Post#40 » by Blazers77 » Wed May 17, 2023 9:59 pm
I really like the title of this thread. Because honestly I think so many fans are in so many places regarding what is "right" for the offseason.
I'll weigh in on yours and then do as some others have and share mine:
1. Sharpe should be a keeper in any scenario. Learn from history and keep this young talent
2. Simons - one of the most likely trade assets in any win-now scenario. He has real value across this league.
3. Grant - his status as an unrestricted free agent complicates our situation. He was brought in to be part of the Lillard core. I also believe he should be a 3 and not a 4. But then we'll need a 4 who is basically the same athlete but a rebounder and I have no idea who that might be
Here is mine:
We cannot realistically build a championship roster around Damian Lillard. Our actual core is Sharpe, Simons and #3 (my pick is Scoot Henderson
Building around Lillard is simply unrealistic. The man had a career year and we still went 33-49. The only other players near his age are Nurkic and Grant. The rest of the roster is significantly younger. We simply don't have the capital to transform this roster into a championship caliber roster. And historically teams in our situation have only improved to that level through the addition of a generational talent like Larry Bird, Tim Duncan or Magic Johnson.
So with this in mind here is my unpopular plan:
1. Trade Lillard for a massive haul : draft picks (minimum 5 1sts if the talent in return isn't there), expiring contracts, the best young quality player that fills a need for us. New York, Miami, Boston, are all great options and have some or all of the above pieces. All are quite possibly one piece away from a championship.
2. Trade Nurkic - get as much as you can in return, and if necessary get draft capital. He's not healthy enough to include in our plan, and he gets upset when the team isn't competitive.
3. Keep Little, Thybulle, Winslow and Reddish but be ready to move them at the trade deadline should they fail to develop, or have off-court or locker room issues or have disproportionate trade value in the eyes of another GM.
4. Break up with our "spare parts" strategy, we've taken a flier on every cast-off you can think of, with the hopes they'll turn into something. Move on from Knox, Keon Johnson, and the G-league all start team we called up at the end of the season, and instead draft our own guys as our "projects."
5. Keep good locker room guys who don't care if they start or come off of the bench. This is basically just Drew Eubanks.
6. Move on from Jerami Grant's salary to open up more options in the trade market. We're not a free agent destination so our options are basically to build draft capital and move it for better players using potential cap room, or to re-sign our own draft picks to contract extensions.
What would this potentially look like?
1. a Boston deal returning Jaylen Brown (26), Robert Williams III (26) and draft picks - another alternative here is Horford and Williams, but that would really require a massive haul of picks - Boston is a good option because they have friendly contracts to build around.
1. a New York deal returning Julius Randle (25), RJ Barrett(22) and draft picks - other options here as well.
2. Trade Nurk and cut the return players, just get below the overall contract exposure and get a return a draft pick (lots of deals to choose from here)
3. Keep all listed players
4. Identify one player you want and package as many guys as you can, or move each of the listed players for draft capital
5. Eubanks, and maybe another guy out of Knox, Johnson, Walker, or Watford
It is hard to project a lineup but I'll take a go at it. I'm making the big assumption that Brown is moveable, and that Scoot Henderson can learn to hit the NBA 3:
PG: Scoot Henderson / Keon Johnson? / (draft or packaged return from option 4)
SG: Anfernee Simons /Shaedon Sharpe
SF: Jaylen Brown / Thybulle / Reddish
PF: Winslow / Little / (draft, or packaged return from option 4)
C: Robert Williams III / Eubanks
Obviously, there are a ton of moving parts, but from a general concept, this is the type of plan I believe the organization should consider. Is the above team better than this year? Probably not, but the core is pretty solid, and the balance sheet much cleaner. Plus a haul of draft picks gives the GM more options to build around. And a bit of competitive friction at SG might even force a future trade of one of those players, giving a better option at PF.