Retro POY '95-96 (Voting Complete)

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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#41 » by lorak » Thu May 27, 2010 7:24 am

Baller 24 wrote:
DavidStern wrote:
BTW, I checked Rockets S5 during that games:
vs Cavs: Kenny, Mack, Horry, Brown, Bryant
vs GSW: Kenny, Recasner, Mack, Horry, Brown
@ Suns: Kenny, Elie, Drexler, Brown, Bryant
vs NYK: Kenny, Moore, Mack, Brown, Bryant
@ Mavs: Kenny, Moore, Mack, Brown, Bryant
vs PTB: Recasner, Mack, Horry, Brown, Bryant
@ GSW (W): Kenny, Mack, Horry, Brown, Bryant
@ Sea: Kenny,Mack, Horry, Brown, Bryant
@ Sac: Kenny, Mack, Horry, Brown, Bryant/ Drexler from the bench
@ Den: Kenny, Drexler, Horry, Brown, Bryant


Sorry, missed this post. Yeah Drexler was pretty banged up too.

-- Without Olajuwon or Drexler: 1-7

-- Without Drexler with Olajuwon: 15-8, expand that out to a 82 games season and you're on pace to win 54 Games (6 of those wins without starting point guard Kenny Smith)

-- Without Olajuwon with Drexler: 0-3

Still don't see the point, with Olajuwon playing the Rockets win 47 games, if he played the remaining 10 games, with his pace they're on pace to win 54 games, and even without Drexler (quarter of the season) they're on pace to win 54 games. Doesn't regress one bit.


I don’t have time to check it, for example strength of opponents and numbers of home/away games, so for now I’ll leave it that way. But Baller, yeah, Rockets with Olajuwon were good. But you know that Jazz with Malone also were good. So I don’t see how it should be main argument to put Olajuwon above Malone.

I see it that way:
1. Jordan – obvious choice
2. Robinson – RS as good as Jordan’s (maybe even slightly better), but worst in PS; however PS still better than Olajuwon’s!
3. probably Penny – great RS and very good PS
4. probably Malone – because he had RS comparable to Hakeem and in PS was clearly better than Olajuwon
5. Payton or Hakeem. Normally it would be Olajuwon because his RS was so good. But in 1996 he played bad in PS, his team was swept. On the other hand 1996 is arguably Payton’s best season ever – DPOTY, won H2H matchups with both Malone and Hakeem, won two games against 72 wins Bulls. Well, I think that I’ll put him above Malone or even Penny.

So for now my list is:
1. Jordan
2. Robinson
3. Penny
4. Payton
5. Malone
(But if I hear good argument for Payton I’ll put him at 3rd. Well, he shut down Stockton, so maybe it’s a good argument?)

Hakeem just missed 5th spot because he wasn’t better in regular season than any of these players and they all were better in PS than Olajuwon.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#42 » by kaima » Thu May 27, 2010 9:28 am

DavidStern wrote:
Baller 24 wrote:(But if I hear good argument for Payton I’ll put him at 3rd. Well, he shut down Stockton, so maybe it’s a good argument?)


Stockton was badly injured in that series. Other than people being unaware of this, I don't see the reason Payton should get credit for that. He knew Stockton was injured, and was backing off of him much of the time because of it.

David Robinson as a "lock" for 2 seems quite myopic.

Going from 25 PPG in the regular season to 19 PPG against Malone's D is both a stinging indictment of Robinson and a ringing endorsement of Malone, who was the best post player in the playoffs overall that year.

Against Malone's defense Robinson had games of 11, 11 and 17. Malone, with Robinson guarding him, never scored under 22.

Hakeem's post-season was very bad as well, and showed just how deadly a matchup the Sonics were for him. It has to kill Sonics fans to know that the team that was champion in 94 and 95 almost certainly would have gone down like the Hindenburg if Seattle hadn't self-imploded early.

The difference between Hakeem and Robinson is that a mixture of Shawn Kemp and George Karl's post-traps, and key rotations killed Hakeem. Would this work without the underrated work of Kemp? Doubtful. But I don't know if Kemp could do this without George Karl's gameplan.

The Malone/Robinson faceoff, however, is simply one player being tougher and more talented in the post than the other. Put Malone on any team, and he could have done this to Robinson. The physical nature of Malone's post attack wore down and frightened (believe me, that's exactly how he looked) Robinson on both ends.

Point being, that a team keyed by a very talented all-star killed Hakeem. Whereas Robinson was demolished by Malone in an individuated matchup, plain and simple. He got shown up by a guy that was better at being a star player, a known trend for Robinson (in 1994 Robinson went from 29 ppg in the regular season to 20 against Malone, with games of 12 and 16 points).

Lastly, in the WCF Malone was the best player overall in the seven games. Kemp helped to do a number on Hakeem, but Malone was another matter entirely. That game seven is a mark against Malone, no doubt, but over the course it wasn't really a very close matchup.

