Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE — Larry Bird

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Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE — Larry Bird 

Post#1 » by AEnigma » Fri Oct 18, 2024 5:34 pm

General Project Discussion Thread

Discussion and Results from the 2010 Project

In this thread we'll discuss and vote on the top 5 players and the top 3 offensive and defensive players of 1980-81.

Player of the Year (POY)(5) — most accomplished overall player of that season
Offensive Player of the Year (OPOY)(3) — most accomplished offensive player of that season
Defensive Player of the Year (DPOY)(3) — most accomplished defensive player of that season

Voting will close sometime after 10:30AM PST on Monday, October 21st. I have no issue keeping it open so long as discussion is strong, but please try to vote within the first three days.

Valid ballots must provide an explanation for your choices that gives us a window into how you thought and why you came to the decisions you did. You can vote for any of the three awards — although they must be complete votes — but I will only tally votes for an award when there are at least five valid ballots submitted for it.

Remember, your votes must be based on THIS season. This is intended to give wide wiggle room for personal philosophies while still providing a boundary to make sure the award can be said to mean something. You can factor things like degree of difficulty as defined by you, but what you can't do is ignore how the player actually played on the floor this season in favor of what he might have done if only...

You may change your vote, but if you do, edit your original post rather than writing, "hey, ignore my last post, this is my real post until I change my mind again.” I similarly ask that ballots be kept in one post rather than making one post for Player of the Year, one post for Offensive Player of the Year, and/or one post for Defensive Player of the Year. If you want to provide your reasoning that way for the sake of discussion, fine, but please keep the official votes themselves in one aggregated post. Finally, for ease of tallying, I prefer for you to place your votes at the beginning of your balloting post, with some formatting that makes them stand out. I will not discount votes which fail to follow these requests, but I am certainly more likely to overlook them.

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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#2 » by AEnigma » Fri Oct 18, 2024 6:34 pm

Offensive Player of the Year

1. Larry Bird
2. Moses Malone
3. Reggie Theus


With Magic injured and Gus sitting out, we are starved for high-end playmakers. I had Bird third last year, so that ultimately benefits him, and I feel fine about acknowledging a title-winner at the top. I think Moses established a postseason edge over Kareem and Gervin, although it can be reasonably debated, so he takes second. And then will throw a point to Reggie Theus for being the offensive leader of the only relevant Bulls team from 1978-84. He will probably not receive any recognition later in the 1980s, so good year to acknowledge him as one of the decade’s better (albeit not best) playmakers.

Defensive Player of the Year

1. Robert Parish
2. Caldwell Jones
3. Dennis Johnson


DJ takes third as a repeat of 1979: certainly not the league’s best or most impactful defender, but can be justifiably recognised as the most outstanding defender on the league’s best defence.

Caldwell takes a step back across the board compared to 1980, and that is enough to move him behind Parish, who acted as the backbone of a title team’s defence.

Player of the Year

1. Larry Bird
2. Moses Malone
3. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
4. Julius Erving
5. Marques Johnson


Probably will not be unanimous, but to me this is one of the clearest top fives in the entire project (see previously: 1956, 1960-62, and 1964). Each of the above players represents one of the five best and most relevant teams in the league, and imo these are the five “best” players as well (excluding Magic for injury), with all five being valuable defenders and among the league’s best scorers.

Marques definitely outplayed Erving head-to-head. Hypothetically, perhaps he could have produced a more notable regular season too on a team with fewer alternate scoring options. However, based on how he played, Marques was not a high volume scorer. ~27 shot attempts per 100 possessions was his general ceiling. The team rarely struggled to replace him, and both his playmaking and his defence to me come across as merely decent. I recognise the possibility that replacing Erving with Marques could have resulted in an NBA title for the 76ers this year, but based on actual season accomplishment, all Marques really has is being able to claim that he was probably the best player in a conference semifinals loss to a non-champion, which is not enough for me to go higher than fifth.

Erving was up 3-1, ready to go face a sub—.500 Rockets team in the Finals, then lost the next three games by 2, 2, and 1. Game 6 at home was a dreadful performance, but Games 5 and 7 were more just bad beats. Said it before and will say it again: Erving beat Bird two out of three years when they were relative equals, but his reward for doing so was a full-strength Lakers team both times, while Bird’s reward for his one win was one of the worst Finals teams in league history (1959 Lakers, 1989 Magic-light Lakers, and 1999 Ewing-less Knicks the other top contenders). The top three players were better, but this is an accomplished season all the same.

