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Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season.

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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#401 » by hands11 » Sun Oct 27, 2013 6:40 pm

Going with 49

Though I think I am guessing a little low. Probably more like 52. Specially with teams tanking for the draft.

I don't think they will be trading Trevor A. They are going to need him to help against Paul George in the playoffs if they want to get out of the first round. Now if they trade Trevor A because they think they can get something that helps them more for longer term planning, then this might be high. I would assume they only do that if Otto is really balln in which case they could actually upgrade at PG like CCJ is suggesting which would lend more toward the high side.

NY is way vulnerable with injuries at PF.

Andrea Bargnani ( already with a back issue )
Amar'e Stoudemire ( how long is he going to last )
Kenyon Martin ( age 35 )

They are going to alternate Amare and Kenyon every other game and try to save them for the playoff. That should add up to extra loses during the season.

Melo will need to move to PF, with MWP at SF and no real depth behind either if they rack up injuries. That house of card could come crumbling down in a hurry. Specially if T Chandler goes down.

MIA
BRK
CHI

I have the Wiz battling Indy for 4th. Loser gets 5th seed. NY 6th Who cares after that because we won't be playing them.

That puts Wiz vs Indy in the playoff. And they actually match up well. Indy has the playoff experience as a team but the Wizards do have Nene, Trevor A, AH and Gortat with experience. Its going to be all about what Wall and Beal can do if they are to advance and that's what this season was designed to do from the start. Gotta get that 4th seed and home court to give them the extra edge they need.

Battling for 4th should have them in the 47 to 52 range so 49 should get me close to the final record.

So 49. Best record since 1978.
Removing my defensive rating. That was just a joke.

Actually they only need to win 46 to achieve that so you should be watching history in the making.

So with all that, the message will be sent to the league. Who wants to be a part of this thing ?

Big question is going to be, do they cash in on Trevor A before the playoff run or leave it where he can walk for nothing ? Or resign ? Thats going to be a big decision. Trevor A is a proven SF that can play in a championship level game. Not a lot of those out there.

Looking like it should be a fun season. Expect a lot of new fans on the site.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#402 » by dckingsfan » Sun Oct 27, 2013 11:59 pm

Wins

82 - WizardsWorld, daSwami
57 - deneem4
56 - jeffsays
52 - Chaos Revenant
51 - Wizardspride, Chocolate City Jordanaire
50 - JWizmentality,
49 - AFM, barelyawake, nuposse04, hands11
47 - The Consiglieri, TwentyOne920, zardsfan, jimij, CntOutSmrtCrazy, Hidden Eye
46 - Jimmy (for the) Recard, sfam, CaPtaiN eYeSaNo
45 - Rafael122, Fischella, Deeptu McPullup,
44 - dangermouse, nate33, gesa2, montestewart, TheKingOfVa360, gesa2
43 - Wallbeliever, Higga, Upper Decker, FreeBalling, BarnabyJones, DCZards, Joe_Wiz, dobrojim, willbcocks, DallasShalDune
42 - miller31time, TheBabyMaker, stevemcqueen1, keynote, barelyawake, Dat2U, GhostsOfGil
41 - long suffrin' boulez fan, sashae
40 - The Fax, pineappleheadindc, DaRealHibachi, willbcocks
39 - DCKingsFan, closg00 - a wise choice :)
38 - Ruzious, Zonkerbl, Dark Faze
37 - Earth2Ted, Dat2U, SUPERBALLMAN
36 - truwizfan4evr, MJG
35 - FAH1223, AnotherFinn, BigA, dandridge 10, pancakes3
34 - TGW, verbal8
33 - Yahoo

32 - queridiculo
30 - Knighthonor, Upper Decker
27 - Induveca

Offensive Rating

106 - TwentyOne920
105 - FreeBalling
101 - DCKingsFan

Defensive Rating

104 - TwentyOne920
102 - DCKingsFan has
101 - FreeBalling
86 - hands11

Wall Makes the AllStar Squad

Yes - Higga, stevemcqueen1, dangermouse
No - DCKingsfan
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#403 » by dckingsfan » Mon Oct 28, 2013 12:00 am

Double, triple check!
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#404 » by hands11 » Mon Oct 28, 2013 12:02 am

I went back from the last full post list and updated. Check for accuracy.