Their numbers:

Mail: 27 PPG, 11.6 RPG, 5.1 AST, 2.1 STL, 0.4 BLK

Kemp: 20 PPG, 9.6 RPG, 1.3 AST, 0.9 STL, 1.3 BLK

When deciding between these three (Mail, Dream, Admiral), I think these factors must be accounted for.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#43 » by kaima » Thu May 27, 2010 9:50 am

sp6r=underrated wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:Yeah I'm seeing a trend of people looking to kill guys who have a rep for disappointing in the playoffs without applying the same standard across the board. With Hakeem people seem to be just saying "He was #1, looks about the same, so #2". I don't know how you put Hakeem at #2 after missing significant time on <50 win team, and I don't know how he moves up after a playoff performance he has his full supporting cast from the previous year where his stats go down and his team gets swept.


It is a disgusting joke. A tragedy. Probably the worst vote since Bush > Kerry. Robinson was better in the PS than Hakeem and far better in the RS. Yet there are a lot of people who still are going to vote for Hakeem. No series has more out of proportion warped people's perception than the 95 WCF.


This argument would have more merit if it was a true one-off.

In Robinson's top 3 seasons he was badly outplayed by a better post player in the playoffs.

Malone did it in 94, Hakeem in 95 and Malone again in 96. Robinson's legacy is actually inflated by people who pretend he had "one" bad series at his peak.

More like three meltdowns in his three top seasons. That definitely needs to be considered, and brushing it off as a one time thing doesn't really look at the facts.

Losing is one thing. But being outplayed on both ends by the star guarding you is something else entirely. This was David Robinson, at his absolute peak.

Robinson was TKO'd positionally three straight years when he was supposed to be a top three player. That's a pretty big deal.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#44 » by mysticbb » Thu May 27, 2010 12:43 pm

OK, again that statistical analysis:

Code: Select all

Rk Player              PER    WS    ON   SUM
1  Michael Jordan      28.3  25.4  13.5  67.2
2  David Robinson      29.3  19.0  6.6   54.9
3  Karl Malone         25.0  16.8  7.0   48.9
4  Anfernee Hardaway   24.6  16.0  5.7   46.3
5  Scottie Pippen      20.3  15.4  10.3  46.1
6  Shawn Kemp          23.1  14.4  4.9   42.3
7  John Stockton       19.9  14.4  7.5   41.8
8  Jeff Hornacek       19.5  14.3  7.6   41.5
9  Terrell Brandon     24.3  12.4  3.1   39.7
10 Gary Payton         19.3  14.7  5.3   39.4
11 Charles Barkley     25.2  11.4  0.7   37.3
12 Shaquille O'Neal    26.8  8.4   2.1   37.2
13 Toni Kukoc          18.0  10.7  7.7   36.3
14 Reggie Miller       20.6  10.9  4.2   35.8
15 Cedric Ceballos     21.6  10.0  3.6   35.2
16 Arvydas Sabonis     24.7  9.3   1.2   35.2
17 Grant Hill          21.0  11.8  2.3   35.0
18 Horace Grant        19.4  10.0  4.8   34.2
19 Hakeem Olajuwon     24.1  9.3   0.3   33.7
20 Alonzo Mourning     21.8  8.9   0.7   31.4


Playoff games are weighted 3 times as much as regular season games. That fits my personal idea best. Going by these numbers there is really nothing which can convince me that Olajuwon was a Top5 player in that season. As far as I'm concerned, if my personal impression is not complete different from those numbers, I feel very confident to vote in that way. Well, I already stated by objection regarding David Robinson, who in my eyes had better boxscore numbers than his real impact was. On the other side I think Olajuwon had usually a bigger impact than his boxscore numbers showed. But the difference is way too big in that season.

My vote so far (I read the discussion in this thread btw.):

1. Michael Jordan
2. David Robinson
3. Karl Malone
4. Anfernee Hardaway
5. Scottie Pippen
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#45 » by bastillon » Thu May 27, 2010 12:48 pm

kaima wrote:
sp6r=underrated wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:Yeah I'm seeing a trend of people looking to kill guys who have a rep for disappointing in the playoffs without applying the same standard across the board. With Hakeem people seem to be just saying "He was #1, looks about the same, so #2". I don't know how you put Hakeem at #2 after missing significant time on <50 win team, and I don't know how he moves up after a playoff performance he has his full supporting cast from the previous year where his stats go down and his team gets swept.


It is a disgusting joke. A tragedy. Probably the worst vote since Bush > Kerry. Robinson was better in the PS than Hakeem and far better in the RS. Yet there are a lot of people who still are going to vote for Hakeem. No series has more out of proportion warped people's perception than the 95 WCF.


This argument would have more merit if it was a true one-off.

In Robinson's top 3 seasons he was badly outplayed by a better post player in the playoffs.

Malone did it in 94, Hakeem in 95 and Malone again in 96. Robinson's legacy is actually inflated by people who pretend he had "one" bad series at his peak.

More like three meltdowns in his three top seasons. That definitely needs to be considered, and brushing it off as a one time thing doesn't really look at the facts.

Losing is one thing. But being outplayed on both ends by the star guarding you is something else entirely. This was David Robinson, at his absolute peak.

Robinson was TKO'd positionally three straight years when he was supposed to be a top three player. That's a pretty big deal.


great post.