Kareem was still the league’s best player and suffered from untimely negative team variance in a moronic playoff structure, but he was not so spectacular across the regular season that I can ignore being a first round exit to a 40-42 team while having one of his weakest prime series.

Leaning Bird over Moses here but generally see them as comparable, with 1984 being Bird’s elevation to a level beyond what Moses could reach. Bird had the better cast and took advantage, but Moses underwhelmed outside of Game 2. And both struggled to score more than they had in their prior matchup in 1980, although we can mostly attribute that to both teams improving their defensive personnel. Bird ultimately defines this year for me more than Moses does, and there is no good way to definitively mark Moses as “better”.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#3 » by penbeast0 » Fri Oct 18, 2024 7:07 pm

The two superteams in the East, Boston and Philly, tied for best in the NBA with Sidney Moncrief stepping up to join Marques Johnson in leading Milwaukee to the 3rd best record. Philly defeated Milwaukee 4-3 to play Boston in the ECF, Boston defeated Philly 4-3 to go to the finals, then Boston won the league title 4-2.

The West was much weaker with the Lakers slipping behind Phoenix during the regular season then Moses Malone led the 40-42 Houston Rockets to the finals.

Other winning teams included New York, Chicago, and Indiana in the East and Portland in the West. Adrian Dantley of Utah led the league in scoring, Moses Malone in rebounding, and Kevin Porter of Detroit in assists . . . all for teams with losing records.

Kareem, Erving, Moses, Dantley, and Artis Gilmore led the boxscore compilations in Win Shares.
Erving, Kareem, Marques Johnson, Robert Parish, and Alvin Adams in Box Score plus/minus.
Erving, Kareem, Dantley, Bird, and Marques Johnson led in VORP.
Milwaukee defensive star Sidney Moncrief led the league in offensive rating.

POY
1. Larry Bird -- Stepped up in the playoffs to defeat Erving and the Sixers and win the title
2. Moses Malone -- Powerful carry job through the playoffs
3. Julius Erving -- Regular season MVP
4. Kareem -- Still in prime
5. Marques Johnson -- stronger playoffs and better numbers than teammate Sidney Moncrief as Milwaukee made one of their strongest challenges to Boston and Philadelphia.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#4 » by trelos6 » Fri Oct 18, 2024 7:14 pm

OPOY

1. Kareem Abdul Jabbar. Carried the Lakers in Magic’s absence. 24.7 pp75, +8.2 rTS% Team offense was a +2.3.

2. Julius Erving. 24.4 pp75, +3.8 rTS%. Team offense +1.7

3. Larry Bird. 19.2 pp75 on -0.6 rTS%. Team offense +3.1. Great playmaking.


Others: Marques Johnson, Moses Malone, George Gervin, Bernard King, Artis Gilmore, David Thompson

DPOY

1. Robert Parish. Anchored a top 4 defense.

2. Bobby Jones. Do it all utility guy on a top 2 defense.

3. Elvin Hayes. He's been a great defender for years, but the team's regular season defense hasn't always lived up to his stature. This season, the Bullets were a top 5 defense, so Elvin gets in.

HM: Caldwell Jones. Gave him the nod over Bobby last season. It was close again, but decided to swap them for this season.


OPOY

1. Larry Bird. He's not here for his scoring. It's all the other stuff. Elevated his playmaking in the post season, was part of a good defensive team, and he pulled down tons of rebounds. Not even close to where he'll get in '84, but with Erving and Kareem slipping just a bit, he nudges them for #1.

2. Julius Erving. Terrific 2 way play.

3. Kareem Abdul Jabbar. Fantastic scoring both volume and efficiency. Did it without Magic for half the season. His defense took a half step back, which is why he's #3, and not #1.

4. Moses Malone. Still not a great defender, but was quite good offensively. 24.5 pp75 on +5.1 rTS%. Team rOrtg of +1.7.

5. Marques Johnson. 21.1 pp75 on +4.9 rTS%. team rOrtg of +3.4.

HM: Artis Gilmore. 18.5 pp75 on +16.5 rTS%!!! plus, great D.

Others: Robert Parish, Bobby Jones, Bob Lanier
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#5 » by One_and_Done » Fri Oct 18, 2024 8:04 pm

So Bird wasn't even 2nd last time, but now he's #1. The winning bias is real. Don't get me wrong, I'm going to have Bird #1 too, but I'm not sure he got much better. Statistically he's not much different, the team just added Parish and McHale.

