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2025 Draft Thread - Part 2

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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#561 » by doclinkin » Tue May 13, 2025 7:18 pm

Dat2U wrote:
doclinkin wrote:
Fair to knock him on skill or feel for the game. He's brand new to it. Just recognize he was playing a very different game at Duke than his role as the focal point of the office for the Uganda City Oilers in BAL. Active feet, bouncy, busy defense, fluid ball skills. This is him at 17 yrs old checking up against 30 yr olds and grown professionals. Check his first possession of the game as a baseline turnaround jumpshot:

--video redacted--

My rant on the scouting of his game is that his groundbound defense and simplified offense are evidence of how well he takes to coaching.


My concern is it's a skill/feel based sport.

One of the biggest reasons guys end up being overdrafted and possibly busting is lack of skill/feel.

Can that be improved upon? Absolutely, but it's not guaranteed and it doesn't come easily. It takes years and years of drilling for it to 'click' for certain guys. For some, it only barely improves or doesn't improve at all.

Lots of guys are coachable & fast learners when there are millions at stake (so it's really wild to see guys that aren't). But many don't carry that same work ethic or passion to improve once they are living the life of their dreams. The growth one has to hope Maluach has is rare and requires a special individual who is dedicated to their craft beyond the fame & success that comes with it. Certainly, Maluach may be cut from a different cloth but it takes and wildy positive outlook to assume such a case.

In essence, the thing we don't have access to is probably the deciding factor in all of this. What does the detailed background check say? What do coaches say off the record about him? What do his peers say about him? It could potentially sell me on a guy like Malauch and could also bury him in my eyes.


Generally you and I are in accord on the things we look for. I too rate 'feel' highly. A place where I think I grade on a curve and give extra credit is accounting for youth. If a young player shows upside they will generally top out at a higher level. In some cases this enhances their assessment. I have Fears ranked higher than others given his youth and advanced feel at that age. In other cases it gives extra credit. Depending on position, etc. Bigs in particular learn slower.

Khaman is a special case. He's among the youngest players in this draft. Has far less experience in the game than most. But if you look at his Africa footage you see a totally different player. More instinctive, more active, more willing to star. At Duke he was a last-option on every possession. Playing next to a star. He was asked to play a different role. He was hesitant. He was assimilating, subverting his game to defer to the golden boy, asked to play with less aggression on both ends.

As for background you read quotes from his NBA Academy coaches who are effusive about his character, work ethic, upside. Those who say he is far more advanced than Embiid was at the same age. I look at the remarkable change in his Africa game vs his Duke game, and see 2 entirely different players. That is coaching. You see him scoring over Embiid and Unibrow in the Olympics at age 17, and realize the kid had first touched a basketball 2 years before that game. Same deal with the kid you see in the Africa footage above.

I personally don't think he lasts to #6. I think GMs are keeping hush about their interest. The mocks are way off. I expect him to be gone at 3 or 4. Pushing Tre or Knoeppel down to us. (I think Fears is ahead of Tre). At that point personally I think the Wiz are looking at Sorber, whose measurements absolutely boosted him up the draft ladder. Or even Queen, who has trimmed up and probably is tuning up his 3pt shot for workouts.

I actually think the endorsement of Bub will carry some weight in the front office on behalf of the DDQ train. As an additional background and character check from someone who has known him his whole basketball life. I personally have had qualms because any time I'd research a Big who played against the Terps I'd see Queen loafing on defense in the highlights. But maybe under coach BK he plays with more motivation on that end. Maybe he takes it as a personal challenge. I know he could play good defense if he were active and motivated. My read is that he has often not really taken it all that seriously. Conserves his energy on that side of the ball. Does not play with force and activity, which are the only ways he is going to become a good defender at the next level. Easygoing and fun-loving are not my favorite defensive qualities. A reason that Bigs often bust is they lack a level of Give a Shxt and effort on the defensive side of the ball. Or in weight and conditioning and taking care of their bodies. Hopefully that changes in the case of Queen. I don't especially like seeing him suddenly get serious on conditioning in the months before the draft. When that has been the knock on him since he was 18 years old. 2 years ago.

