prime1time wrote:Let's bring some reason back to the conversation. We will likely have a top 10 pick. I understand that a player might look good but we need to project the team forward. What position Okongwu play? He's an undersized 5 who doesn't shoot 3's. So either we play him at the 5 and live with the fact that he might struggle matching up with true 5's or he plays the 4, we have a normal 5 (likely Bryant or Wagner) and we lose floor spacing. In addition, Rui as he currently is constituted cannot guard 3's, so at the very least, they would compete directly for minutes.
Barring a truly dominant aspect of their game, the league is moving past undersized tweeter big-men who can't shoot. If you're drafting him to be a solid role player, fine. But it should be acknowledged that a competent GM can easily address that issue with vet mins once we have a competitive team.
People in here might disagree with me, but when you are as bad as the Wizards have been for the last couple of years and you have high draft picks, there should only be one goal. Drafting elite talent. That's why I never got on the Brandon Clarke bandwagon. As efficient as he is, will he ever be an elite player in this league? No. So here's the question for everyone in this thread. Who in this draft has the potential to be a franchise changing player?
A GM's job in the draft, this year or any year, is to get the maximum total value for your team. That's true whether you are the Wizards or any other team. You can't do better than getting maximum value, & any other goal you set will simply get in the way of reaching that one.
Your team's situation can affect
how you go after that goal, but it can't affect the goal. If you only have room on your squad for one rookie, b/c you are just all that good, then that will affect your strategy. For example, it'll make it unlikely that you trade down to get two picks in R1. Duh. OTOH, it would not get in the way of trading down to a lower pick & getting that 2d pick the following year. Or getting it with the intention of using it in some other way (e.g. to trade
up the next year).
So far, among the rookies who've played significant minutes, Brandon Clarke has been head & shoulders above the rest -- to speak plainly. If we look at guys who've played let's say 15 minutes a game or more, there isn't a single other player within shouting distance of Clarke in productivity.
As to "beauty contest" BS like "elite talent," it has literally zero meaning. Someone who scores nearly 24 points per 40 minutes at a TS% that verges on 70% is awfully good.
As to whether someone will or won't be an "elite player" in the league, I'm happy to put that notion in the trash can too. It's not helpful. What's an "elite player" anyway? How many of them are there in the league at any given time? 10? 15? Are there 20 "elite players?"
Go take a look at the top 10 players taken in 2015, 2016, 2017 & 2018 -- who are the "elite players?" I don't mean guys who in your opinion look great in the beauty contest & might some day be outstanding but aren't right now. Those aren't elite NBA players.
My list out of those 4 drafts, those 40 top picks? Karl Anthony Towns, Ben Simmons & Luka Doncic. That's it. A lot of people here wouldn't include Simmons. After his rookie season, I thought Tatum might become terrific, but he was worse last year & worse yet this year.
So, you know what? If Luka Doncic is there when you use one of your "high draft picks," you bet -- pick him! Duh. Was the he the guy you'd have wanted in 2018? I'm guessing maybe not. I could be wrong, of course, but I don't remember a lot of people here saying "Luka Doncic is head and shoulders the best player in this draft. Do anything you can to get him." You didn't say that, did you? I sure didn't.
How about in 2015? How far above Jahlik Okafor did you have KAT rated? Or, in 2016 -- did you rate Pascal Siakam an "elite talent?" He went #28. Or did you maybe have Brandan Ingram, Dragan Bender, Kris Dunn, Buddy Hield, Marquese Chriss, & Thon Maker (that's 6 of the top 10 players taken that year) rated ahead of Siakam? I sure did.
After all, Siakam was already 22. Who drafts someone that old? No chance he'll be an "elite player," right? Guess what -- Brandon Clarke is having a way better rookie season than did Pascal Siakam.