavs achievemt offensively in 2016 is not necessary to make the case
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#22 » by Djoker » Tue Jun 14, 2022 8:18 pm

The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#23 » by colts18 » Tue Jun 14, 2022 8:34 pm

Djoker wrote:The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.

And if Draymond doesn't hit LeBron in the balls, the Warriors might win Game 5 and LeBron's block on Iguodala nor his historic Game 6 performances ever happen.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#24 » by toodles23 » Tue Jun 14, 2022 8:38 pm

Djoker wrote:The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.

I mean I think Wade dealing with a major injury and going from their second best player to a major liability is a bit more consequential than a single shot, but idk
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#25 » by falcolombardi » Tue Jun 14, 2022 8:54 pm

Djoker wrote:The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.


sure, but i fail to see the point?

if scottie pippen doesnt play the game of his life in 1993 against knicks game 3, bulls go down 0-3 with jordan having one of the worst 3 game stretches of his prime costing them the ring

game 1: 27/2/5 on -8% efficiency
game 2: 36/6/9 on -6% efficiency
game 3 22/8/11 on -10% efficiency

does pippen saving the bulls season in game 3 when jordan was struggling invalidate jordan 92 season? i dont get this reasoning that a player having a close call or bad moments somehow invalidate the whole thingh
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#26 » by LukaTheGOAT » Tue Jun 14, 2022 9:34 pm

Also, if we are talking about dominance relative to the time we play in, it can't be understated how 16 Lebron is arguably a better/added more value as a finisher than 13 Lebron.

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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#27 » by capfan33 » Tue Jun 14, 2022 10:51 pm

Djoker wrote:The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.


I mean that's kind of the point, if Wade is healthy they almost certainly aren't in that position in the 1st place. And to be clear, Lebron should've played better in that finals regardless but you're 2nd best player, who the entire offense is predicated on, gets injured as severly as Wade did, it's a big deal.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#28 » by ardee » Wed Jun 15, 2022 12:29 am

capfan33 wrote:
The way I look at it is, if I had to pick one version of Lebron to play with any random team any random time in NBA history run 1000 times, which version would I pick? The answer for me is quite clearly 2013.


I would pick any one of 2016-18, likely 2017. He had figured out basketball on a level that was simply above his Miami days.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#29 » by MyUniBroDavis » Wed Jun 15, 2022 12:56 am

colts18 wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:So is the fact that 2016 bron during his ECF run led an offense that was the best offense of all time up to that point, that was bottom of the league without him not something he gets points for?

But in the first three rounds he (in my opinion) played elite defense, while his offense was great and the offense while he was on the floor was ATG+++ while it dropped to bottom 5 with him off the floor. A lot of this was hot shooting but it was consistent with his post all star boost as well, and there wasn’t a series where there was an outlier that might overstate his impact when looking at it as a whole.


It was all hot shooting. I don't understand the guys here posting about "the all-time best postseason offenses". No it's not. You can't compare stats in the juiced pace and space era vs. any other team in history. All of those stats were because of insane 3 point shooting. It's like people saying Kirk Cousins is a historically great QB because he threw for 5,000 yards while not adjusting for the fact everyone's stats are inflated in this era.

The ECF run that you guys are citing had the Cavs shooting 33 3PA/game on 43.4 3P%. Of course they were going to post historical Offensive numbers with that kind of shooting. The 2013 Heat shot 19.8 3PA/game on 35.6 3P%. Outside of LeBron, the 2016 Cavs shot 45.1 3P% while the 2013 Heat shot 34.9 3P%. The 2017 Cavs who were also "historical". Same story. 34 3PA/game on 42 3P% in the 2017 playoffs. Has nothing to do with LeBron and everything to do with his Supporting cast unless you somehow think 2013 LeBron couldn't playmake like 2016 which is untrue.


Saying 2016 lebron is a better playmaker than 2013 lebron and would generally pull the trigger more on windows the 2013 version would hesitate on is valid.

Posting about “all time postseason offenses” is valid because it was an all time postseason offense lmfao.

No one is saying that 2013 lebron is trash on offense while 2016 lebron is a god. Acting as if there is some sort of absurd separation between the two on that end isn’t true either.

On a factual basis offensively 2016 lebron did better against worse competition. But acting as if the Warriors are easy to score against without bogus when we’ve seen how good their team defense is when they actually try or that the hawks because al horford is their center arent a 2nd ranked defense isn’t fair. Nor is ignoring the fact that the refs were swallowing their whistles for lebron that year, unless you believe him being league average in ftr that playoffs despite him attempting more of his shots in the paint than any other playoff year makes sense (and if you want to argue that spacing caused him to collapse into the defense less, it doesn’t make sense that it rose again the next year).

There’s nothing against him, given that this was before the 5 out pace and space era exploded for him, having an offensive ATG playoff run in 2016. We see him do this for a longer period of time post all star break, shooting for the team not as hot but team offense still better than the Warriors that year with Curry.