I guess what I would wanna add is that you all ignored the reason why Hakeem played poorly against Seattle. you can't know it without re-watching the series. Olajuwon was absolutely swarmed by Seattle, because ALL of his teammates were either injured or just useless (Brown). when the team was still relatively healthy in 1st Rd, Hakeem was Dominant with a capital D. actually the only game they lost he had foul trouble and they were an entirely different team right away.

also, I don't know where the bad-matchup stuff is coming from. Seattle won against Rockets because they were the better team at the time (because of injuries). they were pounding the Rockets in the RS because they were the better team too. they were pounding the Lakers and Nuggets as well, but seems like it didn't help 'em in '94 and '95 because they just sucked in the playoffs those years.

Robinson was outplayed 1 vs 1 in the post. this matchup was just as visibly devastating for him as Hakeem-95 matchup. Olajuwon was just swarmed and Kemp didn't really guard him 1 vs 1. Rockets had a lot of trouble even getting the ball to the post. at times, Hakeem had to go beyond the 3P line and isolate from there to even get the ball (that was the case in G4)... and he still dominated when he had the opportunity to play 1 vs 1.

totally different scenarios. looking at boxscore stats without any context isn't the right thing to do. we might just as well look at WS leaders for that season and let Robinson be number 1. whatever man.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#46 » by semi-sentient » Thu May 27, 2010 2:24 pm

Regular Season

Code: Select all

Player     GM   MIN   PTS   TS%    REB   AST   STL   BLK   TOV
==============================================================
Jordan     82   37.7  30.4  .582   6.6   4.3   2.2   0.5   2.4
Payton     81   39.0  19.3  .554   4.2   7.5   2.9   0.2   3.2
Robinson   82   36.8  25.0  .589  12.2   3.0   1.4   3.3   2.3
Hardaway   82   36.8  21.7  .605   4.3   7.1   2.0   0.5   2.8
Malone     82   38.0  25.7  .575   9.8   4.2   1.7   0.7   2.4
Olajuwan   72   38.8  26.9  .558  10.9   3.6   1.6   2.9   3.4
Pippen     77   36.7  19.4  .551   6.4   5.9   1.7   0.7   2.7


Post Season

Code: Select all

Player     GM   MIN   PTS   TS%    REB   AST   STL   BLK   TOV
==============================================================
Jordan     18   40.7  30.7  .564   4.9   4.1   1.8   0.3   2.3
Payton     21   43.4  20.7  .568   5.1   6.8   1.8   0.3   2.9
Robinson   10   35.3  23.6  .569  10.1   2.4   1.5   2.5   2.4
Hardaway   12   39.4  23.3  .557   4.7   6.0   1.7   0.3   2.2
Malone     18   40.3  26.5  .498  10.3   4.4   1.9   0.6   2.5
Olajuwan    8   41.1  22.4  .544   9.1   3.9   1.9   2.1   3.6
Pippen     18   41.2  16.9  .473   8.5   5.9   2.6   0.9   2.3


Award Finishes

Code: Select all

Player     MVP    DPOY    All-NBA    All-Defense
================================================
Jordan     1      6       1st        1st
Payton     6      1       2nd        1st
Robinson   2      4       1st        1st
Hardaway   3      -       1st        ---
Malone     7      -       1st        ---
Olajuwan   4      5       2nd        2nd
Pippen     5      2       1st        1st




  1. Michael Jordan - No real arguments for anyone being over him, although it's interesting that this is one of the few times where his playoff production fell off across the board. That's what happens when you go up against better defenses as the playoffs progress, which is something Jordan wasn't used to -- particularly in the Finals.
  2. Karl Malone - Solid in both the regular season and playoffs. His poor efficiency in the playoffs is hard to swallow, but it's not enough to drop him down below Payton when looking at the season as a whole.
  3. Gary Payton - The man regularly gets overlooked because he's a little guy. He was the DPOY and proved that he was worthy of that award by playing some phenomenal defense on Jordan. In fact, that was Jordan's most ineffecient Finals ever. It wasn't just a fluke either. The Sonics were a really good defensive team and I think Payton deserves a good amount of credit despite being a little guy. I never underestimate a guard's ability to disrupt the flow of an opponents offense. It's mind-boggling how a guy can win DPOY while running his teams offense and not be ranked on some of these lists, especially when you consider the Sonics had the 2nd best record in the league. I guess his PER doesn't measure up? :roll:
  4. David Robinson - It's hard to rank this guy higher when he isn't putting in the work that other guys are. Barely 35 MPG in the post-season, which is less than he played in the regular season? That's kind of odd, and while I don't remember why that was the case, I'm not giving him love over other guys that played almost an entire quarter more and lead their teams further. Oh, and as usual, his number declined significantly across the board in the playoffs.
  5. Penny Hardaway - Great regular season without much dropoff in the post-season, and I love what he did without Shaq in the RS. That speaks volumes about his importance to the team.


HM: Hakeem, Pippen


Edit: Moved Malone up to #2, Payton down to #3, Robinson up to #4, and Hardaway down to #5.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#47 » by lorak » Thu May 27, 2010 2:31 pm

kaima wrote:
Malone did it in 94, Hakeem in 95 and Malone again in 96. Robinson's legacy is actually inflated by people who pretend he had "one" bad series at his peak.