At any rate, Bird is my easy #1.

1. Bird
2. Marques Johnson
3. Kareem
4. Erving
5. Gervin

HM: Moses, Gilmore

By this point I think it's fairly clear Marques was a better player than Erving, who has been slowed a bit by injuries. I'm not going to be swayed by a 7 game loss to Erving in the playoffs, because Erving just had the better team. Marques was the more dynamic and effective player.

Kareem had slipped a bit by this point. He was still a great player, but I don't think he had the impact of Bird or Marques. The Lakers had more talent than the Celtics or Bucks did, but performed worse than both. Some of that was the stupid coaching shift away from what worked the previous year, but even that serves to highlight how building a team around Kareem wasn't as much of a winning proposition as it used to be.

I wanted to put Moses top 5, but I found myself wondering why his carry job was so much better than what Gervin did. The Spurs won more in the RS, and lost in 7 to a Rockets team that frankly had more support than Gervin did. If Gervin wins that narrow 7 game series, I'm sure he can beat the Kings and lose in the finals to the Celtics too.

While Erving had slipped, and was a dubious MVP, he hadn't slipped so much that his impact was below the likes of Gervin or Moses. He just came up against the Celtics is all.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#6 » by AEnigma » Fri Oct 18, 2024 10:10 pm

One_and_Done wrote:So Bird wasn't even 2nd last time, but now he's #1. The winning bias is real. Don't get me wrong, I'm going to have Bird #1 too, but I'm not sure he got much better. Statistically he's not much different, the team just added Parish and McHale.

He performed substantially better against the 76ers, and Erving and Kareem both performed substantially worse. Such a mystery!

Kareem had slipped a bit by this point. He was still a great player, but I don't think he had the impact of Bird or Marques. The Lakers had more talent than the Celtics or Bucks did, but performed worse than both. Some of that was the stupid coaching shift away from what worked the previous year, but even that serves to highlight how building a team around Kareem wasn't as much of a winning proposition as it used to be.

And why exactly did the Lakers have “more talent”? Why is Norm Nixon, third year Michael Cooper, Jamaal Wilkes, and 37 games of Magic so much better than Tiny Archibald, Cedric Maxwell, Robert Parish, and rookie McHale? Let alone Sidney Moncrief, Bob Lanier, and a stellar guard rotation of Quinn Buckner, Junior Bridgeman, and Brian Winters. The Bucks went 6-0 without Marques this year. In 1982, they go 16-6. From 1978-84, they go 32-18 without him in total. And you want to portray this as some untalented hard luck team being carried by this one 20ppg forward? Kareem went 28-17 without Magic this year; not enough of a “carry” for you?

I wanted to put Moses top 5, but I found myself wondering why his carry job was so much better than what Gervin did. The Spurs won more in the RS, and lost in 7 to a Rockets team that frankly had more support than Gervin did. If Gervin wins that narrow 7 game series, I'm sure he can beat the Kings and lose in the finals to the Celtics too.

Again, based on what was there this superior help. Was Gervin a good playmaker? No. Good defender? Absolutely not. He was a good scorer, but Moses outscored him and did so more efficiently. And then Moses replicated that feat when they met up in the postseason. Yet somehow your conclusion is that despite Moses being a bigger contributor on defence, and being a “better” scorer, and playing five hundred more minutes during the regular season, he actually had more help.

While Erving had slipped, and was a dubious MVP, he hadn't slipped so much that his impact was below the likes of Gervin or Moses. He just came up against the Celtics is all.

The 76ers with Erving outscored opponents by 351 points. Without Erving, they outscored opponents by 293 points. Great impact!
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#7 » by OhayoKD » Sat Oct 19, 2024 1:31 am

AEnigma wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:So Bird wasn't even 2nd last time, but now he's #1. The winning bias is real. Don't get me wrong, I'm going to have Bird #1 too, but I'm not sure he got much better. Statistically he's not much different, the team just added Parish and McHale.

He performed substantially better against the 76ers, and Erving and Kareem both performed substantially worse. Such a mystery!

Kareem had slipped a bit by this point. He was still a great player, but I don't think he had the impact of Bird or Marques. The Lakers had more talent than the Celtics or Bucks did, but performed worse than both. Some of that was the stupid coaching shift away from what worked the previous year, but even that serves to highlight how building a team around Kareem wasn't as much of a winning proposition as it used to be.

