MVP discussion thread

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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#601 » by Doctor MJ » Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:01 am

KingCuban wrote:
mademan wrote:Meh...George wasn't anything special last year, and they still could've won. Lebron played amazingly well (or as well as you could against the best defensive team), but they limited everyone else and Hibbert destroyed them. They can beat the Heat with George averaging 22 ppg on mediocre efficiency if Hibbert turns into the Russell/Wilt hybrid he was last year.


Lebron played well against the Pacers?

I thought he was far from his best. He took over in certain moments but in the full 48 minutes, i didn't think he was anywhere near his best.

I'm not going to assume he repeats that.


Funny.

Yeah, LeBron played amazingly well and that's the only reason why the Heat won...

but LeBron played amazingly well because that's what LeBron is, not because it was a fluke. LeBron can "struggle" and still be far better than anyone else on the floor.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#602 » by kingkirk » Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:06 am

Doctor MJ wrote:
Funny.

Yeah, LeBron played amazingly well and that's the only reason why the Heat won...

but LeBron played amazingly well because that's what LeBron is, not because it was a fluke. LeBron can "struggle" and still be far better than anyone else on the floor.


And he was the best player on the court, but he wasn't the best Lebron on the court (if that makes sense).

If James were to be playing the way he is now in a series against the Pacers, it doesn't go to 7 games. Right now, i'm sorry for those that are hoping for a Pacers & George rise to the top, but until it happens, with Lebron playing the way he is and his game going to another level this season and being a dual NBA champion, someone needs to take him down before the odds look even remotely plausible for the opponent.

Perhaps im playing it safe and going with the favourite, but when the favourite is a top 5 player of all time going up against players who are no where near his level, i'm taking Lebron.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#603 » by mademan » Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:07 am

KingCuban wrote:
mademan wrote:Meh...George wasn't anything special last year, and they still could've won. Lebron played amazingly well (or as well as you could against the best defensive team), but they limited everyone else and Hibbert destroyed them. They can beat the Heat with George averaging 22 ppg on mediocre efficiency if Hibbert turns into the Russell/Wilt hybrid he was last year.


Lebron played well against the Pacers?

I thought he was far from his best. He took over in certain moments but in the full 48 minutes, i didn't think he was anywhere near his best.

I'm not going to assume he repeats that.


Being guarded by the best wingman/bigman combo and playing against the best defensive team in the league, he still put up nearly 30 ppg on good efficiency. It wasn't amazingly well (like I said earlier) but you can't hope for him to play much better.

Indy can beat the Heat with George being mediocre...they would just have to repeat what they did last year. Lockdown Wade/Bosh..close out the 3 point line (though the Heats shooter missed a lot of good looks)...and pound them inside. They can win with George playing at just an all-star level if Hibbert has another series with a Superstar impact.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#604 » by mademan » Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:18 am

On another note though, with how bad the East is, the Heat will likely get 60 wins this year. Lebron will likely finish with a 30+ PER and his main competition (Paul/Durant) are likely to finsih with worse stats and a worse record.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#605 » by xMADEinDADEx » Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:23 am

xBulletproof wrote:
G-Menn wrote:
KingCuban wrote:
To me, he is not a superstar and he is the perfect second option. I'm not convinced that a team lead by Paul George can win a title.

That may change in several seasons time if he continues to develop but he still needs a heap of work on the offensive end before i put him into the superstar bracket.


Lol I've been saying this all along only to get crucified and accused for "trolling" and "targeting" when all I was doing was responding to those who claimed PG was the sole reason for the pacers success which is just silly.


Except nobody said that. You were arguing a point nobody was making. When you make up a stance that nobody has to argue against it's pretty frustrating, hence people reacting. It makes you look pretty irrational when any credit given to Paul immediately registers in your mind as it means they think nobody else on the team contributed.


Just because YOU weren't saying that, doesn't mean it wasn being discussed. I mean hell just read Boateng's posts.

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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#606 » by xMADEinDADEx » Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:29 am

Pacerlive wrote:
DGrangeRx33 wrote:
KingCuban wrote:
I'm not trying to diminish George or trying to put him down for no good reason but if im being honest in where i see him in their NBA landscape, its in the tier below guys like Paul, Durant & James.

Granted, i don't have many guys at that level anymore with Rose being hurt, Wade, Dirk & Kobe getting older and Howard being a mental midget, but at this point, i can't put George in that bracket.

