The most probable World Cup quarterfinalists in order of likelihood are Germany (87%), Argentina (76%), Brazil (73%), France (67%), Netherlands (64%), Greece (58%), Colombia (54%) and the United States (50%).
In terms of winning the World Cup, Brazil are still most likely to do so (23.4%), but Argentina (19.3%) and Germany’s chances (15.6%) are much closer than many believed prior to the start of the tournament. The Netherlands (10.5%) are fourth favorites with nearly double the chance of fifth favorites Colombia (5.4%).
There is just under a 70% chance that this year’s World Cup winners will come from Brazil, Argentina, Germany or the Netherlands.
Via Infostrada