And why exactly did the Lakers have “more talent”? Why is Norm Nixon, third year Michael Cooper, Jamaal Wilkes, and 37 games of Magic so much better than Tiny Archibald, Cedric Maxwell, Robert Parish, and rookie McHale? Let alone Sidney Moncrief, Bob Lanier, and a stellar guard rotation of Quinn Buckner, Junior Bridgeman, and Brian Winters. The Bucks went 6-0 without Marques this year. In 1982, they go 16-6. From 1978-84, they go 32-18 without him in total. And you want to portray this as some untalented hard luck team being carried by this one 20ppg forward? Kareem went 28-17 without Magic this year; not enough of a “carry” for you?


To be honest Kareem probably was the best regular-season player that year. The question for me is how much of the Lakers being upset is attributable to his own play/limitations though that loss coming to an eventual finalist takes some of the sting.

Would be disappointed if Moses got no #1 support all considered
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#8 » by Djoker » Sat Oct 19, 2024 3:41 pm

I think Bird, Moses and Kareem are all reasonable choices for #1 and will be my top 3. Dr J despite winning MVP had a bad PS but he probably makes the back of the ballot. Not sure who's the fifth choice.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#9 » by AStark1993 » Sat Oct 19, 2024 4:01 pm

Player of the Year:
1- Julius Erving
2- Larry Bird
3- Moses Malone
4- Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
5- George Gervin
Offensive Player of the Year:
1- Adrian Dantley
2- Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
3- Moses Malone
Defensive Player of the Year:
1- Dennis Johnson
2- Bobby Jones
3- Caldwell Jones
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#10 » by LA Bird » Sat Oct 19, 2024 5:18 pm

Player of the Year
1. Larry Bird
2. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
3. Moses Malone
4. Julius Erving
5. Artis Gilmore


Kareem has a somewhat comparable regular season to last year but declined instead of improving in the playoffs. A lot of variance in a best of 3 series but he didn't play his best in those games. I was already quite high on rookie Bird and if it wasn't for the loss to Philly, I might have even considered him for #1 last year. This time, he has an excellent series to beat the Sixers and goes on to the win the title too so he secures the top spot. Bird should have won FMVP just like Kareem the previous year.

I find Moses' Finals run a bit overrated personally. First round was a close 2-1 series where the sample size was too small to prove much. Then the Rockets beat the 2 SRS Spurs in 7, with Murphy dropping 42 points on 71% TS in the decisive game while Moses had 21 points on 42% TS. In the Western Finals, the Rockets faced the negative SRS Kings which had scraped by both previous rounds with 1 point wins. And in the Finals, the Rockets get crushed by a margin of almost 10 points. They were a mid RS team that got a bit better in the PO but still not spectacular. And unlike the previous year where the Rockets were clearly carried by Moses' offensive rebounding (1st in ORB%, 9th at best in the other 4 factors), they were only 10th in ORB% in 1981 with Moses recording his lowest individual ORB% between 1976 and 1983. Meanwhile, the Rockets were top 5 in TOV% despite Moses leading the league in turnovers and a 0.46 assist to turnover ratio. On a brighter note, Moses was 2nd the league in scoring with a +5% TS and the best rebounder in the league.

Dr J wins MVP on a 8 SRS team and barely loses to the eventual champion by 2, 2, 1 points in the last three games. The problem for Erving though is that he had a very underwhelming scoring series win or lose (19.9 points on 48.8% TS) and plus/minus data discovered since the original project has shown the Sixers to be a very strong team consistently even without him. Dr J actually had a NEGATIVE 6.7 raw on/off in 1981. We don't have the exact same metric for Marques Johnson but the game by game WOWY numbers similarly shows his team to be elite without him. The Bucks went 6-0 in the games he missed and won by a margin of +15.5, including wins over both Finals teams. Junior Bridgeman averaged 24 ppg on 66% TS in Johnson's absence. I could very well still have gone with Marques Johnson for #5 because of his playoffs performance but I'll give a shoutout to Gilmore instead since he's probably not getting any votes otherwise. A franchise outlier-ish +2.3 SRS which was ahead of Gervin Spurs and Moses Rockets, and the Bulls beat a 2 SRS Knicks before losing to the championship Celtics. Gilmore shot an all time record 70% TS, blocked shots at a rate comparable to his ABA title season, and is even ahead of Moses in box composites (WS/48, BPM both RS and PO). Here is a pretty nice defensive sequence at 47:14 (with subsequent replay)

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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#11 » by DNice68 » Sat Oct 19, 2024 8:09 pm

1. Bird
2. Kareem
3. Moses
4. Marques Johnson
5. Dr. J
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#12 » by penbeast0 » Sat Oct 19, 2024 8:11 pm

One_and_Done wrote:...
By this point I think it's fairly clear Marques was a better player than Erving, who has been slowed a bit by injuries. I'm not going to be swayed by a 7 game loss to Erving in the playoffs, because Erving just had the better team. Marques was the more dynamic and effective player....