You can say, oh lebron only struggled more in 2013 because he was in a harder situations, while that doesn’t change that he struggled it is valid.

To say that lebron was better and picking his spots and running the offense in his latter years is also valid.

But the idea it’s blasphemous to put more stock into the guy that actually did it, when that guy himself called himself incomplete during that first Miami run when he was 27 (obv he was 28 in 2013 but still)

Calling on 2017 makes no sense here, since I think most people that argue 2016 as his peak have 2017 as his offensive peak lol, and prolly his peak level of play.

It’s fine to say 2013 lebron could do so, even if I don’t necessarily agree.

Acting as if it’s unreasonable to have 2016 bron because they don’t believe in your hypothetical is weird.

People saying that wades health stopped him from getting 70+ wins are building a bit of a straw man for me. If he won 72 games that doesn’t change the fact that I think one was better in the playoffs lol. The gap between 15 and 16 wins in the playoffs is infinitely bigger than 57 and 73 wins lol

I think 2016 lebron was better on defense in the playoffs, iq quarterbacking all of that, as far as I know no ones really made a convincing argument otherwise
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#30 » by PistolPeteJR » Wed Jun 15, 2022 1:36 am

Djoker wrote:The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.


So, not “if LeBron hadn’t gone berserk the way he did in the 4th?”
Okay.

In any case, healthy Wade, they’re not down 3-2 in Game 6 to start with.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#31 » by capfan33 » Wed Jun 15, 2022 3:39 pm

ardee wrote:
capfan33 wrote:
The way I look at it is, if I had to pick one version of Lebron to play with any random team any random time in NBA history run 1000 times, which version would I pick? The answer for me is quite clearly 2013.


I would pick any one of 2016-18, likely 2017. He had figured out basketball on a level that was simply above his Miami days.


I think 2017 and 2018 depending on how you view defense have very valid arguments, but I do think whatever experience he gained is offset by motor and athleticism.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#32 » by Djoker » Wed Jun 15, 2022 4:30 pm

falcolombardi wrote:
Djoker wrote:The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.


sure, but i fail to see the point?

if scottie pippen doesnt play the game of his life in 1993 against knicks game 3, bulls go down 0-3 with jordan having one of the worst 3 game stretches of his prime costing them the ring

game 1: 27/2/5 on -8% efficiency
game 2: 36/6/9 on -6% efficiency
game 3 22/8/11 on -10% efficiency

does pippen saving the bulls season in game 3 when jordan was struggling invalidate jordan 92 season? i dont get this reasoning that a player having a close call or bad moments somehow invalidate the whole thingh


Jordan's struggles in that series were nowhere near Lebron's struggles plus 3 games vs. 6 games but regardless... That's not the point. My post was simply to show the absurdity of what-if arguments. "If Wade was healthy..." or "If Allen didn't make that shot..." or "If Green doesn't get suspended..." or whatever. You can always spin that line of thinking in either direction. Lebron's teams could have done better or they could have done worse. At the end let's judge them on what they did do. The 2013 Heat and 2013 Lebron individually didn't have the greatest of postseasons.

Going back to the OP, I have a hard time choosing between 2013 and 2016 Lebron. 2013 Lebron was weak offensively at times in the playoffs, almost passive at times but he had much better motor and carried the team for the entire season and postseason. 2016 Lebron was better offensively although as people pointed out his finals apart from Game 5&6 was weak offensively. However he wasn't passive and he pressured the defense more. It may not be evident from the stat sheet but even down 1-3 to the Warriors I don't remember feeling disappointed with his performance that way I was early in the 2013 Finals. However, he did cruise during the regular season in 2016 which is a luxury you don't get on a weaker team and/or in a stronger conference. If I was choosing one of them just for the playoffs it would be 2016 Lebron so I guess that season wins by a smidge. At the end that's a bit more important than regular season consistency.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#33 » by MyUniBroDavis » Wed Jun 15, 2022 4:39 pm

Djoker wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Djoker wrote:The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.


sure, but i fail to see the point?

if scottie pippen doesnt play the game of his life in 1993 against knicks game 3, bulls go down 0-3 with jordan having one of the worst 3 game stretches of his prime costing them the ring

game 1: 27/2/5 on -8% efficiency
game 2: 36/6/9 on -6% efficiency
game 3 22/8/11 on -10% efficiency

does pippen saving the bulls season in game 3 when jordan was struggling invalidate jordan 92 season? i dont get this reasoning that a player having a close call or bad moments somehow invalidate the whole thingh


Jordan's struggles in that series were nowhere near Lebron's struggles plus 3 games vs. 6 games but regardless... That's not the point. My post was simply to show the absurdity of what-if arguments. "If Wade was healthy..." or "If Allen didn't make that shot..." or "If Green doesn't get suspended..." or whatever. You can always spin that line of thinking in either direction. Lebron's teams could have done better or they could have done worse. At the end let's judge them on what they did do. The 2013 Heat and 2013 Lebron individually didn't have the greatest of postseasons.

