Infinity2152 wrote:Dan Z wrote:Infinity2152 wrote:
Pistons won 44 games this year. Bulls pick could end up 15. You sure there's no way the Pistons think they're a rising team and surely win at least 45 next year, meaning they probably draft lower than 15, but a year later in a possibly weaker draft? Or would welcome an immediate rookie they like in this draft over whoever's available at 20 next year? I wouldn't presume to know what every GM thinks. But I bet most of them think they're great and the team will be better next year than it was this year. Or they're fired. We know Gm's will trade future picks for right now help, AK did it.
AK traded future picks for Vucevic and it was a mistake.
I bet you're right that Detroit thinks they will improve, but I still don't think that the Bulls pick is worth trading a future pick for. One, we have no idea if next years draft is worse. Two, what if Detroit doesn't do well (for whatever reason)? Is a player such as Asa Newell or Egor Denim worth that?
Keep in mind that Detroit already has a group of young players who are improving: Cade, Ivey, Holland, Duren and Thompson.
Once again, if you think you'll be better, you think you're probably drafting lower than 15 next year. So why would you not take 15 this year for pick next year? It's a year earlier, unless you think lower picks are better it's not that hard. It's a gamble, sure. Say our pick is 12. Do they still not want it, believing full well they won't be a lottery team next year? Same with Atlanta? Orlando? Nobody believes in their own team more than they believe in the Bulls to do a pick swap?
That doesn't matter because it's not worth the risk.
Yes, those teams believe that they'll improve, but i doubt they think the #12 pick (or 15) is all that valuable. At least not valuable enough to give up a future pick for it. For example, let's say that Atlanta does better next year. Right now their pick is at #15. Let's say next year its #17. Is it worth the gamble to trade #17 in 2026 for #12 this year? Not really.