82 - WizardsWorld, daSwami
57- deneem4
56 - jeffsays
53 -
52 - Chaos Revenant
51 - Wizardspride, , Chocolate City Jordanaire
50 - JWizmentality
49 - AFM, barelyawake, Hands11, nuposse04
48 -
47 - TwentyOne920, zardsfan, jimij, CntOutSmrtCrazy
46 - Jimmy (for the) Recard, sfam, CaPtaiN eYeSaNo
45 - Rafael122, Fischella, Deeptu McPullup
44 - dangermouse, nate33, gesa2, montestewart, TheKingOfVa360
43 - Wallbeliever, Higga, FreeBalling, BarnabyJones, Joe_Wiz, dobrojim, willbcocks, DallasShalDune
42 - miller31time, TheBabyMaker, stevemcqueen1, barelyawake, GhostsOfGil, Keynote
41 - long suffrin' boulez fan, sashae
40 - Zonkerbl, The Fax, pineappleheadindc, DaRealHibachi
39 - DCKingsFan, tontoz
38 - Ruzious, Dark Faze
37 - Earth2Ted, The Consiglieri, SUPERBALLMAN
36 - truwizfan4evr, MJG
35 - FAH1223, AnotherFinn, BigA, dandridge 10, pancakes3
34 - TGW , verbal8
33 - Closg00
32 - queridiculo
31 - Floater, Dat2U
30 - Knighthonor
27 - Upper Decker, Induveca

Offensive Rating

106 - TwentyOne920
105 - FreeBalling
101 - DCKingsFan

Defensive Rating

104 - TwentyOne920
102 - DCKingsFan has
101 - FreeBalling


Wall Makes the AllStar Squad

Yes - Higga, stevemcqueen1, dangermouse
No - DCKingsfan

---

edit - removed The Consiglieri who was entered twice. Now only listed at 37
viewtopic.php?f=35&t=1261045&start=270
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#405 » by montestewart » Mon Oct 28, 2013 12:23 am

hands11 wrote:I went back from the last full post list and updated. Check for accuracy.

82 - WizardsWorld, daSwami
57- deneem4
56 - jeffsays
53 -
52 - Chaos Revenant
51 - Wizardspride, , Chocolate City Jordanaire
50 - JWizmentality
49 - AFM, barelyawake, Hands11, nuposse04
48 -
47 - The Consiglieri, TwentyOne920, zardsfan, jimij, CntOutSmrtCrazy
46 - Jimmy (for the) Recard, sfam, CaPtaiN eYeSaNo
45 - Rafael122, Fischella, Deeptu McPullup
44 - dangermouse, nate33, gesa2, montestewart, TheKingOfVa360
43 - Wallbeliever, Higga, FreeBalling, BarnabyJones, Joe_Wiz, dobrojim, willbcocks, DallasShalDune
42 - miller31time, TheBabyMaker, stevemcqueen1, barelyawake, GhostsOfGil, Keynote
41 - long suffrin' boulez fan, sashae
40 - Zonkerbl, The Fax, pineappleheadindc, DaRealHibachi
39 - DCKingsFan, tontoz
38 - Ruzious, Dark Faze
37 - Earth2Ted, The Consiglieri, SUPERBALLMAN
36 - truwizfan4evr, MJG
35 - FAH1223, AnotherFinn, BigA, dandridge 10, pancakes3
34 - TGW , verbal8
33 - Closg00
32 - queridiculo
31 - Floater, Dat2U
30 - Knighthonor
27 - Upper Decker, Induveca

Offensive Rating

106 - TwentyOne920
105 - FreeBalling
101 - DCKingsFan

Defensive Rating

104 - TwentyOne920
102 - DCKingsFan has
101 - FreeBalling


Wall Makes the AllStar Squad

Yes - Higga, stevemcqueen1, dangermouse
No - DCKingsfan

Especially anyone that updated a prediction at some point. I see The Consiglieri is on the list twice.

Thanks for the revised list Hands.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#406 » by payitforward » Mon Oct 28, 2013 12:55 am

TheBabyMaker wrote:
Induveca wrote:
TheBabyMaker wrote:
27 wins come on man they won 29 last year with half the starters out most of the year. :roll:


I'm a wizards fan. What can I say. Vote low maybe they surprise me.


See thats why I don't like coming here to read or post. Just some pessimistic fans here I guess.

Out.

Bye -- don't let the door hit you in the ass, ok?
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#407 » by TheBabyMaker » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:20 am

payitforward wrote:
TheBabyMaker wrote:
Induveca wrote:
I'm a wizards fan. What can I say. Vote low maybe they surprise me.


See thats why I don't like coming here to read or post. Just some pessimistic fans here I guess.

Out.

Bye -- don't let the door hit you in the ass, ok?


And who are you, the next Wis GM really. :lol: gtfo bum
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#408 » by TheBabyMaker » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:20 am

TheBabyMaker wrote:
payitforward wrote:
TheBabyMaker wrote:
See thats why I don't like coming here to read or post. Just some pessimistic fans here I guess.

Out.

Bye -- don't let the door hit you in the ass, ok?


And who are you, the next Wiz GM really. :lol: gtfo bum
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#409 » by montestewart » Mon Oct 28, 2013 2:09 am

Induveca wrote:Still boils down to Nene's health and Wall's erratic shooting. Still at 27.

TheBabyMaker wrote:
Induveca wrote:
TheBabyMaker wrote:
27 wins come on man they won 29 last year with half the starters out most of the year. :roll:


I'm a wizards fan. What can I say. Vote low maybe they surprise me.


See thats why I don't like coming here to read or post. Just some pessimistic fans here I guess.

Out.