Going back to the OP, I have a hard time choosing between 2013 and 2016 Lebron. 2013 Lebron was weak offensively at times in the playoffs, almost passive at times but he had much better motor and carried the team for the entire season and postseason. 2016 Lebron was better offensively although as people pointed out his finals apart from Game 5&6 was weak offensively. However he wasn't passive and he pressured the defense more. It may not be evident from the stat sheet but even down 1-3 to the Warriors I don't remember feeling disappointed with his performance that way I was early in the 2013 Finals. However, he did cruise during the regular season in 2016 which is a luxury you don't get on a weaker team and/or in a stronger conference. If I was choosing one of them just for the playoffs it would be 2016 Lebron so I guess that season wins by a smidge. At the end that's a bit more important than regular season consistency.


I though he was good in g3, and g1 and 4 were more passive than anything else

I’d say his RS get over blown, that team went 1-5 without him (1-4 without him and with Kyrie), probably aren’t a 30 win team without him based on other years too, and he brought them to 57 wins, 60 when he was playing. I think he had an MVP level regular season all things considered, even if not a high tier one
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#34 » by colts18 » Wed Jun 15, 2022 6:11 pm

MyUniBroDavis wrote:Saying 2016 lebron is a better playmaker than 2013 lebron and would generally pull the trigger more on windows the 2013 version would hesitate on is valid.

Posting about “all time postseason offenses” is valid because it was an all time postseason offense lmfao.

No one is saying that 2013 lebron is trash on offense while 2016 lebron is a god. Acting as if there is some sort of absurd separation between the two on that end isn’t true either.

On a factual basis offensively 2016 lebron did better against worse competition. But acting as if the Warriors are easy to score against without bogus when we’ve seen how good their team defense is when they actually try or that the hawks because al horford is their center arent a 2nd ranked defense isn’t fair. Nor is ignoring the fact that the refs were swallowing their whistles for lebron that year, unless you believe him being league average in ftr that playoffs despite him attempting more of his shots in the paint than any other playoff year makes sense (and if you want to argue that spacing caused him to collapse into the defense less, it doesn’t make sense that it rose again the next year).

There’s nothing against him, given that this was before the 5 out pace and space era exploded for him, having an offensive ATG playoff run in 2016. We see him do this for a longer period of time post all star break, shooting for the team not as hot but team offense still better than the Warriors that year with Curry.

You can say, oh lebron only struggled more in 2013 because he was in a harder situations, while that doesn’t change that he struggled it is valid.

To say that lebron was better and picking his spots and running the offense in his latter years is also valid.

But the idea it’s blasphemous to put more stock into the guy that actually did it, when that guy himself called himself incomplete during that first Miami run when he was 27 (obv he was 28 in 2013 but still)

Calling on 2017 makes no sense here, since I think most people that argue 2016 as his peak have 2017 as his offensive peak lol, and prolly his peak level of play.

It’s fine to say 2013 lebron could do so, even if I don’t necessarily agree.

Acting as if it’s unreasonable to have 2016 bron because they don’t believe in your hypothetical is weird.

People saying that wades health stopped him from getting 70+ wins are building a bit of a straw man for me. If he won 72 games that doesn’t change the fact that I think one was better in the playoffs lol. The gap between 15 and 16 wins in the playoffs is infinitely bigger than 57 and 73 wins lol

I think 2016 lebron was better on defense in the playoffs, iq quarterbacking all of that, as far as I know no ones really made a convincing argument otherwise


A few points:

1. 2013 LeBron averaged MORE assists than 2016 LeBron. The idea he was a better playmaker in 2016 is absurd. The only difference is that JR, Kyrie were hitting their when LeBron passed them the ball compared to Wade or Battier missing. There is zero difference in playmaking between the years. I can buy that LeBron's shooting, postgame, or driving game differed between years but the idea that he declined as a passer or playmaker in Miami is absurd. He was always an all-time level passer. He had a career high in Assists in 2010 with the Cavs. It's dumb to think LeBron was great at playmaking for the Cavs 1st stint, then declined in vision in Miami, then went back up in Cavs 2nd stint. The only difference is he had different roles all 3 times.

2. Free Throw attempts. 2013 LeBron suffered more from a lack of Free throw calls. This was Peak Roy Hibbert verticality era where the Refs swallowed their whistles any time Hibbert jumped in the air. Then they did the same in the finals. The Heat had the fewest Free Throw Attempts in a 7 game series in History. Not just Finals, but all playoffs. They weren't getting a call all playoffs.

3. 2016 was the beginning of the pace and space era. The Cavs shot 30 3 Pointers per game while the Heat shot 20 3 Pointer per game. The difference in 3 Point attempts per game (10) is bigger than the difference in 3 point attempts between the 2013 Heat (20) and the 1998 Bulls (13) who had no notable 3 point shooters on the roster outside of Steve Kerr's 2 3PA/game. The difference in basketball in 2016 was huge compared to even just a few years earlier.

