Saberestar wrote:bwgood77 wrote:Crives wrote:I really like Kolek, one of my favorite prospects in our range…. I just think we need more size, defense and athleticism next to book/beal/allen/Oneal in the backcourt
I agree we need more size and athleticism, but mainly at the 5, but those picks are risky. Especially 1 year guys.
I think Kolek is a good investment not only for now, but the future. Obviously we need guys who can contribute now, but we will need guys for the next decade.
I really worry about a guy like Dunn, who is a 20% 3 pt shooter and a 51% FT shooter. That just doesn't cut it in today's NBA. You can't have a guy on the floor that people won't guard. I fear he would just become another Okogie/KBD. A young team with a lot of picks can risk that, but I don't really think we should.
I agree but the same could be said about Herb Jones and he is now a solid two-way starter in the league.
We are trying to get this offseason "a young athletic wing". Dunn makes sense for us. He is different from O'Neale and with both on the roster we would be more versatile than last year at the 3/4 spot.
Okogie is similar to Dunn but he is way smaller and he doesn't have the same upside as a wing player.
Another wing that makes sense for us is Jaylon Tyson.
He is a very well rounded player who can create his own offense and is more polished than Dunn.
Sabrestar makes great points here!
Ryan Dunn really only has one glaring weakness to his game, and that's his lack of yet reliable offensive game. But as many scouts have indicated, and as the game tape shows too, his mechanics/ form aren't completely broken, and he does show distinct indications of a nice touch at times. In his role at Virginia, he was specifically tasked with being their lockdown defender all over the court, and he willingly excelled in that role becoming the consensus best defender in all of college basketball AND projects as a game-changing defender with 1st team all defensive potential even if his offense were somehow never to translate. Now in a draft that is considered to be weak and without any legitimate star talent, teams like us that already have superstar core pieces in place should be looking at low usage complimentary utility and connective players with high-elite potential COMPLIMENTARY skillsets that help support our big three! Now our big three are all elite offensive scorers and shooters that need significant touches for us to be successful. So we're already very strong offensively and it'd be counterproductive to target young players that need the ball in their hands to be successful in their roles.
Dunn is an unbelievably ideal fit for us in that:
- He doesn't need the ball in his hands to be impactful as an elite lockdown disruptive defender.
- He doesn't need to be a significant shooter upon entering the league because we already have multiple elite offensive weapons AND he's a great cutter with a high IQ.
- His elite lockdown defense and relentless motor impact the game at a high level in that he racks up tons of steals and deflections leading to increased possessions for our big three, etc. His weakside shot-blocking for a wing is incredible with over 2 blocks a game which would allow our center option to roam more freely in drop coverage and our other wings to extend out further because his recovery and defensive anticipation are also very elite too, getting back to block shots even when out around the 3 point line.
- His relentless non-stop motor, willing physicality, elite athleticism, and high-end recovery speed result in him getting significant 50/50 ball possessions, breaking up the opposing team's offensive schemes, relentlessly frustrating the opposition's best offensive players, and limiting opposing teams' abilities to even go on runs or get high percentage shots.
Now these attributes play to our advantage BIG TIME because with our offense already being potentially elite, Dunns' ability to limit the opposition from being able to score, go on runs, function offensively, AND in wearing down opposing teams' star players too as well as locking down the perimeter and blowing up the pick n roll too, make our offensive capabilities of our big three even more impossible to overcome or come back from once we build a big lad early on! This also creates a HUGE advantage for us in that because he causes the opposing team to struggle greatly in being able to run an effective offense, our starters (once we build a lead) can now get more significant time to rest and recover on the bench. Doing this will help sustain them much better heading into the 3rd and 4th quarters of the game, helping eliminate late collapses that plagued us throughout the season because our stars were worn down early trying to not only carry our offense, but defend heavily because we really didn't have any legit high-end defensive anchors aside from KD which obviously wore him down quicker too, to the point where he struggled with efficiency/impact late in games.
Having Dunn also be able to lock down the perimeter defensively, switch effectively 1-5, and also be able to offer help recovery only makes our team more dominant and nearly impossible to overcome. How happy would we have been to actually have an elite lockdown defender like Dunn in the postseason who could've stopped, slowed down, or frustrated ANT, Conley, and other players on Minnesotas' roster, or could help lockdown opposing star guards, forwards, and wings in the postseason and regular season too.
My point is Dunn already offers a guaranteed high-impact translatable skillset right from the jump even without any significant offensive impact coming into the league as he can bring lockdown defense coming into the league, doesn't need the ball (which should be in our big threes hands anyways) to impact games for us, and brings high-level non-stop energy and athleticism that can fuel our team when they become passive at times. And if his only real glaring weakness is shooting on a team that is already elite offensively, then that weakness is clearly significantly reduced by our elite offensive capabilities and his cutting, athleticism, and high IQ. And with Ishbia being a billionaire more than willing to spend, it'll be really easy to hire the top shooting coaches available to help correct his form and mechanics, and IF you can correct his shooting to even impactful levels on that end, then you'd have an elite two-way player with all-star potential and premium value as an impact asset.
** The way the league is trending too means that Dunns' game is perfectly fitted for the postseason too.
