Jason Tatum: I'm going to average over 20, make the All Star team, and the Celtics are going to the finals

Michael Jordan · Post #361 » by **Michael Jordan** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:25 pm

Great bump.

Hard to believe Tatum is still 21 and entering his 3rd playoff run this year

Post #362 » by **dakomish23** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:26 pm

Ascrilas wrote:Damn we got some satifying bumps the past days lmao

So many prisoners of the moment when it comes to kids around the league. So many.

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skones · Post #363 » by **skones** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:27 pm

The finals prediction was always the ridiculous one. That remains IMO.

Post #364 » by **bisme37** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:27 pm

Am I crazy to think Tatum could end up being the best player in the Eastern Conference playoffs this year? Giannis is the best EC player of course but he's had some struggles in the postseason and may or may not take it to another level this year. There's the Philly guys and Butler and Siakam etc. But if JT continues to grow at this rate it's possible. His game is perhaps the best suited for the playoffs of any star in the East. And if it happens the Celtics ceiling is raised significantly. Just dreaming but I don't think it's out of the question.

Arsenal · Post #365 » by **Arsenal** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:28 pm

2 out of 3 correct ain't bad.

celticfan42487 · Post #366 » by **celticfan42487** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:30 pm

bisme37 wrote:Am I crazy to think Tatum could end up being the best player in the Eastern Conference playoffs this year?.

Yes

Post #367 » by **bisme37** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:31 pm

celticfan42487 wrote:
bisme37 wrote:Am I crazy to think Tatum could end up being the best player in the Eastern Conference playoffs this year?.

Yes

But why is it crazy? Seems like a lot of folks thought it was crazy to say he'd be as good as he is now, yet here we are.

SmartWentCrazy · Post #368 » by **SmartWentCrazy** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:33 pm

Where did all the Nets fans go that were dancing on the Celtics graves?

Blaze4G · Post #369 » by **Blaze4G** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:38 pm

madmaxmedia wrote:
cl2117 wrote:It's designed for the house to always make money by charging fees regardless of outcome and balancing the books. I work for an oddsmaker, we 100% set the odds based off of most likely outcome. Sportsbooks will take those odds and shade them accordingly based on betting patterns and amount of money they currently have on their books, but the swings aren't massive because it doesn't benefit them in the long-run. Initial lines are shaded the most and they'll get much tighter by the time we hit the start of the regular season.

So, no the lines are not 100% based on the most likely outcome, but the deviation will not be greater than 10% from what the consensus is (trap lines are a myth).

Hey I have a question for you- do you ever see particular types of bettors that seem to make money over the long haul?

Understanding that lines are set based on the actual contests themselves but then adjusted as you say, I feel like it's in those swings that serious bettors try to find an edge here and there? I think that's they mean by 'smart money', money that often comes in right as a line is set. I imagine you're only talking say 2 or maybe 3 points at the very most in a NFL game, nothing is going to be big of a swing.

The other type of serious betting I hear about is being an expert on a mid-major level NCAA league. The rationale is that the betting public isn't going to be as knowledgeable and is often going to bet known or sentimental favorites, and it might be easier to find good betting opportunities.

I use to gamble a lot 5 years ago. This is exactly what I did.

My local book would post their lines before USA at 7am each morning. USA would release all their lines at 8am (cant remember the exact times) and my local book wouldn't update until 9am. Their will be a few games with large discrepancies about + or - 5. So what I did for example was, if my local book has Lakers to beat Clippers -6 but I check USA odds and they have it as Lakers -1.

I go in early and bet $150 usd on Clippers +6. Sat and wait until the odds changed and bet $150 USD on Lakers -1. If Lakers won by 2-5, both tickets won profiting $270. If they win by less than 2 or more than 5 then 1 ticket wins and I am only out $15.

This would win more often times than not. For me to lose it would take 19 tries before I lost.

there was once where my local bookie was way off back in 2011 I believe. They had a Grizzlies game over/under 200.5 while USA had it at 176.5. I took all my savings and placed it on under only. Game ended with a total of 163 points. This was back in university so "all my savings" wasn't that much :lol:

roughly $800 usd.

SmartWentCrazy · Post #370 » by **SmartWentCrazy** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:39 pm

dakomish23 wrote:
Ascrilas wrote:Damn we got some satifying bumps the past days lmao

So many prisoners of the moment when it comes to kids around the league. So many.

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All threads bashing Tatum from this year :lol:

As Trae would say, the apologies should be as loud as the disrespect

Post #371 » by **jwise44** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:39 pm

Is prok gonna live up to his bets he lost?

Dude was adamant he was right

themoneyteam2 · Post #372 » by **themoneyteam2** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:42 pm

GiannisAnte34 wrote:Celtics fans coming out of the woodwork. Won't get the whistle like that on every night

Ironic coming from a Giannis fan...

What calls did Boston get last night to be so one sided? Did you watch the first half with Kawhi and Harrell’s free throws?

ItsMyPotPie · Post #373 » by **ItsMyPotPie** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:45 pm

Satisfying thread. 4/5. Would prefer Baynes not being called(or mis-typed) Baybes.

CeltsfanSinceBirth · Post #374 » by **CeltsfanSinceBirth** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:50 pm

jwise44 wrote:Is prok gonna live up to his bets he lost?

Dude was adamant he was right

We're gonna find out by the first week of March. :lol:

For those who have yet to see the bet:

https://forums.realgm.com/boards/viewtopic.php?f=6&t=1876869&start=40#p77887353

Homerclease · Post #375 » by **Homerclease** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:51 pm

[gfycat][/gfycat]

jwise44 wrote:Is prok gonna live up to his bets he lost?

Dude was adamant he was right

Nope. Nets fans don’t honor bets

Saint Lazarus · Post #376 » by **Saint Lazarus** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 5:53 pm

dakomish23 wrote:
Ascrilas wrote:Damn we got some satifying bumps the past days lmao

So many prisoners of the moment when it comes to kids around the league. So many.

viewtopic.php?t=1910628

viewtopic.php?t=1901112

viewtopic.php?t=1900143

viewtopic.php?t=1884435

quality stuff :lol:

Feed Your Head · Post #377 » by **Feed Your Head** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 6:02 pm

Just hoping the next step is people spelling his first name correctly.

Liver_Pooty · Post #378 » by **Liver_Pooty** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 6:06 pm

The Comedian wrote:Just hoping the next step is people spelling his first name correctly.

Bout as bad as "JJ Reddick"

KokoKaizer · Post #379 » by **KokoKaizer** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 6:13 pm

Liver_Pooty wrote:
The Comedian wrote:Just hoping the next step is people spelling his first name correctly.

Bout as bad as "JJ Reddick"

Or as bad as every foreigner name

GiannisAnte34 · Post #380 » by **GiannisAnte34** » Fri Feb 14, 2020 6:18 pm

themoneyteam2 wrote:
GiannisAnte34 wrote:Celtics fans coming out of the woodwork. Won't get the whistle like that on every night

Ironic coming from a Giannis fan...

What calls did Boston get last night to be so one sided? Did you watch the first half with Kawhi and Harrell’s free throws?

Giannis gets manhandled without calls routinely. Teams actually implement the strategy of hacking as hard and often as possible hoping that they can't possibly call all of them. GTFO of here with that nonsense take

Lou Williams hit that 3 and it should have counted plus the free throw. Game over Clippers win by 1