4. 2013 LeBron was just as good in the playoffs defensively considering he had a bigger load. The Heat's defensive scheme was much more demanding physically. He had to cover up a ton of holes because of Wade's injuries and Bosh's poor defense. He also had more rebounding responsibility because the Heat were a smaller team getting killed on the boards by the bigger Pacers and Spurs.

It's easier to look good defensively when your main cover is Andre Iguodala or Draymond Green. He can easily roam around looking like help defense menace. He can't do the same vs. Paul George or Tony Parker. They will kill you if you leave them open. 2016 LeBron has no shot staying in front of Peak Tony Parker who was averaging 22 PPG in the Western Conference playoffs.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#35 » by falcolombardi » Wed Jun 15, 2022 6:34 pm

Djoker wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Djoker wrote:The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.


sure, but i fail to see the point?

if scottie pippen doesnt play the game of his life in 1993 against knicks game 3, bulls go down 0-3 with jordan having one of the worst 3 game stretches of his prime costing them the ring

game 1: 27/2/5 on -8% efficiency
game 2: 36/6/9 on -6% efficiency
game 3 22/8/11 on -10% efficiency

does pippen saving the bulls season in game 3 when jordan was struggling invalidate jordan 92 season? i dont get this reasoning that a player having a close call or bad moments somehow invalidate the whole thingh


Jordan's struggles in that series were nowhere near Lebron's struggles plus 3 games vs. 6 games but regardless... That's not the point. My post was simply to show the absurdity of what-if arguments. "If Wade was healthy..." or "If Allen didn't make that shot..." or "If Green doesn't get suspended..." or whatever. You can always spin that line of thinking in either direction. Lebron's teams could have done better or they could have done worse. At the end let's judge them on what they did do. The 2013 Heat and 2013 Lebron individually didn't have the greatest of postseasons.

Going back to the OP, I have a hard time choosing between 2013 and 2016 Lebron. 2013 Lebron was weak offensively at times in the playoffs, almost passive at times but he had much better motor and carried the team for the entire season and postseason. 2016 Lebron was better offensively although as people pointed out his finals apart from Game 5&6 was weak offensively. However he wasn't passive and he pressured the defense more. It may not be evident from the stat sheet but even down 1-3 to the Warriors I don't remember feeling disappointed with his performance that way I was early in the 2013 Finals. However, he did cruise during the regular season in 2016 which is a luxury you don't get on a weaker team and/or in a stronger conference. If I was choosing one of them just for the playoffs it would be 2016 Lebron so I guess that season wins by a smidge. At the end that's a bit more important than regular season consistency.


your argument ia that 2013 cannot be that good if he was saved from losing by a teammate clutch shot, the reasoning would lead down to sayin that any run where a teammate savea a key game or elimination game cannot be that good either

in the example i gave jordan was awful for half the series and needed pippen to step up to avoid a unsurmountable 0-3 in the conference finals against the underdog knicks

lebron was bad for like 4 games of 7 so is not that far off and the reason allen clutch shot was game amd series saving was because lebron stepped up im the fourth quarter, closed the deal in overtime then finished it in game 7

just like jordan was saved from losing the conference finals and after his awful start he stepped up and finished the deal in the rest lf the series

and yes, jordan games 1-3 were awful, shoot the bulls out of the games almost into a 0-3
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#36 » by MyUniBroDavis » Wed Jun 15, 2022 10:03 pm

colts18 wrote:
MyUniBroDavis wrote:Saying 2016 lebron is a better playmaker than 2013 lebron and would generally pull the trigger more on windows the 2013 version would hesitate on is valid.

Posting about “all time postseason offenses” is valid because it was an all time postseason offense lmfao.

No one is saying that 2013 lebron is trash on offense while 2016 lebron is a god. Acting as if there is some sort of absurd separation between the two on that end isn’t true either.

On a factual basis offensively 2016 lebron did better against worse competition. But acting as if the Warriors are easy to score against without bogus when we’ve seen how good their team defense is when they actually try or that the hawks because al horford is their center arent a 2nd ranked defense isn’t fair. Nor is ignoring the fact that the refs were swallowing their whistles for lebron that year, unless you believe him being league average in ftr that playoffs despite him attempting more of his shots in the paint than any other playoff year makes sense (and if you want to argue that spacing caused him to collapse into the defense less, it doesn’t make sense that it rose again the next year).

There’s nothing against him, given that this was before the 5 out pace and space era exploded for him, having an offensive ATG playoff run in 2016. We see him do this for a longer period of time post all star break, shooting for the team not as hot but team offense still better than the Warriors that year with Curry.

You can say, oh lebron only struggled more in 2013 because he was in a harder situations, while that doesn’t change that he struggled it is valid.

To say that lebron was better and picking his spots and running the offense in his latter years is also valid.

