Marcus wrote:PLO wrote:Lonzo Ball will not be "beating people" off the dribble in the NBA: he's a great talent, but he's no point guard at the next level.
Why wouldn't he be a PG in the league?
Because he lacks (almost completely in some areas) the skillset to play the point. Basically can't dribble/finish in traffic - he has no mid range/close to the basket game. The only time he scores close to the basket is when the ball is out of his hands and he sneaks behind the defense for the alley-oop. Compare him to Fultz (or even DSJ), these guys are proto-typical PGs - three level threats who can take on double teams and still score.
Personally I think there are several reasons for Ball's inability in these areas: one is his handle which isn't at NBA PG level - you can see this on the few drives he has done this season - its head-down-straight-ahead stuff into massive defensive holes - he just doesn't have the trickery required to be an NBA starter at the point. The other is his shot - he can't shoot from mid-range because of how low his shot is and how slow it is, which is the reason he does those massive step backs for his 3 pointers.If he shot from mid-range he would be easily blocked.
These are the reasons why I think he'll be a SG at the next level and why I don't think he's a top talent in this draft. I really like him - his vision is amazing - but if you draft him as a SG (which I think is his position) it will nix a lot of the use of that vision he has. He could well fit on the 6ers if Simmons is our starting point, and in fact would probably fit on the 6ers as well as any other team if Simmons is the long term answer for us as a facilitator.