Help selecting PPR "keeper"

[Gek]

/Edit - NVM, the first pick in the expansion draft took Newton, so I am just taking who's left out of Ray Rice and Calvin Johnson after the 2nd pick.

I am taking a new slot in an expanding keeper league (was 6 and is doubling to 12). The following are off the table:

McCoy
Gronkowski
Foster
Rodgers
Brees
Stafford


I select 3rd in the pre-draft expansion keeper draft. It is a PPR league with 2 QB/WR/RB and passing TD's are 4 points while rushing and receiving TD's are 6.


Assuming Ray Rice and Calvin Johnson are the first two picks, who should I take? I am leaning heavily towards Brady, but MJD seems like a strong selection. I am worried about Newton not being able to repeat his running success. Is it worth looking at a guy like Welker here?