More like three meltdowns in his three top seasons. That definitely needs to be considered, and brushing it off as a one time thing doesn't really look at the facts.

Meltdowns? I remember these series, but I wonder if you remember too:
1996 vs Jazz: 19.3 PPG, .526 TS%, 9 RPG, 2 APG, 1.7 SPG, 2.5 BPG
1995 vs Rockets: 23.8 PPG, .553 TS%, 11.3 RPG, 2.7 APG, 1.5 SPG, 2.2 BPG
1994 vs Jazz: 20 PPG, .471 TS%, 10 TRB, 3.5 APG, 0.8 SPG, 2.5 BPG

Besides, it’s worth to mention that Robinson never had good point guard around him. And I hope that there’s no need to explain how important is point guard to post up player…. Of course there was Avery, but he was a PG without three point range what was extremely important in PS. BTW, in 1994 they had no PG at all, and Del Negro with Anderson were trying to run the point, but they simply can’t.

BTW2, I would like to hear explanation from people who put Hakeem over Malone. How it’s possible that when they were equal in RS and Malone was better in PS you guys put Hakeem above Karl?! I hope you would be consistent and will do that same in 1995 or 1994 and will put Robinson above Hakeem…
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#48 » by lorak » Thu May 27, 2010 2:35 pm

semi-sentient wrote:. In fact, that was Jordan's most ineffecient Finals ever.


Because Karl put Schrempf on Jordan ;)
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#49 » by kaima » Thu May 27, 2010 3:02 pm

bastillon wrote:
kaima wrote:
This argument would have more merit if it was a true one-off.

In Robinson's top 3 seasons he was badly outplayed by a better post player in the playoffs.

Malone did it in 94, Hakeem in 95 and Malone again in 96. Robinson's legacy is actually inflated by people who pretend he had "one" bad series at his peak.

More like three meltdowns in his three top seasons. That definitely needs to be considered, and brushing it off as a one time thing doesn't really look at the facts.

Losing is one thing. But being outplayed on both ends by the star guarding you is something else entirely. This was David Robinson, at his absolute peak.

Robinson was TKO'd positionally three straight years when he was supposed to be a top three player. That's a pretty big deal.


great post.

I guess what I would wanna add is that you all ignored the reason why Hakeem played poorly against Seattle. you can't know it without re-watching the series. Olajuwon was absolutely swarmed by Seattle,


I don't know if this part was directed at me (as well...), but I largely agree with the thesis.

Karl's trapping schemes were an acid-test that the Rockets, as constructed, couldn't appear to pass.

Kemp was not the team defender that Olajuwon was, or the positional defender that Malone was, but he could be monstrous in Karl's system. He was a lynchpin in many ways for that gameplan.

I don't think he could do what he was doing without the traps and rotations that Karl's system brought, but I also question whether that system could work without him.

Exhibit a is the 1998 NBA playoffs with Vin Baker. A disaster.

because ALL of his teammates were either injured or just useless (Brown).


This is a common theme with contenders that consistently make deep playoff runs, the number going in, often, is three-four seasons of 100+ games.

Examples that come to mind are the Lakers of 03 (from 00-02 played 98-105 games each season), the 99 Jazz (from 96-98 played 100-102 games each season, then faced a condensed and daunting April of 1999 that pretty much ended their season), the 94 Bulls (key on the carry-through and change from Collins to Jackson, the Bulls from 90-93 played 98-104 games each season; though it's obvious, yet required, to note that Jordan wasn't there in 94...an open question in the statement) and the 91 Pistons (played 99-105 games from 88-90).

All the teams listed went from brutally tough opponents that played in multiple Finals (and all, save Utah, champions), to teams that either went out in the second round (LA, Utah, Chi) and/or with a whimper (LA, Utah, Det).

A recent exception that sticks out is/are the Billups(?) Pistons, though this might be a statement as to the relative weakness of the East during this period as well as the less physical nature of the game.

That's also not to say that we're looking at teams that collectively were teams, on court, throughout those seasons. But there seems to often be a collective fatigue, even if, say, Shaq misses twenty games one of those seasons, that affixes to a core of guys that have been together and played deep into the post-season over the course of at least a few post-seasons.

All this preamble is to say that the Rockets were arguably worn down. Though, in multiple ways they violate the criteria between a shifted core (the Drexler trade), a sense that they underplayed their hand in the 95 regular season (all the teams listed tended towards dominant regular seasons, that can be grueling in their own way), and fewer number of rounds and games.

They did have other things going against them, however, including having to play four road series in the 95 post-season, and overcoming 3-1 deficits in both title runs.

I could see where wear played a part, though the meltdown between series is rather telling. Teams like Utah in 99 and LA in 03 looked punch drunk when the playoffs started, whereas Houston looked good to go against LA in 96.

I would say that wear played a decent role, but that the matchup issues Seattle posed was at least as big a deal.

when the team was still relatively healthy in 1st Rd, Hakeem was Dominant with a capital D.


But this could still be a statement as to the matchup problems Seattle wrought.

also, I don't know where the bad-matchup stuff is coming from. Seattle won against Rockets because they were the better team at the time (because of injuries). they were pounding the Rockets in the RS because they were the better team too. they were pounding the Lakers and Nuggets as well, but seems like it didn't help 'em in '94 and '95 because they just sucked in the playoffs those years.


