ImageImageImage

2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation

Moderators: bwgood77, lilfishi22, Qwigglez

Grade the Suns off-season moves so far

A
4
5%
B
40
53%
C
23
30%
D
8
11%
F
1
1%
 
Total votes: 76

User avatar
lilfishi22
Forum Mod - Suns
Forum Mod - Suns
Posts: 36,245
And1: 24,603
Joined: Oct 16, 2007
Location: Australia

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5561 » by lilfishi22 » Tue Oct 19, 2021 5:13 am

bigfoot wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:Since his qualifying offer is 16 million, he'd be losing around 15 million or so. But what happens if he signs a 1+1 max offer sheet? Then couldn't he make over the 16 million or whatever the suns would have to match to keep him. And then he can become an unrestricted free agent in 2023 and still sign a max offer with another team?

We're talking about guaranteed money here. If he has a freak injury, he and his family will be well taken care of. 1+1 max offer at the starting salary of $30m will net him about $65m (ish), it's good money but it's only $60ish mil that is guaranteed vs almost triple that amount if he signed the full max even without the escalators.

What's clear is he wants to be a Phoenix Sun and he wants to win. He wants to win with this team he was drafted by and I'm sure he wants to get back to the Finals again, he's made that clear. You're not leaving that opportunity AND a guaranteed 5 year deal to play in bloody Detroit. Very few players would leave a winning situation for a crap one just to be the man, unless you're Jerami Grant.


Another team can not offer him a 1+1. It has to be two full seasons ... no options. He a Suns player for at least three more years.

There we go. Call it a 2+1. Even then I don't think it's especially enticing unless he's HELLBENT on leaving the Suns. Even then, the approach players take is secure the bag, figure it out after.
User avatar
lilfishi22
Forum Mod - Suns
Forum Mod - Suns
Posts: 36,245
And1: 24,603
Joined: Oct 16, 2007
Location: Australia

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5562 » by lilfishi22 » Tue Oct 19, 2021 5:15 am

RedIndian wrote:Bewildered by the Shamet extension. Seems like an overpay by 30% easily. No way he should making 11 million a year, when Payne is only making 6 million.

I wonder if this is with the idea of having a mid-sized contract to include in trade packages somewhere down the line.

Speaking of which, if that Shamet deal is on the books next year, surely there is no way we can keep Saric and Stix. Think that Thad trade will be made sooner rather than later.

Yeah I wasn't super keen on the number but I am keen on Shamet. I think we'll find a way to dump both and replace with vet min guys especially as CamJo steps up as the new starting 4.
User avatar
bwgood77
Global Mod
Global Mod
Posts: 98,176
And1: 61,017
Joined: Feb 06, 2009
Location: Austin
Contact:
   

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5563 » by bwgood77 » Tue Oct 19, 2021 5:15 am

lilfishi22 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:
lilfishi22 wrote:We're talking about guaranteed money here. If he has a freak injury, he and his family will be well taken care of. 1+1 max offer at the starting salary of $30m will net him about $65m (ish), it's good money but it's only $60ish mil that is guaranteed vs almost triple that amount if he signed the full max even without the escalators.

What's clear is he wants to be a Phoenix Sun and he wants to win. He wants to win with this team he was drafted by and I'm sure he wants to get back to the Finals again, he's made that clear. You're not leaving that opportunity AND a guaranteed 5 year deal to play in bloody Detroit. Very few players would leave a winning situation for a crap one just to be the man, unless you're Jerami Grant.


Another team can not offer him a 1+1. It has to be two full seasons ... no options. He a Suns player for at least three more years.

There we go. Call it a 2+1. Even then I don't think it's especially enticing unless he's HELLBENT on leaving the Suns. Even then, the approach players take is secure the bag, figure it out after.


If he had a good agent it would be a 2+1...because when you hit 7 total years someone can give you 30% of the cap. 1+1 is when someone only needs 1 year to hit the next threshold (or 2).
User avatar
lilfishi22
Forum Mod - Suns
Forum Mod - Suns
Posts: 36,245
And1: 24,603
Joined: Oct 16, 2007
Location: Australia

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5564 » by lilfishi22 » Tue Oct 19, 2021 5:27 am

bwgood77 wrote:To re-address the poll:

Payne contract - A+
Bridges contract - A
Paul contract - B+
Shamet contract - D
Ayton no deal - D-

I actually like Shamet enough from what I know to extend, however, I was thinking he was MAYBE worth 4/$30, which I felt might be on the high side.

