AnaheimRoyale wrote:A few months ago I thought T.Rob was the safe pick, so there's my credibility. Now of course, I also called him a Kenyon Martin clone, so I understood the guys limitations too, I just wondered if the Bobcats could afford to take a risky prospect.
I kept pointing out a major flaw T. Rob had wasn't so much a skill, it was the obvious, his height! You don't see very many great power forwards at 6'8, he's not even 6'9 with shoes, yet the media keeps listing him at 6'9 to further hype him up and this is part of the reason certain players eventually become busts because they're hyped to be some great player when they aren't that. T. Rob had one really great college season and he's been playing for 3 years, that should tell us something, plus he was never a great defender or post scorer, now there are reports that he's taking too many jumpers and having a hard time scoring inside, I'm not surprised at all, but this is the guy many "scouts" and "analysts" projected us taking 2nd overall.
AnaheimRoyale wrote: But then, this is why no poster should be making decisions of this sort, GM's with scouts and experts paid millions of dollars, with access to all sorts of information we don't have, should make them... and when they make the wrong decision, they should be held to account. I don't presume to claim more expertness than any teams staff on talent evaluation, I've been pretty consistent in this, but it's crazy to suggest we shouldn't judge them for mistakes. You can justify everything with "yeh, made sense at the time".
Jared Sullinger made a comment about these guys who get paid all of this money to judge talent, he said something along the lines of them not knowing how to play basketball but they get paid to scout who's good and who's not. I think he has a point to a degree, I'd rather have a scout who's played the game and knows a real ball player when he sees one. Even then you still risk making a bad decision like Jordan did numerous times, or Joe Dumars did with Darko and so on.
One thing I see is that many times the analysts dont analyse college players games in respect to the next level of play. Meaning, does this good college player have a NBA type of game/body/position to play at the next level. You hear guys like Dick Vitale, and Jay Bilas assume every college star will have a long NBA career, and that is why these players get so overly hyped up and many times become busts. This is why I said before the first thing I wanna know is how tall is the player and does his height match the position he wants to play at the next level, if you're 6'0 sg and you were a great scorer in college, you probably wont be a great player in the NBA. If you were a dominant post player in college at 6'7, you probably wont dominate in the NBA, and so on. Just my opinion though.