Jedzz wrote:shrink wrote:minimus wrote:But Beasley is an elite shooter, not only a good scorer.
Let’s pump the brakes a bit here. Beasley is a good shooter, not elite. Last year, Beasley shot 38.8%, which was 47th in the NBA. 38.8% is also his career average.
In addition, 3 point percentage is one of the most variable stats because of smaller sample size, and we want to extrapolate his 14 games here at 42.6% to believe he’ll be a 42.6% three point shooter. Towns isn’t even a career 40% three point shooter, so I doubt 42.6% is likely to be who he is forever.
Now, I am a big advocate of adding better three point shooting, and 38.8% is pretty good, but 47th doesn’t get you to the elite level.
I agree with you though that he may get a deal slightly above the MLE. I am concerned that it will be a deal we regret.
His career average as a bench sub. The moment he got more he jacked that percentage above 42%. It did not go down. He also has averaged over 40% in a season. Name all the greats playing now that even have. He's in that tier of shooter. It's not like when he averaged 40% he was only attempting 1 a game. This is a real example.
He's an elite shooter in this league.shrink wrote:and we want to extrapolate his 14 games here at 42.6% to believe he’ll be a 42.6% three point shooter.
Do you think this argument is fair? Umm no. "We" are not suggesting he's automatically going to be 42.6 for the remainder of time in Minnesota. That's just you playing a wee bit a funny business, yeah?
What you can take from that number, like mentioned already, is that the moment he was handed starts and more 3s, that number went up, his involvement going up improved him. It didn't drop through the floor like often is the case with others.
Given he's shot 40% in a season prior at just over 7 attempts per game, to show us 42.6% when attempting 8.8 shots per game is a nice little indicator of an Elite NBA shooter.
For the record, there are only 4 active players in the NBA right now that have a career 3P% at 42.6% .. the two Curry’s, Duncan Robinson, and Korver. So if 42.6% became his career average (and he would have to shoot better than this to average out his seasons in the 30’s!) I would say being #5 would be truly elite. At the same time, since we see only four players at that level, it shows that it is a truly difficult level to repeat.
He was shooting 36% in DEN last season before he got here, and while he shot 40.2% the previous year In his best season (is 17th in the nba “elite?”), you didn’t mention the 32.1% and 34.1% his first two years.
I think you are putting way too much stock into 14 games, especially in such a volatile stat as 3P%.