As much as they negotiated on Ayton, when most people around the NBA definitely expected a max, I'm shocked they didn't seem to do much of a negotiation with Shamet. He couldn't possibly have thought he was worth that much more.

However, the strangest thing about the Shamet deal, at all, but especially the amount, is that if you are SO worried about paying Ayton too much because of the luxury tax, why are you giving a bunch of money to Shamet??? It's not about signing him first like people say like it's a bigger priority, it's about the complete picture.

This HAS to mean we dump Saric by next year, and almost seems like they would have to dump Crowder too if they are going to eventually pay Ayton and don't want a super hefty tax bill in 22-23. Probably Smith too, though his $ amount is lower and you need to replace with minimum guy anyway.

It's just all around weird in that respect.

So the overall grade is probably around a C....I originally put B

I will edit the poll to make it to where people can change their vote now that everything is done. (GoK - I know whoever the 15th man ends up being will be a big factor for you but we just can't wait any longer).

That feels about right. I'd probably put Bridges at A+ but pretty much in agreement with the rest.

Your point about shelling out for a guy who hasn't played a single NBA game for us while holding out on a core player who put in 3 seasons and a Finals run for us is bewildering. I accept that it should be looked at separately since everyone is negotiating their own deals but from an optics standpoint, it's not a good look.

I had the overall at a firm C when it was just Payne, CP3 and McGee as the major re/signings. While Bridges is an awesome signing, it's overall let down by Shamet's overpay and Ayton's no deal. So I'll move it to a C-
User avatar
RaisingArizona
RealGM
Posts: 15,788
And1: 7,669
Joined: Apr 23, 2009
 

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5565 » by RaisingArizona » Tue Oct 19, 2021 6:06 am

Confused on why Shamet was signed before Ayton.
Image
sunsbg
Head Coach
Posts: 6,372
And1: 5,447
Joined: Feb 29, 2016

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5566 » by sunsbg » Tue Oct 19, 2021 6:09 am

Everybody is laughing at the Suns now. Overpay for a backup journeyman, while not extending a key player for making the finals.

You can get a player like Shamet with a second round pick like this Jared Butler guy who looks like Brogdon.
User avatar
Puff
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,916
And1: 1,740
Joined: Jul 07, 2004
Location: Buckeye, Az
     

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5567 » by Puff » Tue Oct 19, 2021 6:16 am

Ghost of Kleine wrote:
dremill24 wrote:
Ghost of Kleine wrote:
Perhaps it may seem that way to some who might be confused on how these things play out with real human dynamics such as percieved self valuation as well as that of athletes peers. As amongst their peers, Respect and value is measured by their financial alotments procured. As well as playing time. So honestly, what aspect of my post do you find satirical exactly? And why ? :dontknow:


My bad I forgot I'm not a human and those dynamics are above my head.

Smith and Johnson getting their options picked up on contracts that are already set in stone is not remotely the same, so that point is useless.

Saying he will surely leave out of contempt is just extremist and disregards many factors, including the history of this type of situation and CBA dynamics. He will be a restricted FA, so really cant leave even if he wants to, if the Suns want to keep him. Players go through this all the time without it being catastrophic, a very recent example is John Collins. Players are negotiating contract extensions all the time and not getting the huge number they're looking for, why is Ayton the only one who's going to disproportionately freak out?

Nobody has "dismantled" anything unless Ayton wants to be atypically diva-like about this. Hes still under contract for this season with RFA coming up, where they will again have the opportunity to offer him a boat load of money or match an offer sheet of a boat load of money.

Cmon man..."He'll want retribution for disrespecting him in terms of value amongst his peers!" is straight out of your post and you're surprised at my response? Its extreme hyperbole at the very least lol


My bad I forgot I'm not a human and those dynamics are above my head


You can be human and still overlook the human ( emotional) dynamics in a situation if you're only looking at it from a business perspective and not how it could affect someone on a more personal level with that person having emotional investment in the situation as it affects them personally and in their social circles, for their familial/ needs interests etc. We all do that at times, as we're all human and not infallible by any measure. So apologies if that triggered you in some personal way.

Smith and Johnson getting their options picked up on contracts that are already set in stone is not remotely the same, so that point is useless.


