Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years

Moderators: ken6199, Dirk, bisme37, KingDavid, bwgood77, zimpy27, cupcakesnake, Domejandro, infinite11285, Harry Garris

Worst Draft picks of the last 20 years-vote for 3

1-Darko over Melo
134
18%
2-MWilliams over CP3
85
11%
3-Bargs over LMA
8
1%
4-Thabeet over Harden
189
25%
5-WJohnson over Cousins
2
0%
6-MKG over Beal
14
2%
7-Bennet over Oladipo
42
6%
8-Wiggins/Parker over Embiid
37
5%
9-Fultz over Tatum
31
4%
10-Bagley over Luka
215
28%
 
Total votes: 757

pipfan
RealGM
Posts: 10,819
And1: 3,358
Joined: Aug 07, 2010

Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#1 » by pipfan » Mon Apr 5, 2021 7:45 pm

For this list, it has to be guys from the top of the draft. Of course, 29 teams should have taken Jokic, but no one knew what he would become. This is for guys picked in the top 5, over studs. Plus, no hind sight-Oden over KD looks terrible now but was 100% justifiable at the time.
Warriors Analyst
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,848
And1: 2,694
Joined: May 16, 2005

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#2 » by Warriors Analyst » Mon Apr 5, 2021 7:50 pm

Some of these were moderately justifiable at the time. Parker over Embiid I can make sense of because pre-ACL tear Parker was becoming a very good player and there were significant injury concerns with Embiid.

But man, there are some embarrassing ones here. Bagley over Luka stands out, but Williams over CP3 is particularly bad. Every year a GM of a lotto team convinces themselves that a high level athlete with mediocre or non-existent feel will turn into a star on their team and it just... doesn't ever happen. Wes Johnson is another perfect example of that, as is Harrison Barnes and Ben McLemore and Josh Jackson and so on.

Bennet over Dipo is just hilarious. The reporting at the time was that Cleveland wanted to trade out of the pick but Chris Grant's asking price for the #1 was so ridiculous that no team wanted to deal with the Cavs and so they galaxy brained themselves into taking Bennet.
Sactowndog
Kings Forum Mock Draft Champ
Posts: 4,186
And1: 1,711
Joined: May 27, 2017

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#3 » by Sactowndog » Mon Apr 5, 2021 7:51 pm

And just think for a moment in time Vivek had Vlade and Joe advising him at the same time.
Infinite Llamas
General Manager
Posts: 9,168
And1: 21,322
Joined: Jul 22, 2006
Location: Land of Llamas
   

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#4 » by Infinite Llamas » Mon Apr 5, 2021 7:52 pm

Pretty sure Wiggins over Embiid was justified at the time. Wiggins got hyped as the next Lebron type talent.

Nobody was questioning Fultz at #1 either iirc
Gerald Green Loves LLamas!
Homer38
RealGM
Posts: 10,673
And1: 11,840
Joined: Dec 04, 2013

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#5 » by Homer38 » Mon Apr 5, 2021 7:53 pm

Anthony Bennett was hilarious from the start....

User avatar
clyde21
RealGM
Posts: 61,706
And1: 69,196
Joined: Aug 20, 2014
   

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#6 » by clyde21 » Mon Apr 5, 2021 7:55 pm

Thabeet over Harden is never really talked about but that was devastating, and wasn't even remotely justified at the time other than 'must get 7 footer'

Thabeet was also drafted over Steph

yea, gotta go Thabeet.
Homer38
RealGM
Posts: 10,673
And1: 11,840
Joined: Dec 04, 2013

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#7 » by Homer38 » Mon Apr 5, 2021 7:56 pm

clyde21 wrote:Thabeet over Harden is never really talked about but that was devastating, and wasn't even remotely justified at the time other than 'must get 7 footer'

Thabeet was also drafted over Steph

yea, gotta go Thabeet.



