Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season

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Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#1 » by baldur » Sun Jul 23, 2023 1:21 am

Boston Celtics - 54,5
Denver Nuggets - 53,5
Milwaukee Bucks - 53,5
Phoenix Suns - 51,5
Cleveland Cavaliers - 50,5
Philadelphia 76ers - 50,5
Golden State Warriors - 48,5
Miami Heat - 48,5
Los Angeles Clippers - 47,5
Los Angeles Lakers - 46,5
Memphis Grizzlies - 45,5
New York Knicks - 45,5
Sacramento Kings - 45,5
Dallas Mavericks - 44,5
Oklahoma City Thunder - 44,5
Minnesota Timberwolves - 43,5
New Orleans Pelicans - 42,5
Atlanta Hawks - 42,5
Brooklyn Nets - 37,5
Chicago Bulls - 37,5
Indiana Pacers - 36,5
Orlando Magic - 36,5
Toronto Raptors - 36,5
Utah Jazz - 36,5
Houston Rockets - 31,5
Charlotte Hornets - 29,5
San Antonio Spurs - 29,5
Detroit Pistons - 26,5
Washington Wizards - 24,5

https://www.thelines.com/odds/nba/win-totals/

Portland isn't on the list due to awaiting Lillard Trade. The odds for 76ers, clippers, heat and nets arent actually available on most bookmakers. So, except for these teams, all the odds listed above are based on Caesars Sportsbook's Odds.

What are your predictions?
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#2 » by giberish » Sun Jul 23, 2023 1:51 am

These look pretty reasonable. No 'just giving away money' lines. There's a few older, thin teams that have perhaps a 25% chance of collapsing well below them, but that's a different issue.

If anything I'd have Denver as too high. Some championship/long playoff run hangover limiting regular season effort and they lost their 6th and 7th men without any real replacements.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#3 » by flranger » Sun Jul 23, 2023 1:58 am

Sure as hell would bet the under for the 76'ers hard

Over on Kangz and Magic...
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#4 » by bstein14 » Sun Jul 23, 2023 2:40 am

Over bets on: Suns & Nets

Under bets on: Sixers & Bulls
-----
I think the Bulls finally blow it up after being below .500 mid season and trade vets for young guys and draft assets.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#5 » by JXL » Sun Jul 23, 2023 3:35 am

baldur wrote:Boston Celtics - 54,5 OVER
Denver Nuggets - 53,5 OVER
Milwaukee Bucks - 53,5 OVER
Phoenix Suns - 51,5 UNDER
Cleveland Cavaliers - 50,5 UNDER
Philadelphia 76ers - 50,5 If Harden is moved, UNDER
Golden State Warriors - 48,5 UNDER
Miami Heat - 48,5 If Lillard goes there, OVER, otherwise UNDER
Los Angeles Clippers - 47,5 If Harden goes there, OVER
Los Angeles Lakers - 46,5 OVER slightly
Memphis Grizzlies - 45,5 OVER
New York Knicks - 45,5 OVER
Sacramento Kings - 45,5 EVEN
Dallas Mavericks - 44,5 UNDER
Oklahoma City Thunder - 44,5 UNDER
Minnesota Timberwolves - 43,5 UNDER
New Orleans Pelicans - 42,5 OVER if everyone stays healthy
Atlanta Hawks - 42,5 UNDER
Brooklyn Nets - 37,5 OVER
Chicago Bulls - 37,5 UNDER
Indiana Pacers - 36,5 OVER
Orlando Magic - 36,5 UNDER
Toronto Raptors - 36,5 UNDER
Utah Jazz - 36,5 UNDER
Houston Rockets - 31,5 UNDER
Charlotte Hornets - 29,5 OVER
San Antonio Spurs - 29,5 OVER
Detroit Pistons - 26,5 OVER
Washington Wizards - 24,5 UNDER

https://www.thelines.com/odds/nba/win-totals/

Portland isn't on the list due to awaiting Lillard Trade. The odds for 76ers, clippers, heat and nets arent actually available on most bookmakers. So, except for these teams, all the odds listed above are based on Caesars Sportsbook's Odds.

What are your predictions?