It's relevant in the context as stated in my post. Since we can't really negotiate any further with Ayton contractually until next summer, that's just more players seeking contractual security regardless of financial scale disparity that would be prioritized before him, whenst they've had ample time to find a common ground. Again in that context of prioritization/ value estimation, it is not at all useless. It's basically implying that Saver and the suns don't legitimately value Ayton as much as securing their complimentary pieces. But you're either able to understand the context or you aren't. Lastly, just like an extension you can choose to pick up their options or not. So your assertion that their not remotely the same is irrelevant.

Saying he will surely leave out of contempt is just extremist and disregards many factors, including the history of this type of situation and CBA dynamics. He will be a restricted FA, so really cant leave even if he wants to, if the Suns want to keep him.


Look, I get it. It makes you and others uncomfortable having to contemplate that he could actually choose to leave our team and you along with some others find comfort/ cope by being dismissive of that possibility and calling it an extremist perspective. When really it's not all that extremist at all. Unless your implying that no nba players have ever chosen to leave teams due to conflict with their teams front office, over contract disputes, etc.

https://www.nbcsports.com/chicago/chicago-bulls/exclusive-dwyane-wade-shares-story-heats-disrespect-and-why-he-left-miami-bulls

“I thought it was an opportunity I would be there forever, but s--t happens,” Wade said in an exclusive interview with CSNChicago.com after the Bulls’ 112-80 win over the Orlando Magic on Monday night “And when s--t happens, you gotta be prepared to (move on). I found out very quickly that this is a business.”

Wade is a Chicago Bull in large part due to the business end of basketball, as he left Miami in free agency over the summer when negotiations with the franchise he never wanted to leave went sour.


https://www.ksat.com › 2019/05/27
'Uncle Dennis' reveals why Kawhi
Robertson told Yahoo! Sports that the three-time NBA All-Star requested to be traded from the San Antonio Spurs due to a degradation in trust between Leonard's camp and the franchise.May 26, 2019


https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.sportskeeda.com/amp/basketball/5-nba-superstars-forced-way-trade-request
Before and after the 2011-12 NBA season, Howard requested to be traded by the Orlando Magic. He had clashes with the team management and then-coach Stan Van Gundy.

The situation got tense between Leonard and the franchise as he allegedly felt the team did not handle his situation well enough. 

I get that these three examples are not free agency but trade requests. But the premise being that they left due to being unhappy with their teams front office, the way they were treated, role, lack of trust, etc. There are honestly many reasons why players leave their teams. But the root cause of many is due to being unhappy in their situations with that team. So it has and continues to absolutely happen!

He will be a restricted FA, so really cant leave even if he wants to, if the Suns want to keep him.


Did you forget that he can take the qualifying offer and then still leave? Or that IF his agents are actually clever and want to play hardball back, They can just as easily find a team that he'd be interested in going to ( there'll be many suitors too, make no mistake) and then have Ayton sign a 1+1 deal, Forcing the suns to match or just let him go. So at worst if he decides that he doesn't want to be here, then he can leave after next season either way? Not to mention if he goes to New York and can easily make any money back with endorsements, etc. So actually he does have a choice if he feels like leaving he will.

Players go through this all the time without it being catastrophic, a very recent example is John Collins. Players are negotiating contract extensions all the time and not getting the huge number they're looking for, why is Ayton the only one who's going to disproportionately freak out?


I actually hope that you're right on this man, Because if you are, Then he'll stay and we'll still be contenders.But if you're at all aware of Sarvers' history, NATURE, and nuance in these situations, even the sociopathic comments towards former players such as Amare ( " I can go out and find guys to replace you tommorow ") and Raja Bell ( " I could pay you but I won't " because I don't have to! ) in important contractual negotiations. Or what about when he dismantled a title contender over 5 million disparity in the Joe Johnson debacle. He has an uncanny knack for pushing players out the door and making them feel unvalued or unimportant. You know like signing other players and even bench players over prioritizing your franchises star #1 pick ever in franchise history that helped lead your team to the freaking nba finals. Those kind of things carry residual effects that can be disruptive and breed discontent. But I guess let's keep our fingers crossed on that one huh?...lol. And terming it as a " Freak out" by Ayton is your perception of the situation. But again, Seeing as how many nba players have left their teams or forced trades to other teams out of conflict of some kind, or being unhappy in their situations, it seems to be the norm rather than a freak out scenario. You either work to keep your star players happy, Or you lose them. Ayton choosing to leave due to feeling disrespected or undervalued is a individual decision towards his best interests if he doesn't feel Saver values him legitimately or that he can't prosper in this scenario with this ownership, that also doesn't constitute a " freak out" scenario. But rather one of realizing one's own sense of worth and seeking a situation that recognizes and supports his self valuation. Even more sosa business decision in that he'll feel.he has better opportunities for success in an environment that would actually value him and appreciate him more than what Savers' shown or has a well documented history of.