Very true...Too much under the radar.
Warriors Analyst
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,848
And1: 2,694
Joined: May 16, 2005

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#8 » by Warriors Analyst » Mon Apr 5, 2021 7:56 pm

Infinite Llamas wrote:Pretty sure Wiggins over Embiid was justified at the time. Wiggins got hyped as the next Lebron type talent.

Nobody was questioning Fultz at #1 either iirc


This I don't agree with. I think Parker was a far more justifiable pick. But Wiggins was fools gold. He never had the wiggle or creativity you'd expect from a future superstar. So much of his ceiling was tied to the assumption that someone with his physical abilities could be taught how to do those things. It's rare that athletic freaks with limited feel ever learn how to do that type of stuff at a superstar level. Jabari had some of that creative juice to his game, but the ACL tears put a hard stop on his ceiling.
MINDKCUF
Senior
Posts: 688
And1: 577
Joined: Sep 30, 2020

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#9 » by MINDKCUF » Mon Apr 5, 2021 7:59 pm

A. Bennet at #1 IS THE WORST PICK OF THEM ALL.

he ONLY STARTED 4 GAMES and averaged 4 ppg over 4 yrs career. biggest bust ever since there was no injury to retirement.
ATRAIN53
Head Coach
Posts: 7,461
And1: 2,560
Joined: Dec 14, 2007
Location: Chicago

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#10 » by ATRAIN53 » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:00 pm

can't be Darko because his team won the title with him as a rookie LOL

Harden and CP3 are future HOF players

Luka will be in the HOF too if he keeps playing at this pace

Where is Oden over Durant?

How about Kwame Brown over future HOF Pau Gasol?
Infinite Llamas
General Manager
Posts: 9,168
And1: 21,322
Joined: Jul 22, 2006
Location: Land of Llamas
   

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#11 » by Infinite Llamas » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:04 pm

Warriors Analyst wrote:
Infinite Llamas wrote:Pretty sure Wiggins over Embiid was justified at the time. Wiggins got hyped as the next Lebron type talent.

Nobody was questioning Fultz at #1 either iirc


This I don't agree with. I think Parker was a far more justifiable pick. But Wiggins was fools gold. He never had the wiggle or creativity you'd expect from a future superstar. So much of his ceiling was tied to the assumption that someone with his physical abilities could be taught how to do those things. It's rare that athletic freaks with limited feel ever learn how to do that type of stuff at a superstar level. Jabari had some of that creative juice to his game, but the ACL tears put a hard stop on his ceiling.


Sure there were some potential issues with Wiggins, but no analyst was lambasting the Cavs for the pick. There were doubts after his one year of college but it was cemented in so many brains that Wiggins was the consensus first pick. Im sure 99% of mock drafts had him as #1. Picks like Darko and Bennett had waaaaaay more question marks at the time.
Gerald Green Loves LLamas!
Warriors Analyst
Lead Assistant
Posts: 4,848
And1: 2,694
Joined: May 16, 2005

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#12 » by Warriors Analyst » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:07 pm

Infinite Llamas wrote:
Warriors Analyst wrote:
Infinite Llamas wrote:Pretty sure Wiggins over Embiid was justified at the time. Wiggins got hyped as the next Lebron type talent.

Nobody was questioning Fultz at #1 either iirc


This I don't agree with. I think Parker was a far more justifiable pick. But Wiggins was fools gold. He never had the wiggle or creativity you'd expect from a future superstar. So much of his ceiling was tied to the assumption that someone with his physical abilities could be taught how to do those things. It's rare that athletic freaks with limited feel ever learn how to do that type of stuff at a superstar level. Jabari had some of that creative juice to his game, but the ACL tears put a hard stop on his ceiling.


Sure there were some potential issues with Wiggins, but no analyst was lambasting the Cavs for the pick. There were doubts after his one year of college but it was cemented in so many brains that Wiggins was the consensus first pick. Im sure 99% of mock drafts had him as #1. Picks like Darko and Bennett had waaaaaay more question marks at the time.