I just personally see him as a great second option on an idea championship team like i do with Harden, Westbrook or Love.

Well, I'm certainly not claiming he is on LeBron's level or Durant's and Paul's. Are you saying those are the ONLY 3 guys that can be a first option on a Championship level team?

I think he is on Durants and Cp3s when you factor in defense but of course who does that on a MB.


Wow so where is PG on your best nba players list?


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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#607 » by Woodsanity » Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:42 am

Way too early to evaluate how good Paul George is. Assuming he keeps similar production to what he has had he is a top 5 player/borderline. I think he will end the season in the top 10 range. I don't see him being this efficient all season.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#608 » by Protoss » Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:51 am

Threads like these are obviously what forums are about: speculation, discussions and opinion. But if someone had to put something on the line, like $500, no one would put on anyone other than KD, LBJ, and CP3. I wouldn't even bet on CP3 since the Clippers haven't played like a 55-win team. That leaves KD and LBJ above the rest again.

As far as production on the court goes, it's highly unlikely that anyone will keep pace with LBJ. Anthony Davis is the only person beating LBJ in PER (whether you like it or not, it's one of the best sum of stats/efficiency/minutes player out there). Most of us don't believe Davis will be able to keep it up while we all expect LBJ to pick it up post-all star break. Unlikely that LeBron keeps up 60% FG and 45+% 3pt. His minutes played, PPG, rebounds, and assist will increase though - this is almost a given. And this automatically makes him the most productive player in the NBA again.

Kevin Durant is having a down year, in spite of his scoring. I don't think he will continue to average 13 free throws a game (and for the sake of the integrity of the NBA, i hope not). He should get back to 48-50% FG soon. If he can rebound around 8 and keep assists around 5-6, he might have a chance. The Thunder need to have more wins than the Heat and KD can't be behind in PER by more than 2 points imo (which would mean LBJ is beating him in many areas).

Rest of NBA vs LBJ/KD:

Production-wise: only Anthony Davis and Kevin Love might be able to compete in terms of production (highly unlikely they keep it up). But their teams won't have the wins for them to have a chance

Team success: only the Spurs and Pacers have a chance to win more games. Almost impossible for Parker to win MVP, and Paul George needs to increase efficiency/PPG/show that he controls the pace of the games. Don't think it will happen.

That means it's gonna be LBJ again this year unless the Heat win 3-5fewer game than OKC and KD has 29+ PER when LBJ has 30+. Might stay like this for another 2-3 years.

What does this all mean? LBJ's consistency in the regular season is top-5 all-time.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#609 » by Protoss » Sun Nov 24, 2013 12:59 am

And personally I think LBJ's version of stat-padding hurts him. He can score 20 points in a quarter, be on pace to drop 50, and spend entire quarters trying to track up assists/rebounds. I hope critics hold this against him if he keeps doing this - terrible basketball.

How does a team with LBJ score less than 15 pts in a quarter so often? Anyone have any idea how many times this happened in Cle vs how many times in Mia?

EDIT: i know he wants to say "get my teammates involved" but he's ruining basketball when he does this. SMH every time I see it. It's so obvious.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#610 » by Doctor MJ » Sun Nov 24, 2013 1:19 am

Protoss wrote:And personally I think LBJ's version of stat-padding hurts him. He can score 20 points in a quarter, be on pace to drop 50, and spend entire quarters trying to track up assists/rebounds. I hope critics hold this against him if he keeps doing this - terrible basketball.

How does a team with LBJ score less than 15 pts in a quarter so often? Anyone have any idea how many times this happened in Cle vs how many times in Mia?


Wow. So you think that the guy who went to Miami to win as many titles as possible, and who has won back-to-back titles as the best player in the land, is purposefully NOT racking up the most glamorous kind of stats in order to stat pad to the detriment of his team?

Feels like you're just round the bend. You have certain expectations for how LeBron ought to go about playing, and no about of data will be enough for you to become convinced that you're wrong.

Along those lines, I don't really know what to give to try to convince you.

