Post#13 » by MyUniBroDavis » Fri Jun 21, 2024 10:07 pm
I like to view things by if a guy did all he could, and how he fought through adversity, as you may remembver from the giannis wade thread awhile back, so luka gets a big boost
POY 1
Luka -
Luka played through a strained achilles, back, and knee, and led the Mavs to a finals berth. He struggled a bit in the finals because they were completely overmatched going against the best offense and defense in the league, but i’m of the belief in the playoffs its showing up in moments and games. His clippers performance wasnt great but he was so hurt and the clippers are not a serious team without kawhi so Im not too mad at that, was fine vs OKC considering injuries and the dorture chamber.
The series he had vs minnesota was likely the best single series someone has played since probably Giannis in the finals, especially with a dude like jaden mcdaniels. although Curry’s over the Celtics would clear because of the stakes of that series and everything of course. Series vs the celtics was a bit more rough, but all things considered he got to the finals with a pretty poor cast outside of Kyrie, and thought he was just missing some good looks in game 5, they were just SOOO overmatched. I dont really think dallas is good at all lol. Not a flawless season but a resilient one. I think minnesotta's perimeter defense is much scarier than their big man defense, and Luka simply destroyed them, it was insane.
POY 2
Shai -
In an empirical sense probably the best season? MVP candidate and honestly I thought it was a 50-50 if he should have won it personally, probably outplayed luka head to head granted luka was hurt and lu dort was in a the oklahoma shade of blue, and teams did more to stop luka, but he didnt shrink when it mattered most or anything they just couldn’t rebound lol
Probably one of those players that is genuinely in the BITW conversation while never seeming quite as unstoppable as Luka, Jokic, Giannis, etc on offense (and obviously not as good as giannis defensively)
POY 3
Jalen Brunson -
Jalen Brunson in his fist playoff run as the man, at the guard position no less, was dropping 36-8 on 2 TOs a game, was crazy. Great offensive impact data too in the RS, but in general completely carried by that playoff run.
POY 4
Jaylen Brown
- I feel weird putting a player i dont consider top 10 this high, but after an ECF mvp and a Finals MVP i thinik he has to get it by default, criteria and all of that.
POY 5
Tyrese haliburton
I was thinking about Jayson Tatum a bit more and honestly the fact that every time the going gets tough as a fan against him you can rely on him to mess up but everyone else was just too damn good this time meant I felt weird having him too 5
Then I saw his clutch stats and oh my god it was so bad lol so Tyrese Haliburton gets here by default for the absurd offense he led and him playing through injury as well as he did
HM1
Jayson Tatum
So hes likely he best player on a dominant title, team, but its hard to kind of put that together when Jaylen Brown won both the ECF mvp, the finals mvp, and tatum was one of the worst scorers on the team, and 100% the only reason why any team would have a chance against boston is whent he going gets tough you know he wont show up.
I mean even in the finals they won comfortably, but the moments games got tight where they needed him, game 2 and 3, he completely sucked lol. He was like what, 2/12 in the fourth quarters of game 2 and 3 combined with 4 fts made? With 2 free throws from end of game fouls or something like that, and those makes being a C&S three and an assisted cut
The literal only reason the Celtics are beatable and not like a top 3 team ever or something is because other teams know theyll have the best player on the floor…
But tatum was the best player on an amazing team, so he likely is number 1 here
He just had a team good enough to carry him
HM:
Giannis - Would have made the list if not for the injury, honestly had a crazy year on offense, despite lillard’s struggles, but its hard to beat Doc Rivers.
Jokic - Obviously have to spend a big chunk justifyfing leaving him out; Would have been a good shout for the top 3 of the list if his postseason play was better, but honestly was hugely disappointing. In the lakers series he was great offensively but was basically hunted by AD on offense, lebron missing a few easy finishes over him on defense that he was barely contesting or fouling on too.
