Red Beast wrote:Owly wrote:Red Beast wrote:
Not sure what point you are making. No one is saying that his age 19 year is his prime. ...
The poster suggest you are saying it is part of it. And you'll forgive the confusion ...Red Beast wrote:In Garnett's first 12 years in the NBA (his prime)
Especially when you still seem to be trying to broadly defend it with this ...Red Beast wrote:Most players have their defensive primes when they are younger.
At 19 though?his inability to impact defenses for the Wolves is telling
That seems to be somewhere between not knowing of better tools or not caring. For an 11 year spell (97-2007 i.e. from the start of the play by play era to his departure) Minnesota do 12.2 points better overall with him on the court. Long term RAPM studies show him to be a substantially impactful player. Looking at at 97-14 (Googlesites), 97-22 and 97-24 (w playoffs) RAPM all have him as one of the best defenders over that span (7th, 3rd, 1st) and generating the larger proportion of his impact on defense (roughly between a little under 2/3s to approaching 3/4 - eyeballing the numbers).
I will not engage further in the 19-year-old matter, it is nonsense. I stated in his first 12 years. If you are telling me that players are not better defensively in their first 12 years, well, I can't have a serious discussion with you. Either way, it is a straw man argument with no value.
I concur this should be a last go round on this.
This thread of discussion is entirely your doing. You labelled a span including a rookie year straight out of high school as "prime" but excluded a serious MVP contention year and actual DPoY year in a discussion increasingly focused on defense. You were challenged on this by another poster and half denied it.
No one is saying that his age 19 year is his prime
and half defended it in imprecise terms
Most players have their defensive primes when they are younger.
Younger than what?
You continue to do the same again saying it's a straw man - myself and the original poster have made clear it is merely a repetition of your own statement - and posting an adjacent defense of an imprecise position ...
If you are telling me that players are not better defensively in their first 12 years, well, I can't have a serious discussion with you
Better than what?
To be clear - and in a similarly final intended post in this exchange - in post 12 "Garnett's first 12 years in the NBA" is called "(his prime)" - it is unambiguous ...
In Garnett's first 12 years in the NBA (his prime)
A post queries this definition, specifically that your definitions leads to an inclusion of straight out of high school Garnett but not 2008 defensive player of the year Garnett.
At this point I can only read the defensiveness on this matter: suggesting it is others you can't have a serious discussion with, standing by the 12 year definition, without any attempt to clarify, as seeking to defend the choice to exclude 2008 from Garnett's prime (and latterly based on phrasing about defense, his defensive prime) whilst including his rookie year. I don't want to believe that's the position taken, because it seems, on the face of it, absurd, but I struggle to come to any other conclusion.
On the chance that this is a serious attempt to engage
I am not suggesting KG is not a great defender. He absolutely is. He just isn't as impactful as Ewing. RAPM is a highly limited stat. It is interesting but not one that I put great faith in to compare players with. I don't dismiss it, but it is not a comprehensive measure to be used for player comparison. By the way, what is Ewing's RAPM?
Again, how can the defenses KG was on while at Minnesota be explained? How could he not elevate defenses when great rim protecting big men like Ewing, Robinson, Duncan, Russell and Olajuwan could?
I'm not that into parsing out credit on particular ends. The framing of Garnett versus Ewing would depend on definitions. Any long term RAPM for Ewing would essentially be entirely outside his prime as the play-by-play era starts in 96-97. There isn't one number as people have calculated different versions as stated in the previous post. But for what it's worth, post-prime Ewing looks strong defensively ranking (and these players will have different size samples and different confidence intervals) 19th, 166th and 69th in the aforementioned respective long-term RAPM studies.
You ask for Minnesota's performance to be explained. And whilst I think no one believes RAPM (or a RAPM) is foolproof, various runnings of the methodology find that lineups with KG are far better defensively than ones without him and that weak teammates are dragging him down. Different studies will vary on individuals by degree but when looking at the highest minutes Timberwolves between 96-97 and 2006-07 - the start point dictated by the start of the play-by-play era, though also usefully not including a teenage Garnett as part of his in prime picture) we see impact stats suggest Szczerbiak ... negative defender; Peeler ... negative defender; Trenton Hassell ... negative defender; older Sam Mitchell ... negative defender - now this is where negative just means below average without any positional adjustment (smaller players have tended to be more positive on offense and negative on defense) and a quick skim of the first few minutes leaders across some of the RAPMs cited, one could of course dive into every teammate look at the various RAPM calculations account for the two numbers and see how they fit and see how they match up with comprehensive defensive film study, defensive defensive reputations and/or the raw on-off number. The thing is, whilst it isn't infallible and my understanding of it isn't complete, it is comparing the different lineups in a far more comprehensive way than I suspect most who just say "Why aren't the Timberwolves better?" Especially if it is as clankily and perhaps misleadingly phrased as "he never had the individual impact on defense to improve the overall effectiveness of the team defense" where of course, a cursory glance at Minnesota's splits would let you see that their defense improved substantially with him on court - for instance in 2003 - 102.4 Drtg with him on; 110.9 with him off - or 2004 - 98.5 with him on; 104.6 with him off.
And, whilst I'm not so into the specific defensive comparison as it depends on definitions I think ignoring the elite 2008 Celtics defense and the role Garnett played in it (and later Celtics defenses) would require either a very large blind spot or willful ignorance. Or if flipped and the question is "why not great team results every time" one can ask why the Knicks' defenses were never better than 2 points above average and typically around average through to 1991. And whilst some of the answer will be in players fluctuating, growing, getting hurt etc, the simple answers is at least four other players play, when you're on the bench 5 and coaches impact defenses too. The crude team level stuff doesn't explain why choose a particular player on the team, either. One could technically accurately, if misleadingly, say that the Knicks don't get good on defense until Anthony Mason arrives and tab him as their star defender rather than Ewing.