But the idea it’s blasphemous to put more stock into the guy that actually did it, when that guy himself called himself incomplete during that first Miami run when he was 27 (obv he was 28 in 2013 but still)

Calling on 2017 makes no sense here, since I think most people that argue 2016 as his peak have 2017 as his offensive peak lol, and prolly his peak level of play.

It’s fine to say 2013 lebron could do so, even if I don’t necessarily agree.

Acting as if it’s unreasonable to have 2016 bron because they don’t believe in your hypothetical is weird.

People saying that wades health stopped him from getting 70+ wins are building a bit of a straw man for me. If he won 72 games that doesn’t change the fact that I think one was better in the playoffs lol. The gap between 15 and 16 wins in the playoffs is infinitely bigger than 57 and 73 wins lol

I think 2016 lebron was better on defense in the playoffs, iq quarterbacking all of that, as far as I know no ones really made a convincing argument otherwise


A few points:

1. 2013 LeBron averaged MORE assists than 2016 LeBron. The idea he was a better playmaker in 2016 is absurd. The only difference is that JR, Kyrie were hitting their when LeBron passed them the ball compared to Wade or Battier missing. There is zero difference in playmaking between the years. I can buy that LeBron's shooting, postgame, or driving game differed between years but the idea that he declined as a passer or playmaker in Miami is absurd. He was always an all-time level passer. He had a career high in Assists in 2010 with the Cavs. It's dumb to think LeBron was great at playmaking for the Cavs 1st stint, then declined in vision in Miami, then went back up in Cavs 2nd stint. The only difference is he had different roles all 3 times.

2. Free Throw attempts. 2013 LeBron suffered more from a lack of Free throw calls. This was Peak Roy Hibbert verticality era where the Refs swallowed their whistles any time Hibbert jumped in the air. Then they did the same in the finals. The Heat had the fewest Free Throw Attempts in a 7 game series in History. Not just Finals, but all playoffs. They weren't getting a call all playoffs.

3. 2016 was the beginning of the pace and space era. The Cavs shot 30 3 Pointers per game while the Heat shot 20 3 Pointer per game. The difference in 3 Point attempts per game (10) is bigger than the difference in 3 point attempts between the 2013 Heat (20) and the 1998 Bulls (13) who had no notable 3 point shooters on the roster outside of Steve Kerr's 2 3PA/game. The difference in basketball in 2016 was huge compared to even just a few years earlier.

4. 2013 LeBron was just as good in the playoffs defensively considering he had a bigger load. The Heat's defensive scheme was much more demanding physically. He had to cover up a ton of holes because of Wade's injuries and Bosh's poor defense. He also had more rebounding responsibility because the Heat were a smaller team getting killed on the boards by the bigger Pacers and Spurs.

It's easier to look good defensively when your main cover is Andre Iguodala or Draymond Green. He can easily roam around looking like help defense menace. He can't do the same vs. Paul George or Tony Parker. They will kill you if you leave them open. 2016 LeBron has no shot staying in front of Peak Tony Parker who was averaging 22 PPG in the Western Conference playoffs.


1. Are you implying he was as good a passer/floor general in first stint cavs than second stint? I mean, that’s just not true, and I don’t really think that’s a position I need to defend lol. There’s more to playmaking/being a floor general than turnover numbers or assist percentage.

Saying it’s absurd he was a better playmaker or running the offense in his second Cleveland stint when that’s probably a majority opinion.

2. Sure, I agree that there were missed calls in 2013 as well,but which year was the outlier in ftr? It’s fair to say that calls have been against him for awhile, probably since after he left Cleveland the first time the whistle has been a bit unkind to him, and especially since he went to LA, but the playoff run it’s an outlier among those years is in 2016.

3. The evidence points to very strong perimeter defender in 2013 vs near DPOY type defender in 2016, and not just in the playoffs. lebron was in the 90th percentile as an iso defender for both RS and playoffs, 2013 lebron was in the 50th-60th percentile in both of I remember. Sure some of that might be matchups but that’s substantial gap, so him not being able to stay in front doesn’t make sense, 2015 he was hurt so it didn’t show as much but he slimmed down from his Miami run anyways.

Your arguments defensively apply far more to 2020 Lebron, who also graded out better than 2013 lebron in a similar fashion, and even then they’re dubious at best because that’s the same logic you could use to say iggy>draymond on defense.

The idea that there’s no difference between Miami bron and later lebrons isn’t true, the man himself said he “hadn’t scratched the surface, didn’t know his game.”

Your points would be more valid if we were comparing him to 2020 lebron, that’s not the case.

1.
He was a better playmaker and floor general in his second Cleveland stint compared to his first Cleveland stint and Miami bron, that’s not really something people dispute, no one is disagreeing that he was already a ATG playmaker beforehand. Let’s not act like this is an absurd take lol, that his bball iq increased from his 6th nba season to his 13th one

2.
There was a clear issue with fouls in 2016, similar to the one he has today. This does not mean it wasn’t an issue in his Miami years as well compared to his first Cleveland stint, but his 2016 season as a whole is a clear outlier until he goes to the Lakers where now he can’t buy a call

3.
I can agree he was a better defender in the 2013 RS. Realistically there isn’t much evidence supporting that but sure. I think his defense in the playoffs of 2016 was better.