Don't know why Nets are going for 37.5 when they should have 41.5.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#6 » by whatisacenter » Sun Jul 23, 2023 4:20 am

baldur wrote:Boston Celtics - 54,5
Denver Nuggets - 53,5
Milwaukee Bucks - 53,5
Phoenix Suns - 51,5
Cleveland Cavaliers - 50,5
Philadelphia 76ers - 50,5
Golden State Warriors - 48,5
Miami Heat - 48,5
Los Angeles Clippers - 47,5
Los Angeles Lakers - 46,5
Memphis Grizzlies - 45,5
New York Knicks - 45,5
Sacramento Kings - 45,5
Dallas Mavericks - 44,5
Oklahoma City Thunder - 44,5
Minnesota Timberwolves - 43,5
New Orleans Pelicans - 42,5
Atlanta Hawks - 42,5
Brooklyn Nets - 37,5
Chicago Bulls - 37,5
Indiana Pacers - 36,5
Orlando Magic - 36,5
Toronto Raptors - 36,5
Utah Jazz - 36,5
Houston Rockets - 31,5
Charlotte Hornets - 29,5
San Antonio Spurs - 29,5
Detroit Pistons - 26,5
Washington Wizards - 24,5

https://www.thelines.com/odds/nba/win-totals/

Portland isn't on the list due to awaiting Lillard Trade. The odds for 76ers, clippers, heat and nets arent actually available on most bookmakers. So, except for these teams, all the odds listed above are based on Caesars Sportsbook's Odds.

What are your predictions?


under GSW

over Kings

over Pacers

over Wizards
Madvillain been as high as Kathmandu
And tilted to the side like that fat man's shoe
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#7 » by Ell Curry » Sun Jul 23, 2023 4:26 am

baldur wrote:Los Angeles Clippers - 47,5
New York Knicks - 45,5
Brooklyn Nets - 37,5
Indiana Pacers - 36,5


These stood out to me.

Clippers seem high with their injuries, Knicks I just think might regress, Nets I don't think are a good team and will trade off Finney-Smith and such even though I love Bridges.

As for overs, I like the Pacers, they go over if Hali plays 75 games or they get actual production at forward. Though a Turner injury always scary.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#8 » by pipfan » Sun Jul 23, 2023 4:46 am

As a Bulls' fan I have been hoping that they rebuild for a year. But, that's clearly not AKME's plan. They did have a good offseason, with value signings and resignings. I honestly think our team will be one of the surprises again (but I'm usually wrong)
Carter/White/Ayo
Lavine/Caruso/White/Ayo
DDR/Caruso/Craig
PWill/Craig/Caruso
Vuc/Drummond

I think we get closer to 45 wins. Or, someone mentioned we stumble a bit and blow it up in 2024
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#9 » by YogurtProducer » Sun Jul 23, 2023 5:42 am

I’d bet over on Toronto. Not like way over but 36 seems low.

41-41 last year. FVV wasn’t great, main isssue was depth with was fixed, and we played more like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got “10 games worse”.

I bet we are like 39-43 wins and in the play in again
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#10 » by AussieCeltic » Sun Jul 23, 2023 5:57 am

YogurtProducer wrote:I’d bet over on Toronto. Not like way over but 36 seems low.

41-41 last year. FVV wasn’t great, main isssue was depth with was fixed, and we played more like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got “10 games worse”.

I bet we are like 39-43 wins and in the play in again


“We played like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got 10 games worse” has to be one of the funniest statements I’ve heard.

Your record was 41-41. The over/under is 36 so it’s 5 games less no matter “how you felt”.

New less experienced coach, replaced FVV with Schroeder, possible Siakam trade happening. 36 seems the right number.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#11 » by Potential » Sun Jul 23, 2023 6:16 am

Pacers and Magic easy overs
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#12 » by YogurtProducer » Sun Jul 23, 2023 6:24 am

AussieCeltic wrote:
YogurtProducer wrote:I’d bet over on Toronto. Not like way over but 36 seems low.

41-41 last year. FVV wasn’t great, main isssue was depth with was fixed, and we played more like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got “10 games worse”.

I bet we are like 39-43 wins and in the play in again


“We played like a 45-47 team last year and I don’t think we got 10 games worse” has to be one of the funniest statements I’ve heard.

Your record was 41-41. The over/under is 36 so it’s 5 games less no matter “how you felt”.

New less experienced coach, replaced FVV with Schroeder, possible Siakam trade happening. 36 seems the right number.

