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2015 season dodgers game thread

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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#81 » by Neddy » Tue Jun 9, 2015 3:48 am

Quake Griffin wrote:Nice break down. I like keeping Puig if it's just Syndergaard.


think we'll see Olivera at all this year?
It sounded like all signs pointed to him coming up this year but it looks like we actually like this Callaspo guy and Turner.


love Turner, do not like Callaspo. we needed a back up 3rd once Uribe was gone, and we really were simply letting him have an everyday job while cutting our salary, which was evident when we DFA Stults while lacking starter depth. them talking about Callaspo being hard to strike out, is an illusion as he doesn't actually translate that into getting on base and his slug % simply sucks. I still think Callaspo is just another piece towards either A) a trade asset down the line or B) a "just in case" defensive depth who will get DFA once Hector is ready to join the team.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#82 » by Neddy » Tue Jun 9, 2015 5:04 am

after we just beat them snakes for 9 to 3, I did a quick calculation of W's and L's based on baseball pythagorean formular.

we have scored so far in this season 259 runs while giving up 204 runs.

259 squared over 204 squared is 1.6119.

that ratio in 58 games comes out W/L as 36 wins and 22 losses. knowing that good mangers tend to have zero overall impact on wins versus losses record and great ones add a few wins over the expected value, Mattingly so far this season has managed to rob us 3 games while going through a bit more than 1/3 of the season, which predicates him losing about 9 games by mismanaging our bullpen and etc etc.... this "having to win despite of Mattingly" business seems pretty daunting if you think in terms of games lost rather than simply seeing this team leading the NLW by 1 game over the Gnats. 9 games could mean going from the #1 overall seed to a wild card, or from wild card to not making it at all. at this rate, to win the WS with Donny hairyballs in charge, Friedman and Zaini would have to put together a 105 or more win team for Don to manage his way past 94 win team to be #1 or #2 seed, or a 98 win team to become a 89 win wild card team....

just a thought.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#83 » by Quake Griffin » Tue Jun 9, 2015 5:07 am

which games did you have him losing us specifically?

last year and 2013 I had the games remembered by heart that I thought he lost us. I've been a little busier (you can't tell from how I post lol) with how much i can watch the Dodgers and focus on all his moves this year.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#84 » by Neddy » Tue Jun 9, 2015 5:13 am

Quake Griffin wrote:which games did you have him losing us specifically?

last year and 2013 I had the games remembered by heart that I thought he lost us. I've been a little busier (you can't tell from how I post lol) with how much i can watch the Dodgers and focus on all his moves this year.


two games comes to mind in just last five days... one yesterday where I thought he pulled Greinke too early as he was yanked at 99 pitches when Mattingly let Kershaw go into 110 plus the night before, and the last game in Mile High.


but mostly, it's an overall mathematical analysis rather than pointing out any specific situation. it is well known that Mattingly makes terrible pitching substitutions by leaving certain guys too long and yanking others too quickly, while managing to put the wrong guy at the wrong time.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#85 » by Neddy » Tue Jun 16, 2015 3:54 am

another day and another Don Mattingly blunder... when Frias walked Choo on four straight pitches to start the 6th, I was screaming at the TV for him to come out and consult the pitcher while getting the BP arms loose. neither happened. once Frias walked Gallo on his next 5 pitches, which made his 8 out of 9 pitches to be balls and obviously he wasn't trying to throw balls, I was screaming at my TV for Mattingly to go up to the mound and consult the pitcher while getting his 'pen started. again, neither happened. then he gives up a hit and here comes a run. I am infuriated and expected a move that still didn't come. the TV shows the dugout and there is the face of Mattingly, looking lost as usual... not knowing what to do.... then the second hit and the consequent second run given up.... and now Im yelling that the runs are already in and its runners second and third with one out... keep the pen fresh for tomorrow and let Frias finish the inning as he has thrown barely a 70 total pitch.... then Donny softballs comes out just then to bring in Liberatore, who gives up a hit and now we are four runs down... and we go on to lose four to one thanks to Grandal's HR. we could have easily let Frias finish the game and still end up with the same 1 loss while keeping the bullpen fresh for tomorrow......

Im dying here with Donny losing games for us......
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#86 » by Quake Griffin » Wed Jun 17, 2015 2:04 am

Yea he was pretty special in a bad way yesterday.


Thinking we need a more set order.
There's having depth and there's rotating players in all the damn time.

For offense, defense/ some chemistry, I'd like to see some set guys in there for a period of time.

I'm sure you have the knowledge on whether there is any merit to that statistically.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#87 » by Neddy » Fri Jun 19, 2015 7:04 pm

Quake Griffin wrote:Thinking we need a more set order.
There's having depth and there's rotating players in all the damn time.