You are right about it being a totally fine pick via consensus. I'm just more skeptical of the consensus. I remember watching Wiggins for the first time in the game Kansas got eliminated in March Madness and came away from it totally confused as to why he was seen as this high level prospect: in the most important game of his life (up until that point), he just totally shrunk from the moment and did not make use of his considerable physical skills to try and do... well... anything.

Of course, now I'm watching him as a Warriors fan struggling to do much of anything consistently beyond onball defense, so joke is on me.
shakes0
Assistant Coach
Posts: 4,342
And1: 4,960
Joined: Jul 14, 2017
Location: Chicago
       

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#13 » by shakes0 » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:13 pm

For me this is a no brainer. It's the T Wolves taking not one, but two PG's ahead of Steph Curry.

Cmon, nothing in this poll is even close to that level of front office incompetence.
DCasey91
General Manager
Posts: 8,805
And1: 5,312
Joined: Dec 15, 2020
   

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#14 » by DCasey91 » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:16 pm

Wow didn’t think I would pick all three leading the vote they seem super obvious to me

10 & 4 is a disaster
Vlade knows Luka lol. Euroleague MVP winner at age 18 is very abnormal in the ultra modern era

And Thabeet over Harden? By names it’s a huge no but in saying that though drafts is never in exact science (Thabeet did win a lot of very good defensive awards in College)

Then process of elimination
Fultz was a great prospect, Wiggins/Parker understandable with Embiid’s injury, Oli wasn’t a number one type prospect (Bennett wasn’t either), the rest are marginal aside from Darko over Melo that one is a head-scratcher there.

MKG, Barganani, Mo, Wes had good credentials/awards somewhat pre draft.
User avatar
pace31
Bench Warmer
Posts: 1,453
And1: 2,349
Joined: Aug 27, 2007
     

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#15 » by pace31 » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:29 pm

I won't penalize picks that we're now judging in hindsight. Thabeet over Harden of course looks bad now, but the guy was really good in college. I thought he'd be very solid in the NBA. I'm going with:

Bagley over Luka
Marvin Williams over CP3
Darko over Melo

all of those picks at the time for me were head scratchers. The latter player in all 3 comparisons had star written all over them.
Lenneth
Rookie
Posts: 1,145
And1: 1,786
Joined: Dec 23, 2014

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#16 » by Lenneth » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:30 pm

No Rubio/Flynn over Curry?
LloydFree
RealGM
Posts: 15,767
And1: 11,568
Joined: Aug 20, 2012
Location: Somewhere near the Jersey Turnpike, between exit 4 and 15E

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#17 » by LloydFree » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:31 pm

Voted Fultz over Tatum because of my personal distaste for Fultz' status as the #1 pick that year.
But that wasn't the consensus feeling at time.

If I had to pick based on what the general perception at the time of each draft, it would be either Bennett or Bagley.

People need to stop rewriting history with the Darko pick. Guys on this, and other sites were arguing Darko was better than Lebron, let alone Carmelo.
Fischella wrote:I think none of you guys that are pro-Embiid no how basketball works today.. is way easier to win it all with Omer Asik than Olajuwon.
Actually if you ask me which Center I want for my perfect championship caliber team, I will chose Asik hands down
BostonCouchGM
Head Coach
Posts: 6,714
And1: 4,857
Joined: Jun 07, 2018

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#18 » by BostonCouchGM » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:37 pm

I'm not at all surprised people chose Bagley over Luka. It's embarrassing, but not surprising
User avatar
HEKTOR
Veteran
Posts: 2,538
And1: 1,323
Joined: Jan 22, 2009

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#19 » by HEKTOR » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:41 pm

Kwame Brown going #1 has to be up there, along with Bennett.
bstein14
RealGM
Posts: 30,821
And1: 8,042
Joined: Jun 22, 2001

Re: Worst 3 draft picks from the last 20 years 

Post#20 » by bstein14 » Mon Apr 5, 2021 8:49 pm

Oden over KD is the worst. Many thought it was a toss up. KD will go down as top 15 player of all time and likely top 5 offensive player ever. It would be like choosing Ryan Leaf over Peyton Manning.

Return to The General Board