That's pretty much the point. Seattle imploded. Do I think the Nuggets were the better team? No.

I do think that George Karl's psychological failings were exposed, including his tendency to be a frontrunner that panicked when things started to go awry. You could see that in those Sonics teams.

But likewise, if the Sonics (and that's a big "if", but such is the nature of matchup evaluation) had kept their heads and met the Rockets, I wouldn't like Houston's odds from that selfsame standpoint of matchups, whether it be players or systems.

Robinson was outplayed 1 vs 1 in the post. this matchup was just as visibly devastating for him as Hakeem-95 matchup.


Certainly in agreement here.

The difference between a guy like Robinson versus Malone and Olajuwon is one where the former consistently lost head to head matchups against the latter at his peak. On both ends of the floor.

There's not a matchup for the latter two I can find -- as far as prime or peak play where they defended (and likely were guarded by) the opposing star/player -- where they were thoroughly outplayed, both offensively and defensively, over the course of a series by the guy assigned to them.

The closest I can find is Kemp v Olajuwon, and I would agree that a big part of that, even with Kemp as a huge factor within, was the trapping scheme itself.

Robinson was not dominant positionally in the playoffs at his peak. A huge deal.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#50 » by kaima » Thu May 27, 2010 3:17 pm

DavidStern wrote:
kaima wrote:
Malone did it in 94, Hakeem in 95 and Malone again in 96. Robinson's legacy is actually inflated by people who pretend he had "one" bad series at his peak.

More like three meltdowns in his three top seasons. That definitely needs to be considered, and brushing it off as a one time thing doesn't really look at the facts.

Meltdowns? I remember these series, but I wonder if you remember too:


When the best post-season you can find from Robinson against Malone/Hakeem, involves him either being outscored by 12 per (95) or his PPG dropping by 6 full points against the defense he faced from one of them, yeah, I'd say that he got owned.

And then there's 94, where his PPG drops by 9 points with Malone guarding him, while Karl scores 29 a game.

If he didn't get owned, then the word 'owned' in matchup contexts must simply not exist in your NBA vocabulary.

Besides, it’s worth to mention that Robinson never had good point guard around him. And I hope that there’s no need to explain how important is point guard to post up player…. Of course there was Avery, but he was a PG without three point range what was extremely important in PS.


Shaq had Nick Van Exel and still managed to drop 30 in the playoffs.

Also, interesting how Avery and the other scrubs didn't stop him from playing much better in the regular season.

Malone, in this instance, showed the ability to harass and hold Robinson, man to man, in the post. This does not fall on his teammates, as David was largely facing Malone's single coverage, rather than the trapping scheme Hakeem faced against Seattle.

If you actually understood skillsets, you wouldn't blame Avery Johnson. You'd blame Robinson.

His faceup game would not translate against the big guns come playoff time. His lack of post play, relatively lame range, and general timidity left him looking like a deer in the headlights his three peak seasons when Malone and Hakeem came headhunting.

BTW2, I would like to hear explanation from people who put Hakeem over Malone. How it’s possible that when they were equal in RS and Malone was better in PS you guys put Hakeem above Karl?! I hope you would be consistent and will do that same in 1995 or 1994 and will put Robinson above Hakeem…


I find it, likewise, pretty hard to justify putting Robinson over Malone considering the way the latter took apart the former in the 96 playoffs.

I understand the overall seasonal outlook, but this is like a weather report that predicts a sleet and hail thunderstorm with the reality being an 83 degree day with nothing but sun (well, actually, if you're a Robinson supporter, invert that).

When you get owned by a rival in a playoff series, wherein this directly leads your team -- which was again favored and held home court -- to go home early, I'd say there's a pretty strong argument for the guy that held you way below your average and easily outscored you, while leading his team over yours, to be ranked ahead of you as far as overall play that season.

But hey, that's me.

BTW, in Robinson's three peak seasons, he was not only owned by Malone and Hakeem, but also lost a series to them wherein the Spurs were favored to win while holding homecourt.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#51 » by sp6r=underrated » Thu May 27, 2010 3:26 pm

kaima wrote:All this preamble is to say that the Rockets were arguably worn down. Though, in multiple ways they violate the criteria between a shifted core (the Drexler trade), a sense that they underplayed their hand in the 95 regular season (all the teams listed tended towards dominant regular seasons, that can be grueling in their own way), and fewer number of rounds and games.

They did have other things going against them, however, including having to play four road series in the 95 post-season, and overcoming 3-1 deficits in both title runs.



The 96 Rockets weren't in the class of champions that you named. They were very weak for an NBA Champion and were a fluke champion.

Since 1980

Only One NBA champion won less than 50 games: 1995 Rockets
Only One NBA champion had an SRS (point differential + SOS) below 3: 1995 Rockets
Only One NBA champion played 5 elimination games: 1995 Rockets

Everything point to them being one of if not the weakest NBA champion in recent memory. That is the reason why Houston failed.

kaima wrote:I find it, likewise, pretty hard to justify putting Robinson over Malone considering the way the latter took apart the former in the 96 playoffs.