Whereas if you watch Maluach, especially in his Africa footage, force and activity are in his game. When he is hesitant or out of place it reads as inexperience. When I compare him and Queen, I forecast the Maluach of 2 years from now, since Queen is that much older than him. And in my vision that's a better more effective defender. Certainly more than the Queen you can find in footage of Montverde of 2 years ago, where again he was lackadaisical on defense. At center I rate defense higher than any other skill set. Even if Queen does have remarkable feel and touch and wiggle on the offensive side of the ball.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#562 » by DCZards » Tue May 13, 2025 7:29 pm

Dat2U wrote:
DCZards wrote:
Dat2U wrote:
He's 6-0 1/2 .... I love his game but that kinda kills my enthusiasm unless he shows he can play the PG position full time and I didn't see that in his handle tbh.

I understand downgrading Jase Richardson because of his size but I’m not dropping him out of my top 20.

Kid just knows how to play the game and showed some big kahunas at times. Plus he has that NBA pedigree in his blood.

Jase will figure out how to have an impact at the next level…just as the smallish Jalen Brunson did.


So we both agree, he really needs to be a PG!

I’m not ruling out his ability to play PG at the next level. Although I think he can play some SG. He measured less than an inch shorter at the combine than Donovan Mitchell.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#563 » by AFM » Tue May 13, 2025 7:33 pm

This guy has a great channel:



Really selling me on Johnson (pause). Down for him or Queen.

I didn't realize his feetwurk was so nice.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#564 » by Dat2U » Tue May 13, 2025 7:37 pm

payitforward wrote:As to Maluach -- he's not the only guy in this (& every) draft whose future growth is hard to predict. Really, it's a big exception to find someone that's NOT true of!

What he brings is how enormous his upside potential really is! Hard -- for me at least -- not to call that kid's name at 6.


Not exactly, most of his peers in his draft class all further along in their processing & skill development. We can count on one hand the prospects that are nearly as raw as Malauch.

Noa Essengue
Joan Beringer
Rocco Zikarsky
Michael Ruzic

Now out of this list, Maluach is certainly the most impressive one. Beringer is quite athletic but much smaller. Zikarsky his huge and has some skills, but appears lost on the court at times.

Point is if were starting a race, measuring the development of the top 75 prospects, Maluach is significantly behind the 8-ball. Now obviously that's because he didn't start until late and his development curve appears on a fast track to where he'll pass a lot of the guys he's currently behind but we have no idea how that will look or how far the development will take him. Based on this and looking at his peers in the lottery, I can't put him top 6.

Another way I look at it. What's more likely to occur? Maluach develops skill wise, improves his awareness and becomes a true, two-way elite big or Derik Queen adds polish to his already elite skill level and becomes a 3-level scorer & passable defender at the 4 or 5. Queen has a 2-year head start but when considering the skill & processing, I'm not sure Maluach can make up the gap even though he has more length.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#565 » by doclinkin » Tue May 13, 2025 7:52 pm

Dat2U wrote:Point is if were starting a race, measuring the development of the top 75 prospects, Maluach is significantly behind the 8-ball. Now obviously that's because he didn't start until late and his development curve appears on a fast track to where he'll pass a lot of the guys he's currently behind but we have no idea how that will look or how far the development will take him. Based on this and looking at his peers in the lottery, I can't put him top 6.

Another way I look at it. What's more likely to occur? Maluach develops skill wise, improves his awareness and becomes a true, two-way elite big or Derik Queen adds polish to his already elite skill level and becomes a 3-level scorer & passable defender at the 4 or 5. Queen has a 2-year head start but when considering the skill & processing, I'm not sure Maluach can make up the gap even though he has more length.


Whereas I look at it as a player like Maluach can have a significant effect on the game even while he is learning the ropes. And his upside is so much higher than most that I'm willing to give him a long runway to get there. Especially when his shortfalls are primarily in areas of fairly basic and likely improvement. I trust this front office's focus on player development to help him polish his best game, while not limiting him to the game we saw at Duke. One small quibble for me though is that his standing reach came in an inch shorter than earlier reports. Which does make a difference. And Queen came in longer than I expected which helps him (though 6" shorter than Khaman's max extension).

That said unless we trade up for him I think it is moot. Malauch goes ahead of Kon Knoeppel for instance I expect. Maybe Fears or Tre.

To me then the debate is between Sorber and Queen.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#566 » by AFM » Tue May 13, 2025 7:56 pm

Sorber is not going 6 though. Queen might. If you want Sorber I think you package 18 and something else (Kispert) if you have to move up. Then again the mock draft I just looked at has Sorber going 28th, so who knows where he'll be drafted at come next month.

https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/article/nba-mock-draft-10-the-mavericks-won-the-cooper-flagg-sweepstakes-heres-how-every-pick-could-play-out-now-234814117.html


Sht we could draft Queen and Sorber if you really believe in BPA :lol:
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#567 » by dckingsfan » Tue May 13, 2025 8:04 pm

Dat2U wrote:
DCZards wrote:
Dat2U wrote:
He's 6-0 1/2 .... I love his game but that kinda kills my enthusiasm unless he shows he can play the PG position full time and I didn't see that in his handle tbh.

