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Hollinger's Power Rankings: Raps 4th!!!!

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February schedule 

Post#1 » by nordique » Thu Jan 31, 2008 11:28 am

vs LAL
at MIA
vs LAC
at MIN
vs SA
vs NJ
vs ORL
at NY
vs NY
at IND
vs MIN
vs IND

8 home 4 away, only 3 games against teams over .500 (all at the ACC), TJ's possible return... just some reasons to be optimistic :wink:
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Post#2 » by random_hero891 » Thu Jan 31, 2008 1:40 pm

sounds like a pretty good reason to me
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Post#3 » by REM » Thu Jan 31, 2008 1:46 pm

I'm sure we'll win a game or two in which we are underdogs and lose at least 1 or 2 vs Minny or Indiana. Minny has played better as of late.
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Hollinger's Power Rankings: Raps 4th!!!! 

Post#4 » by supersub15 » Thu Jan 31, 2008 2:59 pm

read more here

Our margin of victory in the last 25% of our games (11 games) is +9.3 (probably helped by yesterday's drubbing). We've won 15 games by 10+ points, of which 4 are by 30+.

With TJ coming back soon, and a soft February schedule, I can see us with a record of 35-22 by the end of February.
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Post#5 » by The Notic » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:08 pm

Wow. Once you put all the variables into context, (SOSL25%, MarL25%, Record last 10 games and overall SOS) you get to see that we've been playing some fantastic basketball as of late.

And our schedule just gets easier. Gotta love it!
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Post#6 » by tecumseh18 » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:09 pm

Look up the phrase "statistical blip" in the dictionary, and you'll see a screen shot of this page.

Hollinger should be held more accountable for this half-assed statistical approach. Did it predict anything last year?

The Wages of Wins guy at least show that there is a very strong correlation between a team's combined win share stats and winning and losing.
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Post#7 » by Fairview4Life » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:10 pm

tecumseh18 wrote:Hollinger should be held more accountable for this half-assed statistical approach. Did it predict anything last year?


It predicted the Spurs winning the title back in early March I believe.
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Post#8 » by I-AM-A-BEAST » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:11 pm

tecumseh18 wrote:Look up the phrase "statistical blip" in the dictionary, and you'll see a screen shot of this page.

Hollinger should be held more accountable for this half-assed statistical approach. Did it predict anything last year?

The Wages of Wins guy at least show that there is a very strong correlation between a team's combined win share stats and winning and losing.


He predicted the Spurs would win the title when the Mavs and Suns were running off 15 game winning streaks left and right, so yes. He did.
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Post#9 » by icoholic » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:12 pm

9 out of 10 circus monkeys predicted the Spurs winning in March.
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Post#10 » by Guy Smiley » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:13 pm

icoholic wrote:9 out of 10 circus monkeys predicted the Spurs winning in March.


90% :o

The power of statistics have been proven once again.
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Post#11 » by icoholic » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:16 pm

Guy Smiley wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



90% :o

The power of statistics have been proven once again.


:)
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Post#12 » by I-AM-A-BEAST » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:17 pm

Wow, Guy's sig is so funny yet sad at the same time.
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Post#13 » by emfive » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:18 pm

icoholic wrote:9 out of 10 circus monkeys predicted the Spurs winning in March.


What a great contribution. :roll: Thanks for coming. Bye. :nod:
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Post#14 » by bill russell » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:19 pm

i enjoy hollinger's stuff but cleveland at 11? hottest team in the east these days...
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Post#15 » by supersub15 » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:22 pm

bill russell wrote:i enjoy hollinger's stuff but cleveland at 11? hottest team in the east these days...


In their last 13 games, they've had exactly 1 blowout. They've been winning by 1 to 5 points. In Hollinger's statistical model, those odds catch up to you eventually.
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Re: February schedule 

Post#16 » by SpaceJam » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:25 pm

[vs LAL W
at MIA W
vs LAC W
at MIN L
vs SA L
vs NJ W
vs ORL L
at NY W
vs NY W
at IND L
vs MIN W
vs IND W


We finish 8-4 for a 33-24. This record being if the Raps fail to play their best.
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Re: February schedule 

Post#17 » by Fairview4Life » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:26 pm

SpaceJam wrote:[vs LAL W
at MIA W
vs LAC W
at MIN L
vs SA L
vs NJ W
vs ORL L
at NY W
vs NY W
at IND L
vs MIN W
vs IND W


We finish 8-4 for a 33-24. This record being if the Raps fail to play their best.


I'd say. Yikes.
9. Similarly, IF THOU HAST SPENT the entire offseason predicting that thy team will stink, thou shalt not gloat, nor even be happy, shouldst thou turn out to be correct. Realistic analysis is fine, but be a fan first, a smug smarty-pants second.
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Post#18 » by bill russell » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:41 pm

supersub15 wrote:-= original quote snipped =-



In their last 13 games, they've had exactly 1 blowout. They've been winning by 1 to 5 points. In Hollinger's statistical model, those odds catch up to you eventually.


I understand how the Hollinger model works, I'm just saying I'd put my money on Cleveland.
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Post#19 » by Toronto BC 07 » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:52 pm

Hopefully they go 11-1 w/ their only loss coming to the Spurs.
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Post#20 » by El Presidente » Thu Jan 31, 2008 3:53 pm

Hollinger is out of his mind. Suns, Pistons, Magic, Spurs, Blazers should all be ahead of the Raps.

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