I understand the overall seasonal outlook, but this is like a weather report that predicts a sleet and hail thunderstorm with the reality being 84 degree day with nothing but sun (well, actually, if you're a Robinson supporter, invert that).

When you get owned by a rival in a playoff series, wherein this directly leads your team -- which was again favored and held home court -- to go home early, I'd say there's a pretty strong argument for the guy that held you way below your average and easily outscored you, while leading his team over yours, to be ranked ahead of you as far as overall play that season.

But hey, that's me.

BTW, in Robinson's three peak seasons, he was not only owned by Malone and Hakeem, but also lost a series to them wherein the Spurs were favored to win while holding homecourt.


You've made a good case for Malone, stronger than I thought existed, but Hakeem still has no business being above Robinson in 96. When a player outplays you as much as Robinson did Hakeem in the RS. You have to have a far better PS to pass him. Hakeem didn't
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#52 » by mysticbb » Thu May 27, 2010 3:34 pm

semi-sentient wrote:[*] Gary Payton - I guess his PER doesn't measure up? :roll:


Yes, PER will underrate him. You made some good arguments for him. I would really like to see some better evidence about his impact. Usually even an elite perimeter defender can't keep up with the impact of an interior defender. It is just the way it is.
I can see that his impact on the Supersonics was bigger than Kemp's, but that doesn't really shows up in the numbers.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#53 » by lorak » Thu May 27, 2010 3:54 pm

kaima wrote:
DavidStern wrote:
kaima wrote:
Malone did it in 94, Hakeem in 95 and Malone again in 96. Robinson's legacy is actually inflated by people who pretend he had "one" bad series at his peak.

More like three meltdowns in his three top seasons. That definitely needs to be considered, and brushing it off as a one time thing doesn't really look at the facts.

Meltdowns? I remember these series, but I wonder if you remember too:


When the best post-season you can find from Robinson against Malone/Hakeem, involves him either being outscored by 12 per (95) or his PPG dropping by 6 full points against the defense he faced from one of them, yeah, I'd say that he got owned.

And then there's 94, where his PPG drops by 9 points with Malone guarding him, while Karl scores 29 a game.

If he didn't get owned, then the word 'owned' in matchup contexts must simply not exist in your NBA vocabulary.


You said “meltdown”. Is it the same as “owned”? Besides, I think example for being owned is Ewing in 1994 finals. In no way Robinson was owned by Hakeem in 1995. Once again, here’s Robinson‘s numbers (of course they don’t tell whole story):
1996 vs Jazz: 19.3 PPG, .526 TS%, 9 RPG, 2 APG, 1.7 SPG, 2.5 BPG
1995 vs Rockets: 23.8 PPG, .553 TS%, 11.3 RPG, 2.7 APG, 1.5 SPG, 2.2 BPG
1994 vs Jazz: 20 PPG, .471 TS%, 10 TRB, 3.5 APG, 0.8 SPG, 2.5 BPG

Bottom line - it’s true that Robinson played worse in PS. But you know what, most of the players play worse in PS. Second, despite his drop off Robinson still was very good playoff player. Again, stats don’t tell whole story, but Robinson is 9th all time in playoffs WS/48, 23rd in WS and 15th in PER. So no matter how much you want twist it, no matter how many times you would be saying about Robinson’s drop off in playoff the fact remains that he still played very good in PS. Not as good as Jordan or Hakeem, but Garnett/Duncan level. For sure he wasn’t some scrub outplayed by everyone.


Shaq had Nick Van Exel and still managed to drop 30 in the playoffs.


Van Exel had three point range.

Also, interesting how Avery and the other scrubs didn't stop him from playing much better in the regular season.


That’s the nature of RS and PS. Matchups are exploit in PS, that’s the time of year when scouting really matters, and if your team had weak spots then they would be revealed. And that’s what Spurs opponents were doing with Avery.

I find it, likewise, pretty hard to justify putting Robinson over Malone considering the way the latter took apart the former in the 96 playoffs.


sp6r=underrated response to that is better than my would ever be.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#54 » by semi-sentient » Thu May 27, 2010 4:17 pm

mysticbb wrote:
semi-sentient wrote:[*] Gary Payton - I guess his PER doesn't measure up? :roll:


Yes, PER will underrate him. You made some good arguments for him. I would really like to see some better evidence about his impact. Usually even an elite perimeter defender can't keep up with the impact of an interior defender. It is just the way it is.
I can see that his impact on the Supersonics was bigger than Kemp's, but that doesn't really shows up in the numbers.


It's hard to show evidence of his impact on the defensive end using numbers, and I generally never rely on PER to judge performance, outside of maybe determining if there was a drop off from regular season to post season. His numbers weren't exactly stellar against the Bulls (defensive, that is, outside of rebounding which was phenomenal), but he did play very good defense from what I remember, particularly in the Finals against Jordan (from games 3-6, especially).

On offense, he scored just as much as Kemp while still dishing out 7.5 assists, so IMO he had the bigger impact. This is why I like him over guys like Robinson and Malone -- because he's responsible for running an offense as well as playing DPOY worthy defense. How many other DPOY winners were responsible for running their teams offense (as in, bringing the ball down, scoring, and setting up teammates)? Jordan? I can't think of anyone else off the top of my head.