Nobody has "dismantled" anything unless Ayton wants to be atypically diva-like about this. Hes still under contract for this season with RFA coming up, where they will again have the opportunity to offer him a boat load of money or match an offer sheet of a boat load of money.


Again, we'll see how things play out with this situation. But everyone who thinks this won't be a legitimate distraction amongst the team, locker room and to our team chemistry is blanketing themselves in blissful ignorance. Our team runs our offense through Aytons' gravity to get good looks for our shooters. Aytons' also a key defensive player and game changer at times for our team. IF he's distracted or moreover focused on showcasing himself to establish value instead of taking a background complimentary role to Booker and Paul who have already secured their futures, How good will team chemistry be then as a result?

I also get that he's going to be a restricted free agent this season and I get that the suns can offer him a boatload of money. But if Saver wasn't willing to value him enough to give him a full max currently, What in the world makes you think he'll do it after giving Shamet a bigger contract than expected along with also having Bridges deal, Shamets, and both Cams' and Smith's options to see to as well? Whether or not people accept this, There'll be a number of teams now strategizing to be able to offer Ayton the max! Again, at worst if he takes the qualifying offer or forces the suns to match an offer sheet ( could be a max amount beyond the 16 million qualifying offer by the way) from a team on a 1+1, HE DOES HAVE A CHOICE.

At worst he'd maybe lose around 20 million on a qualifying offer. But could easily make that up with a new team with structured incentives. Or even more so if he goes out and signs a 1+1 max offer sheet and becomes a free agent next yr. It all depends upon what his agents as well as he chooses to do. But he's not losing such a life changing amount of money to consider how Saver basically told him he doesn't value him enough to pay him along with everyone else who already got paid. Again, that stings even deeper after Ayton took a back seat offensively for the team to an anchor our defense. And help carry us to the finals, only to be told that he's not worth the money to the suns!!! Some things outweigh money in these matters.

Cmon man..."He'll want retribution for disrespecting him in terms of value amongst his peers!" is straight out of your post and you're surprised at my response? Its extreme hyperbole at the very least lol

You may see it has extreme hyperbole depending upon how you measure or scale retribution situationally! It's subjective, So what you infer to be extreme and hyperbole may not be depending upon the situation and how he views fair karma or leveling the playing field, getting even or making his point in general. In not knowing what he considers making his point and or getting even (individual perception) you can't accurately determine if his view of retribution is in fact extreme or hyperbolic at all. And to the context of him leaving out of contempt or in seeking retribution or karmic balance for being wronged in his perspective, His choosing to leave in free agency may not be viewed by most as being extreme or hyperbolic at all as again many instances of players leaving their teams by forced trade or other means ( free agency) are not uncommon. Especially in a climate wherein players have more control and can dictate their destinations. And since many players have/ are still leaving their teams over unhappy situations, it's not really hyperbolic now is it. :D


I really do not understand the support for the Ayton camp. It is exactly what I thought. Ayton wanted the max contract with all the incentives or nothing. There was no negotiation on his or his agents part at all. He is NOT Doncic or Tre Young. Just because OKC and Denver went nuts, even though I think Alexander is going to be worth his, does not mean we should get stupid.

What was his job in this years playoffs? Play defense - check. Rebound - check. Dunk lobs and finish puts backs at the rim - Check.
Quite Frankly I think we can replace that, if he decides to walk. However if he expands his offensive game into more than, yes those sissy little jumpers, and he shoots and starts finishing in traffic and continues his defensive improvement I expect there will be a well earned max contract awaiting at the end of the season.

Everyone seems to blast the Joe Johnson situation. Yeah Sarver could have delayed his move out of town but he did not like being Steve Nash's water boy. He wanted his own team. Doncic could create his own team, Tre could create his own team. Ayton needs to be in a place that can help him. He will never be the number one guy on any team he plays for. At least that appears to be the case at this writing.