Oh and relating to what you asked for - the problem with that data is that it doesn't account for the state of the game. Obviously if LeBron's on the bench because of a blowout, that shouldn't be held against him. I can tell you though that with the game on the line last year, the Heat had an ORtg of 120.7 and a DRtg of 87.1 with LeBron out there, which is about the equivalent of blowing out the other team by 30 points.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#611 » by MisterWestside » Sun Nov 24, 2013 1:31 am

SideshowBob wrote:What are your thoughts on Durant's progression in the last 3 seasons (obviously small sample for the current year)?

I don't know if I've seen any dramatic improvements in what he actually is as a player, granted I think he was transcendent already back in 2012, as opposed to making the jump last year. Some role shifts? Certainly. A better fitting offensive system last season? Sure, at least until Westbrook went down. I definitely see improved passing, he's gotten much better at finding the open man, but not improved creation/playmaking. That's not to say he doesn't create opportunities, but not in the realm of what his assist figures would indicate, though he's certainly taking a more active on-ball role than before. He's certainly gotten better at getting to the line, no doubts there, and I think he's improved as a finisher. Also gotten a lot more aggressive and effective at getting to his spots on the floor, something that was clearly a problem against elite defenses back in say, 2010, to less of an extent in 2011.

Defensively, he's gotten better at using his length to deter shots, lateral/perimeter awareness seems improved (which is to be expected with experience), and he's good at giving guys fits in isolation with his size and relative quickness/mobility for a guy with that size, which means he requires less help, and in turn, less easy opportunities created for opponent offenses.

All that said, I think he's just a more refined version of what he was in 2012 (which TBF was close to all time great for all non-Jordan/James/Bird wings already), but I don't think he's made some major leap since then.

Again, what are your thoughts?


Gosh. I've thought about your post for awhile and I'd have to say that you literally nailed my sentiments on Durant. I hope I don't disappoint you by not adding more in-depth thoughts :) Well done. Yeah, I also don't believe that Durant made a huge jump in his ability to create shots; he's certainly done a better job of directly setting up his teammate than he did in the past; but in terms of where and how he gets his shots, his game is still mostly the same, in essence. It's also the same in approach; the dynamic in OKC is still Westbrook first, then Durant where pressuring the defense is concerned (this is not to say that Westbrook is the better player, of course).

However, I will add that Durant is still young, and he is not in an environment that truly demands a radical shift in offensive approach anyway. What makes James so fascinating as a case study is how he went from one environment to another and morphed his game accordingly. In contrast, Durant's skillset for his current roster (and coach) is suitable for the Thunder's attack, and only requires refinement as opposed to revolution. I don't think the shift will take place until Durant is 1) older, 2) not paired with a hyperactive player like Westbrook, and/or 3) plays for another coach with a different offensive philosophy. Whether or not any or all of those things take place in OKC is the key question.

Will respond to DoctorMJ's insightful comments later.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#612 » by Protoss » Sun Nov 24, 2013 1:34 am

Doctor MJ wrote:[1] Wow. So you think that the guy who went to Miami to win as many titles as possible, and who has won back-to-back titles as the best player in the land, is purposefully NOT racking up the most glamorous kind of stats in order to stat pad to the detriment of his team?

[2] Feels like you're just round the bend. You have certain expectations for how LeBron ought to go about playing, and no about of data will be enough for you to become convinced that you're wrong.

Along those lines, I don't really know what to give to try to convince you.

[3] Oh and relating to what you asked for - the problem with that data is that it doesn't account for the state of the game. Obviously if LeBron's on the bench because of a blowout, that shouldn't be held against him. I can tell you though that with the game on the line last year, the Heat had an ORtg of 120.7 and a DRtg of 87.1 with LeBron out there, which is about the equivalent of blowing out the other team by 30 points.


1 - I disagree that when LeBron is scoring, it's "detrimental" to the Heat. He is their best player on both sides of the court, and also one of the most efficient in the NBA. Why does he take fewer than 3-4 field goals in some quarters? Look at the game going on right now. LBJ has taken 3 shots and the Heat might score fewer than 40 pts in the first half against the Magic. I know it's a regular season game, and some players have off-games, but it's something I think happens way too often.

2 - LBJ's biggest strength is still his scoring and passing. His teammates aren't as good at scoring as him. I prefer he "take over" games more often. I also believe that players don't take more than 23 shots often (except maybe Melo and Kobe) because it's expected they don't. What if the best shots on the floor are still for them to keep shooting? If it were accepted that some superstars score 35 PPG without being labeled ballhogs, I see no reason why LBJ and KD couldn't. They are much, muchbetter than anyone else.