Just to offer a counterargument. Contemporary voters gave Erving the MVP, he outscored and outrebounded Marques in the Regular season, Julius has the most impressive box score composites over a full season including Win Shares/48 (1st in league, 2nd to Kareem in overall Win Shares), Box Score Plus/Minus (1st in league), and VORP (1st in league); Marques has better postseason numbers but only 1 series because Julius's team beat his head to head. Similar defensive results (Philly was the 2nd best defense, Bucks the 3rd, other players on teams were the defensive stars -- Caldwell and Bobby Jones, Sidney Moncrief). Intangibles and leadership reputation certainly favor Erving. I don't think it's "fairly clear" at all.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#13 » by Dr Positivity » Sat Oct 19, 2024 8:33 pm

One_and_Done wrote:So Bird wasn't even 2nd last time, but now he's #1. The winning bias is real. Don't get me wrong, I'm going to have Bird #1 too, but I'm not sure he got much better. Statistically he's not much different, the team just added Parish and McHale.


Bird outplayed Dr J so I understand voting him over, but I'm probably going to vote for Kareem again, I don't see a reason to consider this season worse than ones like 78 and 79, I think the drop off is after this year. I don't blame him that much for losing SSS 3 game series. Bird doesn't have a top 20 regular scoring season in the league (he is 17th in PPG and 88th in TS%), he did well in the playoffs as seen by 76ers series though fell off a bit against Rockets.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#14 » by OhayoKD » Sat Oct 19, 2024 8:54 pm

Voting Post

1. Moses Malone

Of the three #1 contenders I would say Moses likely had the least support, something reflected in his team's mediocre regular-season performance (and at least somewhat in their collapse next season). That said, it's tough for me to see Kareem anchor a very good team without Magic and but Moses and not attribute any of the regula-season team disparity to a gap between the players.

But my ballots are generally playoff-focused, and in the playoffs Moses outplays one contender in a historically massive upset (a team that was on pace for 50+ wins without Magic[/i] in the midst of a dynasty) before outplaying the other in a "huh, this shouldn't be so close" series facing possibly the league's best defender as well as, at least arguably, the league's best attacker. He proceeds to follow that up with a 2-year stretch where he is at least in the discussion as the best player. It's not quite 86 Hakeem but it's got a similar tune. During what is really a transition period between a true anomaly (Kareem) and the ascension of 3 proper all-timers:
Spoiler:
Magic Johnson(3x MVP) 1980-1991
Lakers are +0.8 without, +7.5 with

Micheal Jordan(5x MVP) 1985-1998
Bulls are +1.3 without, +6.1 with

Hakeem(1x MVP) 1985-1999
Rockets are -2.8 without. +2.5 with

resemblance will suffice

2. Kareem Abdul Jabbar

As I've thought true, at least per-game, arguably every year of his career thus far, Kareem was probably the best player over 82 games. He was not the best player in a first-round playoff-series so I'm fine penalising him accordingly. What I'm not so comfortable with is placing him below an inferior player on the basis he for further...when it's not clear to me at all that inferior player played any better facing the team that prevented Kareem from being #1.

That said, for any party interested in convincing me to rate Bird higher over this season or the next 3, your most effective route would likely be convincing me I undersell what he brought defensively.

3. Bird
4. Julius Erving

To the winner goes the spoils. I can conceive of Erving being better, but a conception is not going to cut it. When they played Bird won and Bird won shooting better and likely being a bigger force on the other end. (I plan on putting some weight on that rookie turnaround or the Celtics defensive improvement up until 1985). It also does not help that Erving lacks for strong data in the NBA with the Sixers doing well without him as alluded to above. I might be willing to ignore most of that if they played to their record but they did not. A habit that seems to have rubbed off on nthe player right above him.