BTW, I'll admit that I do have some bias towards Malone and Robinson, primarily because they disappointed in the playoffs more times than not. Robinson especially. I've never felt that his offensive game translates over well in the playoffs, and the same goes for Malone only to a lesser extent. Both guys are face up players, but Malone does have a distinct advantage in that he runs the floor and finishes better -- although how much of that is attributable to Stockton? I would rather have what Payton brings offensively (in a vacuum) than what those other two do. A guy that can score efficiently and create for others is just more valuable to me.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#55 » by kaima » Thu May 27, 2010 4:38 pm

DavidStern wrote:
kaima wrote:
When the best post-season you can find from Robinson against Malone/Hakeem, involves him either being outscored by 12 per (95) or his PPG dropping by 6 full points against the defense he faced from one of them, yeah, I'd say that he got owned.

And then there's 94, where his PPG drops by 9 points with Malone guarding him, while Karl scores 29 a game.

If he didn't get owned, then the word 'owned' in matchup contexts must simply not exist in your NBA vocabulary.


You said “meltdown”. Is it the same as “owned”?


This is your argument? The semantics of 'owned' versus 'meltdown' as a descriptor for Robinson's playoff performances?

Well, I'd say that my work is done.

Besides, I think example for being owned is Ewing in 1994 finals. In no way Robinson was owned by Hakeem in 1995.


Getting outscored, in a man to man positional battle, by 12 a game is not being owned?

Then how can Ewing's Finals be characterized as such, when he was only outscored by 8 on a per game basis, and never gave up scoring outbursts of over 40 as Robinson did multiple times?

26.85 for Hakeem versus 18.8 for Ewing, yes, is ownage. But it's not a differential where you, then, look at Hakeem v. Robinson in comparison and come away impressed with Robinson. At least if you're being at all fair and logically applying the numbers.

Further, if Ewing is the standard for being owned, wherein he loses 6 PPG off his regular season average, then how can you say that Robinson losing 9 points off his average when playing Karl Malone in 94 is a "good performance"? Robinson was outscored by 9 ppg against Malone in that series.

How about losing 6 ppg off his average against Malone in 96? Malone outscored him 25 to 19 in that series, pretty similar to the Ewing Finals numbers against Olajuwon.

It seems your standards for numbers are numerous and, truly, form an alpha-numeric conflation -- i.e. which player has his name attached to which numbers.

Shaq had Nick Van Exel and still managed to drop 30 in the playoffs.


Van Exel had three point range.[/quote]

He also was a headcase with far less ability or interest in running an offense like a traditional point. Avery Johnson was a solid distributor.

Looks like a wash between points. Too bad about the difference between the guys in the post.

Also, interesting how Avery and the other scrubs didn't stop him from playing much better in the regular season.


That’s the nature of RS and PS. Matchups are exploit in PS,


Couldn't agree more.

Utah exploited their advantage with Malone against Robinson on both sides of the ball in 96. The result was a comfortable 6 game series win.

I find it, likewise, pretty hard to justify putting Robinson over Malone considering the way the latter took apart the former in the 96 playoffs.


sp6r=underrated response to that is better than my would ever be.


Really? Because his disagreement with me was about Hakeem, rather than directly about Malone (who he said I made a strong argument for).

Suffice to say, judging by your reply here, I don't doubt what you're saying in this case.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#56 » by mysticbb » Thu May 27, 2010 4:42 pm

semi-sentient wrote:It's hard to show evidence of his impact on the defensive end using numbers


Well, On/Off Court numbers would be a way to do so, but we obviously don't have such a thing. The "ON" I have in my list is an approximation of the OnCourt +/- value, it works fine (has a 0.85 correlation coefficient to the real OnCourt +/-). The Sonics were a great defensive team, obviously, and Payton's impact was for sure there. As you can see the ON value for him is bigger than Kemp's.

semi-sentient wrote:, and I generally never rely on PER to judge performance, outside of maybe determining if there was a drop off from regular season to post season.


I wouldn't dismiss PER like you are doing it. We know that PER has a pretty correlation to winning and we also know the weaknesses of that stat (like defensive impact). That makes it at least a tool to eliminate certain players.

semi-sentient wrote:His numbers weren't exactly stellar against the Bulls (defensive, that is, outside of rebounding which was phenomenal), but he did play very good defense from what I remember, particularly in the Finals against Jordan (from games 3-6, especially).


I watched every single minute of those 6 games, and I can tell you that Payton wasn't always on Jordan and also had a couple of stupid fouls. Jordan was off in two of the last 3 games with his shooting, he missed a couple of wide open shots. Yes, Payton done a great job on him, but imho he gets a bit too much credit for Jordan's two bad shooting nights.

semi-sentient wrote:On offense, he scored just as much as Kemp while still dishing out 7.5 assists, so IMO he had the bigger impact.