For offense, defense/ some chemistry, I'd like to see some set guys in there for a period of time.


for games we are ahead or tied, the obvious "must win" crew, goes something like this

7th inning - a shared job of JP Howell and Juan Nicasio. Nicasio also doubles as our long man at this point of our roster.

8th inning - Adam Liberatore. he should be the set up man when we are up. his whip is 0.864 and fib at 1.73. there is nobody on the dodger roster, starter or relief, who can top that other than Jensen.

9th inning - Jenley Jensen. no brainer.

for games we are behind (or tied with our "must win" crew tired), the "catch up" crew should be,

5th through 7th inning - for one inning of work, Josh Ravin. it drives me crazy to see this guy with the game on the line and its already the 9th. yeah his got a 97 mph fastball but it doesn't move. he has no other quality pitch. he should come in when the starter is already blowing the game. he does help however, when we need to drastically change the timing of the hitters and their hand-eye coordination when our starters fail and we need to get out of the inning or take over the next 3 outs.
---------------------------- for long stretchs, obviously it's Nicasio. he is as of now, our lone long man.

8th inning - Daniel Coulombe, IF Ravin is already used... change of pace. if Nicasio was used until now, Ravin.

9th inning - Yimi or JP. once we make a trade to bring in another starter, having Frias in the pen makes everything much easier because it gives our relief corp the needed flexibility. but until then, I would NEVER EVER let Ravin or sporadic call ups such as Coulombe to take the mound while we are up by less than 4-5 runs or tied.



I also believe Alex Guerrero is settling in nicely as our professional pinch hitter. he really has no defensive position we can put him in on regular basis, but he excels at being the next Dave Hansen, so why not. whichever the guy in LF platoon between Ethier and SVS becomes the other pinch hitter off the bench, while Callaspo is our defensive infield backup and **** as our ultimate Utility player.

I have to say, this roster still maybe a work in progress, but Andrew and Farran surely constructed this roster with much deep insight and proper reasoning. it is only upto Mattingly to execute it properly...... :nonono:
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#88 » by Quake Griffin » Sat Jun 20, 2015 5:03 am

i can't deal with how this team just puts up NO fight against the Giants.

struggle w/ the Dbacks. The padres…but goodness gracious, they turn into the biggest **** pussies whenever the Giants show up on the schedule.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#89 » by Neddy » Sat Jun 20, 2015 10:59 pm

the biggest reason why is simply due to a plain old "bad luck" and it will turn its tide soon enough.

when Bolsinger gave up that grand slam, I was telling my wife that after 4 curve balls and one cutter a couple of pitches prior which were all down in the zone earlier, that the next pitch better be a fastball up and away in the zone or if it is another curveball, I would rather risk walking him and give up a run by throwing a low and away.... then BOOM! the curveball hangs and it is right down the middle. I don't think Bolsinger is going to lose his control at the most crucial point in the game at the worst possible hitter like this by missing his best pitch, which is the curveball, all that often.

Tim Hudson going for the gnats. this may be the game to get our lineup going, although I hate seeing Turner in the 3 hole. with the same lineup, I would rather see Kendrick and Turner flipped.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#90 » by MisterRogers » Sun Jun 21, 2015 2:25 am

This is ridiculous!! How come Dodgers can never beat the Giants. Thats 6 in a row losses!
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#91 » by Quake Griffin » Mon Jun 22, 2015 7:34 pm

everybody is clamoring for Olivera.

and I guess we need some offense. But where the hell is he going to play? Turner is tearing the cover off the ball at the moment.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#92 » by Neddy » Tue Jun 23, 2015 3:02 am

Quake Griffin wrote:everybody is clamoring for Olivera.

and I guess we need some offense. But where the hell is he going to play? Turner is tearing the cover off the ball at the moment.



move Turner to SS and use Jimmy as the late inning defensive sub?
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#93 » by Quake Griffin » Tue Jun 23, 2015 11:17 am

nothnx on Turner at SS. Jimmy looks like he's defending pretty well this year.
hoping this is all just good ole "cluster luck" and there's a 10 game winning streak somewhere around the corner.

btw, not saying I don't mind Grandal having every 5th day off.
But it truly sucks to see him smack 2 homers in a row and then have to sit out just because Kershaw has this "unspoken" personal catcher in AJ.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#94 » by Quake Griffin » Wed Jun 24, 2015 3:09 am

Not watching just following on Gamecast because I'm studying.

Not sure why the **** he put in Peralta in the 10th inning on his 1st day back.
guy's an idiot if you ask me but whatever.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#95 » by Quake Griffin » Wed Jun 24, 2015 3:28 am

and why the **** was our hottest hitter given another "day off" to let Albert Callaspo play knowing we've had trouble scoring.

I'm gonna go Dodgers MartintoVaught in a minute.
It's beyond annoying knowing this team has the pieces to be good but watching us struggle because of stupid decisions.


how the **** was Turner not playing today?
Who is randomly getting a day off tomorrow? Howie? A-Gon? Joc and Heisey is gonna miss plays in CF that Joc wouldn't have, leaving Kershaw in an inning longer to get his **** smashed by Joey Gallo?