Could 2013 lebron do what 2016 lebron did in defense? Yeah maybe, or maybe 2016 lebron was a smarter defender and read plays better and generally broke them up, although he didn’t get as much highlight blocks (untill the finals of course) so he was a more effective defender. This doesn’t mean 2013 lebron was an idiot that couldn’t tell who was dribbling the ball lol, he obviously also had a great defensive iq.

I’d rather take the guy that did it than the guy that might do it hypothetically

Using this logic 2018 lebron is the best lebron ever, he faced strong defenses and absolutely dominated all of them while teams weren’t respecting his shooters and packing the paint often untill playing a series with a messed up hand, if he had a better offensive cast he would have probably been an even more effective playmaker since he had to force things up at times, also defensively he wasn’t good over the series but that’s because of the load he carried if he had a normal offensive cast he would have been DPOY

I agree 2016 lebron had more spacing which led to him leading a stronger offense and scoring more effeciently at the paint, and 2013 lebron had a tougher situation in this regard.

Their performances don’t reflect 2013 lebron being a million times better, one did better in a easier situation, one did worse in a more difficult one
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#37 » by Djoker » Thu Jun 16, 2022 5:06 am

falcolombardi wrote:
Djoker wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
sure, but i fail to see the point?

if scottie pippen doesnt play the game of his life in 1993 against knicks game 3, bulls go down 0-3 with jordan having one of the worst 3 game stretches of his prime costing them the ring

game 1: 27/2/5 on -8% efficiency
game 2: 36/6/9 on -6% efficiency
game 3 22/8/11 on -10% efficiency

does pippen saving the bulls season in game 3 when jordan was struggling invalidate jordan 92 season? i dont get this reasoning that a player having a close call or bad moments somehow invalidate the whole thingh


Jordan's struggles in that series were nowhere near Lebron's struggles plus 3 games vs. 6 games but regardless... That's not the point. My post was simply to show the absurdity of what-if arguments. "If Wade was healthy..." or "If Allen didn't make that shot..." or "If Green doesn't get suspended..." or whatever. You can always spin that line of thinking in either direction. Lebron's teams could have done better or they could have done worse. At the end let's judge them on what they did do. The 2013 Heat and 2013 Lebron individually didn't have the greatest of postseasons.

Going back to the OP, I have a hard time choosing between 2013 and 2016 Lebron. 2013 Lebron was weak offensively at times in the playoffs, almost passive at times but he had much better motor and carried the team for the entire season and postseason. 2016 Lebron was better offensively although as people pointed out his finals apart from Game 5&6 was weak offensively. However he wasn't passive and he pressured the defense more. It may not be evident from the stat sheet but even down 1-3 to the Warriors I don't remember feeling disappointed with his performance that way I was early in the 2013 Finals. However, he did cruise during the regular season in 2016 which is a luxury you don't get on a weaker team and/or in a stronger conference. If I was choosing one of them just for the playoffs it would be 2016 Lebron so I guess that season wins by a smidge. At the end that's a bit more important than regular season consistency.


your argument ia that 2013 cannot be that good if he was saved from losing by a teammate clutch shot, the reasoning would lead down to sayin that any run where a teammate savea a key game or elimination game cannot be that good either

in the example i gave jordan was awful for half the series and needed pippen to step up to avoid a unsurmountable 0-3 in the conference finals against the underdog knicks

lebron was bad for like 4 games of 7 so is not that far off and the reason allen clutch shot was game amd series saving was because lebron stepped up im the fourth quarter, closed the deal in overtime then finished it in game 7

just like jordan was saved from losing the conference finals and after his awful start he stepped up and finished the deal in the rest lf the series

and yes, jordan games 1-3 were awful, shoot the bulls out of the games almost into a 0-3


My argument is that any logic revolving around what-if scenarios is total bull.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#38 » by homecourtloss » Thu Jun 16, 2022 2:37 pm

Djoker wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Djoker wrote:The "If Wade didn't get injured and the Heat rolled through the playoffs..." is balanced out by the "If Ray Allen didn't make that shot, Lebron would have lost the 2013 Finals as the favorite while averaging 23 ppg on 50 %TS and getting outplayed by an old Tim Duncan."

