ldnk wrote:25 blown saves does not equal 25 losses as a result of blown saves. They won a bunch of those blown saves...but the thing is, that was a total bullpen screw up. So right now we are going to go into the season with a bullpen of:
Villaneuva - long-arm
Janssen - hope doesn't revert to 2009 form
Santos - 6 blown saves (Francisco 4 blown saves)
The bullpen isn't better. And the guy who is our new backup catcher is essentially Molina with a 0% chance of hitting anything above .200
25 blown saves doesn't equal 25 losses. But it equals a lot.
When you begin to realize that half this board wants to ink Fielder to a 200M+ contract for 2-4 extra wins a year, even 5 losses due to blown saves should be counted as massive.
Santos did blow 6 saves. Out of 36 chances. Francisco did blow 4 saves. Out of 21 chances.
Saves themselves are a terrible stat. Its like looking at wins for pitchers, or home runs for hitters. Sure great players typically accumulate a lot, but the stats are very one dimensional and have a lot of wiggle room. If Santos comes in to 36 1 run games and allows 6 BS, is it not better than if Franky comes into 21 3 run games and has 4 BS?
Santos saved 83.3% of games.
Francisco saved 80.9% of games.
That is much more accurate.
I would argue our bullpen will be much better this year, because AA still said he wants to acquire a setup man and make Jansen a 7th inning middle reliever. This means that on ideal games it will be:
7th - Jansen
8th - (Insert setup man here)
9th - Sergio Santos
We also have Joel Carreno who could be a good reliever and possible some other guys from AA like Beck. I like how AA is looking for longterm bullpen help now instead of his typically 1 year bullpens.
That being said, if the season started today I would say our bullpen is weak, but better than last year.