5. Dennis Johnson

One of the best defensive guards ever and a knack for coming through in the biggest spots (went from 18 points to 30 in the 2 games that ended the Sun's seasons)/ In 1980 he is the minute lead for a conference finalist. Then he joins the suns and helps them improve by a point single-handedly covering the loss of two very good guards. Probably the best player on a top 5 regular season team and pretty clearly the best in the postseason where he's really the only one show shows up in a close 7 game loss. The Suns would lose by 7 and 5, in those games Johson put up 28 and 32 points. None of his teammates crossed 20 in the former. None of them even crossed 10 in the latter. With a bunch of not great options, I may as well throw Johnson a bone and give him what might be the only vote he gets all project.


5. Marques Johnson

Minutes leader and, by a fair margin, an efficient scoring leader on what was a top 3 regular season team and a top 5 postseason team. Consensus of the time and of this project seems to be he was the best player on that team. The team being consistently good without him is petty concerning..paticularly considering their lack of relevance outside of 81, but my #4 literally posted a negative on/off and my #1 led a 42-40 team and there seem to be comparably significant holes for the best alternatives I can think of.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#15 » by DNice68 » Sat Oct 19, 2024 9:03 pm

penbeast0 wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:...
By this point I think it's fairly clear Marques was a better player than Erving, who has been slowed a bit by injuries. I'm not going to be swayed by a 7 game loss to Erving in the playoffs, because Erving just had the better team. Marques was the more dynamic and effective player....


Just to offer a counterargument. Contemporary voters gave Erving the MVP, he outscored and outrebounded Marques in the Regular season, Julius has the most impressive box score composites over a full season including Win Shares/48 (1st in league, 2nd to Kareem in overall Win Shares), Box Score Plus/Minus (1st in league), and VORP (1st in league); Marques has better postseason numbers but only 1 series because Julius's team beat his head to head. Similar defensive results (Philly was the 2nd best defense, Bucks the 3rd, other players on teams were the defensive stars -- Caldwell and Bobby Jones, Sidney Moncrief). Intangibles and leadership reputation certainly favor Erving. I don't think it's "fairly clear" at all.

Johnson was the better one on one defender and all around player(ball handling, passing, post game). Erving scored more because he got the green light and played on a better team!
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#16 » by 70sFan » Sat Oct 19, 2024 9:29 pm

Can anybody explain me how the Sixers are much better than the Bucks talent-wise? I keep reading that being repeated, but I see no reason to believe that at all.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#17 » by DNice68 » Sat Oct 19, 2024 9:38 pm

70sFan wrote:Can anybody explain me how the Sixers are much better than the Bucks talent-wise? I keep reading that being repeated, but I see no reason to believe that at all.

Lanier was better than Dawkins, but Moncrief wasn’t the Moncrief of late yet. Bridgemen pretty much disappeared after game 1. No one could equal Caldwell Jones and Bobby Jones size and defense. Cheeks was superior to Quinn Bucker.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#18 » by Cavsfansince84 » Sat Oct 19, 2024 10:13 pm

DNice68 wrote:
70sFan wrote:Can anybody explain me how the Sixers are much better than the Bucks talent-wise? I keep reading that being repeated, but I see no reason to believe that at all.

Lanier was better than Dawkins, but Moncrief wasn’t the Moncrief of late yet. Bridgemen pretty much disappeared after game 1. No one could equal Caldwell Jones and Bobby Jones size and defense. Cheeks was superior to Quinn Bucker.


Playoff performance isn't really a corollary of talent level though. Just as Embiid's talent level doesn't go down based on how badly he performs in the playoffs. Some guys just perform better than others when it matters.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#19 » by One_and_Done » Sun Oct 20, 2024 1:11 am

AEnigma wrote:
One_and_Done wrote:So Bird wasn't even 2nd last time, but now he's #1. The winning bias is real. Don't get me wrong, I'm going to have Bird #1 too, but I'm not sure he got much better. Statistically he's not much different, the team just added Parish and McHale.

He performed substantially better against the 76ers, and Erving and Kareem both performed substantially worse. Such a mystery!

Kareem had slipped a bit by this point. He was still a great player, but I don't think he had the impact of Bird or Marques. The Lakers had more talent than the Celtics or Bucks did, but performed worse than both. Some of that was the stupid coaching shift away from what worked the previous year, but even that serves to highlight how building a team around Kareem wasn't as much of a winning proposition as it used to be.