I understand downgrading Jase Richardson because of his size but I’m not dropping him out of my top 20.

Kid just knows how to play the game and showed some big kahunas at times. Plus he has that NBA pedigree in his blood.

Jase will figure out how to have an impact at the next level…just as the smallish Jalen Brunson did.


So we both agree, he really needs to be a PG!

And one that doesn't have to have tight handles...
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#568 » by doclinkin » Tue May 13, 2025 8:07 pm

AFM wrote:Sorber is not going 6 though. Queen might. If you want Sorber I think you package 18 and something else (Kispert) if you have to move up. Then again the mock draft I just looked at has Sorber going 28th, so who knows where he'll be drafted at come next month.

https://sports.yahoo.com/nba/article/nba-mock-draft-10-the-mavericks-won-the-cooper-flagg-sweepstakes-heres-how-every-pick-could-play-out-now-234814117.html


Sorber is going 6 if we take him 6. His measurements came out huge. He has the wingspan of JaVale or DeAndre Jordan, with a brick wall frame. Watch as the mocks start to re-shuffle after the measurements and testing are officially up.

As for here: One of the younger players in the draft, playing with a veteran presence on defense in the 2nd hardest position to learn in basketball (after lead ballhandling floor general). Positional size, smarts, youth, defense. Remember this front office thinks you can add a jumpshot quicker than you can learn defense. Show me who fits the profile at 6 better than him. Or who is miles better at their position. Then recall Bilal was mocked in the 20's. IMO the only reason Sorber is mocked that low is because it takes up to 12 months for a player to recover from turf toe surgery. But we don't have to get instant production out of him and can play it slow.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#569 » by DCZards » Tue May 13, 2025 8:13 pm

Doc, I’m not sure I’d take Sorber as high as 6….but I agree with what you say about him.

I think he’ll definitely be a lottery pick.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#570 » by The Consiglieri » Tue May 13, 2025 8:14 pm

dobrojim wrote:I like the idea of taking bigs

Yeah I know we stink so drafting for need is frowned upon but that said, whoever we draft needs
to have a role/position where we can evaluate them and give them a chance to show what they got.

We need at least one guy to be a prospective rebounder.

We've got SF/SGs that are promising with BIlal, KG.
But I also like Tre Johnson. I'll note that more and more teams are starting/playing smallish lineups with 1 big.

But I would definitely take Maluach if he is on the board. And I would be happy if we got Queen, Sorber
or maybe Wolf.

PS - Thanks Doc for clarifying the Bryant hearing story. He's not deaf but was raised around deaf grandparents.



Considering how total --- we are likely to be post this screw job, it probably won't be a problem to tank properly but it should be priority #1 to avoid gifting the Knicks that #1 in next years stacked class. Correlated with that should be some appreciation of what the class looks like up top positionally:

The Big 3 are:
1 Combo guard in Peterson
1 A Wing in Dybantsa
1 PF in Boozer
-----Tier Drop
1 more swing man in Ament
-----Tier Drop
Nearly all the guys after the Big3+1 appear to be Front Court guys.

To me, this suggests that a PG like Fears might make sense, and that Front Court guys, and Wing's will be heavily involved in the top of the '26 class where if we keep our first, I believe, for now anyway, the big 4 includes 3 guys that play the #2, Peterson at Combo Guard, and 1 PF, and then it's mostly Front Court types after that, with it sounds like only 2 guard prospects.

So, not sure if focusing on the front court for sure makes sense, but I also think regardless of this, they should aim for highest ceiling guys, period.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#571 » by doclinkin » Tue May 13, 2025 8:14 pm

The Consiglieri wrote:The only positive I took out of it, was that the guys in our FO were smart as hell to get pick swaps throughout the rest of this decade and beyond, because we sure as hell aren't ever gonna climb the lottery in any lottery that actually has mega elite prospects. That gives me some minute degree of hope. That and we get 1 more bite at the apple next year in a known loaded class, but boy are we totally ----ed now. The only saving grace is that it was a catastrophe of a result, 1 in 5 shot which is why I so badly did not want us to finish in the 2 slot: because it would open up a chance to fall to 6 and out of the (well that's a weird pick, inside the top 3-4, pushing a top 4 guy to us at 5). Now, as long as they play this right and take long term upside high volatility types like a Fears or Maluach, they'll be bottom 3 again and won't have to risk gifting the pick to the Knicks. No thank you to Queen, get the upside volatility guy that insures it takes a while, and we suck properly next year, which appears to have 3, rather than 2, mega studs, and possibly 4 currently.