When Joe Johnson left town we got a pretty good haul in Diaw and the Atlanta draft pick. Without some unfortunate luck it could have turned out fantastic. Imagine if we would have added Al Hoford to that group, it could have happened with a little luck.

We will see if Ayton truly wants to play for our city and team or he is all about the money.

We did the right thing at this point and it is hard to understand why so many are on Ayton's side of the fence. I know it goes back to Joe Johnson but Joe really wanted out of town and not just because of Sarver.

The sky is not falling
"You Can't Always Get What You Want"
User avatar
Puff
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,916
And1: 1,740
Joined: Jul 07, 2004
Location: Buckeye, Az
     

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5568 » by Puff » Tue Oct 19, 2021 6:23 am

Slim Charless wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
bigfoot wrote:
It's 100% apparent Ayton was not max-worthy over his first two seasons of play. Contrast that with Doncic and Trae Young who were obviously max-worthy after their first two years. Both have been all-stars and the number 1 guy taking their teams to the playoffs.

Ayton on the other hand has shown up somewhat out of shape and gets a 25 game suspension during that time. Then he self-admits that he and CP3 banged heads a lot during the first part of the season. There are repeated reports this past season that Ayton gets yelled at by Monty, CP3, and Booker in the huddle more than any other player. Not unexpected, DA over the course of this past season still is Houdini-like over stretches of games.

I find that him demanding nothing less than a 5-year max pretty damn disgusting. His IQ (financial and bb) must be lacking because a 3 or 4-year max would have been worth way more money except under one condition. That would be if Ayton was on an all-NBA team, DYOP, or league MVP this coming season. He should have been thinking about being more serious his first few years instead of waiting until the playoffs of his third.

As far as I'm concerned he's made his bed.


I don't disagree with a lot of that. I'm just saying I hope Sarver didn't tell him to prove it this season, watch him go to so, and then STILL balk at a max next summer.

He did say Monty and CP3 held him accountable. Demanded a lot, etc. I don't remember this "banging heads" thing you speak of. Ayton listens. Doesn't mean he didn't frustrate a vet like Paul as a 3rd year big learning...but CP3 also gave him his due talking about how he was the most important guy for them in the playoffs and he's gonna get paid and all that.

Personally I don't think he's quite worth the max, but if they were not far apart and would rather give him the max than lose him then I think they should have just gotten it done instead of creating potential discontent.

Of course I think Ayton is a lot better kid than you do and doubt this will create much discontent when it comes to his performance, attitude, etc, so that's fine. Would have been nice to get it behind us.

Now if they are really far apart on a deal, then waiting makes sense. But also it seems like most experts around the league felt he was worth a max deal. I know you and I have watched the NBA a long time so the cost seems absurd, but in this day and age, everyone is overpaid. A max for him wouldn't have been a bigger overpay than what Shamet got. We could do without Shamet..but not Ayton.

Yes, I agree Luka is obviously worth the max. He's the best player to come into the NBA since LeBron. And Trae you could argue too. It's when you get to Shai and Michael Porter that you get closer..and while they have a lot more offensive skills than Ayton, they don't have nearly the impact he does given his defensive presence and sheer gravity on offense.


Couldn't agree with you more. While Ayton's not Luka, few players are. We missed on that one but DA is still 1 hell of a basketball player. He's a MUCH better player than SGA and Porter. He deserves a max


If SGA and Porter would not have recevied the max would Ayton be worth the max?
"You Can't Always Get What You Want"
Desertfox
Pro Prospect
Posts: 875
And1: 856
Joined: Jan 31, 2010
     

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5569 » by Desertfox » Tue Oct 19, 2021 6:31 am

Sarver probably wanted to deduct Ayton's pre-Suns payments from the contract...
User avatar
Puff
Sixth Man
Posts: 1,916
And1: 1,740
Joined: Jul 07, 2004
Location: Buckeye, Az
     

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5570 » by Puff » Tue Oct 19, 2021 6:36 am

It appears that Ayton is in good spirits. I hope that is true and he comes to play for us with a great attitude. I expect Monty and CP3 will not allow him not to have a great attitude.