Its been touched on a bit but honestly for a poor defender who a team has to knowingly build around to hide (so think of a implicit negative impact defensively as a center) he was really poor against aggressive help this playoffs. Even against the lakers when you go through is postups he was only effective when the lakers would stop whats working which they literally always do, and the lakers are also kind of a horrible defensive team that matchup poorly vs the nuggets (although AD did better than last year I think, idk hes trying to guard jokic 1 on 1 though lol).
I thought his minnesota performance was pretty awful all things considered, its not one of those things where you can say its a fundamental tactical issue or roster issue why they lost.
I lurked a bit on here and there were talks about Minnesotta having the best defense of all time, or the best frontcourt defense ever or something and its just like, huh?
Like i dont know, I think the entire basis of Jokic is that “hes this unstoppable offensive force, with the right team around him you CANT slow him down, if you guard him to hard the offense is too good because of his passing!”
And its like, okay, I understand this from the basic level of its probably way harder to make jokic inefficient than some other players, but thats separate from being impossible to slow down the overall team offense.
2021 - Suns - 103.2 on court off rtg
2022 - Warriors - 110.0 on court off rtg
2023 - Miami - 111.6 on court off rtg
2024 - Wolves - 110.8 on court off rtg
These numbers aren’t particularly great for an engine’s on court off rtg, i mean this is bottom 5 for most teams I think overall, and an off rtg with a star on the court should be higher than when they are off it for obvious reasons. Im saying this because I think theres an overadjustment to, "He should be unstoppable/is, so therefore he must have done well" I frankly thought this was probably the worst series by a top tier player in awhile given context of both teams, true practical impact versus raw impact and all of that
Now the issue with averages is they do not paint the whole story…, because I understand looking at box scores and saying its all on murray or the cast but I dont really agree with that at all…
A series isnt about having the highest average performance its about winning 4 games… in that context the nuggets supporting cast did do enough in my opinion. As long as you include jamal as part of that cast, I think the nuggets clearly did enough to win game 1, 3,4,5, and 7. I think that comes from a mix of either situation, or just their raw numbers.
Game 1: 24/50, 11/22 from three, 5 turnovers (Jokic had 7).
Team off rtg jokic on court 105.1 jokic off court 114.3
Game 3: 33/62, 13/26 from three,
Game 4: 30/53, 12/24 from three,
Game 5: 29/58, 7/16 from three,
Game 7: 21/55, 6/23 from three
Contextually, I think games 2 and 6 were the games where the cast didn’t give Jokic a chance to win… but this wasn’t a Lebron 2018 losing after going insane or anything, he was limited just the same as his teammates were, he was 5/13 in game 2, and 9/19 in game 6 with 3 turnovers, 2 assists…
Now within each of these games, I think games 4 and 5 he was fantastic… but games 3 and 7 I think both deserve a look at…
In game 3, the lead peaked out at a 23 point lead with 7 minutes left in the third quarter.
At this point in time, Jamal had scored 20 points in a bit more than a half of play, on 15 shots with no free throws. Jokic was 3/9 at that point, with 7 assists, and a turnover
Of course you can talk about Jokic having 7 assists, but what were they?
Short roll, pass to KCP for midrange spot up, Short Roll, Drawn up Set for MPJ, pass out to Jamal who shot a crazy fadeaway contested middey going out of bounds, A second pass after KCP penetrated and KAT helped off Jokic to Jamal, and finally a pass to Aaron Gordan who was open from three because of an off ball screen for Jamal and Gobert sagging off of him…
So not really the most valuable assists there either…
Jokic went crazy AFTER they went up 23 in what was essentially glorified garbage time, but its obvious that you cant look at that the same way as building that lead in the first place
Game 7 had a different story where I felt the same situation occurred but Jokic couldnt bring them home.
The nuggets lead peaked out at 20 points with 11 minutes left in the third quarter.
Jokic had 13 points, 5 offensive rebounds, 5 assists, although 3 of those offensive rebounds were off his own misses, but overall it was a very solid first half.
Jamal had 29 points by this point on 18 shots though and was clearly the driving force of the offense that half (I mean he was damn near on a 50-60 point pace by this point)...
