40 pt games are down a lot

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40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#1 » by Cavsfansince84 » Mon Dec 6, 2021 4:45 am

I noticed how few 40 pt games there seems to be this season and decided to try and look up the difference between this season and last and found that we've only had 18 so far this year(including Ingram's today) through roughly 30% of the season while last year there were 97 such games in only 72 games played.
So on a game to game basis it's way less. Roughly .048 per nba game played this year season compared to .090 last season. Beal and Lillard under performing is some of it but star players seem to be finding it harder to put up 40 now. Harden only had 3 last year so his drop off isn't changing much.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#2 » by Winsome Gerbil » Mon Dec 6, 2021 5:11 am

Teams are averaging 107.5pts this year. Last year it was 112.1.

Thank god, as it was just spiraling upward and upward to junky All-Star game levels. New rule changes hopefully playing a major role. But maybe crowds do too in inspiring some defensive pride.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#3 » by Wolfgang630 » Mon Dec 6, 2021 5:13 am

Thank god these overinflated stats have come down some.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#4 » by links135 » Mon Dec 6, 2021 5:24 am

Probably about 5 points a game from the rules they changed to lower stupid fouls, as well as the combined better defence you can play, as well as the new ball alot of people hate.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#5 » by Lockdown504090 » Mon Dec 6, 2021 5:30 am

links135 wrote:Probably about 5 points a game from the rules they changed to lower stupid fouls, as well as the combined better defence you can play, as well as the new ball alot of people hate.

its lettign the coaches shine on both ends. before calling plays was pointless if you have a star because pnr then beg foul is the best possible offense.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#6 » by Golden Knight » Mon Dec 6, 2021 6:06 am

Scoring is definitely down.

Last season 5 players averaged at least 28ppg led by Curry's 32ppg. This season only Durant is at 28+ at 28.6ppg.

3 of the top scorers from last season also have yet to play a game - Zion (27.0), Kyrie (26.9) and Kawhi (24.8)
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#7 » by DroseReturnChi » Mon Dec 6, 2021 6:07 am

at least we dont see fake 30ppg scorers who would struggle score 25 in mj era.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#8 » by draftnightsuit » Mon Dec 6, 2021 6:56 am

DroseReturnChi wrote:at least we dont see fake 30ppg scorers who would struggle score 25 in mj era.


You’re right, we don’t see that. Because they don’t exist.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#9 » by I beg to differ » Mon Dec 6, 2021 8:05 am

Bring back hand checking.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#10 » by God Squad » Mon Dec 6, 2021 10:36 am

I feel like Donic/Harden are feeling the new rule change the most.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#11 » by Wagonband » Mon Dec 6, 2021 11:12 am

God Squad wrote:I feel like Donic/Harden are feeling the new rule change the most.


I don't think it's affecting Doncic too much. His stats are quite comparable to last years apart from averaging 2 points less, but it's because he is shooting worse across the board.

With Harden it obviously messed him up quite bad
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#12 » by evilpimp972 » Mon Dec 6, 2021 11:17 am

So it turns out that rules have an impact on scoring
How surprising!
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#13 » by The-Power » Mon Dec 6, 2021 11:52 am

Wagonband wrote:
God Squad wrote:I feel like Donic/Harden are feeling the new rule change the most.


I don't think it's affecting Doncic too much. His stats are quite comparable to last years apart from averaging 2 points less, but it's because he is shooting worse across the board.

With Harden it obviously messed him up quite bad

Luka's FTr has plummeted and he doesn't get to the rim anymore. Whether that's due to the rule changes or his fitness level is not entirely clear, but it's certainly not just that he is shooting worse – his overall shot profile has clearly been affected as well.

Harden's FTr is actually close to his career average and up from last year. He just shoots a little less overall and hasn't been able to finish as well around the rim. Sure, he doesn't get some of the previous calls but with him, it looks more like a physical decline than anything else.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#14 » by God Squad » Mon Dec 6, 2021 11:54 am

The-Power wrote:
Wagonband wrote:
God Squad wrote:I feel like Donic/Harden are feeling the new rule change the most.


