Jimako10 wrote:Dare I say that teams have figured out that letting people post and not bringing a double is the best defensive strategy (unless your name is Jokic/Embiid)?
I only say this because Vuc's efficiency when posting up is not great, and if I were the opposing team, I'd let him post all day long and NOT bring a double.
Yup. I posted some of this in a more general context, but...
Vuc is the guy who's really root of all the bulls ills. They gave up so much for him, and he's really toolsy so they feel like they have to make use of those tools. Like "he can shoot!". And that uncommon tool takes precedence over the "he can't defend for ****!"
So what happens is offensively, Vuc floats out to the perimeter and becomes a spot up shooter because they've got so many non-shooting "defense first" guards. Which we have because Vuc is a terrible defensive player and they have to protect him by having guys like Ball and Caruso and Ayo to blunt the fact that he gets killed whenever he gets put into PnR defense.
It's this negative circular logic feedback loop... we need Vuc to shoot to cover for guards who can't shoot who we need to cover for Vuc because he can't defend.
At the end of the day Vuc isn't a better shooter than most guards, and taking him out to the perimeter means he can't rebound. And guys like Caruso, well, they're good rebounders for guards, but they're not better rebounders than any 7 footer. So we get killed on the boards, and we get locked into a lot of inefficient post ups and Vuc jumpers.
It's ironic that he was lobbying for more touches, because we'd be better off further reducing them, or bringing him in closer to the basket and having him eat up boards on offense. He doesn't particularly like to get physical though, and never has done that very well.
The Vuc Post Up, no matter what Stacy King thinks, is not a good use of a possession. Vuc's 1.05 PPP puts him in the 69th percentile for post ups... good right? No, because a Zach (1.09) or DeMar (1.15) iso or Zach (1.22) or Coby (1.18) spot up is a much more efficient possession.
In fact, a Vuc spot up (1.05) is just as good as a Vuc post up. Sure, you want to post him every once in a while for a change of pace, but it's just not all that great. In a lot of ways, Vuc is really our lowest common denominator on offense. He sucks up a lot of possessions and uses them inefficiently.
We'd be a lot better off if we told him to STFU and roll hard to the basket instead of posting him up. When they have him roll, (which to their credit they actually do about as much as they can do) is actually pretty effective (less effective than when most other centers do it, but still a reasonably efficient play, and a better play than posting him up).
Last Year Vuc's main play types were:
Roll: 4.8 possessions, 1.09 PPP
Post Up: 3.8, 1.05
Spot Up: 2.9, 1.05
Cuts: 1.5 1.39
Transition: 1.3 1.12
I guess I'd argue that the Bulls should try to, as much as possible, just never plan for a Vuc spot up or Post up. That's almost 7 possessions a game that kind of suck. Maybe you still have to do it occasionally to keep the defender honest, but fine, get back 5 possessions a game a use them better. Because almost everything else is better. When they do dump it to him at the top of the key, the first and second option ought to be a DHO back to Zach/Coby/Carter for a 3.