Phoenix and Milwaukee seem about to implode gifting us more balls in the '26, '28 and '30 classes. This also likely means we will be lottery trash through '26-'27 if you care to stay on the ride. I will be on the ride for trade deadlines, and lottery rigging and the draft, and nothing else, so you can escape my doom and permanent gloom.


Well I for one appreciated your doom and gloom this year. As the only person who occasionally writes even longer posts than mine. Plus I agree with you ^^^^ on the above take. Though with a positive spin. I think we may have lucked out in not landing 1-2 since I think there is a solid chance we get a more consequential player over the long term out of it. Not just developing in this draft, but in hopefully landing in next year's top 8. And still holding the PHX pick swap.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#572 » by TGW » Tue May 13, 2025 8:19 pm

AFM wrote:This guy has a great channel:



Really selling me on Johnson (pause). Down for him or Queen.

I didn't realize his feetwurk was so nice.


Not interested TBH. It seems like his game is alot like Carrington's...pull up jumpshots, an inability to finish at the rim. Not overly athletic and not a good defender. I'd pass.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#573 » by tontoz » Tue May 13, 2025 8:24 pm

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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#574 » by doclinkin » Tue May 13, 2025 8:27 pm

Dat2U wrote:Im not a fan of Rasheer Fleming. I see a lesser version of Taylor Hendricks. No ball skills, no slashing, no connective passing. I don't see many indicators of high level processing or feel. Gives off Rui vibes. Can certainly be a fine role player. Looks the part. We could use some muscle on the roster but I don't want a JAG.


I see the 40% from 3, and the insane measurables and then put him on court next to Sarr. Then I look at his stat progression and he has all the markers of a grinder who will put in the work to get better every season. A player who improves in both FT% and 3FG% is a gym rat. I want him to get stronger, but if he puts in the same work in the weight room that he has in shooting, then he fills need for a floor spacing 4/5 that does play defense. We have players like Bilal and Key who can shuffle at guard and wing, but lack the versatile defender who can play up in size and still stretch the floor. I don't need Fleming as a relay passer, I want him in the Jarrett Allen spot, but with the added benefit of a 3 ball, not just crashing glass for the putback or back door. I envision him catching passes off Sarr on the short roll. Sarr is the connective passer in that scenario.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#575 » by The Consiglieri » Tue May 13, 2025 9:04 pm

doclinkin wrote:
The Consiglieri wrote:The only positive I took out of it, was that the guys in our FO were smart as hell to get pick swaps throughout the rest of this decade and beyond, because we sure as hell aren't ever gonna climb the lottery in any lottery that actually has mega elite prospects. That gives me some minute degree of hope. That and we get 1 more bite at the apple next year in a known loaded class, but boy are we totally ----ed now. The only saving grace is that it was a catastrophe of a result, 1 in 5 shot which is why I so badly did not want us to finish in the 2 slot: because it would open up a chance to fall to 6 and out of the (well that's a weird pick, inside the top 3-4, pushing a top 4 guy to us at 5). Now, as long as they play this right and take long term upside high volatility types like a Fears or Maluach, they'll be bottom 3 again and won't have to risk gifting the pick to the Knicks. No thank you to Queen, get the upside volatility guy that insures it takes a while, and we suck properly next year, which appears to have 3, rather than 2, mega studs, and possibly 4 currently.

Phoenix and Milwaukee seem about to implode gifting us more balls in the '26, '28 and '30 classes. This also likely means we will be lottery trash through '26-'27 if you care to stay on the ride. I will be on the ride for trade deadlines, and lottery rigging and the draft, and nothing else, so you can escape my doom and permanent gloom.


Well I for one appreciated your doom and gloom this year. As the only person who occasionally writes even longer posts than mine. Plus I agree with you ^^^^ on the above take. Though with a positive spin. I think we may have lucked out in not landing 1-2 since I think there is a solid chance we get a more consequential player over the long term out of it. Not just developing in this draft, but in hopefully landing in next year's top 8. And still holding the PHX pick swap.