And why exactly did the Lakers have “more talent”? Why is Norm Nixon, third year Michael Cooper, Jamaal Wilkes, and 37 games of Magic so much better than Tiny Archibald, Cedric Maxwell, Robert Parish, and rookie McHale? Let alone Sidney Moncrief, Bob Lanier, and a stellar guard rotation of Quinn Buckner, Junior Bridgeman, and Brian Winters. The Bucks went 6-0 without Marques this year. In 1982, they go 16-6. From 1978-84, they go 32-18 without him in total. And you want to portray this as some untalented hard luck team being carried by this one 20ppg forward? Kareem went 28-17 without Magic this year; not enough of a “carry” for you?

I wanted to put Moses top 5, but I found myself wondering why his carry job was so much better than what Gervin did. The Spurs won more in the RS, and lost in 7 to a Rockets team that frankly had more support than Gervin did. If Gervin wins that narrow 7 game series, I'm sure he can beat the Kings and lose in the finals to the Celtics too.

Again, based on what was there this superior help. Was Gervin a good playmaker? No. Good defender? Absolutely not. He was a good scorer, but Moses outscored him and did so more efficiently. And then Moses replicated that feat when they met up in the postseason. Yet somehow your conclusion is that despite Moses being a bigger contributor on defence, and being a “better” scorer, and playing five hundred more minutes during the regular season, he actually had more help.

While Erving had slipped, and was a dubious MVP, he hadn't slipped so much that his impact was below the likes of Gervin or Moses. He just came up against the Celtics is all.

The 76ers with Erving outscored opponents by 351 points. Without Erving, they outscored opponents by 293 points. Great impact!

So, coming back to this. Some comments I’d make.

1) Strength of support casts

I don’t think much of Tiny or Maxwell on the Celtics. I didn’t think much of them in 1980, and I think even less of them now. If Bird hadn’t been on the 1980 Celtics they’d have been much the same as they were in 79. These guys were just not needle movers. Tiny got healthy in 1980 obviously, but it wouldn’t have made much difference. He got recognition because Bird made the Celtics great, not the other way around. Ditto Cowens. Both those guys were way past their used by date in 1980. I’ve discussed this before at length elsewhere.

Parish and McHale are a different story. Parish was really valuable, and McHale would be (though he was still not in his prime yet). However, I definitely think they’re inferior to the Lakers support cast. Wilkes was 10th in MVP voting in 1981, and was a 3 time all-star who had gotten MVP votes on 3 different occasions. Norm Nixon was an all-star guard. Cooper was a fine role defensive role player. Magic was hurt, but he was healthy in the playoffs. On the whole I’d say Kareem definitely had more help. Yet the Lakers had a worse record at 54 wins, an SRS half the Celtics, and flamed out in the 1st round. I voted for Kareem 9/10 years, and have him rated top 3 all-time. I don’t think I’m unfairly maligning him here. Kareem was 33. Not many guys, especially bigs, are still in their prime at 33. Bird’s impact was just bigger at this point.

The Bucks are similar. Moncrief would go on to become a superstar, but at age 23 he wasn’t that guy yet. As others have noted, he was particularly disappointing in the playoffs with 14ppg and 6.7rpg on weak efficiency. The only other guy worth discussing is Lanier, who I haven’t voted for even once. I don’t think that much of him. He was a good player and all, but not in his prime anymore. Post-prime Lanier and pre-prime Moncrief isn’t a better support cast than Erving or Kareem had. As I noted, Kareem had 2 all-stars outside of Magic (who was back by the playoffs), and a great role player in Cooper too. The Lakers problem in 81 was coaching, not talent. Even with Magic, they were 26-11 compared to 28-17 without him. Obviously having Magic helped, but they were only playing like a 57 win team even with Magic.

As for Philly, there’s more of an argument. Philly succeeded because of an ensemble cast of guys under Erving who fit well together and had well defined roles, rather than due to 1-2 talented sidekicks. They had a lot of good players though. Bobby Jones in particular, but also Caldwell, Dawkins, Hollins, and even a young Andrew Toney and Mo Cheeks. Every one of those 6 guys I just named had been or would be an all-star except for Dawkins (and Dawkins was a very solid starter too). Bobby Jones was in his prime at age 29, and was by far a better player than Moncrief at this stage in their careers, their respective playoff performances show that. He was a 5 time all-star who finished as high as 2nd in the MVP vote, and was a perennial DPOY type player. Caldwell Jones was a defensive 1st teamer that year, was still in his prime at age 30, and was a former all-star. Dawkins was a strong defensive player. Cheeks, who would go on to make 4 all-star teams, was in his athletic prime at 24 and was an elite defensive player too. There were just no holes on that Philly team. A lot of really great players were taking lesser roles to win, so they don’t jump out at your statistically, but they were fantastic players around Erving.