If Ray didn't make that shot, nobody would have made this thread in a million years. In fact, 2013 would be one of Lebron's most disappointing seasons.


sure, but i fail to see the point?

if scottie pippen doesnt play the game of his life in 1993 against knicks game 3, bulls go down 0-3 with jordan having one of the worst 3 game stretches of his prime costing them the ring

game 1: 27/2/5 on -8% efficiency
game 2: 36/6/9 on -6% efficiency
game 3 22/8/11 on -10% efficiency

does pippen saving the bulls season in game 3 when jordan was struggling invalidate jordan 92 season? i dont get this reasoning that a player having a close call or bad moments somehow invalidate the whole thingh


Jordan's struggles in that series were nowhere near Lebron's struggles plus 3 games vs. 6 games but regardless... That's not the point. My post was simply to show the absurdity of what-if arguments. "If Wade was healthy..." or "If Allen didn't make that shot..." or "If Green doesn't get suspended..." or whatever. You can always spin that line of thinking in either direction. Lebron's teams could have done better or they could have done worse. At the end let's judge them on what they did do. The 2013 Heat and 2013 Lebron individually didn't have the greatest of postseasons.

Going back to the OP, I have a hard time choosing between 2013 and 2016 Lebron. 2013 Lebron was weak offensively at times in the playoffs, almost passive at times but he had much better motor and carried the team for the entire season and postseason. 2016 Lebron was better offensively although as people pointed out his finals apart from Game 5&6 was weak offensively. However he wasn't passive and he pressured the defense more. It may not be evident from the stat sheet but even down 1-3 to the Warriors I don't remember feeling disappointed with his performance that way I was early in the 2013 Finals. However, he did cruise during the regular season in 2016 which is a luxury you don't get on a weaker team and/or in a stronger conference. If I was choosing one of them just for the playoffs it would be 2016 Lebron so I guess that season wins by a smidge. At the end that's a bit more important than regular season consistency.


Regarding the bolded, this was primarily a function of Wade’s injuries and his presence on court hobbling the offense (opponents not respecting his shooting, sagging off of him).

During the regular season: James/Wade paired really well together, +14.4 per 100 possessions on court, 114.4 ORtg, equivalent to about a +8 rORtg, would be the #1 offense in the league by over 3 points per 100 possessions

During the playoffs

2013 Heat ORtg with LeBron on court (960 minutes): 109.9
2013 Heat ORtg with LeBron and Wade on court (678 minutes): 105.0
2013 Heat ORtg with LeBron on, Wade off (282 minutes): 121.8

2013 Heat ORtg vs. Bucks with LeBron on court 115.1
2013 Heat ORtg vs. Bucks with LeBron On, Wade off: 116.8

2013 Heat ORtg vs. Bulls with LeBron on court: 110.1
2013 Heat ORtg vs. Bulls with LeBron on court, Wade off: 118.2

2013 Heat ORtg vs. Pacers with LeBron ON court: 110.6
2013 Heat ORtg vs. Pacers with LeBron on court, Wade off: 121.2

2013 Heat ORtg vs. Spurs with LeBron on court: 106.7
2013 Heat ORtg vs. Spurs with LeBron on court, Wade off: 131.3

His individual numbers with Wade off the court those playoffs:

33.8 inflation adjusted PTS/75 on +7.8 rTS%
8.6 REB/75
8.6 AST/75
1.8 STL/75
1.2 BLK/75 (0.9 at the rim)

All while leading a +17.7 offense (would be the best all time)
lessthanjake wrote:Kyrie was extremely impactful without LeBron, and basically had zero impact whatsoever if LeBron was on the court.

lessthanjake wrote: By playing in a way that prevents Kyrie from getting much impact, LeBron ensures that controlling for Kyrie has limited effect…
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#39 » by capfan33 » Thu Jun 16, 2022 4:14 pm

Djoker wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
Djoker wrote:
Jordan's struggles in that series were nowhere near Lebron's struggles plus 3 games vs. 6 games but regardless... That's not the point. My post was simply to show the absurdity of what-if arguments. "If Wade was healthy..." or "If Allen didn't make that shot..." or "If Green doesn't get suspended..." or whatever. You can always spin that line of thinking in either direction. Lebron's teams could have done better or they could have done worse. At the end let's judge them on what they did do. The 2013 Heat and 2013 Lebron individually didn't have the greatest of postseasons.

Going back to the OP, I have a hard time choosing between 2013 and 2016 Lebron. 2013 Lebron was weak offensively at times in the playoffs, almost passive at times but he had much better motor and carried the team for the entire season and postseason. 2016 Lebron was better offensively although as people pointed out his finals apart from Game 5&6 was weak offensively. However he wasn't passive and he pressured the defense more. It may not be evident from the stat sheet but even down 1-3 to the Warriors I don't remember feeling disappointed with his performance that way I was early in the 2013 Finals. However, he did cruise during the regular season in 2016 which is a luxury you don't get on a weaker team and/or in a stronger conference. If I was choosing one of them just for the playoffs it would be 2016 Lebron so I guess that season wins by a smidge. At the end that's a bit more important than regular season consistency.


your argument ia that 2013 cannot be that good if he was saved from losing by a teammate clutch shot, the reasoning would lead down to sayin that any run where a teammate savea a key game or elimination game cannot be that good either

in the example i gave jordan was awful for half the series and needed pippen to step up to avoid a unsurmountable 0-3 in the conference finals against the underdog knicks

lebron was bad for like 4 games of 7 so is not that far off and the reason allen clutch shot was game amd series saving was because lebron stepped up im the fourth quarter, closed the deal in overtime then finished it in game 7

just like jordan was saved from losing the conference finals and after his awful start he stepped up and finished the deal in the rest lf the series

and yes, jordan games 1-3 were awful, shoot the bulls out of the games almost into a 0-3


My argument is that any logic revolving around what-if scenarios is total bull.



