My prediction for the first round battles:
Hawks 4, Nets 1. Nothing much to comment in this series except that Brooklyn has too many veteran and clutch players just to be swept in this series. Interesting to see how Brook Lopez performs against a relatively small frontcourt.
Key Matchup: Jeff Teague vs Deron Williams
X-Factor: Brook Lopez
Raptors 4, Wizards 2. Washington will miss the presence of Trevor Ariza in this series as they do not have anyone in the roster this is capable of shutting down tall slashing wings. Demar DeRozan should feast in this series. Paul Pierce is better off defending post-up players in this stage of his career and Wizards already have a player in Bradley Beal who can hit the clutch shots.
Key Matchup: Kyle Lowry vs John Wall
X-Factor: Demar DeRozan
Bulls 4, Bucks 1. Chicago is prone to losing against teams with strong and tough frontcourts like Washington. Unfortunately, Milwaukee is not one of those teams. Jason Kidd is a great coach but Tim Thibodeau is not of his good matchups as evidenced by how the New York Knicks got swept by the Chicago Bulls in our 54-win season (Mike Woodson who?). Bulls should have no problem in shutting down the Bucks’ wing players.
Key Matchup: Jimmy Butler vs Khris Middleton
X-Factor: Coaching (Tom Thibodeau vs Jason Kidd)
Cavaliers 4, Celtics 1. I may have predicted a 5-game series in favor of Cleveland but this will be a tough one for them regardless. Boston has plenty of players whom I call ‘disruptive’ (Isaiah Thomas, Avery Bradley, Marcus Smart, Evan Turner, Jae Crowder) in a sense that they can create havoc in their opponent’s offensive and defensive sets. Will not be a comfortable series for the Cavaliers but no reason that they should not end up on top.
Key Matchup: Kyrie Irving vs Avery Bradley / LeBron James vs Evan Turner
X-Factor: Kevin Love
Warriors 4, Pelicans 1. New Orleans has two types of players that can make this an uncomfortable series for Golden State: Anthony Davis and Tyreke Evans. Jrue Holiday should also be able to guard Steph Curry decently. However, the Warriors are too deep and too good of a team to have this series extend past 5 games.
Key Matchup: Steph Curry & Klay Thompson vs Tyreke Evans & Eric Gordon
X-Factor: Anthony Davis
Grizzlies 4, Trailblazers 2. I wish that Portland could have been able to enter the playoffs at full strength. With all their injuries to key players as well as having to play a tough physical team like Memphis, I do not like their chances.
Key Matchup: Zach Randolph vs LaMarcus Aldridge
X-Factor: Damian Lillard
Spurs 4, Clippers 2. Unfair draw for the Clippers. This should be a strong case for just seeding the playoff teams by record instead of giving perks to a division champion. I have a sense that we can expect a result similar to their 2012 playoff matchup but I have too much respect for the Clippers team to call this a sweep.
Key Matchup: Tony Parker vs Chris Paul
X-Factor: Kawhi Leonard
Mavericks 4, Rockets 3. Very tough call for me to make. Especially with all of their injuries to key players, I do not view Houston as the typical #2 seed. If we see the Playoff! Rondo version that he was with the Celtics, the Rockets will have a huge problem with Patrick Beverly out. James Harden should feast in this series but I do not expect him to get the calls in the playoffs that he usually does. Rick Carlisle vs Kevin McHale coaching matchup will also be a key in this one. I can see the Mavericks winning a Game 7 on the road.
Key Matchup: Monta Ellis vs James Harden / Tyson Chandler vs Dwight Howard
X-Factor: Rajon Rondo & Dirk Nowitzki