Kemp actually scored 5 points per game more than Payton on a much better efficiency. It were also "only" 7 assists per game. I agree with your overall conclusion that Payton had the bigger impact in the end. But how much bigger? And how much bigger in comparison to others? I'm thinking about putting him into the Top5 due to the argumentation, but I'm not sure that Payton ahead of Robinson is justified.

semi-sentient wrote:BTW, I'll admit that I do have some bias towards Malone and Robinson, primarily because they disappointed in the playoffs more times than not. Robinson especially. I've never felt that his offensive game translates over well in the playoffs, and the same goes for Malone only to a lesser extent. Both guys are face up players, but Malone does have a distinct advantage in that he runs the floor and finishes better -- although how much of that is attributable to Stockton?


I have the same train of thoughts about both. Especially Robinson's impact was imho lower than his boxscore numbers indicate.

Btw: Jordan faced great defensive teams in the playoffs before like the Pistons or the Knicks. Sidney Moncrief was also a DPOY as Jordan faced him in the playoffs. ;)
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#57 » by kaima » Thu May 27, 2010 4:51 pm

semi-sentient wrote:
BTW, I'll admit that I do have some bias towards Malone and Robinson, primarily because they disappointed in the playoffs more times than not. Robinson especially. I've never felt that his offensive game translates over well in the playoffs, and the same goes for Malone only to a lesser extent. Both guys are face up players,


Not buying that.

Malone was a very strong post presence, unlike Robinson. His ability to play with his back to the basket was at level that Robinson, and many others, did not possess. He was one of the best post players of his generation.

Further, I've never seen a better finisher at the rim, nor a guy that had the ability that peak Malone had on post seals.

Peak Malone, for instance, averaged more FTA's than Shaq ever did in the 92 post-season. This speaks to contact, particularly in early 90s basketball, and low post play.

The 92 series against the Blazers typically featured three guys hanging off Malone in the post -- with Malone still scoring+1.

Malone diversified his game as the years wore on, but he was not limited in his skillsets the way Robinson was. Not even close, as those playoff matchups between the two should demonstrate.

but Malone does have a distinct advantage in that he runs the floor and finishes better -- although how much of that is attributable to Stockton? I would rather have what Payton brings offensively (in a vacuum) than what those other two do. A guy that can score efficiently and create for others is just more valuable to me.


Malone had a bad game 7, similar to Hakeem's game 6 against Utah in 97, but he was the best overall player in that series.

Karl's 27, 11 and 5 is better than 20.7, 5.1, 6 from Payton. Only an assist ahead of a PF? Really?

With Stockton ailing, Utah stayed in the series mostly due to Malone. Which rather answers the question of how much of Malone's worth was due to Stockton, right there.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#58 » by lorak » Thu May 27, 2010 4:57 pm

kaima wrote:

Besides, I think example for being owned is Ewing in 1994 finals. In no way Robinson was owned by Hakeem in 1995.


Getting outscored, in a man to man positional battle, by 12 a game is not being owned?

Then how can Ewing's Finals be characterized as such, when he was only outscored by 8 on a per game basis, and never gave up scoring outbursts of over 40 as Robinson did multiple times?

26.85 versus 18.8, yes, is ownage. But it's not a differential where you, then, look at Hakeem v. Robinson in comparison and come away impressed with Robinson. At least if you're being at all fair and logically applying the numbers.

Further, if Ewing is the standard for being owned, wherein he loses 6 PPG off his regular season average,


You should check Ewing’s FG%.

Robinson also had to defend Hakeem ALONE when Kncicks defend Olajuwon together – not only Ewing, but also Oakley or Mason. So despite much more responsibility Robinson still played much better against Olajuwon.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#59 » by Sedale Threatt » Thu May 27, 2010 4:59 pm

If Robinson didn't get owned, melt down or any other phrase you want to come up with to describe a good old-fashioned ass-kicking in 95, then it's never happened to anybody.

I actually thought David ran the floor quite well, and his finishing was top-notch. Looking back, his biggest problem was that he never developed much more than a rudimentary offensive game. Other than athletic dunks, the only real go-to move he had was a pretty solid foul-line jumper.

Don't remember any semblance of a post game. Pretty sure he couldn't even finish with his off hand. If you could take away his basic stuff, which guys like Olajuwon (comparable quickness/agility) and Malone (strength/physicality) were equipped do, then there wasn't anything he could fall back on. Sort of like Howard today.

In contrast to guys like Olajuwon and Duncan, who had any number of arrows in their quiver, no matter who they were matched up with.
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Re: Retro POY '95-96 (ends Fri evening) 

Post#60 » by kaima » Thu May 27, 2010 5:02 pm

DavidStern wrote:
kaima wrote:

Besides, I think example for being owned is Ewing in 1994 finals. In no way Robinson was owned by Hakeem in 1995.


Getting outscored, in a man to man positional battle, by 12 a game is not being owned?

Then how can Ewing's Finals be characterized as such, when he was only outscored by 8 on a per game basis, and never gave up scoring outbursts of over 40 as Robinson did multiple times?

26.85 versus 18.8, yes, is ownage. But it's not a differential where you, then, look at Hakeem v. Robinson in comparison and come away impressed with Robinson. At least if you're being at all fair and logically applying the numbers.

Further, if Ewing is the standard for being owned, wherein he loses 6 PPG off his regular season average,


You should check Ewing’s FG%.


This is like two women trying to decide who has the uglier baby. When one looks like Steve Buscemi and the other like Clint Howard, what the hell difference does it make?

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