3 - LBJ plays more aggressive in the 4th quarter, which is exactly my point. It's usually scoring burst in the first, passing in the 2nd and 3rd quarters once he has 20 pts. The 4th quarter stat doesn't necessarily answer my question. Coincidentally, I don't recall the Heat scoring fewer than 20 pts in the 4th very often.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#613 » by MisterWestside » Sun Nov 24, 2013 2:24 am

mademan wrote:Being guarded by the best wingman/bigman combo and playing against the best defensive team in the league, he still put up nearly 30 ppg on good efficiency. It wasn't amazingly well (like I said earlier) but you can't hope for him to play much better.


James's usg%/ortg series split vs. the Pacers (#1 in defensive efficiency) was nearly identical to his regular season average. He didn't play subpar; he played lights out. Just because the series went seven doesn't mean that James didn't do his part.

He also played well vs. the Spurs.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#614 » by Doctor MJ » Sun Nov 24, 2013 2:41 am

Protoss wrote:
Doctor MJ wrote:[1] Wow. So you think that the guy who went to Miami to win as many titles as possible, and who has won back-to-back titles as the best player in the land, is purposefully NOT racking up the most glamorous kind of stats in order to stat pad to the detriment of his team?

[2] Feels like you're just round the bend. You have certain expectations for how LeBron ought to go about playing, and no about of data will be enough for you to become convinced that you're wrong.

Along those lines, I don't really know what to give to try to convince you.

[3] Oh and relating to what you asked for - the problem with that data is that it doesn't account for the state of the game. Obviously if LeBron's on the bench because of a blowout, that shouldn't be held against him. I can tell you though that with the game on the line last year, the Heat had an ORtg of 120.7 and a DRtg of 87.1 with LeBron out there, which is about the equivalent of blowing out the other team by 30 points.


1 - I disagree that when LeBron is scoring, it's "detrimental" to the Heat. He is their best player on both sides of the court, and also one of the most efficient in the NBA. Why does he take fewer than 3-4 field goals in some quarters? Look at the game going on right now. LBJ has taken 3 shots and the Heat might score fewer than 40 pts in the first half against the Magic. I know it's a regular season game, and some players have off-games, but it's something I think happens way too often.

2 - LBJ's biggest strength is still his scoring and passing. His teammates aren't as good at scoring as him. I prefer he "take over" games more often. I also believe that players don't take more than 23 shots often (except maybe Melo and Kobe) because it's expected they don't. What if the best shots on the floor are still for them to keep shooting? If it were accepted that some superstars score 35 PPG without being labeled ballhogs, I see no reason why LBJ and KD couldn't. They are much, muchbetter than anyone else.


I'm not the one accusing detriment, you are. You spoke of LeBron stat padding, and you spoke of it in the context of believing he was capable of doing something better. You are thus alleging that he is sabotaging his team so that he individually looks better.

And that's clearly crazy. One does not stop doing the most individually glamorous thing there is in order to make oneself look better.

Now from the other things you say, I glean that what you actually mean is that you think LeBron coasts when he can. Okay, and what of it? Everyone conserves energy when they can.

I could understand a rational complaint more if LeBron's scoring was far below other stars' volume...but it isn't. He's 3rd in the league in scoring. So he's scoring comparably to his peers, yet he alone draws your ire. Why?

Presumably because:

1) LeBron specifically at times makes it so easy-looking that it's clear to you when he conserves energy.

2) More generally, probably because you aren't seeing volume scoring tendencies as part of a general trend. We haven't moved away from 35 PPG scoring out of some politically correct duty to let everyone have a shot, it's happening because it's a more effective way to play offense.

So the ideal you're holding LeBron to would seem to speak to an idealization of what amounts to bad basketball strategy.

Of course, all that said, there is something real to be said for LeBron more than anyone else in a long time seeming to have the ability to defy those convention. Perhaps the Heat would actually be better off if he applied a more old world approach to basketball, eh?