Go Suns
"You Can't Always Get What You Want"
irish22022
Senior
Posts: 663
And1: 518
Joined: Nov 16, 2009

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5571 » by irish22022 » Tue Oct 19, 2021 6:39 am

Someone said it above. Ayton is a max player only by the compatible value law. Who is ayton closer to in skillet, John Collins or Anthony Davis? I know that isn't how it works, he'll get the max from someone, but if we trade him for a KAT package, we win the trade.

I want ayton. But it's okay to make the kid prove it. We'll match whatever offer he gets and move on.
Saberestar
RealGM
Posts: 22,379
And1: 17,010
Joined: May 21, 2010

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5572 » by Saberestar » Tue Oct 19, 2021 9:23 am

Fo-Real wrote:
bwgood77 wrote:
Saberestar wrote:I love Shamet's new contract, it's gonna be a bargain pretty soon.


Seems a little high to me. I'm definitely surprised. I saw Mulholland slot 8 which I thought might be a tad high. I was thinking more like 4/$30.


I was thinking 8 per year, I think he got a bit too much.

I think Shamet is underrated around here, his new contract is absolutely fair.

A couple days ago I posted that I would offer him $40M/4 years and he finally got around that.

He will get around MLE money and he is just 24 years old. We are securing him on his prime years.
sunsbg
Head Coach
Posts: 6,372
And1: 5,447
Joined: Feb 29, 2016

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5573 » by sunsbg » Tue Oct 19, 2021 10:29 am

Saberestar wrote:I think Shamet is underrated around here, his new contract is absolutely fair.

A couple days ago I posted that I would offer him $40M/4 years and he finally got around that.

He will get around MLE money and he is just 24 years old. We are securing him on his prime years.


Around here, around the GB and most likely any board on the Internet. Most see him as a streaky shooter who can't stick on a team. Anyway, this signing doesn't comply with the thinking that Sarver is cheap and it's all business for him. In this particular case it seems they overpaid him because Monty apparently likes him. Which lets me believe Monty and Jones probably have a big role in not offering a max to DA. Personally I have no doubt Deandre is 4x more valuable than Shamet, he should be scoring 2x as much and obviously there is no comparison regarding D impact. It's doubtful Shamet will prove he's twice as valuable as Cam Payne as well.
Mulhollanddrive
RealGM
Posts: 12,555
And1: 8,337
Joined: Jan 19, 2013

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5574 » by Mulhollanddrive » Tue Oct 19, 2021 12:12 pm

Next Season:

Booker 34
Paul 28
Bridges 20
Crowder 10
Saric 10
Shamet 10
Payne 6
Johnson 6
Smith 5
-----
Ayton 29
Minimum 2
Minimum 2
Minimum 2
Minimum 2
Minimum 2

$168m salary - $141m luxury tax = $27m over luxury tax

That would cost Sarver roughly $70m in tax penalties so it'd be wise to keep our eyes open about possibilities.

I am not worried about Ayton we can match the 4 year max and if he wants out we're every chance to get an All-Star in return.
User avatar
King4Day
RealGM
Posts: 13,617
And1: 9,823
Joined: Dec 11, 2010
Location: Pandora
         

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5575 » by King4Day » Tue Oct 19, 2021 12:45 pm

bwgood77 wrote:
Read on Twitter


Wearing a Payton jersey is pretty clever (Pay Ayton). I didn't see anything in the video that makes me think he's fine. He's just shooting and I didn't hear or see him laughing.
Doesn't mean anything but I'm just not seeing whatever Rankin is seeing.
"Sometimes, the dragon wins" #RallyTheValley
User avatar
King4Day
RealGM
Posts: 13,617
And1: 9,823
Joined: Dec 11, 2010
Location: Pandora
         

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5576 » by King4Day » Tue Oct 19, 2021 12:47 pm

RaisingArizona wrote:Confused on why Shamet was signed before Ayton.


Listening to the PHNX podcast and they mentioned that Bridges and Shamet's deals may have been completed for a while now. They probably wanted to get DA's done and announce all 3. Once those talks ended, we heard Bridges first and then Landry's.