I don't care about legacy or narrative in evaluating players. I'm basically trying to figure out who I would draft as a GM in an all-time draft if I don't know anything else and were running a simulation a thousand times. As such, for me what-if scenerios definitely matter.

If it doesn't for you for what you're trying to do thats completely fine, but I think in that case you should just acknowledge that we have different criteria. What-if scenerios aren't "bull", there a useful thought experiment that can both be interesting and lend new perspective to analyzing a given situation.
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Re: 2013 LeBron vs 2016 LeBron 

Post#40 » by Djoker » Thu Jun 16, 2022 6:10 pm

homecourtloss wrote:
Djoker wrote:
falcolombardi wrote:
sure, but i fail to see the point?

if scottie pippen doesnt play the game of his life in 1993 against knicks game 3, bulls go down 0-3 with jordan having one of the worst 3 game stretches of his prime costing them the ring

game 1: 27/2/5 on -8% efficiency
game 2: 36/6/9 on -6% efficiency
game 3 22/8/11 on -10% efficiency

does pippen saving the bulls season in game 3 when jordan was struggling invalidate jordan 92 season? i dont get this reasoning that a player having a close call or bad moments somehow invalidate the whole thingh


Jordan's struggles in that series were nowhere near Lebron's struggles plus 3 games vs. 6 games but regardless... That's not the point. My post was simply to show the absurdity of what-if arguments. "If Wade was healthy..." or "If Allen didn't make that shot..." or "If Green doesn't get suspended..." or whatever. You can always spin that line of thinking in either direction. Lebron's teams could have done better or they could have done worse. At the end let's judge them on what they did do. The 2013 Heat and 2013 Lebron individually didn't have the greatest of postseasons.

Going back to the OP, I have a hard time choosing between 2013 and 2016 Lebron. 2013 Lebron was weak offensively at times in the playoffs, almost passive at times but he had much better motor and carried the team for the entire season and postseason. 2016 Lebron was better offensively although as people pointed out his finals apart from Game 5&6 was weak offensively. However he wasn't passive and he pressured the defense more. It may not be evident from the stat sheet but even down 1-3 to the Warriors I don't remember feeling disappointed with his performance that way I was early in the 2013 Finals. However, he did cruise during the regular season in 2016 which is a luxury you don't get on a weaker team and/or in a stronger conference. If I was choosing one of them just for the playoffs it would be 2016 Lebron so I guess that season wins by a smidge. At the end that's a bit more important than regular season consistency.


Regarding the bolded, this was primarily a function of Wade’s injuries and his presence on court hobbling the offense (opponents not respecting his shooting, sagging off of him).

During the regular season: James/Wade paired really well together, +14.4 per 100 possessions on court, 114.4 ORtg, equivalent to about a +8 rORtg, would be the #1 offense in the league by over 3 points per 100 possessions

During the playoffs

2013 Heat ORtg with LeBron on court (960 minutes): 109.9
2013 Heat ORtg with LeBron and Wade on court (678 minutes): 105.0
2013 Heat ORtg with LeBron on, Wade off (282 minutes): 121.8

2013 Heat ORtg vs. Bucks with LeBron on court 115.1
2013 Heat ORtg vs. Bucks with LeBron On, Wade off: 116.8

2013 Heat ORtg vs. Bulls with LeBron on court: 110.1
2013 Heat ORtg vs. Bulls with LeBron on court, Wade off: 118.2

2013 Heat ORtg vs. Pacers with LeBron ON court: 110.6
2013 Heat ORtg vs. Pacers with LeBron on court, Wade off: 121.2

2013 Heat ORtg vs. Spurs with LeBron on court: 106.7
2013 Heat ORtg vs. Spurs with LeBron on court, Wade off: 131.3

His individual numbers with Wade off the court those playoffs:

33.8 inflation adjusted PTS/75 on +7.8 rTS%
8.6 REB/75
8.6 AST/75
1.8 STL/75
1.2 BLK/75 (0.9 at the rim)

All while leading a +17.7 offense (would be the best all time)


Yes but Lebron and Wade being bad on the court together was generally the case during Lebron's entire Miami stint. In fact the Heat were also generally better with Wade ON Lebron OFF weren't they? Both Lebron and Wade lost a ton of value when forced into an off-ball role and Ben Taylor in fact cited this as peak Lebron's greatest weakness in the Greatest Peaks series.

And I've seen you post these 2013 Playoff numbers a lot. Sample size in a single postseason is way too small. Super noisy!

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