It isn’t how I feel, the stats back it up as well. We were 11th or 12th in NRTG (in line with 45-47 win teams) and we had a bad record in close games which is a noisy stat year to year and almost never aligns with overall record.

Not to mention we were much better down the stretch once we got Jak.

FVV was bad last year, Nurse was also bad last year. There’s a solid chance we barely miss either of them. A Siakam trade would obviously significantly change everything.

This same team in 2021-22 won 48 games. There was a lot of bad luck last year. We’re by no means good, but we’re not 7th worst team bad either
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#13 » by Mavrelous » Sun Jul 23, 2023 6:45 am

If Heat don't trade for Dame, they are under.
Brooklyn is under for me, they haven't addressed their lack of perimeter creation at all.
Clippers under (unless they get Harden)
Rockets over
Jazz under
The west is a crapshoot, every team other than DEN/PHX who should get PO HCA and PDX/SAS who should be on the bottom, can go anywhere in between.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#14 » by durden_tyler » Sun Jul 23, 2023 8:39 am

Bet the house on Wizards under and don't bet again the entire year. Easiest Under Ever.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#15 » by giberish » Sun Jul 23, 2023 9:41 am

durden_tyler wrote:Bet the house on Wizards under and don't bet again the entire year. Easiest Under Ever.


If I had to put money on Washington I'd bet the over.

They don't have anything resembling a star but they've got a credible amount of real NBA players. With all the rest days and off shooting days teams have over the season they'll pick up wins. They don't even have the large amount of project youth to force-feed minutes to that's generally the best way to be really bad (there's a good chance they could be worse in 2024-5 as they lose some vets and add more youth). The current lottery odds don't really reward being extra-special bad either. Your odds for the top pick generally aren't much different at 26 wins vs 16 wins.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#16 » by One_and_Done » Sun Jul 23, 2023 9:53 am

Hit that Bucks over.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#17 » by DaGawd » Sun Jul 23, 2023 10:10 am

Ell Curry wrote:
baldur wrote:Los Angeles Clippers - 47,5
New York Knicks - 45,5
Brooklyn Nets - 37,5
Indiana Pacers - 36,5


These stood out to me.

Clippers seem high with their injuries, Knicks I just think might regress, Nets I don't think are a good team and will trade off Finney-Smith and such even though I love Bridges.

As for overs, I like the Pacers, they go over if Hali plays 75 games or they get actual production at forward. Though a Turner injury always scary.

no real reason to think the knicks are going to regress. the east didn’t get massively better. brunson will continue to be a star while randle will likely have another very good regular season. with continued improvement from the younger players like grimes, quickley, barrett, robinson i say 45 wins should be minimum
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#18 » by SlovenianDragon » Sun Jul 23, 2023 10:18 am

Remember team when you bet only bet on what you think are sure things. Not they could...or they should... Because even betting on something you think is a sure thing will probably still be wrong...lol

Im just saying if you have to think about a bet dont do it...

Theres alot of good over/under options here...

Im not gunna bore you with what i bet but stay safe out there friends 8-)
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#19 » by baldur » Sun Jul 23, 2023 10:20 am

SlovenianDragon wrote:Remember team when you bet only bet on what you think are sure things. Not they could...or they should... Because even betting on something you think is a sure thing will probably still be wrong...lol

Im just saying if you have to think about a bet dont do it...


Do it with the money that it won't affect you dramatically if you lose it.

Or just bet on crazy odds/bets for only fun/excitement.
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Re: Projected Total Wins for the 2023-2024 Season 

Post#20 » by SlovenianDragon » Sun Jul 23, 2023 10:25 am

baldur wrote:
SlovenianDragon wrote:Remember team when you bet only bet on what you think are sure things. Not they could...or they should... Because even betting on something you think is a sure thing will probably still be wrong...lol

Im just saying if you have to think about a bet dont do it...


Do it with the money that it won't affect you dramatically if you lose it.

Or just bet on crazy odds/bets for only fun/excitement.


Gambling is entertainment... I pretty much use it to keep track if i was right or wrong... Its not about making money.

Ive been having alot of fun with futures recently because it lets me bet on guys or teams i iwant to watch.

Im just saying stupid bets are usually just stupid. Use ur basketball knowledge to make educated bets.. And if you have to think about a bet...its not worth it.
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