:lol: :lol: Thank you. I figured we were pretty much a lock for a top pick 5 or 6 pick in '26 as well, but there were a few factors that could scuttle that, which I weighted at about 5-15% (hilarious considering last night). The two factors that were in play to my mind were:

#1: The Flagg/Harper effect, if we landed #1 or #2, how much additive would they be to the win total? What kind of catalyst. Were they 10+ win caliber players, because that would definitely put us at risk.

#2: The accidentally tanking teams: the contenders who had their builds implode, to my mind these teams I mentioned the past few months were:
Milwaukee post Giannis
Dallas post Luca botched trade
Philly post horror show Embiid contract
The Sun's Post Beal Armageddon
Miami's post Butler squad

Honorary Outlier's: What if Brooklyn, Toronto and/or Portland fall back to expected horror level performance, and '24-'25 were just outliers.

Well, the one positive out of last night, at least to me, was that how #1 and #2 played out, largely took Dallas and Philly out of contention to jump ahead of us pre-lottery. That still leaves Milwaukee as a potential spoiler, but we know the Bucks, and suns lacking their pick/pick swaps, will try to make win now trades, and so will be trying to contend which leaves just Miami and the '24-'25 outliers as threats.

I tend to think w/last nights horror show, and the handmade gifts provided to Dallas, and Philly, that we're pretty safely ensconced in the bottom 4 for '25-'26. It is interesting to note that the brain trust of the FO also were quoted as referring to us as in the Beginning of our rebuild.... :lol: even though their regime stated two years ago. I do not disagree, we didnt get the assets we needed to transform anything in '23, '24 or '25, as such, this build aint ending until '27 at the earliest. For those still on the sinking horror barge (kind of similar to those murder barges the French used to execute people in Nantes during the Reign of terror), it's going to be a long ride down until it floats back up, if ever.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#576 » by 9 and 20 » Tue May 13, 2025 9:09 pm

Still OK with Queen but I think I'd prefer a big swing, even if they miss - Fears or Maluach. Fears is probably the biggest swing. Possible they could trade down a few spots and pick up another future pick - that would be good to do this year, in this spot.

Also, any chance Ace Bailey slides down to us? We benefited from a weird, inexplicable slide last year (just one spot, but still). Maybe it happens again?

I still blame Terd for bad karma coming from the proposed move to Virginia as the reason for this lottery catastrophe.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#577 » by The Consiglieri » Tue May 13, 2025 9:20 pm

9 and 20 wrote:Still OK with Queen but I think I'd prefer a big swing, even if they miss - Fears or Maluach. Fears is probably the biggest swing. Possible they could trade down a few spots and pick up another future pick - that would be good to do this year, in this spot.

Also, any chance Ace Bailey slides down to us? We benefited from a weird, inexplicable slide last year (just one spot, but still). Maybe it happens again?

I still blame Terd for bad karma coming from the proposed move to Virginia as the reason for this lottery catastrophe.


This is one of the reasons I argued with people who didn't mind that we might finish behind Utah. I argued that botching the tankathon with the Jazz would make the #6 slot a very real possibility (more likely than landing the 1.01), and as such should be avoided at all costs, because any weird slide, would naturally gift a player to our slot at #5, but if we fall to #6, then we end up in that scenario where we see that guy snapped up a pick before us.


As for Terd and Bad Karma. This horror show karma goes all the way to the eighties, Tom Hammons, or 1987, not a lottery pick, but basically making a Barnum and Bailey carnival selection with Bogues to go with Bol?!?! This team has been in this dumpster since Hammonds in '89. though I think most would track the beginnings of the misfortune to the Shaq Draft of '92, I still remember TSN running an opinion piece about how the no luck bullets deserved to win the Shaq sweepstakes lol, that's how long and miserable this journey has been, and that only covers 75% of it lol (admittedly the 80s we were just mediocre, not a flaming wreckage rubber necker event like the past 25 years).
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#578 » by tontoz » Tue May 13, 2025 9:21 pm

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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#579 » by doclinkin » Tue May 13, 2025 9:35 pm

9 and 20 wrote:I still blame Terd for bad karma coming from the proposed move to Virginia as the reason for this lottery catastrophe.



I blame PIF for moving to Silver Spring so we could actually meet in real life for a burger and beer. Clearly terrible juju for us to meet in real life. In fact how long has he been a fan of this franchise? 40 years? Does his fandom coincide with our long and terrible record? If so I think he has a lot to answer for.
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Re: 2025 Draft Thread - Part 2 

Post#580 » by Hibachi_0 » Tue May 13, 2025 9:46 pm

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