**** this.
I'll go back to the Ned days if this team is gonna randomly throw bums like Callaspo in the lineup every day….i couldn't even tell you what purpose that bum serves.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#96 » by Neddy » Wed Jun 24, 2015 5:34 am

Quake Griffin wrote:and why the **** was our hottest hitter given another "day off" to let Albert Callaspo play knowing we've had trouble scoring.

I'm gonna go Dodgers MartintoVaught in a minute.
It's beyond annoying knowing this team has the pieces to be good but watching us struggle because of stupid decisions.


how the **** was Turner not playing today?
Who is randomly getting a day off tomorrow? Howie? A-Gon? Joc and Heisey is gonna miss plays in CF that Joc wouldn't have, leaving Kershaw in an inning longer to get his **** smashed by Joey Gallo?

**** this.
I'll go back to the Ned days if this team is gonna randomly throw bums like Callaspo in the lineup every day….i couldn't even tell you what purpose that bum serves.


since may, Guerrero is hitting BA .231; OBP.260. where as since the trade to the dodgers, Callaspo is at BA .293 and better than mid .300 OBP. adding to that Callaspo's defense is a plus compared to Guerrero who really outta be a AL DH and below average defender at any position, I think it is just fine to use Alex as our Dave Hansen for now. besides, Callaspo was the only dodger with a hit through the first 4 innings, which is the last time i checked the score box while finishing up my last pt and chart notes. as easy it is to blame him, we aren't losing because of Callaspo.

as for AJ Ellis thing, that is entirely on Kershaw. whether it is his loyalty to his friend or his arrogance/confidence to overcome lack of offense AJ creates over Grandal, it is all on him to stick with AJ... although a big part of the blame goes to none other than our clueless whipping boy Don Mattingly. he can simply veto and tell Clayton to put up or shut up. according to baseball pythagoreans, we are still under 3 games than we are supposed to be. compare to Bruce Bochy's squad, they are 1 game + from pythagrean projections. that is basically 4 games we are losing on managerial capacity alone.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#97 » by Quake Griffin » Wed Jun 24, 2015 5:46 am

Nah, I wasn't saying play Guerrero. I just don't get the days off. They seem random and without a particular purpose (particularly the day off he gave Joc against Texas). Oh Don thinks someone is tired today etc. etc. And I'm in Chicago so the only thing I can see is the Cubs station so I couldn't hear about why Turner didn't play today…so I was just like wth.

Btw, I saw Adrian Gonzalez downtown today. Really cool dude. Didn't bother him too much because he was with his family.

Edit:
Donnie needs to nix the AJ thing man. AJ should only spot YG from time to time.
Kershaw struck Bryant out on the black. Ump didn't call it. Grandal would have got that call for Kershaw.
Kris Bryant steps up n belts the next pitch out of the park.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#98 » by Neddy » Sun Jun 28, 2015 5:45 am

reading through some other sites and I see a few panicking fans regading Kershaw's so called "struggles" of this season. I know there aren't any in this forum, but just wanted to borrow this forum to express my thoughts that there is very little to worry.

Kershaw's ERA looks high, i get it. he has given up a ton of HRs. I get that. but he is still among the top 10 in WAR among pitchers, and his FIP is among the the top 10. then something crazy has happened, which is an aberration. Kershaw is the third worst in majors in HR/FB ratio at 18.0%. he is giving up nearly one out of every five flyballs to a HR. this is not a sustainable stat as his "stuff" has not diminished the way Dan Haren's sinker did when his HR/FB ratio drastically increased in recent years. Kershaw is still throwing hard and he is hitting his spots(where AJ has been killing him over), it is simply that in a small, 40 some % of a single season's worth of data are showing an irregularity that is not likely to continue. for example, his career HR/FB ratio is around 7%. once you adjust his expected HR/FB and measure his xFIP, guess what, guys... Kershaw is leading the league and by a bigger margin from the second best than the second guy from the third, and by a wide margin from the rest.

by conventional stats, Clayton may not win another Cy Young this year, unless the abnormalities swing extremely to the other way, but Clay is still the same Clay.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#99 » by Quake Griffin » Tue Jun 30, 2015 5:13 am

I checked him on fangraphs the other day and saw his tip was normal and the abnormal hr/fb rate was a departure from the norm.

I was still very upset at how he didn't back up 3rd base on Saturday. Ball goes into the dugout. Yellich goes home. Hechvarria goes to 3rd and scores on the next at bat.

he pitched fine outside of that but it was like wtf…out to lunch…not like him at all.
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Re: 2015 season dodgers game thread 

Post#100 » by Quake Griffin » Tue Jun 30, 2015 5:20 am

Up there for one of the worst losses of the season tonight.
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