ESPN Forecast

[scottcarman]

Any comments?

Denver predicted 7th in west, with 43-39 record.

It's ESPN's own hyperbole, but here is the idea behind ESPN forecast:
What is ESPN Forecast?
Our new engine for creating more accurate sports predictions and opinion.



Does it work?
Yes. For the past five years, ESPN's NBA Summer Forecast series has produced the most accurate predictions in the game.



And for two years running, our #NBArank feature has been based on the ESPN Forecast approach to generating state-of-the-art information and opinion.



This is the future of forecasting, as demonstrated by the 2012 presidential election and Fortune 500 companies.



How does it work?
Our approach, in a nutshell, is to create a diverse panel of people with NBA expertise and then aggregate their predictions and opinions. For ESPN Forecast, we have a panel of more than 200 members who collectively possess vast NBA experience, knowledge and perspective.



Why does it work?
This panel has a collective intelligence that's greater than any individual member's knowledge and sharper than that of any single statistical system.



Diversity is a key factor in creating accurate predictions and opinion. The wisdom of the crowd comes from having diverse views that emerge from independent thinking.



The ESPN Forecast panel is a very diverse mix of contributors from across the spectrum.



The result?
More accurate, insightful forecasts and views.



This is the wisdom of the crowd in action. This is ESPN Forecast.

[scottcarman]

crickets, crickets.....

ok, I think that 7th in the west might be realistic, but I don't think they are 14 games worse then they were last year. I'd probably place our win mark around 48.

[DaFan334]

I don't feel that we fell off that bad but this is pretty standard for national media with the Nuggets. Still not as bad as some seem to feel this team will be so I guess that's cool.

[Mac1958]

Looking at the rosters and off-seasons of the various teams, especially those rated ahead of us, I'd have to agree. That doesn't make us horrible, it just means that home court advantage in the playoffs is probably not likely, injuries notwithstanding.