Sounds like the team simply won't celebrate it now as they know how angry fans are.
"Sometimes, the dragon wins" #RallyTheValley
User avatar
King4Day
RealGM
Posts: 13,617
And1: 9,823
Joined: Dec 11, 2010
Location: Pandora
         

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5577 » by King4Day » Tue Oct 19, 2021 12:49 pm

As for Shamet, let's wait to see the final numbers before passing judgement. If not all years are guaranteed it's going to look a hell of a lot better (and far more tradeable.)
"Sometimes, the dragon wins" #RallyTheValley
Bogyo
Analyst
Posts: 3,357
And1: 2,478
Joined: Jul 29, 2013

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5578 » by Bogyo » Tue Oct 19, 2021 12:54 pm

Mulhollanddrive wrote:Next Season:

Booker 34
Paul 28
Bridges 20
Crowder 10
Saric 10
Shamet 10
Payne 6
Johnson 6
Smith 5
-----
Ayton 29
Minimum 2
Minimum 2
Minimum 2
Minimum 2
Minimum 2

$168m salary - $141m luxury tax = $27m over luxury tax

That would cost Sarver roughly $70m in tax penalties so it'd be wise to keep our eyes open about possibilities.

I am not worried about Ayton we will match the 4 year max in RFA, if he wants out it's an opportunity to get a proven All-Star.


I'd think Saric+Smith will be traded for Thad for this exact reason. That's 14 (15?) mill expiring.
If we win it all, DA will 99% likely get his full 5yr max with all the incentives, no questions asked (if he wants to be here).
If not, then we can start looking for what DA trade the front office can and will make - with money on their minds. In this case I don't think KAT is likely, becouse of money. We'll be looking to add solid (youngish) rim protector, a good pick (between 5-12), and maybe a filler. Jarret Allen/Mitchel Robinson and the such with a filler. Not sure I'm estatic about that, but I'm very split on this Ayton situation to be honest.

I think most of NBA is silly for swinging these contracts like this, but I understand how this is reality nowadays, we can't do anything about it. Also, Ayton hasn't been all that until the playoffs, in march he couldn't set a decent pick. His learning curve has been so steep that I'd also like to see him prove it in the regular season that the playoffs weren't a fluke, and see if he can bring the effort level in 8 games out of 10 at least.

With that said - I would have liked if Sarver opened up his wallet and this would be done by now. I do not believe that the escalators are likely in Ayton's case. The west bigs are MVP/DPOY caliber (Jokic, Davis, Gobert, etc...) hard to get even to an allstar game, not to mention all nba level where the east is in too. Plus his personality wasn't too promising before this playoff run. So his 172 for 5 years would be fine with me, especially with CP off in 2 seasons, and new TV money arriving in 3 seasons. So basically 3 years from now that would be an easy to trade contract if DA is doing OK, he doesn't even have to be all star or whatever... At the end of the day it would have been a 1 or maximum 2 year luxury tax hit around a 100 million dollars tops. We should have an owner who should have no problem with that.
# waiting for the next chapter
matt131
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,756
And1: 4,905
Joined: Jun 19, 2014
   

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5579 » by matt131 » Tue Oct 19, 2021 1:39 pm

Per David Nash's most recent newsletter

"Landry Shamet also signed a 4 year extension worth up to $42,500,000. The reason I say ‘up to’ is because as of writing this article, it has been reported that the 4th year is a Team Option. While it has been reported that way, I am led to believe the contract actually includes no guaranteed money in Year 3 on top of the TO in Year 4. With a possibility that meeting certain criteria may guarantee a portion. Perhaps the criteria information will be more public by the time you read this sentence"

https://thefourpointplay.substack.com/p/vol3-iss5-projecting-forward?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxNDAyNzcxMCwicG9zdF9pZCI6NDI3Nzk5MzIsIl8iOiJ5UjI3eiIsImlhdCI6MTYzNDY1MDU5OSwiZXhwIjoxNjM0NjU0MTk5LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNjYxMDciLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.DXS-5f9NVrEjLPbAbblXe5A5iKTYuOV_VeuKq7YoDhE
Waylay13
Rookie
Posts: 1,165
And1: 934
Joined: Apr 10, 2016
 

Re: 2021-22 Season/Offseason Speculation 

Post#5580 » by Waylay13 » Tue Oct 19, 2021 1:42 pm

For me the not signing Ayton to a contact extension is nothing short of a major blow to the the team. Ayton took the message of letting Booker and Paul do most of the scoring, to be the team player and your time will come, a message that the whole team lived by last year. Yet when his time came the team said no. I hope that he can put this behind him for the year as it is going to be hard enough trying to repeat a trip to the finals without having the team fill with players who dont want to be here.
Just say no to idiots!!

Return to Phoenix Suns