In the next TEN minutes The wolves cut it down to a 2 point game, the nuggets scored 3 points, Jokic himself went ½ from the free throw, a turnover and 3 missed shots in those 10 minutes. Damage was done…
Now he did do well in the fourth quarter, scoring 14 points, but even looking at those points its not as if its Jokic creating everything, some of them are from guys leaving him wide open on pick and roll as a popper (and he missed a few of those too FWIW), 6 points in the last 2 minutes and 4 in the last minute after the wolves already built the lead including that dunk at the end of the game when it was over…
The box score stats are pretty but honestly he wasnt providing timely impact, the only time he started actually scoring off his own actions and not honestly playing like an off ball big nearly was when the game was virtually over…
To me, it was a prettier version of the 2011 lebron finals (Where if I could have voted he would have probably dropped to 4th or 5th that year for that chokejob), but there wasnt really a clear coaching/tactical issue or a personnel issue here… ‘
I believe a season should be evaluated based upon expectations to an extent, not to say just because someone didnt do as good as expected they should be lowered, but the nuggets came into this season as favorites essentially, although I doubt they beat boston. They largely failed because of their offense struggling despite them being built around an offensive anchor and hiding his weaknesses defensively, for me that is enough to drop him to where Giannis is.
I think the cast in the context that jamal is considered part of the cast, did enough that it was the driving force for 2 potential wins (3, 7), and did great in 3 others (1,4,5). I think they were horrendous in games 2 and 6, but Jokic himself was unimpressive those games either.. Its not just about if you score, its when, the situation and all of that.
Overall, maybe im overadjusting from the “GOAT Offense” talk to that not remotely matching the results when you think about the ideas of team construction and alignment, I do think hes still got a reasonable case for best offensive post big ever though, which is big. But that + How the team is constructed around him defensively to hide him. Also I dont get the GOAT Defensive frontcourt talk, Naz and KAT are both considered average or below average defenders, although provide size, Gobert is great but his strength isnt post defense at least compared to his help. The timberwovles themselves were 23rd in post defense in the regular season as a roster...
I think had this occured in the finals after a dominant run throughout that would be one thing, but a second round after essentially a bye in the fist round because the lakers are mentally terrified of the nuggets and constantly stop doing what works really doesnt move me at all here. I thought this was a series where my thoughts were, if Jokic showed up when they needed him they would have won and that just wasnt the case, in a 7 game series he only really had 2 games where he was the driving force to a win, in 2 he was poor like his teammates, in 2 he simply didnt show up in a timely manner, and in 1 (arguably 2 considering g7) jamal was the driving force putting them in a strong position
OPOY 1
Luka - Dominated minnesota, was very impressive, great RS
OPOY 2
Tyrese haliburton
- I genuinely completely forgot this man existed, but led such an absurd offense despite his hamstring injury, not the best roster and very coaching driven but still, have to give credit where credit is due
OPOY 3
Jokic - massively dissapointed by his playoffs, but I think him over shai is still fair (since people seem to be unhappy with my vote).
ROY 1
Wemby
I thought he was the best defender in the league already, but clealry the best rookie by far right now.
ROY 2
Chet
Maybe the highest impact rookie on a contending team weve seen in a very, very long time
DPOY 1
Wemby
The defensive stats are nutty, if he had good players around him on defense it would be scary.
DPOY 2
Gobert
I wasnt that moved by his playoffs, I dont think anything really changed so I dont think the run was a "gotcha" moment or anything. I think in that wolves series in terms of defending Jokic there were multiple players who would have similar success within the role and gameplan they had
DPOY 3
Bam
Kind of by default
EOY
Brad Stevens - the celtics are unfairly stacked rn lol
COY
Mark Daigneault - what he did with that young OKC team was insane
Jason Kidd - I thought Kidd coached teh mavs very well on both ends, many adjustments and was very smart
Mike Malone or Joe mazulla - Mazulla felt like he was able to bring together that locker room well, malone just is a top 3 coach though so its weird leaving him out
Spo is always the BITW here but playoffs they just got hurt and thats where he normally shines