You note that the Bucks went 6-0 without Marques, but that’s too small a sample to tell us much. Maybe they just played 6 weak or injured or tired teams in those 6 games, or maybe they got lucky. Marques is a problematic guy to analyse, because we know he went to drug rehab in 1982, and obviously had ongoing drug isues, so that hangs over his performance with and without the team at times. It’s also tough because the Bucks roster changed a fair bit over the period from 78-84. This will probably be the only year he’ll get a vote from me. I understand the concerns some people have about him, as the Bucks were able to survive his absence and then departure in the future, but I credit that mostly to Don Nelson’s excellent GM’ing and acquiring a tonne of great new players. The stats, anecdotal evidence, footage and playoff results all suggest to me that Marques was the driving force for this team. I feel like he led a team to 60 wins that had no business being that good, with nothing like the support casts of Erving or Kareem, and then lost in 7 games to a guy who just had more talent.

2) Gervin and Moses

You criticise Gervin as “one dimensional”, and maybe he was. But to some extent we could make similar criticisms about Moses. The question isn’t how many dimensions your game has, it about how much it impacts winning. Shaq wasn’t a guy with a particularly diverse skill set in some ways, but it didn’t make him any less dominant. Moses team did worse than Gervin’s in the RS despite similar levels of talent, but in the PS Moses support cast came to play, whereas Gervin’s did not. That’s the difference.
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Re: Retro Player of the Year 1980-81 UPDATE 

Post#20 » by B-Mitch 30 » Sun Oct 20, 2024 1:40 am

Offensive Player of the Year

1. Moses Malone

Moses is a weird player to evaluate career-wise. On the one hand, he was probably the best offensive rebounder ever. On the other hand, he was relatively inefficient for a low post big man during his career, and his passing was absolutely atrocious, with his defense serviceable at best. The Rockets this season didn’t even have a winning record, though Moses’ efficiency was well above average, and his rebounding the best in the league. In the playoffs however, Malone remained one of the league’s more efficient scorers, and led Houston to the Finals, where they lost in six games to Boston. Considering how a lot of other players this year flamed out in the postseason, I think I’ll go with Moses.

2. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

Kareem was no longer the undisputed best player in the world anymore, but almost everything I said about how refined his game was last season still applies. He also led the Lakers to 54 wins despite Magic only playing in 37 games.

3. Julius Erving

Doctor J’s stats this year are basically the same as last year, which in a field with not a lot of clear options, leaves him as the third best offensive player. Obviously he lost in the playoffs, but he still played well in them, and came close to beating the Celtics.

Defensive Player of the Year

1. Julius Erving

The Sixers remained one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and Doctor J once again placed high in both block and steals, while improving his rebounding numbers slightly.

2. Robert Parish

Not far behind the Sixers though, were the Celtics, and Parish joining the team was almost inarguably what pushed them over the top this year. The Chief could average around 10 rebounds a game in his sleep, and his shot blocking, and to a lesser extent, steal numbers were at their height this year.

3. Mychal Thompson

As good as the Celtics and Sixers were, Phoenix had the best defensive team in the NBA this season. However, that accomplishment appears to have been mostly a collective effort, as only Dennis Johnson got much recognition for his defense during his career. Therefore, I went with Thompson, as the Blazers had one of the most well rounded defenses this year, and Thompson was their best rebounder and shot blocker, and he played well in the playoffs (albeit in three games).

Player of the Year

1. Julius Erving

Being the best defender and third best offensive player kind of means Doctor J wins this by default. No one else had quite the two-way impact he did.

2. Robert Parish

I didn’t mention Parish’s offense earlier, but it also played a huge part in the Celtics championship run. Parish only averaged two less points than Larry Bird on the team, and unlike Bird, he was very efficient, while Bird was surprisingly below average this season. His playmaking wasn’t great, but it was arguably at its best this year.

3. Moses Malone

Moses certainly had quite a year, though I still question his impact outside of the playoffs considering Houston’s record. Still, his stats were among the best in the league, and clearly he was doing something right when the Rockets needed him the most.

4. Kareem Abdul-Jabbar

Kareem’s decline is noticeable, but he was still absurdly efficient while leading the Lakers to a great record, and did so without Magic’s help for most of the season.

5. Marques Johnson

Just like last year, Marques was good at a little bit of everything, but he improved his assist numbers a lot for a 60 win Bucks team.

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