But then I would also point out that LeBron's team has won the last two titles and they've been monstrously successful in close games now that they've finally, successfully re-defined their offensive strategy into something extremely new world. So while I wouldn't be so bold as to say that LeBron's doing everything exactly as he should, I don't think there's really any leg to stand on to say he's playing "bad basketball".
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#615 » by Hero » Sun Nov 24, 2013 3:03 am

Solid day at the office for LBJ, 22 Pts, 9 Reb, 7 Ast, 3 Stl, and played well in the 2nd half and fourth quarter. Hit a key jumper to put the Heat ahead and the end of the game too.
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MVP discussion thread 

Post#616 » by xMADEinDADEx » Sun Nov 24, 2013 3:20 am

Woodsanity wrote:Way too early to evaluate how good Paul George is. Assuming he keeps similar production to what he has had he is a top 5 player/borderline. I think he will end the season in the top 10 range. I don't see him being this efficient all season.


..wow top 5?

List your top 10 players.

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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#617 » by xxSnEaKyPxx » Sun Nov 24, 2013 4:20 am

KingCuban wrote:
DGrangeRx33 wrote:What i'm saying is that when i look at the NBA landscape at this point, given the dominance of Durant and Lebron, i'm having a tough time believing that anyone can unsettle these 2 and take a title off them in the coming years unless that player raises their game.

Using Dirk as an example, his play in the playoffs went to a completely different level, one that even surpassed his usual great play.

Maybe George can do a Dirk impression and go nuts for 29 8 & 6 in the finals? Until he does though, i still think he needs to prove that he can take another step.

If guys like Harden, George etc go to a finals series playing at their current level, i can't back them in to beat one of Lebron or Durant.

I know someone will raise the Spurs as an example, but they're not normal. They're the exception.

I see what you are saying, but with that logic you aren't really taking matchups or the rest of the team into consideration.
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#618 » by xBulletproof » Sun Nov 24, 2013 5:00 am

G-Menn wrote:
xBulletproof wrote:
G-Menn wrote:
Lol I've been saying this all along only to get crucified and accused for "trolling" and "targeting" when all I was doing was responding to those who claimed PG was the sole reason for the pacers success which is just silly.


Except nobody said that. You were arguing a point nobody was making. When you make up a stance that nobody has to argue against it's pretty frustrating, hence people reacting. It makes you look pretty irrational when any credit given to Paul immediately registers in your mind as it means they think nobody else on the team contributed.


Just because YOU weren't saying that, doesn't mean it wasn being discussed. I mean hell just read Boateng's posts.

Sometimes I wonder about you..


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.... wait? You wonder about ME?! I searched boateng's posts using the search function of any that had Paul George's name. Here's the first thing I came up with .....

viewtopic.php?f=6&t=1274783&start=45

boateng wrote:So Paul Geroge is getting more money than Durant, Westbrook and even Steph Curry got.

All 3 players are better than him

PG is a max player but not at $90m max. Overpaid.


Yeah. Sure showed me. Sounds like someone who thinks Paul wins every game by himself all right. :lol:
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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#619 » by xMADEinDADEx » Sun Nov 24, 2013 6:18 am

xBulletproof wrote:
G-Menn wrote:
xBulletproof wrote:
Except nobody said that. You were arguing a point nobody was making. When you make up a stance that nobody has to argue against it's pretty frustrating, hence people reacting. It makes you look pretty irrational when any credit given to Paul immediately registers in your mind as it means they think nobody else on the team contributed.


Just because YOU weren't saying that, doesn't mean it wasn being discussed. I mean hell just read Boateng's posts.

Sometimes I wonder about you..


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.... wait? You wonder about ME?! I searched boateng's posts using the search function of any that had Paul George's name. Here's the first thing I came up with .....

viewtopic.php?f=6&t=1274783&start=45

boateng wrote:So Paul Geroge is getting more money than Durant, Westbrook and even Steph Curry got.

All 3 players are better than him

PG is a max player but not at $90m max. Overpaid.


Yeah. Sure showed me. Sounds like someone who thinks Paul wins every game by himself all right. :lol:


Wtf are you babbling about?

Quotes like this:

boateng wrote:Lebron doesn't deserve MVP.
He is on a stacked team and the likes of Beasley etc...are contributing
Paul george is more deserving considering the pacers record or even durant


And people claiming he's borderline top 5 player or tweets comparing him to pippen is what I mean.

The fact that something as simple as this can't get through your homer skull is laughable.



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Re: MVP discussion thread 

Post#620 » by big_ticket » Sun Nov 24, 2013 6:32 am

PG24 is one of the overpaid guys in the league,just benefiting on hibberts play

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