Two people voted for 27 wins, which seems kind of pessimistic, but notice that two more voted for 82 wins, which seems overly optimistic. The average seems to be in the low to mid 40s, which doesn't seem overly pessimistic or optimistic. Seems kind of realistic.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#410 » by Hypnotizer » Mon Oct 28, 2013 5:35 am

38 wins
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#411 » by dckingsfan » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:02 pm

OK, who is doing the statistical analysis on the list - mean, median, etc? :)
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#412 » by verbal8 » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:08 pm

dckingsfan wrote:OK, who is doing the statistical analysis on the list - mean, median, etc? :)

The mode is 43(8 occurrences) :)
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#413 » by Dat2U » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:11 pm

I'm revising my prediction to 39-43. I don't like the trade or Gortat as a fit with our roster. I don't see a great synergy with the roster beyond the Wall/Beal pairing. Especially since Ariza has replaced Webster in the starting lineup. Were still very susceptible to injuries as the roster is still 7 to 8 deep at best in terms of actual NBA talent. Any significant injuries to one of Wall, Beal, Nene or Gortat likely puts us back in the same position as before.

Best case scenario IMO is 45-37 with excellent health and stealing a game against Chicago or Miami in the 1st round of the playoffs before losing 4-1. Worst case scenario is what I'm predicting. We'll barely miss the playoffs and it will go down to the last game of the season. We'll also lose lottery pick in the process and likely Gortat as well.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#414 » by closg00 » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:24 pm

montestewart wrote:
hands11 wrote:I went back from the last full post list and updated. Check for accuracy.

82 - WizardsWorld, daSwami
57- deneem4
56 - jeffsays
53 -
52 - Chaos Revenant
51 - Wizardspride, , Chocolate City Jordanaire
50 - JWizmentality
49 - AFM, barelyawake, Hands11, nuposse04
48 -
47 - The Consiglieri, TwentyOne920, zardsfan, jimij, CntOutSmrtCrazy
46 - Jimmy (for the) Recard, sfam, CaPtaiN eYeSaNo
45 - Rafael122, Fischella, Deeptu McPullup
44 - dangermouse, nate33, gesa2, montestewart, TheKingOfVa360
43 - Wallbeliever, Higga, FreeBalling, BarnabyJones, Joe_Wiz, dobrojim, willbcocks, DallasShalDune
42 - miller31time, TheBabyMaker, stevemcqueen1, barelyawake, GhostsOfGil, Keynote
41 - long suffrin' boulez fan, sashae
40 - Zonkerbl, The Fax, pineappleheadindc, DaRealHibachi
39 - DCKingsFan, tontoz
38 - Ruzious, Dark Faze
37 - Earth2Ted, The Consiglieri, SUPERBALLMAN
36 - truwizfan4evr, MJG
35 - FAH1223, AnotherFinn, BigA, dandridge 10, pancakes3
34 - TGW , verbal8
33 - Closg00
32 - queridiculo
31 - Floater, Dat2U
30 - Knighthonor
27 - Upper Decker, Induveca

Offensive Rating

106 - TwentyOne920
105 - FreeBalling
101 - DCKingsFan

Defensive Rating

104 - TwentyOne920
102 - DCKingsFan has
101 - FreeBalling


Wall Makes the AllStar Squad

Yes - Higga, stevemcqueen1, dangermouse
No - DCKingsfan

Especially anyone that updated a prediction at some point. I see The Consiglieri is on the list twice.

Thanks for the revised list Hands.


Please upgrade my official prediction to 36 wins. Thanks!
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#415 » by WizStorm » Mon Oct 28, 2013 1:45 pm

Put me down for 41-41
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#416 » by dandridge 10 » Mon Oct 28, 2013 2:05 pm

Please revise my earlier prediction to 41 wins.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#417 » by OffTheWall2 » Mon Oct 28, 2013 2:37 pm

I'll go with 39-43.

It seems like the Wizards have spent all these years rebuilding just to get back to where they were. A middling playoff team with no real championship aspirations.
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#418 » by dckingsfan » Mon Oct 28, 2013 2:54 pm

Also, should we say that predictions are final on October 31st at midnight?
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#419 » by Earth2Ted » Mon Oct 28, 2013 3:10 pm

I'm sticking with my 37 wins after the trade.

Actually I think we have the talent on paper to do a lot better, health permitting... but how often does health permit when it comes to the Wizards?

Still can't get over how the last time we were over 50 wins was 78-79, almost 35 years ago. :noway:
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Re: Predict the Wizards Record '13-'14 season. 

Post#420 » by Zonkerbl » Mon Oct 28, 2013 5:03 pm

I had us at a low win number because I was expecting Okafor to be out, Nene to miss 30 games, and the flotsam to suck.

I like Gortat, the player, and I think his acquisition will allow us to play Nene less minutes, so overall there's going to be a huge upgrade in overall health of the team as a result of this trade. Hate the future consequences all you want but this season is going to be nice. I'm forced to upgrade my prediction to 47 wins, and I still think that's pessimistic. This team has 50 win potential written all over it.
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