I don't think it's affecting Doncic too much. His stats are quite comparable to last years apart from averaging 2 points less, but it's because he is shooting worse across the board.

With Harden it obviously messed him up quite bad

Luka's FTr has plummeted and he doesn't get to the rim anymore. Whether that's due to the rule changes or his fitness level is not entirely clear, but it's certainly not just that he is shooting worse – his overall shot profile has clearly been affected as well.

That's what I noticed as well, all his percentages are down. I haven't watched many Mavs games, but I assumed it was because of awful shots and the rule change.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#15 » by dhsilv2 » Mon Dec 6, 2021 12:17 pm

Cavsfansince84 wrote:I noticed how few 40 pt games there seems to be this season and decided to try and look up the difference between this season and last and found that we've only had 18 so far this year(including Ingram's today) through roughly 30% of the season while last year there were 97 such games in only 72 games played.
So on a game to game basis it's way less. Roughly .048 per nba game played this year season compared to .090 last season. Beal and Lillard under performing is some of it but star players seem to be finding it harder to put up 40 now. Harden only had 3 last year so his drop off isn't changing much.


You really need to go back to 19 to do any comps. Last year teams were playing in empty arenas and shooting was as you'd expect much better thanks to that.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#16 » by dhsilv2 » Mon Dec 6, 2021 12:20 pm

God Squad wrote:I feel like Donic/Harden are feeling the new rule change the most.


Last year Harden took 7.3 free throws a game. This year he's taking 7.2. Coming in fat and out of shape off a serious injury is impacting harden more than the rule change (which is impacting him too).
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#17 » by dhsilv2 » Mon Dec 6, 2021 12:22 pm

links135 wrote:Probably about 5 points a game from the rules they changed to lower stupid fouls, as well as the combined better defence you can play, as well as the new ball alot of people hate.


I'd forgotten about the ball, yeah that'll impact some players for sure.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#18 » by God Squad » Mon Dec 6, 2021 12:31 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:
God Squad wrote:I feel like Donic/Harden are feeling the new rule change the most.


Last year Harden took 7.3 free throws a game. This year he's taking 7.2. Coming in fat and out of shape off a serious injury is impacting harden more than the rule change (which is impacting him too).

You can say it's fat, rules or whatever. Either way his numbers (percentages) are down.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#19 » by dhsilv2 » Mon Dec 6, 2021 12:34 pm

God Squad wrote:
dhsilv2 wrote:
God Squad wrote:I feel like Donic/Harden are feeling the new rule change the most.


Last year Harden took 7.3 free throws a game. This year he's taking 7.2. Coming in fat and out of shape off a serious injury is impacting harden more than the rule change (which is impacting him too).

You can say it's fat, rules or whatever. Either way his numbers (percentages) are down.


Well his free throw rate is up from last year by a good margin. The rest is certainly down, but I'd put most on that he has no first step. The guy has a major injury he's coming back from. I doubt he looks like his old self before next season if he ever does.
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Re: 40 pt games are down a lot 

Post#20 » by hauntedcomputer » Mon Dec 6, 2021 12:40 pm

dhsilv2 wrote:
links135 wrote:Probably about 5 points a game from the rules they changed to lower stupid fouls, as well as the combined better defence you can play, as well as the new ball alot of people hate.


I'd forgotten about the ball, yeah that'll impact some players for sure.


I'd say almost nothing to do with the ball and everything to do with rule changes. Looking at stats, FT percentage is the only one where defense doesn't play a part (apologies to all the fans who wave dumb plastic fingers and blown-up crying Lebron faces). FT shooting is down less than half a percent and virtually the same as 2019-20. It's the other percentages that are down a little more than mere statistical deviance would cover.

Pace is down about 1 percent but the most notable difference is in free throws per field goal attempt--that's down about a whopping 8 percent. That's rule change.

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